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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,392 new cases announced with 9 labs not reporting.
From time to time the DOH changes something without explanation. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ce52b6ca43.jpg Previously the number tested/positive was dated the same day as the announcement, but here it is dated November 25. They started doing that yesterday.. Then I thought it must have been a mistake, but they have now done it again.. If the 1,367 positive cases are from the 1,392 announced, that would mean a 98% recent report, which is much higher than they have ever been reporting. Will just see how this goes on. Tests done 2 days ago at 26.8k. Top 5 locations: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...050800bd6f.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 27, 9 of which were RDs. Critical at 1,411, down 4 on yesterday. More location detail on November 25 cases: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...571546d2e5.jpg Plus Bicol 17, Illocos 8 and BARMM 7. Note: won't continue with estimating recent cases for NCR and 4A as information now doubtful. For Manila: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...afbbe53284.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dcefd2bd70.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c959dc8c26.jpg Large haul from Davao. Nearly 250 from Region 4A. One fifth of the nation's cases. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...15f4d3963d.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...98a8f77d43.jpg This WHO table looks at the change in new cases over the week Nov 15-22 compared to the previous week. The Philippines belongs to the Western Pacific group. You would have thought to S E Asia! To which Indonesia belongs. Anyway our region showing a moderately high increase of 9%. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b82ec01b77.jpg The next table shows in the W Pacific region Japan had more new cases than the Philippines last week, though we have had about half of all cases in our region and the most officially recorded deaths. But if we added Indonesia we would see over16k new cases in that week, and as you can see below that country has seen a substantial increase over the previous week: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...630594de88.jpg Always remembering that Indonesia has 2.5 times the population but only 20% more recorded cases. Its currently recorded deaths though are nearly double those of the Philippines. |
Re: NCR llockdown
DOH announced another 1,631 cases yesterday. Labs not reporting 10 Tests were 23.7k and there were 1,484 positives at November 26. Some doubt but that may mean that 63% were recent cases. Tests coming along 30.4k.
https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9e507f10d5.jpg More details tomorrow. Deaths were 46 with 13 of them RDs. To make a change 33 deaths were miss-classified and they should have been 8 recoveries and 25 still active cases! Critical at 1,412. More on the locations of November 26 cases: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0128f57828.jpg Plus Illocos 25, Zamboanga 23, Other Mindanao 33, Bicol 17. For NCR cities: The top 7 were: Caloocan 77,Manila 44, QC 36,Makati 32, Pasig 30, Valenzuala 14, Taguig 12 Couldn't get the other cities' numbers today. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cef76c88cc.jpg Region 4A has 4 out of the top 6. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4d58f72e20.jpg Mankayan a mining area. Caloocan City 77 cases yesterday and 63 today, although up to this week their new cases have been falling consistently since September. A spike or a resurgence for this city with 1.5m pop? Laoag City in Illocos Norte (pop about 120k) has been put into MECQ from GC https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f65b43240b.jpg Regional spread: For the top 6 regions (NCR, 4A, C Vis, C Luzon, W Vis, Davao) the percentage of cases fell slightly from 71.8% (figure revised upwards from Nov 23 post) to 71.4% from the weeks beginning October 29 to October 5. Deaths were 71.6% w/c October 22 and 75.6% w/c Oct 29. Up substantially. To be updated. |
Re: NCR llockdown
More examples of a silly mentality here to try to reduce the risk of virus transmission from extremely low levels to zero. Echoes of the motorbike divider.
The form filling and app filling required by many very spacious retail establishments. At one large DIY we gave up waiting as the screen you filled up was so small. Expressways have introduced Autosweep RFID .If like me and many others you just want to use those roads occasionally so you will take some other route and they will become more congested. Then I saw a report that you might need an app on your Smartphone to enter government offices! They will clarify later if hospitals included! !https://www.rappler.com/nation/loggi...rnment-offices |
Re: NCR llockdown
My solution to completing contact tracing data on forms is quite simple. I have printed small slips of paper with all the relevant information and use a mini stapler to attach same to the required form. Contamination free and quick.
I have to visit BI in Taytay next week so that should be fun crossing from MM into Rizal. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 12940514)
My solution to completing contact tracing data on forms is quite simple. I have printed small slips of paper with all the relevant information and use a mini stapler to attach same to the required form. Contamination free and quick.
I have to visit BI in Taytay next week so that should be fun crossing from MM into Rizal. Do you expect a problem crossing into Rizal? MM to Cavite and vv has been free for some weeks. |
Re: NCR llockdown
R. Thanks.
No I don't expect a problem but I will double check with the PNP which is only 5 minutes walk away. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,893 new cases bringing the official total now to nearly 428k. Labs not reporting 11. The DOH said that the day before there were 1,553 positives from nearly 28k tests. So a positivity rate of 5.6% . A recent percentage of at least 82. Tests coming along up at 33.4k.
