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Re: NCR llockdown
My wife, a frontliner, was informed by a colleague that Quezon City has returned to lockdown. If true, grim news for the rest of us.
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Re: NCR llockdown
There's a lot of rumours around impending lockdowns in NCR and even in Tagaytay. They've been denied online and just now on GMA News TV by a cabinet member and the QC, Tagaytay mayors. The mayors of the NCR cities all meet and give their view of the overall quarantine level to the government.
Last time I looked QC had one of the lower percentages of cases to population. It has well over 3m. San Juan was more than twice as high and QC, Pasay and Makati were almost as high. City of Manila was much lower. One caveat: there were many thousands of disputed cases QC didn't want to claim earlier in the year. I don't think they were ever put on their count. Though QC has had an increase lately more than the NCR as a whole. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday the DOH announced 1,754 new cases from 1,163 positives out of 21.3k tested plus a backlog. So 66% recent. Twelve labs not reporting. Tests on the way at 34.8k
Top 5 locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a395b62d47.jpg Rizal again over 100. Deaths 36 with a higher than usual RD finding of 25. Is the DOH validation process of looking at past recoveries not coming to an end soon? Mass recoveries at 8.1k. Active cases now 21,708, 272 less than a week ago. More detail on the December 19 cases: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...70da6829bf.jpg Plus other Mindanao 41, Bicol 11, MIMAROPA 9 Estimating for recent cases: NCR 360, 4A 220 https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3f12ad16da.jpg Plus Valenzuala 13, San Juan 10. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8b16daba3d.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4a8380950a.jpg Note 10 NCR cities, Mankayan in Benguet. appearing again with Baguio and La Trinidad. By the figures a better week. Cases down by over 500 to 9,730. Deaths down by 21 to 182. Still not looking good in SE Asia though the Philippines looks in a better position than many European and countries in the Americas. It's just that Xmas/New Year is traditionally so intense here and many are nervously wondering whether people are going to heed government advice and not put the fragile health services under even greater strain next year. More restrictions will stunt any economic recovery but if case rise accelerates in January the government will have no choice but to put at least some back in place. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 12947073)
Refused entry this morning to a Robinsons supermarket in Tagaytay as over 65, but it was okay Monday. Needed a barangay pass the guard said. Another Robinsons 5 kms away, not in Tagaytay, was okay. A Mall in Tagyatay was also ok.
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Re: NCR llockdown
At 1,721 about the same number of new cases yesterday as the day before. Five labs did not report. Only 735 cases found positive out of 14k tested, that's a rate of 5.3% again over 5% as it was the day before. Only 43% of results were recent.
Top locations: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4485bf3da4.jpg Deaths 10 with 4 of them RDs. Critical 1,377..unchanged. More detail on December 20: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...87b3c0ec27.jpg Plus other Mindanao 51, MIMAROPA 21. Allowing for backlog only 330 recent NCR and 210 4A. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e11f67f9b.jpg Other cities 55. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6e82e8d04f.jpg Four of the five Calabarzon provinces. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e3109938f5.jpg Ten out of 17 NCR cities. Now four Benguet locations. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in The major research group here proposing the re-imposition of travel controls and pointing out that under GCQ in the NCR there is already a limit of 10 on social gatherings. Which I would guess most people are not aware of. Anyway it's too late to come out with limits on Xmas and New Year get togethers now. And the government seems to have already decided that the economy is the priority and to put back travel controls in the NCR and its surrounding areas goes against that. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday added 1,314 to the new cases total and 10 labs did not report. New cases were 80% recent with a positivity of 4.9% out of 21,2k tests. Only 17.7k tests on the way. Is there an Xmas effect causing a drop in testing when more will likely be needed?
