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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 340 more cases, again with 2 labs late to submit but included a higher backlog of 1,805. Positivity again fell a little to 16.3%, though tests also fell to 56.5k. A much lower 46.9k tests in progress.
Recoveries high at 22.5k Deaths 273! Active 106,558 Severe 3,090, down 102 and Critical 1,279, down 21 NCR ICU 67%, down 4% National 70%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 2,005 Cag 1,748 4A 1,713 CAR 795 CL 790 CV 616 IL 515 WV 462 Dav 451 300s 4 regions 100s 3 The NCR added about 200 more to have a slightly higher 18.2% of all cases. Cagayan added over 600 more. Region 4A put on over 500 more. So the top 3 regions have a higher 49.6% of all cases. CV added over 100 more but the CAR and CL both had less cases. The top 6 regions with 69.6% of all cases, slightly less. Elsewhere MIMAROPA added over 100 more. As I thought Dr John takes the BBC to task for their recent article on Ivermectin, which was based on what he found to be an unpublished paper from a Twitter group, lead author a student (see my post Oct 8). The DOH claiming all is now well with their data system. They have a new back up system. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/09/...es-being-fixed Weekly update coming later. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly update:
Due to an internet outage last weekend I had to compare 6 days with 7 days, so the percentage changes I found were somewhat exaggerated. Allowing for that, generally for most regions, cities and areas a significant improvement last week, though the mysterious sudden drop in testing, which the DOH observed in 14 of the 17 regions, and not yet explained, has helped. Control measures have not changed much, some restrictions have even been loosened in the NCR. A small contribution may have come from the NCR granular lockdowns. More vaccination probably played a large part and perhaps the virus is at last finding transmission generally more difficult. The OCTA NCR and national R number estimates have fallen well below 1. For regions: In all regions the rate of increase of cases was negative. Small falls in single digits: BARMM CAR Cagayan Around 30%: MIMAROPA Zamboanga The rest above 40% NCR and 4A around 50%, CL 45% In the Visayas: WV about 55%, CV 40% In the NCR all cities saw % decreases in new cases above 40% week on week. All provinces around the NCR had percentage decreases above 40%. Cavite around 45%, Laguna and Rizal 55%. All cities and areas tracked here, with the exception of Cebu City, new cases roughly constant, and Baguio, a fall in single digits, had substantial percentage decreases. Tacloban City had a small % decrease. Davao City's new cases fell by well over 40%. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday an increase to 12,159 new cases, but 3,592 were from backlog. Two labs late. Presumably backlog held up in all the IT problems. Much of the backlog seem to be from the NCR (see below). Positivity 15.9% from 53.9k tested.
https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6d5ba26472.jpg Testing falling much faster than in the previous downturn... https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...baf68349b5.jpg in line with the faster positivity fall this time... But with positivity still way too high the authorities can't or won't try to find more cases. They seem content for them to present for testing. Recoveries 22.7k Deaths 119 with 71 RDs Active 90,927 Severe 3,072, plus 2, Critical 1,273, down 6 NCR ICU 69%, up 2%, national 70%, same Regional data: NCR 2,805 4A 1,709 CL 1,120 Cag 972 WV 887 IL 781 Bic 627 Dav 600 Zam 588 400s 1 region 300s 1 200s 4 100s 1 NCR with nearly 1k more cases. Most of those likely to be from backlog. The same for 4A with over 500 more. But CL had only about 100 more. Top 3 regions had 46.3% of national cases, up. Top 6 regions 68.0%, down. Elsewhere: Bicol doubled its cases. Davao added over 150 more. Zamboanga added over 200 more. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday cases announced well down to 8,292, but 346 were held back. Two labs were late but only a small number of cases likely to have been missed. Positivity at 16.5% from 52.4k tests. A much lower 33.4k in preparation from the weekend.
Recoveries 302 Deaths 36, 21 RDs Active 98.894 Serious 3,165, up 73 and Critical 1,286, up 13 NCR ICU 69%, same, National ICU 67%, down 3% Regional data: NCR 1,445 Cag 986 4A 976 CL 778 IL 718 CAR 714 WV 566 Dav 346 200s 5 regions 100s 2 regions NCR cases roughly half of the day before and down to a low 17.4% of all cases. 4A likewise but Cagayan had about the same number. The top 3 regions with 41.1% of all cases, down. The rest of the top 6 regions were also from N Luzon and together had 67.7% of cases, about the same as the day before. Cagayan reported over 300 more cases. Another local report, from a local T junction, yesterday pm: Policeman: Where are you going, maam? Wife: The market (actually it was the 7/11, but market sounds more essential) Policeman: Are you local? Wife: Oh yes! Policeman waved us on Reminded me of something: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e9fdbfdc08.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 8,615 new cases. But that included 3,318 from backlog. Three labs were late but only 30 or 40 cases from them likely to be added. The latest cases had a 15.5% positivity from 34.2k tests. Coming along 36.9k test results..