Top locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...17df976a88.jpg Deaths at a high 79, although 18 were RDs. Critical at 1,382 More detail on November 27 cases: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...51ae5a318f.jpg Plus Cagayan 22, E Visayas 15, MIMAROPA 13 and BARMM 10 https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9d6284732d.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...69a67dfe61.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...993ab0a4c1.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e722b7019e.jpg Eight of the top 10 cities in the NCR. The latest NCR chart (ignore the trend line): https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8a52d82a05.jpg ...and for Region 4A: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...47a4afc9e8.jpg Levelling off seen in both charts, slight for the NCR and more pronounced for 4A. Possibly still some typhoon effects on infections but probably more due to festive season preparation effects. As has just been seen in the US with Thanksgiving people here may find it difficult to moderate their celebrations ,especially with their experiences over the past 9 months. Last month it was announced that Xmas parties are prohibited in GCQ areas like Manila (it's not clear about MGCQ areas such as 4A) So far there are no announcements on restrictions about different households mixing. I don't expect any. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH announced yesterday over 2k new cases:
https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...61df337b7c.jpg Note the percentage of asymptomatic cases is only 7.4%. DOH daily figures are usually around 10%. US studies quote figures of up to 40% in the population. Like elsewhere they are not being found by testing. After a number of days with the date of testing stated as one day earlier the DOH now reverting to the same day as the announcement. Let's see if this continues and will show it was just an error. If so we can say that a low 71% of positives from nearly 24k tests were recent cases. Tests coming are at 24.7k. Top 5 locations: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e2e2d13649.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 40 with 8 RDs. Information courtesy of the Manila Bulletin. The only online news site to carry that information. The premier news sites ABS-CBN and GMA have very brief reports some days and yesterday was one of them. Rappler was consistently good but now seems to have given up. All news sites are shy of delving too much into the numbers given out by the DOH. Especially on the creeping up of the covid death rate here, and the 1k or so miss-classified recovery deaths. Yesterday was a mass recovery day, with 10,6k announced. Active cases 22,967, down from 24.2k a week ago. Critical 1,401. Up 19 on yesterday. More location detail on November 28 cases: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5fc5b4cd56.jpg Plus: MIMORPA 28, Other Mindanao 46, Cagayan 10 For NCR cities: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2aa6f182e5.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6b15680d7c.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...13d7e418ca.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9548428320.jpg Again a large number of cases from Davao followed by smaller numbers in four NCR cities. Then a wide provincial spread of places with less than 40 cases. Last week: Slightly more cases than the week before: 10,943 compared with 10,543. The R number just under the magic 1.0 at 0.99. For the NCR at 0,97. Both of these estimates too close to 1.0 to be complacent. It seems that despite all the restrictions over the last 9 months the outbreak here is not yet close to being under control. And as has been seen in other countries there is a good chance of the recent levelling of cases turning up into another wave. This time also affecting a number of areas outside of the NCR epicenter. Latest new cases chart by date of onset for the NCR (ignore the trend line): https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9509aae9a3.jpg For Region 4A: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...594ff568de.jpg Levelling pronounced for both regions. Davao City still on the rise: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c8955ee36d.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
HI.....cases they are increasing now.Well over 400,000 in total,but nothing on say,Iran,for example,who have close on 1,000,000...Can we believe the Iranian figures??...Could there be a Higher Toller in charge of official stats there....??
It begs the question...."Higher Toller...How Many!!" |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by jaygee68
(Post 12941228)
HI.....cases they are increasing now.Well over 400,000 in total,but nothing on say,Iran,for example,who have close on 1,000,000...Can we believe the Iranian figures??...Could there be a Higher Toller in charge of official stats there....??