Top 5 locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6d043a0f7f.jpg Rizal continues to feature with high numbers recently: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2d694cd21d.jpg Deaths high at 66 as nearly half...31....were RDs. Critical up 22 at 1,389. More detail on December 21: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...62d7bcb196.jpg Plus other Mindanao 20, Bicol 13, MIMAROPA 20 High figures for NCR but adjusting for recent cases down to another260 or so. Region 4A about 140. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6bab7bbc82.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...31d15540c1.jpg Paranaque showing a much higher number than usual. QC with a high number again: Latest chart: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...767c428732.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...aa8e01a019.jpg All 4A provinces feature. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1517a9378d.jpg Headed again by Davao city and dominated by NCR cities with 7 in top 10. Baguio City and 2 other Benguet locations in top 20. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...31d5aa3910.jpg Baguio City had been improving up to the start of this month. Last, the latest NCR chart: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4c56182f5f.jpg Rising new cases over the last 4 weeks or so. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Announced yesterday 1,196 new cases. Eight labs did not report. Nearly all recent cases from over 24k tests with a positivity of 4.6%. Tests coming along at just under 24k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...af9402018b.jpg The latest national Reproductive estimate at 1.12. Deaths at 27 with 7 RDs. Critical at 1,374, down 15. More detail on December 22 cases: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e25ef2e0e3.jpg Other Mindanao 20 https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...21f607304c.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...23e4c914c4.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c50ca48798.jpg Six entries from 3 provinces in N Luzon. Two cities in Misamis Oriental. QC and Davao City at the top. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/23/...a-disyembre-24 A temporary ban is not surprising as many other nations have done so. But those arriving from the UK before the ban are subject to 14 day quarantine even though they have had and presumably passed a swab test? Welcome to the Philippines! Seems to me the authorities here are wanting to look tough elsewhere as they well know new cases here will be on a significant rise after a Xmas season which looks nearly up to the usual level of activity, in spite of their exhortations. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Arrivals have always been subject to 14 days quarantine but the difference now I believe is that the full 14 days has to be done in the hotel. We were due to arrive on the 2nd January but we will now put it off, maybe until say the end of .March and hopefully get the vaccine beforehand.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 12949240)
Arrivals have always been subject to 14 days quarantine but the difference now I believe is that the full 14 days has to be done in the hotel....
No....not according to this PAL advisory on procedure for all foreign national arrivals. You only go to a hotel to await your test result .That's not a real quarantine. But Duque said all UK arrivals today must go to Clark for a real 14 day quarantine. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 12949335)
https://www.philippineairlines.com/e...rrivingintheph
No....not according to this PAL advisory on procedure for all foreign national arrivals. You only go to a hotel to await your test result . |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 12949240)
Arrivals have always been subject to 14 days quarantine but the difference now I believe is that the full 14 days has to be done in the hotel. We were due to arrive on the 2nd January but we will now put it off, maybe until say the end of .March and hopefully get the vaccine beforehand.
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 12949339)
Not correct, you stay in the hotel until you got your result then finish the 14 days at home.
UK arrivals didn't have to stay for 14days in the hotel, as you said you believed in the first quote. Complete the 14 days at home? Are the LGUs really doing that? Even if you go to some remote area of the country? Anyway, sorry that this mutation panic has caused you a lot of inconvenience for a trip you must have been both looking forward to |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 12949342)
Correct.
UK arrivals didn't have to stay for 14days in the hotel, as you said you believed in the first quote. Complete the 14 days at home? Are the LGUs really doing that? Even if you go to some remote area of the country? Anyway, sorry that this mutation panic has caused you a lot of inconvenience for a trip you must have been both looking forward to Our problem is that we live in the Philippines and had to return to the UK for my fathers funeral, July. Two weeks after we got to the UK the Philippines banned foreign spouses entering until recently and now again banned entry just before our return. |
Re: NCR llockdown
One thing to be "quarantined" in some Manila hotel for a few days the allowed to go to the province to maybe stay somewhere to complete. Although PAL says you can go home. I think like many things here, especially in these times, it all depends on the LGU.
Another for Brits to be sent to New Clark City for 14 days. |
Re: NCR llockdown
On Xmas eve the DOH reports another 1,776 cases. Nine labs not reporting the 1,412 cases positive out of 22.7k tested. Positivity at a higher 6.2% with 80% of cases reported recent.
