Raffin

Good spot.
I note that Indonesia's lower estimate is at 300k, above the Philippines 100k.With one of the youngest populations in the world this country has done very poorly on deaths. As its case record was better than Indonesia's up to a few months ago the focus on deaths here was missing...up to now maybe. Let's see if this is picked up by local media. I'm not hopeful it will given the lack of attention given to covid related deaths here. The daily publication of the many "recovery deaths" over the last 18 months with no attention given to the issue by anyone in the media or Congress is just one example.

Raffin

Also Dr John in his latest video looks at another set of estimates on covid deaths from US researchers at Washington State Uni..

They put the Philippines figure at double. But just look to see what they are projecting for deaths here early next year:

https://covid19.healthdata.org/phili...aths&tab=trend

Raffin

Yesterday about 170 more cases announced and nearly 500 held over. Two labs late. So the 1,766 total could have been well over 2k. Positivity up at 6.6% from 34.2k tests. Tests under preparation higher at 44k.

Recoveries 2.6k

Deaths 239, 214 RDs.

Active 37,159

Severe 3,047, down 32. Critical 1,301, up 8

NCR ICU 37%, down 2% National 43%, down 1%
(yesterday should have been NCR 39%, National 44%)

Regional data:

NCR 350
Cag 195
CL 162
4A 160
CAR 153
WV 135
Zam 113

The majority of regions had moderate case increases.

The NCR added over 100 to have 19.8% of the total cases.
The top 3 regions with 40.0% of all cases, up.
The top 6 with 65.4%. Unchanged.

NCR to Alert level 2 from today until Nov 21:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in

The 17 LGUs were going to stay longer at level 3.

Rush by government to open up as they were slow to accept the case fall was genuine.

But still indoors eg restos only at 50% indoor capacity. Not a profitable situation with the holiday season preparation in full swing.
Changes between alert levels 3 and 2 are small. The pressure will be on to drop to AL1 soon.

The NCR curfew off as well.

Raffin

Another daily increase in announced cases, about 600 more, to 2,376. And again nearly 500 cases were not announced and held over. Also 4 labs were late to submit. Positive were 6.5% from 44.2k tests. In process 46.4k tests.

Recoveries 2.1k

Deaths 260, 219 of them RDs

Severe 3,065, up 18. Critical 1,308, up 7
These are those only in Primary Hospitals. Many sick with covid are in lower standard institutions or at home.

NCR ICU 37%. National 43%.
Both unchanged.

Regional data:

NCR 378
CV 209
4A 201
CL 196
Cag 194
WV 194
ZP 175
Bic 167
CAR 142
IL 110

The NCR added only 28 to have 15.9% of cases. Region 4A had 41 more.
But the CV had about 160 more.
These top 3 regions with 33.2% of all cases, down 7%.

WV reported about 60 more.
The top 6 regions had 57.7% of total cases, again down about 7%.

Elsewhere Bicol added 80 more and Ilocos about 50 more on the day before.

.

Raffin

Again more announced cases, about 300, at 2,656. Making the cumulative total exceed 2.8M. Held back were 44 cases and 8 labs were late to submit. The DOH gave no details on them. Positives at 5.6% of 48.2k tested. A similar number of tests in process.

Recoveries 5.1k

Deaths 154, 118 RDs.

Active 34,866
Lowest since March 2

Severe 3,033, down 32. Critical 1,290, down 18

NCR ICU 37%, unchanged. National 47%, down 1%

Regional data:

NCR 454
Cag 314
CL 228
CV 213
4A 210
CAR 157
WV 152
IL 144
Dav 137
Zam 126
Bic 123
MIM 116

The NCR added 76 cases at 19.1% of all cases.
Cagayan added over 100 and CL 32.
Top 3 regions at 37.5% of total cases, up.

The top 6 regions at 59.3%, up.

Vaccination:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...tf-spox/story/

Illustrates well two growing tendencies here:

1. A somewhat militaristic mindset which favours compulsion, strong measures over persuasion by other means.
2. Aiming for 100% when 90% will do. That last 10% in most situations are going to take up great effort and resources.

Teens vaccinations:

Starting soon in Upper Cavite.

Weekly update later.

Raffin

Weekly update

National case increase again down substantially week on week, by 48%. It was a 49% weekly fall previously.

Regionally all 17 fell substantially.

The lowest rate of fall, 32 to 36%:

BARMM
Ilocos
Bicol
Central Visayas

Highest rates, over 60%:

Caraga
Calabarzon
Central Luzon
Davao

NCR 53%

All NCR cities fell substantially. Only the tiny LGU of Pateros showed an increase.

Lowest rates of fall, 27% to 36%:

Marikina
Paranaque
QC

Highest, over 60%;

Caloocan
Makati
Navotas
S Juan
Valenzuala
Pasay

Provinces around the NCR:

All except Bataan had a large % decrease week on week, between 50 and 74%.

Bataan a 2% fall only.