It begs the question...."Higher Toller...How Many!!" Like many authoritarian regimes around the world they've likely greatly unreported the virus. China famously did at first then was forced to report only after it had spread abroad. from Wuhan .to the Philippines amongst other countries. Iran high death rate at 5%, Like here a low testing rate at 73k per million. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8f1ad4e3eb.jpg From the BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51235105 Indications of under reporting are low testing and country-wide spread despite lockdowns and travel restrictions. Why are there hotpots here now in Mindanao? Excess death studies would show it eventually but these types of regimes do not encourage them. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,773 new cases with 11 labs not reporting. The DOH now back to the 29th when they report 959 positives out of 18.5k tests done, a 5.2% positive rate. The question is were positives found and tests done on the 30th? Yesterday it seems there were on the 29th. So all we can say is that at least 54% were recent. Tests coming along at 22.5k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ea8abd1aa4.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths 19 with 6 of them RDs. 1,401 critical (unchanged). More locational detail for November 29: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e4ea0810c.jpg Also MIMAROPA 36, E Visayas 26, Bicol 23 and BARMM 21. Recent case estimates: NCR 420 and Region 4A 320. NCR stays at GCQ for rest of the year. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...418edd148c.jpg https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...55f7b3201f.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...760a584694.jpg Four of the five Region 4A provinces again high up. But despite that the four in MGCQ (Batangas stays in GCQ) stay in that status for the rest of the year For Pampanga :see below: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...edca28bc45.jpg Note Angeles and San Fernando Cities in Pampanga. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1b58ddac9b.jpg Angeles City on an upward trend with large recent increase. Kalibo, transit city of 80k for Boracay. !60 cases and 72 of them last month. Deaths at 8. Nasugbu is another resort in Batangas. ​​​​​​⠀‹ |
Re: NCR llockdown
At least somebody appreciated my lame pun,Raffin..:lol:...However i do feel that my short lived career in stand up is over,
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Re: NCR llockdown
Another 1,298 announced. But 15 labs not reporting. Only 77% recent at least. Positivity at 5.7%. from 17.6k tests. Tests in the pipeline low at 18.7k.
Top 5 locations were: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...afdc441642.jpg More detail tomorrow, Deaths at 27 with 9 of them RDs. One death now an active case. Critical down 12 to 1,389. Latest nation R number now over 1 and estimated at 1.02. Locations of November 30 cases: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e22d88b08c.jpg https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2712dcc4ac.jpg About 230 recent cases for NCR and 200 for 4A. For NCR cities: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...212f15df57.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6211292f1c.jpg Unusual to see a large number for Las Pinas. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...93c925ca34.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3f4bed0ede.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e9c8ccfa94.jpg Chart for the province of Negros Occidental on the up. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9c54808a77.jpg Bacolod, the capital, not showing increases indicating spread to other provincial cities and municipalities. Finally DOH figures for the pandemic here by month: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fd880b56a2.jpg Low testing in the early months leading to low case figures. Deaths following cases with a lag. So cases now only a few thousand less than they were back in July. After which economic re-opening brought much higher figures for 3 months. Could happen again over the next few months aided by public fatigue with restrictions, festive season, regional spread and lowered testing. On the plus side there is more knowledge about how to combat the virus in Philippine conditions and some improvements in treatment. Although some smaller regional hospitals may become too full and may not be able to implement them. I also wonder about the DOH seeming to be a touch complacent with vaccines on the horizon. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,438 new cases found from 22.5k tests., 11 labs did not report but results were only 66% recent. Testing volume coming at 25.4k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7df257426b.jpg More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 18 with 6 RDs. Critical at 1,400 Up 11. Locations for December 1: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e033b1ad6.jpg Plus Bicol 19, other Mindanao 26, MIMAROPA 15. For NCR recent cases about 239, 4A about 170. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...632b7df8d4.jpg Also Paranaque 12. Another showing for Las Pinas. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9f92e8c4a2.jpg Two N. Luzon areas leading. Region 4A provinces less prominent. No Cavite for a change. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...66e09db6c9.jpg NCR cities 5 out of top ten. Benguet 3 positions. ABS-CBN to their credit have produced and published this assessment of where the country is with covid now, Pity It won't reach the mainstream media. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...08a71d4edb.jpg Recoveries dominate..the Philippines has a young population, stronger immune systems, but long term effects are a concern and not yet fully understood. The line of deaths does not look significant, but we have a relatively high case fatality rate here .A high proportion of deaths due to many not being admitted to hospital for treatment: https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/134573...ospitals-duque https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b9a7315f9c.jpg Testing very erratic, weather events and disputes explain some of that. A downward trend lately. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...44177b69c5.jpg Testing can be done in different regions from the region of residence, but the extent of dominance of Manila testing surprised me. It is still the main epicenter but as half the country's population is elsewhere testing seems to be much too low in those presently less affected regions. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b3bd4af437.jpg The labs not where the positivity rates are highest either have small capacity or are just not able to be easily used? https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...12e889ac4d.jpg Two regions..Cagayan Valley and Davao in the danger zone of ICU beds and vacancies. Many regions with small numbers of beds. So while cases for the whole country have been on a welcome downward trend flareups in some regions, which have too low testing given their higher positivity and poor health facilities, are a worry. The virus is not beaten in the NCR either, it is still the epicenter and capable of spikes or a second wave. For more read the whole article: https://news.abs-cbn.com/spotlight/1...ions-need-help |
Re: NCR llockdown
New cases announced only 1,061, but 13 labs did not report. All seem to be recent from 24.4k tests conducted on individuals.