Number of new cases the highest since December 18. Tests in process at a higher 30.7k. Top locations were: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b77038fad9.jpg Deaths at 7. Critical at 1,367, down 7. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...347cd291ce.jpg Plus other Mindanao 23, MIMAROPA 10 and Bicol 9. All case numbers recent. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...15d8f88ca9.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2b40a2b6af.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5caf971068.jpg QC case numbers recently increasing. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6754286906.jpg City of Manila's increasing less. City of Manila numbers increasing just a little. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...38ae01fc63.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...057d6255e9.jpg Nearly all NCR cities featuring. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...109103672e.jpg Rizal cases continue to increase fast.. Internationally, the Philippines is about to be overtaken by Pakistan. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...138a4d8303.jpg Switzerland may soon do the same if case numbers continue at the same level. |
Re: NCR llockdown
For Xmas day another 1,885 cases, but a higher 15 labs id not submit. Testing found 846 cases from only 17.4k tests on individuals, that's a positivity of 4.9%. Recent percentage is only 45. So a backlog building up. Tests in process down at 25.8k.
Cases from: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ab8ad6a5b8.jpg Bulacan chart: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bd68d2c298.jpg Deaths at 7 with critical at 1,360, down 7. More detail on Xmas eve cases: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dc9eea82e2.jpg Other Mindanao 31, MIMAROPA 21, Bicol 20. Recent cases for NCR about 410, for 4A about 200. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e485b5ad3b.jpg https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e75b3a2105.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...044bb9328c.jpg Rizal continues with high numbers. Benguet showing some Baguio vacation effect? Top 20 locations: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3801680122.jpg Twelve NCR cities. Davao City high number. Otherwise a wide range of places featuring. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fa6bd3522f.jpg Davao City was on a decline... What we see now mostly the result of Xmas preparation activity. The effect of Xmas socialization will show in January. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Cases announced yesterday were another 1,406 from only 680 found. Eight labs did not report. Thus only 48% recent. Positivity was at 6.6% from only 10.4k tests. Tests coming along at 25.8k.
Backlogs continue. Top locations: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ee06ca1cce.jpg Bulacan now top. Calabarzon three out of five places. Deaths at 5 with 1 RD, Twenty six more critical at 1,386. Detail on December 25 locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a7c831f094.jpg Plus CAR 26, other Mindanao 29, Bicol 16 and MIMAROPA 13. Adjusting for backlog NCR only about 250 recent. Region 4A only about 120. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a0155e06b2.jpg Eastern Visayas has had two spikes over the last few months. Now a third much higher one. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d4ae43fdb5.jpg https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...21c72d4edf.jpg https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...81bfc8e76e.jpg https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2a03e59cd2.jpg NCR cities heavily featuring in the top half. In bottom half three Leyte locations and two in Bulacan. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fb6ff1833e.jpg Philippines doing badly with deaths and cases per head of population. But as of today down to 29th in the world. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...-strain/story/ This was the big news on the UK virus variant! I don't think the Philippines has the ability to quickly test for it and if so it seems likely it's already here. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/27/...el-restriction Really? If you have a ban to prevent the mutation coming in then why exempt some travellers from the UK based on their nationality? Seems to me that judging by the speed the variant spread in the UK it will soon spread all over the world. Countries like the Philippines already short on funds for a vaccine program to achieve herd immunity will just have to spend more to adjust to the higher immunity level required if, as suspected, the variant does spread much more easily.. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Although the N501Y strain appears to spread more rapidly its the South African variant that has the scientists here in the UK more concerned.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Only 883 positives announced today. A low 11.5k tests were done by Xmas day with 756 (86%) recent, a positive rate of 6.6%. A higher number of labs, 15, did not report. A low number of tests, only 12.8k in process. The effect of Xmas.
Locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b3fb9b3358.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7b65ba63dd.jpg Rizal Province Deaths at 42 with 10 of them RDs. Critical 1,370, up 10. Mass recoveries 7.6k. Active now 22.1k, Up by 400 on the previous Sunday figure. More detail on December 26 cases: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...927fd1d339.jpg Plus MIMAROPA 14, other Mindanao 17 NCR recent down to about 190. 4A recent about 160. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6a71e80e9c.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8f7dd6cde2.jpg Should be December 26. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a3ae3c5135.jpg List dominated by NCR cities and Rizal conurbations.. Carigara in Leyte new entry. For the last week cases are up by over 1,300.... the result of an R number in the epicenter of the NCR estimated at 1.18 on December 20. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Low case numbers again due to the festive season. This will be the case for many more days and complicates assessment of the progress of the outbreak.
Yesterday 766 cases, 6 labs did not report. Labs have also been closed on a few days lately. Cases were from 601 positives out of 9.3k tests, a rate of 6.4%. Tests coming along at 13.3k. Top 5 locations: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...12c7ff41ff.jpg Deaths at 15 with 1 RD. Critical at 1,365, down 5. Detail on December 27: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...77a8c9e8a8.jpg Plus other Mindanao 41, Bicol 13. NCR and Calabarzon together 53% of all cases. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e966372145.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...09f43e45cc.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8b6e1515dc.jpg Small numbers leading to a greater mix than usual. Eight NCR cities. Three from Benguet in top 10. Quarantine areas continue as they are until January 31. After a number of days we still don't know what variant of covid-19 the one recent positive recent UK arrival had! |
Re: NCR llockdown
More of the same depressed numbers yesterday. Only 886 with 793 recent out of 13.5k tested. Positivity 5.8%. Just 9.9k tests coming along.
Nine labs did not report, but that does not include an unannounced number which are closed. Top locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a6e32d100d.jpg Deaths at 38 with 8 of them RDs. The fatality rate at 1.94% or 1.95%, DOH or here an international source: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d69dac51cf.jpg The Philippines in the company of some African, S American countries and surprisingly Brunei. Sweden, with one of the worst European records, not far away. Critical at 1,378, up 13. More detail on December 28: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e9a328343b.jpg Other Mindanao 27 https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...091162fc3f.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d7002b361a.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...18204de362.jpg Davao City led. The previous day second, Leading today. Three Benguet locations. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/29/...gong-protocols Google can translate this, but it says returning OFWs will go to Clark for 14 days on return. Presumably they are tested early. If positive they would be kept there while a genome process taking many days is done. If negative they are kept at Clark for the remainder of the time, presumably in case they are false negative. For the great majority, if not all, who will be in the latter category I think harsh treatment as many will be having their first vacation for 2 years. At least allow them to finish in their Province. Then outright bans up to mid January on 20 other countries. That number must soon greatly increase as more cases of the "UK variant" are announced when testing gets going again after the Xmas holidays internationally. This kneejerk reaction coming from the very top. The health secretary is unsure of it. A face to face school experiment has been called off by the President because of the appearance of the UK variant. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The Oxford Astra Zenica vaccine has just this morning been approved here in the UK. There has been the suggestion that they go with the first jab and delay the second so they can cover twice as many people. The booster is now to be given after 12 weeks. So UK roll your sleeves up Monday morning.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Cases announced yesterday back up to over 1,000 at 1,014. Seven labs not reporting. The numbers positive were 1,233 out of 18.3k tests. Two hundred plus more than announced for some reason. So positivity at 6.8%., the highest rate for many days. Tests coming along only 16.2k.
Top 5 locations outside the NCR were: QC 67, Benguet 57, Makati 48,, Bulacan 44 and Laguna 40. Deaths at a high 68 with 21 of them RDs. The latter seem not to be on any downward trend since the DOH announced a validation check 6 months ago. So it seems that the miss classification of recoveries is not being fixed. Just discovered and reported. Critical patients down by 22 at 1,356. Data on locations of December 29 cases not available today. Not worth showing any charts until testing gets back to normal. A "UK variant" case found in Colorado, USA with no travel history. I'm sure there are some cases already here too. At first the US was going to be added to the list of 20 banned countries, now a re-think at the top here. Soon nearly all countries that have genome sequencing ability will find cases and travel from most advanced countries of the world to the Philippines may come to a halt. If countries ban then it will encourage other countries not to look for or announce the discovery of virus variants |
Re: NCR llockdown
Final day of the year announcements are a concerning 1,541 new cases and a 6.6% positivity rate out of only 17k tests. While only 3 labs did not report an undisclosed number are shut and cases are obviously brewing in the Xmas festivities. Good that there are 25k tests coming along.
