2016 Election
#4216
McGovern's excessive tilt to the left as the basis for his 1972 defeat is not exactly a secret -- take a political science class about presidential elections, and this is what you will be taught.
McGovern would have lost even if had a different VP. Like Sanders, he had progressive grassroots support that came at the expense of losing swing voters: he was labeled by Nixon as the candidate of "amnesty (for Vietnam War draft dodgers), abortion, and acid." I can only imagine what the GOP would do with all of Sanders' remarks about how much of a socialist that he is.
McGovern would have lost even if had a different VP. Like Sanders, he had progressive grassroots support that came at the expense of losing swing voters: he was labeled by Nixon as the candidate of "amnesty (for Vietnam War draft dodgers), abortion, and acid." I can only imagine what the GOP would do with all of Sanders' remarks about how much of a socialist that he is.
#4217
Lost in BE Cyberspace










Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 13,212
From: San Francisco











Or it could just be that being from a neighbouring state is too simplistic an explanation. After all Clinton had a huge advantage over Sanders in NH until the end of summer last year, months after Sanders declared. If they loved their neighbour from Vermont why didn't he get an immediate boost in the polls?
#4218
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











Sanders is too far to the left to appeal to swing voters, and swing voters are needed to win elections. Not sure how much more obvious this needs to be.
#4219
You might want to dial that back a bit.
Here's what's wrong with Jeb Bush saying Hillary Clinton is under FBI investigation | PolitiFact
Here's what's wrong with Jeb Bush saying Hillary Clinton is under FBI investigation | PolitiFact
If that’s sufficient for you and the Right Honorable to dismiss any concerns about this matter and to conclude that Hillary hasn’t a care in the world about this FBI probe, fine. It may well be that the FBI, which does not conduct security reviews and is solely concerned with investigating criminal matters, has been wasting the efforts of 150 of its top investigators and raising the hopes of the RNC and the R candidates, all for shits and giggles.
I am assuming that Hillary has nothing to worry about because she did nothing wrong, and if she had, the law doesn’t apply to her anyway. She will be the next President because of demographics, which answers to no issues, as another poster pointed out recently.
Last edited by FlaviusAetius; Feb 10th 2016 at 5:08 am.
#4220
Lost in BE Cyberspace










Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 13,212
From: San Francisco











Dakota, you quoted a January 18 article that predated the FBI's confirmation on 2 Feb that “…it is working on matters related to former Secretary Clinton’s use of a private e-mail server…†and that it “…remains unable to provide [details about the case] without adversely affecting on-going law enforcement efforts.†FBI confirms Clinton probe | TheHill
If that’s sufficient for you and the Right Honorable to dismiss any concerns about this matter and to conclude that Hillary hasn’t a care in the world about this FBI probe, fine.
If that’s sufficient for you and the Right Honorable to dismiss any concerns about this matter and to conclude that Hillary hasn’t a care in the world about this FBI probe, fine.
Back to the strawmen, I see.
#4221
He's consistently polled a lot better in New Hampshire than nationally, even back last summer. For example, in June Clinton was polling 61% to 11% nationally; in New Hampshire at that point it was 48% to 21% in favour of Clinton. Really, it's hard to dismiss proximity as a factor.
#4223
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Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











New Hampshire is a poor reflection of the Democratic party's national demography. And primaries are a poor representation of the overall electorate.
#4224
#4225
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











There is a reason why the GOP is praying that Sanders will do well. They would prefer to run against a "socialist" than a foreign policy hawk.
#4226
Kasich did say a good number of sensible things, and I'm happy to see him get rewarded / recognized for them. If he were to be prez, I wouldn't be totally disappointed. Which I'm sure confirms that he has no chance. But those Republicans on this thread need to acknowledge that there are indeed some candidates we liberals aren't utterly horrified by.
So if the vote came down to Trump v Clinton, or Cruz v Clinton, you don't think it would be worth voting FOR Clinton simply to try to STOP Trump (lets assume you lived in a swing state)? I would do everything in my power to stop Trump or Cruz; Clinton may not be the best candidate but on a relative scale, Trump and Cruz are utterly awful. (ETA: and for the sake of this argument, substitute any Dem candidate for 'Clinton'; none of the Dem candidates come close to the extreme awfulness of Trump/Cruz).
So if the vote came down to Trump v Clinton, or Cruz v Clinton, you don't think it would be worth voting FOR Clinton simply to try to STOP Trump (lets assume you lived in a swing state)? I would do everything in my power to stop Trump or Cruz; Clinton may not be the best candidate but on a relative scale, Trump and Cruz are utterly awful. (ETA: and for the sake of this argument, substitute any Dem candidate for 'Clinton'; none of the Dem candidates come close to the extreme awfulness of Trump/Cruz).
#4227
Voters don't vote (or fail to vote) simply based upon agendas. And voters often confuse general policy statements with specific legislation and positions, such as the fact that many of those who complain about Obamacare like the provisions of Obamacare when they are asked about them individually -- their main complaint is that it includes the word "Obama".
There is a reason why the GOP is praying that Sanders will do well. They would prefer to run against a "socialist" than a foreign policy hawk.
There is a reason why the GOP is praying that Sanders will do well. They would prefer to run against a "socialist" than a foreign policy hawk.
Let's face it so far none of the results have gone how they've been predicted, so why is it assumed that will change?
#4228
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2

I thought Hillary won New Hampshire, she got the most delegates?
15 to 13
15 to 13
#4229
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











New Hampshire doesn't resemble the rest of the country. Not sure how many times that I need to point this out.
#4230
Also, I know you're not that naive as to know the most important part of the NH primary result is the media message, and Sanders crushing Clinton is not a good message for her.
I've no doubt you'll read this as me thinking that this means Sanders has this nomination tied up, as you usually do. I don't, what I do see is that is a good sign of more diverse support for Sanders than was expected. Nothing more.