Top 5 locations were: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7d83b60e8d.jpg Deaths at 10 with 1,382 critical, down 18 on the day before. Locations on December 2: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...db31245649.jpg Plus NIMAROPA 20, Bicol and BARMM 15, E Visayas 10 Recent case estimates: NCR about 210, 4A about 120. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d84acabde7.jpg Plus Pasay 10 https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1c68412ebd.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...94628682ad.jpg Davao City well in the lead and 10 NCR cities in the top 20. Benguet with 3 places and Pampanga with 2.. No Calabarzon cities, although Laguna and Rizal feature in the top provinces. Internationally: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9c1641e98a.jpg The Philippines may well soon be caught by Pakistan and Canada. Indonesia doing badly: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1b123dedd2.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...aab9c98b2e.jpg Hong Kong on its third wave: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6296e3d98d.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH reported the lowest number of new cases yesterday since July 14 at 934. Although 11 labs not reporting may have affected that. They also report that testing found 1,197 positives out of 25.7k tests conducted. Positivity at 4.7%. Why then they only announce 1934 cases is not explained. Tests coming along are on a slightly higher 30.9k individuals.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6f554ab912.jpg Deaths at a high 63 with again RDs, this time 14. Critical up 9 at 1,391. More detail on cases of December 3: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...74e17c4330.jpg Plus Cagayan 14, Illocos 9 One third of cases from NCR. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b4e0b1128b.jpg Plus Navotas and Muntinlupa 11, Taguig 10. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...97afac662d.jpg No Laguna. Pampanga featuring in 2nd place from 5th the day before. Bataan has seen a consistent decline in cases recently. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e016587b3c.jpg Twelve NCR cities in top 20. A first appearance for Oriental Mindoro. Two cities in Pampanga. Angeles City with a very moderate number of cases after much higher reports recently. |
Re: NCR llockdown
A much higher 1,733 cases announced yesterday, even with 15 labs not reporting. Recent cases 66% from 1,142 positives out of 24.8k tested. Tests on the way at 28.9k.
The top 5 areas were: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...314aab15ef.jpg Davao City with a large haul. More locational detail tomorrow. Deaths at 17 with 3 RDs. Critical at 1,378, down by 13. More detail on the low number of cases for December 4: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d47d8bc1e9.jpg Plus Bicol 14, other Mindanao 20. NCR 25% of total cases, Region 4A 17%. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4ec28d7b37.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7fb4b17375.jpg Two CAR provinces make an appearance. Laguna top, but remember it was not in the top 10 table for December 3. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...acd0f684c8.jpg As usual highly populated QC with a large number, but the far less populated Baguio City second. NCR cities in 5 of the top 10 places. Make of this what you will. A covid data website shows the Philippines with the same cases fatality rate as that of the USA. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...49af69dd02.jpg World rate estimates vary between 2 and 2.5%. For more countries look at https://covid19stats.ph/stats/by-country/cfr |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,768 new cases with 12 labs not reporting. Recent were 62% from 23.9k tests. Positivity 4.6%. Tests on the way 29.8k. Testing seems to be settling at daily figures between 20k and 30k despite the big increase in the number of labs. As positivity only averages just under 5% nationally more testing should be happening in some regions.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cddc2f5b71.jpg Deaths at 29 with 10 RDs. Recoveries from past months wrongly tagged and really deaths announced just about every day lately. Mass recovery total today 9.1k. Active cases down a little over 300 from a week ago. Critical 1,381, up 3. More detail on cases from December 5: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...69171d12d3.jpg Plus 42 other Mindanao, MIMAROPA 21, Bicol 16. Estimates for recent cases 300 NCR and 190 4A. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d4ba571589.jpg Plus Pasay and S Juan 14, Paranaque 12. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fa6b855a1d.jpg Davao del Sur again top and again provinces in the north featuring strongly as are all Calabarzon provinces except Batangas. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b95bc8c4e8.jpg Towns in Benguet, Cagayan and Isabella in the top half. Eleven NCR cities featuring. Last week: Very slight reduction in cases: 10,941 down to 10,283. But the latest NCR Reproduction estimate is now above 1 at 1.12. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e8ae3082ff.jpg New cases per million. As the commentator says the Philippines is seemingly now doing much better than its neighbours, but if you look at their recent tracks (and the latest surges in European countries) you will see sharp trend reversals. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday the DOH announced another 1,574 infections but with 10 or 11 labs not reporting. Conflicting detail but yesterday GMA, who often give the most detail, did not report. Positives were 758 out of 17.6k tests so positivity 4.3%. Recent cases only 48%. Tests on the way 23.5k.