Top locations outside NCR: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ac7e95b4e7.jpg Deaths at 14 with 4 RDs. Critical are 1,376, up 20 on the day before. More detail for December 29 and December 30 cases: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0a13747740.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0841b183ce.jpg Top 3 regions the same for both days. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...451b1404f3.jpg NCR for 29th. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ca62321a1c.jpg NCR for 30th. Similar picture for both days. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cc8d8d45d2.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...199b6ec7c9.jpg Benguet and Bulacan high up on both days. Four of the Calabarzon provinces in top 10 for both days. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2cbc49f519.jpg Top 20 cities for December 29. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...096f66301b.jpg ...for December 30. NCR cities take up about half the places on both days and dominate the top positions except for Davao City and Baguio. Three Benguet locations featured on December 30. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d790a50481.jpg With 474k cases at year end you can see that the above OCTA forecast chart from the end of August at mean 580k was well over. Later their forecast went down to 480k. Looks quite good but testing has not been maintained at a level consistent with WHO guidelines where an outbreak is under control with a consistent run of positivity under 5%. Whether that was due to the virus cases rising in some provincial areas, budgetary constraints, chaotic organization or a mentality to just wait for a vaccine, we cannot easily tell. What we can be certain about that cases will rise significantly in January due the Xmas holidays and also perhaps from cooler weather, especially in elevated areas. Deaths are another story. The country with a case fatality rate not far below the world average although it has a very young population. Last, for the UK 50k cases announced on the 30th and nearly 56k on the 31st. Quite alarming figures. How much of that rise is due to the new variant and how much to lax behaviour? If Britain's virus export gets a hold in other countries who also are not acting responsibly then you feel there may be similar dramatic rises. Those countries will need to follow Britain and get vaccine quickly into the general population. Although difficult to do it, priorities may need to be looked at again as some groups further down the priority list do not have the potential to spread the virus so much. It can be argued that we need to do more on pushing the message on safe behaviour. I just wonder about that ever getting through enough n many N American and European countries. Here it seems to me living conditions are mainly responsible rather than lax behaviour and so there could be more problems in many of the areas already with large outbreaks if the new variant gets a hold. I agree with another contributor on another thread that the Philippines is not able to do much with vaccines this year. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Although the UK is getting the blame for this new variant the jury is still out and it could be a case of shooting the messenger. The UK is a world leader in genomic sequencing so were the first to identifying it, they genomic sequence something like 10% of all tests. The scientists have now settled for it being about 50-55% more transmissible and a hint that it's slightly less virulent. One big concern is that it seems to effect the under 20s more than the old virus and is becoming the dominant strain. Only time will tell but I wouldn't be surprised if is hasn't already spread widely before anyone started looking for it. Apparently UK is constantly monitoring for mutations of which there have already been thousands, just this one has worked out for the virus.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Announced on NYD were another 1,765 cases, 8 labs not reporting. Positivity edged up again with 769 positive out of only 10.7k tests done. Just 21.8k are in process.