Other cities and areas:

Nearly all had substantial % falls in the weekly increase:

Angels 84
Baguio 52
Zambales 37

Lucena 37

Naga 38
Sorsogon 50

Bacolod 41
Cebu C +38
IloIlo 66
LapuLapu 24
Tacloban 37

Aklan 27
Bohol 53
IloIlo 56

CDO 23
Cotabato 45
Davao C 64
GenSan 62
Iligan 35
Zam C 48

Alert 4 areas:

Neg Occ 38
Dav Occ 60

Alert 3:

Siquijor +43
Davao DN 53
Lanao DN 40

Raffin

Yesterday 2,605 cases, including 85 from backlog. Two labs late to submit. Positive 5.2% from 48.5k tests. A slightly lower 42.4k in process.

Recoveries 3.9k

Deaths 191, 151 RDs.

Active 33,526

Severe 3,017, down 16. Critical 1,274, down 16

NCR ICU 38%, up 1%. National ICU 42%, unchanged

Regional data:

NCR 409
Cag 283
4A 245
CAR 239
CL 199
ZP 163
CV 157
WV 156
Bic 146
IL 131

The NCR with a few less cases at 15.7% of all cases.
Region 4A added 35 more.
The top 3 regions at 36.0% of all cases, down slightly.

The top 6 had 59.0% of all cases, again down slightly.
The CAR added 78 and Zamboanga 37 over the day before.

https://www.rappler.com/nation/doh-m...ion-not-sudden

The DOH defending the surprise decision to put the NCR down to Alert level 2.
Not likely that mobility will be maintained at current levels over the next 7 or 8 weeks as Xmas approaches and families want to make up for all those months cooped up with their kids. That plus more family get togethers is bound to lead to an increase in cases in the early New Year.

Raffin

Yesterday a lower 2,087 cases, 8 labs late to submit and 160 cases held over. Again a 5.2% positivity from 43.2k tests. Tests in process down to 26.7k from the weekend.

Recoveries 3.5k

Deaths 91, 66 RDs

Active 32,077

Severe 3,047, up 30, Critical 1,283, up 9

NCR ICU 40%, up 2%. National 43%, up 1%

Regional data:

NCR 388
Cag 232
4A 188
CAR 182
CL 172
CV 142
Bic 131
WV 119

All regions with less cases, except for 2....EV with 23 more, Davao 1 more.
The NCR with 18.6% of cases,
The top 3 regions had 38.7%, the top 6 62.5% of total cases. Both up.

Face shields:

Manila lifts mandatory requirement except in hospitals.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/11/08/...of-face-shield

Joins Davao City, IloIlo City.

The interior secretary goes along. Otherwise he would be slapping down the President's daughter! Other NCR Mayors express support for that through the MMDA chairman. Something from an IATF working group expected Thursday, he says. What that body is doing is a mystery. Except perhaps trying to save face. There is no scientific data on those plastic shields to study.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/11/08/...-shield-policy

A comprehensive BBC update on the world covid situation:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51235105

Bealinehx

Yes the removal of the face shield protocol is indeed a face saving manoeuvre. I suspect some with influence and power have already secured their ill gotten gains from this totally unnecessary exercise.

Raffin

People here must have collected many millions of these plastic shields. Will the recycling plants here cope? At present on You tube the only suggestions for recycling them at home are in the garden and for making decorative flowers. When they finally get non mandatory I expect the resourceful poor will come up with many other ideas.

Philosophical 11

It has been heartening to see the new cases of COVID-19 decrease rapidly in the past couple of weeks but maybe we should not be optimistic that the pandemic is coming to an end.

The first case of B.1.617.1 variant has just been detected in the Philippines. Not sure if this is the variant that created yet another spike world wide recently but it certainly is responsible for the surge in India.

Stokkevn

From the TV this morning face shields in many areas are now no longer required but the DOH has said they are looking into the requirement for plastic goggles, not being too cynical but I wonder which member of the DOH has a massive amount of shares in a plastic goggle factory.

Stokkevn

You have to remember that the time lapse between testing and conformation of variant here is 7+ weeks.

Raffin

Don't panic, that was the Kappa variant. It has been "deescalated" by the WHO. A year ago it was only present in 3% of Indian samples. 1617.2 is the much more successful Delta variant and that made up 87% of the 748 samples analysed here in the past 6 months.

Raffin

The national total down by nearly 600 yesterday. But 250 cases were held over from those testing positive. Fourteen labs were late. The DOH gave information that it is likely they would only have added about 30 cases. Positivity 5.4% from 30.7k tests. A slightly higher 33.3k in preparation.

Recoveries 2.9k

Deaths 46, all were RDs. The DOH say the low number due to "technical issues" ie could not get into the data system.
All were RDs as they come separately from a routine DOH review of recoveries.

Active 30,544

Severe 3,050, up 3. Critical 1,283, unchanged.

NCR ICU 37%, down 3%. National 42%, down 1%

Regional data:

NCR 307
4A 177
CAR 150
CL 141
MIM 102
IL 93

NCR with 21.8% of all cases.
Top 3 regions had 45.0% of all cases, up.

Top 6 with 68.8% of all cases, up.

Ilocos reported 22 more cases.
BARMM 18 more.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/11/09/...-shield-policy

One presidential candidate knows a good issue to campaign on.

Three day national vaccination drive at end of the month:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in

A bit of a gimmick and I bet the LGUs are not happy about organising it.
All about making the year end target and getting vaccinations done before the Xmas season takes priority for people.

Meanwhile one other ie not vaccine supply issue:

https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...ation-in-bicol