Top 5: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...502580d908.jpg Pasig City rarely in top 5. Deaths at 18 with 5 RDs. Critical were probably 1,399 (conflicting data). https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f3ffbdd3ca.jpg Plus other Mindanao 37, Ilocos 24, Bicol 19 Estimates of recent cases: NCR 330 and 4A 230. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...871fca5d7c.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...79f6d66b85.jpg QC has more than 1.5 times the population of Manila, hence its usually much higher numbers. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b28a1fbd91.jpg Benguet with a high number. All Calabarzon provinces except Quezon featuring. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cd7417126f.jpg Three Benguet locations feature. Davao again with a large number. Baguio City cases coming out at 13.5% positive lately. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ad081762c2.jpg Tuguegarao City in Cagayan Valley, 13th in the table, was affected badly by Ulysses. Only a population of 130k but 586 cases to date, 0.5%, a much greater percentage than for other towns in the province of 3.7m. people. |
Re: NCR llockdown
There were 1,400 new cases announced yesterday. Nine labs not reporting. 879 out of 21.6k tests so 4.1% positive. Recent cases were only 63%. of the total.
Tests coming along 25.6k. Top 5 areas: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e8910b3f52.jpg Baguio and La Trinidad lead. Deaths at a high 98 with 43 of them RDs. Only one major source giving this latter piece of information online. Case fatality rate creeps up again, now 1.96%. Critical 1,393, down 6. More detail on case location tomorrow. Details of case locations for December 7: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f8a51017d2.jpg Plus BARMM 10, C Visayas 9, Bicol 5. Recent cases more like 200 NCR and 140 for region 4A. For the NCR: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b913628d44.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6bfa2a4f62.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a51fa99c65.jpg All 4A provinces featuring except Quezon. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f4b8a9a1b7.jpg Two locations in Benguet and two in Pampanga. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c652b6786c.jpg Davao City new cases continue to increase. NCR cities 4 out of top 5. This is how the NCR looks now: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...53c1b7c947.jpg New cases flattening....up. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5f21565ee6.jpg Region 4A bars also showing some levelling off. |
Re: NCR llockdown
we are now entering the coolest 3 months in a la nina episode...........what affect, if any?
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by mikemike
(Post 12944378)
we are now entering the coolest 3 months in a la nina episode...........what affect, if any?
https://www.bing.com/search?q=effect...16&FORM=CHROMN |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,387 new cases, 1,038 from 26.9k tests. That's 75% recent. Labs not reporting 13. Tests on the way a higher 32.6k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...84d83e047d.jpg Batangas was on a consistent downturn but is persistently finding many new cases. Davao del Norte first time in top 5. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...61e18327ec.jpg Davao del Norte new cases. More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 7, critical at 1,380 down 13. More detail on December 8 cases: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4bcf18b96b.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ef2ff22188.jpg Cases in NCR down to about 220 recent; for 4A down to about 160. For the NCR: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...587eaf22e4.jpg https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0c3db2a478.jpg Some concern about Makati, it's now regularly near the top of Manila cities, its attack rate is now the third highest amongst the cities at 2.26%. behind San Juan and Pasay. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5907a34304.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...62a9fb55d2.jpg Quezon not showing again, seems there the outbreak has started a downturn. The Island of Masbate new entrant. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6bb93e1485.jpg Masbate on a second wave. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...33205cafc8.jpg Mankayan is one of the smaller municipalities in Benguet, pop about 40k. NCR, 10 out of its 17 cities featuring. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Announced December 10 were a consistent 1,383 new cases with 9 labs not reporting. Just over 20k individual tests conducted and 1,151 postives.....a higher rate of 5.7%.