Top locations: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c38b1e4b14.jpg Deaths 4, critical 1,361, down 15. Detail on December 31: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...044391a4d2.jpg Plus other Mindanao 37, Bicol 17, E Visayas 14 https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...129df1704f.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3a8082685f.jpg Paranaque unusually high. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7b83f9a5de.jpg Four out of the 5 Calabarzon provinces. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a3805d09a0.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9cfeea37be.jpg NCR cities 13 out of the top 20. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c0a67aa268.jpg Improvement clearly shown nationally in last four months of 2020. But... https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2759d6c478.jpg ..the latest data from QC show an uptick. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4632fdc808.jpg ... Rizal the same. Both are indicative of a general increase in the wider epicenter of the NCR plus Calabarzon at the end of 2020. Outbreak also clearly not under control in Davao, Central Luzon and some areas of the north, especially Baguio. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 12952089)
Although the UK is getting the blame for this new variant the jury is still out and it could be a case of shooting the messenger. The UK is a world leader in genomic sequencing so were the first to identifying it, they genomic sequence something like 10% of all tests. The scientists have now settled for it being about 50-55% more transmissible and a hint that it's slightly less virulent. One big concern is that it seems to effect the under 20s more than the old virus and is becoming the dominant strain. Only time will tell but I wouldn't be surprised if is hasn't already spread widely before anyone started looking for it. Apparently UK is constantly monitoring for mutations of which there have already been thousands, just this one has worked out for the virus.
The latest on the virus variant, with the upper limit for UK R at a scary 1.7. Scientist says in this respect there is a "huge difference" between the new variant and the existing one. Also some going back on the effect on age groups. Now it may just effect all very much the same. Here, the country's leader now adding the US to the 20 countries arrivals deserving a 2 week holiday in Clark. Despite earlier saying they were not included.. The list will soon be expanded and those arrivals exempt will only come from countries with no or non publicized genome testing. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,097 new cases. Fifteen labs not reporting and the DOH saying their data drop system crashed for a while. Testing was on a very low 6.2k and produced only 456 positives. The rest announced being backlog. But those tested show 7.3% positivity. Tests on the way at a higher 14.5k.
Top locations for once show no NCR city: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d5b632126d.jpg Deaths 5 and 1,331 critical, down by 30. Detail on NYD cases: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2bd59d6d38.jpg E Visayas unusually high. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e64f992432.jpg Marikina unusually high. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1f13558c99.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bbb29bda67.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5f2e63ce7e.jpg In view of its prominence yesterday focus on the E Visayas region: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c597a5f7b5.jpg Upwards lately.. Then for containing provinces focusing on Samar....3 out of the top 10...first Eastern Samar: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...30dca8521c.jpg Cases rising.. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...886d4ea941.jpg ..and for W Samar. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...48590a65ed.jpg ..also for N Samar..but levelling lately. Not able to show it but the province of Leyte also showing a steep rise lately. |
Re: NCR llockdown
For January 3 low testing at 11.7k yielded 675 positives at 5.8% positivity. Together with backlog the total announced 891. Eleven labs not reporting at all. Just 7.4k tests in preparation.
https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5c311df693.jpg Four deaths. Critical 1,360, up 29. Mass recoveries 8.3k. Active number at 20.3k, down from 22.1k last Sunday. For January 2 detail: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d8a3357cfc.jpg Calabarzon with nearly a third more cases than NCR. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5741e6d2ce.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...78689c5d59.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ea5d357b3e.jpg https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a3fccea48b.jpg Low testing in the NCR so urban areas in two Davao provinces lead on cases. This week just ended 7.917 cases, down from 11,046 in the previous week. But deaths up from 154 to 189. https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...C?ocid=BingHPC City of Manila residents returning from the provinces going home need a swab test. Another article says they cannot return to their home until they are shown negative. You will stay at a facility near to your barangay until result comes. There are 897! This only recently announced. Something that will be copied elsewhere if things worsen? |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 959 new cases with only 508 or 5.3% found from recent testing. Three labs not reporting and one has had its license canceled due to persistent late reports. Four more set to lose theirs also. Tests coming along at 13.8k, up from 9.6k.
Locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c69da30a1c.jpg Deaths at 6, critical at 1,358, down just by 2. More detail on January 3 cases: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...312cc63232.jpg Other Mindanao 35 https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f30376a753.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...830df89f8e.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cd3ac99026.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e73aadd468.jpg Davao City not on a sure downward trend. Two Chinese vaccine makers to apply for Philippines emergency use: https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...n-ph-this-week Judging by this independent survey public confidence is low. Pity they didn't ask about reasons, https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...l-shows/story/ The country's leader says that those in classes A, B and C can afford to buy their own. I reckon that many have gone down a class during the pandemic when their businesses were closed for many months. True recovery is some way off. for many sectors. The middle class is relatively small and fragile here. No report tomorrow. Should resume the next day. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Cases announced on January 5 : 937. 865 positives found out of 16.7k tests, so a rate of 5.2%
Deaths 58 with 4 RDs. Locations for January 4 cases were: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c1415ad725.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...58e493d133.jpg Top 15 only: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...eb53260e40.jpg For January 6 1,047 cases. Positivity rate of 23.6k tests was 6.2, large backlog. Only 20k tests coming along. Deaths at 26 with 13 RDs. Critical at 1,361, up 3 from 2 days ago. Top 5 locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b629d27bc9.jpg More detail for January 5 cases: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...04f51f9864.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a63d2f35ba.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e9167629ce.jpg Top 15 only: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...51c05f86ff.jpg Prosperidad in Agusan, Oroquieta Misamis Occidental..both on Mindanao. For the last two days a continuation of low testing following the holidays. Maybe the holidays have been longer for some this year as businesses are not operating fully, so no need to rush back? Then anyone who went away showing symptoms might delay presenting? NCR generally dominating less with 23.5% of cases over the two days. Leading to a large variety of locations showing. Positivity keeping above 5%. for both days. A truer picture will only emerge in a week's time. CDO city unusually featuring: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f388d8ec24.jpg CDO was on a good downward trend, but now a small uptick. Deaths high at 84 over the two days , although 17 were RDs. On the "UK " variant front the Philippines adding 6 more countries to its arrival ban, but no names yet. They say they are finding it difficult to get official responses from other countries! Genome testing here has drawn a blank with 305 samples tested from recent UK arrivals. Now a Filipina has turned up in Hong Kong with it after staying in Cagayan after arriving from the UK. A well known doctor,(actually a heart specialist!) has popped up with this frightening claim on the tv: https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/spotl...-cases-15-fold Certain people here get a lot of air time if they tow the government line. Often they are not specialist doctors in infectious diseases....sometimes not even medical doctors. I watched a forum on this variant which the President attended. A few expert doctors calmly told him the variant was not a surprise and should just be monitored. None of the three I heard speak recommended extreme measures like banning arrivals from countries. |
Re: NCR llockdown
More strange ideas on keeping the public safe in a Tagaytay. On entering the Ayala mall here you are issued with a "customer time card", actually a small piece of paper saying you are only allowed 1 hour and 30 minutes inside the mall, which by the way is mainly open to the outside air. "Kindly surrender on exit".it says. No collection on exit.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Someone thought it was a good idea, but no one else did!
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,353 cases. Positivity 5.2%. from 19.1k tests. Backlog of nearly 400 going through. Three labs not reporting....but how many still closed?
A much increased 27k tests in process on January 6. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...69dbc56a86.jpg Marikina an unusually high number. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...00fa9a696e.jpg Marikina with slight recent increase. Deaths 9 with 3RDs. Critical 1,373...up again, adding 12. More detail on January 6: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...981ad98f37.jpg Other Mindanao 28 https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4ba8ab2ce5.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2787e2d0b8.jpg CDO City in again after 2 days featuring at 3rd. Cebu City has been slowly adding more cases recently. The NCR has 8 cities in the top 20 and makes up 26.1% of total cases. Together with Region 4A and Davao the 3 areas give over half of national cases. Flight banning news...the government has noted China had a "UK" variant case a week ago, but it is still waiting for official confirmation before deciding on whether to ban its arrivals! |
Re: NCR llockdown
I assume the China case is the filipina in Hong Kong that flew out of CDO.
New strain now found in Nigeria, no details yet. WHO are trying to get access to tbe Wuhan lab. Apparently they specialised in Covid type viruses and is about 16 km from the wet market where covid 19 supposedly originated from. It appears that lab is part jointly financed by the USA. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 12955437)
I assume the China case is the filipina in Hong Kong that flew out of CDO.