Tests coming along at a higher 32.6k. Cases a higher 83% recent. Top 5 places: Top was QC, followed by Laguna and City of Manila. More detail tomorrow. Deaths at 24 with 11 RDs. Critical 1,389, unchanged. Locations of December 9 cases: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ae55e7badf.jpg Other Mindanao 55, 17 E Visayas, Bicol and Ilocos both 13. NCR more like 280 recent, Region 4A 190 recent. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7a004e6def.jpg Paranaque 14, Las Pinas 10. QC, as often, top. Note the Makati number. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...999e071fa1.jpg All Region 4A provinces except Cavite in the top 10. Note Isabela from Ulysses struck Cagayan. Davao del Norte new entrant (see yesterday's report for chart). https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...440ad86527.jpg Top 3 are NCR cities. The NCR contributed more than 26% of national cases. Batangas City at 5th place. A look at Calabarzon: Ignore the trend line as it is calculated from all cases, not just the recent ones. Its provinces: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fe5ac5e95c.jpg Laguna flattening. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...861ec43df4.jpg Cavite also. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...86feceae40.jpg Rizal unclear probably flattening but maybe rising. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bc7c4c67cf.jpg Batangas has levelled for some weeks. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fd2b674bce.jpg Quezon an exception...downward for now. Last, an interesting BBC article on covid in South Dakota, USA. One county went against the anti mask Governor: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...54a1192e76.jpg Read more at https://www.bbc.com/news/55216518 |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH announced 1,504 new cases yesterday, but a higher 12 labs not reporting. At least 1,300 were positive out of 22.3k tested so a 5.8% rate. Recent percentage 83. Tests coming along 29.8k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8b6d7f650d.jpg City of Santiago in Isabela (pop about 140k) with 297 cases up to yesterday, just one added the previous day. Seems a testing effort was completed yesterday. More detail tomorrow. Deaths 8 with one RD. Critical 1,392, up just 3. More detail on cases from December 10: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...46212ecb1f.jpg Other Mindanao 30,MIMAROPA 17,Bicol 11. More like 290 recent cases for the NCR, 180 for 4A. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e5238f22be.jpg Plus Pasay and Marikina both 8. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...185e18e377.jpg https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0917f6d4f8.jpg NCR and Davao cities make up the top 5 followed by two Benguet locations and then by a new entrant.... Burauen in Leyte. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c2d1838357.jpg As with most of Calabarzon provinces (see my report yesterday) the NCR showing a clear flattening after many weeks of falls in new cases. Yesterday the Health Secretary here listed the country's hotspots as Davao City, Laguna, Rizal , Baguio City and Benguet . But as these and previous daily tables lately show there are now many "warm spots" around in other areas as the outbreak here spreads, while still not being fully under control in the primary epicenter of Manila. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH added 1,301 yesterday, just 5 labs did not report. The positive rate was 4.5% on 24.4k individual tests. Positives were 85% recent. Tests in progress 26.4k.
In the top 5 locations: Davao del Norte top with 96, QC next with 76. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3e34c29a4c.jpg Davao del Norte More detail tomorrow. Deaths 35. Hallelujah! Fourteen deaths were re-tagged as recoveries. But as usual...4 recoveries were really deaths. Critical at 1,388, down just 4. More detail on December 11 cases: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2752ab6e6a.jpg Plus other Mindanao 55, Bicol 19 and MIMAROPA 16. Recent cases for NCR about 260. For 4A about 200. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4726f99695.jpg QC well ahead, as is often the case. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...19e438a1a7.jpg Cases in QC now rising slightly. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2580209bea.jpg https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a8f4ced871.jpg Davao City the only one in 3 digits; https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1bd796074a.jpg Davao City seemingly had started to downturn, but note the high weekly variation lately and now a new large case haul. As usual the majority of NCR cities are in the table. This is why. Cases have been falling but the NCR reproduction rate estimate has been rising: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9e5425bb7b.jpg International news: You may remember that since July Turkey has not been counting asymptomatic infections. They have now decided to with the third highest count of new cases yesterday and in eighth place in the world table of total cases belatedly a raft of new restrictions have been brought in. Canada has overtaken the Philippines to take 27th position: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4bf36ef6e8.jpg Japan is on a much higher 3rd wave: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6dc62fc794.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
Announced yesterday just over a thousand new cases. Nine labs not reporting. The 1,085 (all recent) were from 26.6k individuals tests (4.1% positive rate), with 32.1k tests coming along.
There has been a moderate increase lately in testing: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3242260e15.jpg Top 5 locations: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...04861174a9.jpg Four of five NCR cities. Note that the NCR R number latest estimate is now 0,99. More detail tomorrow. Yesterday was a mass recovery day (9.3k) Deaths 3. Active cases now 21,980, that's more than 600 less than a week ago. Critical 1,385, down 3 on yesterday. More detail on cases from December 12: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...feeb0c6fed.jpg Plus 32 other Mindanao, MIMAROPA 9. Adjusted for time of onset, NCR recent about 310, 4A about 200. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...763469feab.jpg Plus Caloocan City 11, Marikina City 10 Note that Makati and Pasig consistently showing high numbers pf new cases despite having much smaller populations than the usual leaders, QC and Manila. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...65b2975833.jpg All Calabarzon provinces showing except Batangas. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...849d030f89.jpg Dominated by 11 NCR cities. One city, Panabo, has the majority of Davao del Norte's cases. This week compared with the previous one? Cases at 10,269 (19,283). Deaths 203 (196) No significant change. Last, Indonesia's covid woes continue...yesterday over 6k new cases and 166 deaths with those general levels consistent for the last few days. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b855c9d3f9.jpg https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4d8fca664c.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday another 1,339 new cases, 9 labs did not report. Positives 856 from latest 21k tests, so only 64% of results recent. Positivity was a low 4.1%.