New strain now found in Nigeria, no details yet. WHO are trying to get access to tbe Wuhan lab. Apparently they specialised in Covid type viruses and is about 16 km from the wet market where covid 19 supposedly originated from. It appears that lab is part jointly financed by the USA. https://www.geo.tv/latest/327406-chi...k-coronavirus- variant A case of the SA variant also reported there earlier this week. Re the Filipina the DOH secretary here said the Filipina could have got it in Hong Kong. She spent time in Cagayan. He would say that wouldn't he? The WHO China investigation won't get anywhere. They'll cover up the cover up and the WHO need them in the organization. They've announced over 200 new cases so far this year. But recent research suggests Wuhan cases and deaths were many times higher than the official figures. They're not going to change hiding the true picture and few there are willing to risk prison for telling the truth. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,776 cases added. Highest total in 2 weeks. Five labs not reporting. Backlog of nearly 600 included. Positivity at 5.7% calculated from 20.7k tests. Tests in process at a higher 27k
Top 5 locations: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...23a3ede7c3.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...10bcca7cd6.jpg Bulacan new cases rising. Deaths at 8 including 1 RD. Critical 1,359, down 14. Detail of January 7 cases: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2454bcbe7c.jpg Plus other Mindanao 32, Bicol 14. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5be6b39586.jpg Marikina has been average in the NCR for cases per head, although above average for case fatality. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...81442a2eaf.jpg Top 15 cities: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e5adbd35db.jpg Nearly 30% of cases from the NCR and 11 of its cities in the top 20. More entry banning, this time from Austria over the SA variant: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/01/08/...vid-19-variant |
Re: NCR llockdown
Announced today nearly 2k cases, 7 labs not reporting. Highest for 3 weeks. Includes a backlog of nearly 800 though. Positivity down to 4.4% from a higher 26.3k tests. In process 27.5k tests.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5c497b3f6.jpg Davao City surging. Deaths 34 with 3RDs. Critical at 1,366, up 7. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f9e2a3803d.jpg Plus 40 other Mindanao, Bicol 19. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...95a8b326d5.jpg Plus Caloocan 23, Paranaque 20. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...63405ddb4b.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a6aad1700f.jpg Ten of the 17 NCR cities in top 20 urban areas. The Philippines drops a place in world ranking, overtaken by Sweden. Looks possible we will soon also be overtaken by Israel and Switzerland, especially the latter country as it is showing daily new cases three times that announced here. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...99bc8ec8da.jpg The UK: Estimated figures of I in 50 in England infected, I in 30 in London with the worst boroughs at 1 in 15. But the most accurate indicator of the bad situation there being that the number of hospital patients in the UK with covid is now nearly 50% greater than at the first peak back in the late spring. If the situation also deteriorates here It will not be so easy to tell as many do not make it to hospital and the system is more of a public/private mix. More unreliable case data will have to be relied upon. |
Re: NCR llockdown
As vaccinations start to take traction in Europe those countries will start to drop down the tables. Israel is the leader so far with approaching 20% of the population vaccinated. The UK is hoping to reach 2 million a week by the end of next week. Vaccinations in the USA appear to be lagging badly. Trump said they would reach 20 million by the end of the year but in reality have only reached just under 7 million.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 12956381)
As vaccinations start to take traction in Europe those countries will start to drop down the tables. Israel is the leader so far with approaching 20% of the population vaccinated. The UK is hoping to reach 2 million a week by the end of next week. Vaccinations in the USA appear to be lagging badly. Trump said they would reach 20 million by the end of the year but in reality have only reached just under 7 million.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 12956540)
Dr Sanjay Gupta on CNN, an acknowledged media expert on covid, says that vaccinations will not cut transmission at the rate of protection given for the vaccine, somewhat less. And if the groups vaccinated first are the elderly, nurses etc those people are not the ones spreading infection so much. The vulnerable should be first of course but then other countries in Europe may well follow Britain in giving one dose more widely at first to have a greater effect on transmission.
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