Top 5 locations were: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e5f471e444.jpg QC again top with a large total. A look at QC would be interesting, but DOH website down. Deaths 24 with 2 RDs. Critical list at 1,465 so a big increase in a day of 80..??? More detail on cases from December 13: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6357716692.jpg Plus 9. All cases recent. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...64e416d161.jpg Plus Marikina 13,Mandaluyong 12, Navotas 10 https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d71c3ea099.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6730c12bbd.jpg NCR cities make up the top 5 and the majority of the 20. Internationally: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9eda8a4a8a.jpg Canada pulling away from the Philippines. Switzerland another European country with a second wave..however their latest number of 10k+ new cases is for 3 days not 1. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday added 1,135 cases with 13 labs not reporting. The positives found from testing were 862 from only 18,8k tests so a 4.6% rate. So only 76% results were recent. Tests coming along 23.0k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...25787035d7.jpg Rizal showing a steep uptick: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7111d00bb6.jpg https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2b5d499251.jpg Bulacan up and down last few weeks, but we know from experience that its figures will likely soon be going up. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...876c53d408.jpg QC figures rising slightly last few weeks.. Deaths 56 with 20 of those RDs. Critical 1,377. The day before the numbers critical went up by a surprising 80. Now down by 80. So no change recently!!! Philippines case fatality rate now up to 1.95%. (world average about 2,2) More detail on yesterday's cases? Strangely not available on the DOH website. Their data tracking website has got un user friendly lately. Before you get to it you now see some pretty irrelevant information about a government IT project! See for yourself: http://www.doh.gov.ph/covid19tracker |
Re: NCR llockdown
Mask plus full face shield now needed everywhere "public" in the country! Looks like a panic measure. Don't think it will do anything much to reduce transmission of the virus and I'm sure the experts know that. An anti poor measure also as many people walk along the streets with their shields up to make it comfortable in the heat. There is plenty of evidence that the IATF is mainly a rubber stamp for the government. The D of Transport recently pushed through their ill thought cashless tollway request as an anti virus measure.
The government sees the figures for areas like the NCR and desperately wants to avoid a new wave. But it was warned months ago about the risk of that in the traditionally long build up to Xmas here but still claimed great progress against the virus and reduced testing, even when positivity rates were not low enough in many areas for long enough. What they could have done was to limit household mixing in some way, following many countries abroad. They have already exhorted people to do that. Yes, it would be difficult to enforce and it's too late now, But even if only a minority followed it would surely do more ,as an indoor measure ,to limit virus transmission than this latest shield ordinance? Maybe the discussion went along the lines that we can't be seen on cell phone video going into people's houses, whereas we can send enforcers along the streets to catch violators. |
Re: NCR llockdown
All I can add to the latest post by Raffin is that when I went on to my trouble free visit to BI Taytay the transit through Cainta was enlightening. Why enlightening? I observed with a degree of horror the number of people not wearing facemasks. So whatever the IATF says is not being taken too seriously in some areas. I wonder what the true situation regarding transmission rates is in the more remote provinces.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 12946687)
All I can add to the latest post by Raffin is that when I went on to my trouble free visit to BI Taytay the transit through Cainta was enlightening. Why enlightening? I observed with a degree of horror the number of people not wearing facemasks. So whatever the IATF says is not being taken too seriously in some areas. I wonder what the true situation regarding transmission rates is in the more remote provinces.
Around here in a semi provincial area near Tagaytay mask wearing seems to be well observed and many face shields are to be seen. Like many things here a lot depends on the Mayor/vice Mayor in charge. Our area has had just a few cases but we delayed returning here from Manila as the local Mayor up to mid October was imposing more restrictions on movement than we were under in Manila. Especially for over 60s. One day a week for going to the fresh market and only allowing you to go to one designated supermarket. You even had to get a special pass to visit the small town with banks, pharmacies etc 8 kms away. Those in charge in our subdivision, 6 kms from the Municipio decided to play along. With the result that even now we need a mask to walk around its sparsely populated windy streets. Will we now need a face shield too? What about tourist areas like Tagaytay, where there are streets with souvenir shops? Not very enjoyable for visitors. Also beaches? Aren't they public.? Doesn't also make sense to impose this everywhere, regardless of Quarantine status. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The DOH reported another 1,156 cases yesterday, consistently now under 2k for many days. Strangely there were nearly 150 more positive results from recent testing, 1,303, than the number reported. Just 5 labs did not report. Positivity was at 5.5%. Tests on the way at 28.9k latest, up from 23.1k the previous day. So some increase in testing coming along. Sensible with positivity above 5%.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...84711ad160.jpg Davao City in triple digits again. Although new cases have started to fall from a recent peak there is a serious lagged effect seen on its hospitals: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4ca5a4f8fd.jpg Davao City latest utilisation. Also note Rizal again featuring with a significant count. Deaths at 21 with 2RDs. Critical at 1,393. Up 16. More detail on December 15 cases. Now available. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c34fc577eb.jpg Plus other Mindanao 14, MIMAROPA 10, E Visayas 5. More like NCR 210 and 4A 200 recent cases. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...816c9d0005.jpg The usual suspects leading in the NCR. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...abbbd4efbc.jpg All Region 4A provinces with Rizal leading in triple digits. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...984d8fbec3.jpg Note Cainta, which got a mention in this thread yesterday. Its really a part of MM. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Refused entry this morning to a Robinsons supermarket in Tagaytay as over 65, but it was okay Monday. Needed a barangay pass the guard said. Another Robinsons 5 kms away, not in Tagaytay, was okay. A Mall in Tagyatay was also ok.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Was someone looking for a Christmas goody????
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Re: NCR llockdown
No. Luckily my wife also doesn't like Noche Buena.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 1,470 cases announced, 8 labs did not report. Tested were 25.1k and 1,582 positives found. Positivity 6.3%. The excess 112 will add to tomorrow's cases. The second day in a row with a backlog of positives showing. Tests on the way 28.9k.
Cases have been under 1,500 for 6 days, but yesterday only just. Top 5 locations: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...eb31bbdef6.jpg Makati's entry into the top 5 unusual..see chart. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5a65d6ee76.jpg Deaths at 17 with 3 RDs Critical at 1,388, down 5. More detail on December 16 cases: Regions: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...96cfe56b84.jpg The NCR plus Calabarzon contributing over 31% of national cases. For NCR cities: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...202e2e70a3.jpg Provinces: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...88f669384b.jpg Davao del Sur leading. Three Region 4A provinces there. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e4bb8ae835.jpg But Davao del Sur cases have ben falling recently. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9feaa73110.jpg https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5813ed177.jpg Davao City with a recent rise. The top 20 containing again the majority of NCR cities, https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5f58c7590.jpg QC with the largest by population showing a rise lately. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f3d26d4b48.jpg The NCR as a whole showing slightly less of a rise. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Less than 6 weeks under 2k daily cases, but yesterday 2,122 announced. Positives were 1,142, so only 54% recent, the result of a large backlog as testing has increased lately. Positive rate 4.7%.found Tests in the pipeline at a higher 27.9k.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d3d094a6ac.jpg QC well in the lead, as is often the case. Makati next highest in NCR. Deaths 25 with 9 RDs. Active cases now at a higher 27k. Critical patients at 1,378, down 15. More detail on December 17 cases: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4d50477d1d.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c90cf0d852.jpg All recent cases. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...219d4ca612.jpg https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a582a1eeaf.jpg Note Makati again high up. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7bfc2759a0.jpg Leyte unusually high up. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c218563bce.jpg Ten NCR cities feature, Two cities in Leyte feature. This is the Leyte chart https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...488f00c27a.jpg Erratic build up since September. Generally, a deteriorating picture after the steady decreases of the last 3 to 4 months: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...edfd01faf0.jpg Latest DOH national chart. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yes a worsening picture at the beginning off the Festive Season. I for one not surprised. This trend is repeated throughout the 'Christian' world. Expect more bad news to come and a repeat of draconian restrictions,
Happy holidays to one and all. |
Re: NCR llockdown
After the day before;s 2k new cases it's now back down to between 1,000 and 1,500 at 1,491. Out of 26.1k tested there were 1,187 positives.....that's 80% recent cases. Seven labs did not report. Positivity 4.5%. Tests in progress are up at 36.6k, the highest figure for many weeks.
Top 5 locations: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bfaaa1d76d.jpg Rizal again with a high count. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...eb72606c86.jpg Rizal cases rising quickly. Deaths at 36 with 9 RDs. Critical 1,374, down 4. More detail on December 18 cases: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...53c69e1f08.jpg Plus Bicol 33, Other Mindanao 47, MIMAROPA 17. NCR with a high number but cases were only 54% recent. So the rise in the latest cases down to around 380. Region 4A's to about 150. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...164a718529.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4ffd397e22.jpg A high daily figure even for QC. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8b7f9e8646.jpg Leyte, Isabela and Rizal in triple digits. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5bc658518d.jpg Leyte with a recent rapid rise. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bd761332c3.jpg Ten NCR cities with 4 in the top 5. New entrant Enchague in Isabela. The chart for Isabela shows the effect of evacuations due to the typhoon hit: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c0702898dd.jpg |
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