Recoveries 25.2k Deaths 236, 120 RDs Active 82,229 lowest since Aug 11 Serious 3,315, up 150 and Critical 1,316, up 30 NCR ICU 66%, down 3%, National 68%, up 1% Regional data: NCR 1,898 4A 1,391 CL 875 CAR 646 IL 568 CV 552 Cag 478 WV 473 MIM 406 200s 4 regions 100s 1 The NCR added over 400 more to have 22.0% of all cases. Region 4A also added over 400 more. CL put on about 100 more. These top 3 regions had 48.3% of cases, up. In sixth position CV added over 300 more. The top 6 regions had 68.8% of all cases, up. Elsewhere MIMAROPA had over 150 more. The House of Commons out quickly with a not very complimentary report on the British government's pandemic response: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-58876089 |
Re: NCR llockdown
The weekend effect giving a lower 7,181 new cases and 1,455 of them were from backlog. Only 2 labs late. Positivity down again to 14.2% from 40.3k tests. More tests coming along, estimated at 47.9k.
Recoveries 6.9k Deaths 173 with 101 RDs Active 82,411 Severe in primary hospitals: 3,049, down 75, Critical 1,319, up 3 (Severe number for Oct 12 should have been 3,124) NCR ICU 65%, down 1%, national 67%, down 1% Regional data: NCR 1,257 4A 967 Cag 707 CAR 681 CL 635 WV 595 Zam 331 The NCR had about 600 less and a low 17.5% of all cases. Similarly for region 4A. Whereas Cagayan had over 200 more. These top 3 regions with 40.8% of all cases, down about 8%. CL was over 200 down, WV added more than 100. The top 6 regions with a slightly smaller national share of 67.4%. Elsewhere EV added over 100 more. For the NCR and the rest of the country until Oct 31: NCR moves down to the DOH's Alert Level 3. A reminder from a Rappler article back in August what these alert levels are about: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...71a2053e63.jpg Risk class: a decision was made to treat the NCR as a whole even though the 17 LGUs have different covid statistics (see OCTA updates). Covid bed utilization only just below 70% Granular lockdowns: now down to 125 and that now only includes 24 villages/subdivisions in the whole of the NCR. The following GMA online news articles explain what this means: Restos now 30 and 50%, indoor, outdoor rather than 10 and 30. Indoor diners must be fully vaccinated. But having the "Safety Seal" ups the indoor % to 40. One interesting thing from this article is that gatherings in a household of members of different households still not allowed. News to me that was ever not allowed and I am sure it was not monitored if it was. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...31-2021/story/ Not entirely clear, but it seems cinemas are being treated like restaurants: https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in Last, a list of Quarantines from ABS-CBN for the rest of the country. The DOH said the NCR Alert system may be applied elsewhere. No sign of that happening:MODIFIED ENHANCED COMMUNITY QUARANTINE Luzon
Luzon
Luzon
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday another 7,835 cases, backlog at 645. Four labs late. Their likely lost contribution about 90 cases. Positivity 14.0% from 51.4k tests. Lowest since July 25. Coming along a lower 48.4k.
Recoveries 5.3k Deaths 151, 89 RDs Active 84,850 Severe 3,055, up 6 and Critical 1,273, up 46 NCR ICU 61%, down 4%, national 65%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 1,553 4A 1,150 CAR 900 CL 775 WV 501 Cag 493 Dav 474 Zam 411 IL 383 200s 1 region 100s 4 The NCR added about 300 more to have 19.8% of national cases. 4A added about 200 and the CAR had well over 200 more to make the top 3 regions have an increased 46.0% of all cases. The top 6 had 69.1% of all cases, nearly 2% more. Increases of 100 to 200 more cases were seen in the Ilocos, NM and Davao regions. The vaccine Czar optimistic about vaccine supply but they have a big disparity to fix on vaccinations done. This was the regional picture 2 weeks ago on total vaccinations by region, the latest I can find: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4cd0de0d32.jpg The latest OCTA NCR update. They have their own criteria, borrowed from the US to assess covid risk and seem to agree with the DOH: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2f6f0acb54.jpg The NCR heading in the right direction but if it wasn't these figures would be concerning! I thought this was interesting: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-58899612 Last, a good discussion on Newsnight on the recent House of Commons report on the UK response: For report link see Oct 13. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday about 200 less cases nationally including a backlog of 226. Three labs late. Positivity 14.9%, up 1% on the previous day, from 49.7k tests.
Recoveries 13.4k Deaths 203, 109 RDs Active: 78,999 Serious 3,081, up 26 and Critical 1,343, up 70 NCR ICU 64%, up 3%, national 66%, up 1% Regional data: NCR 1,381 4A 913 Cag 746 CL 697 WV 615 CAR 485 Bic 413 IL 370 Dav 364 Zam 340 MIM 300 200s 2 regions 100s 3 NCR with about 170 less and down to 18.1% of all cases. Region 4A was down by over 200 but Cagayan put on about 250 more. The top 3 with a lower 39.9% of all cases. CL and WV both added over 100 cases though the CAR had over 400 less leading to the top 6 regions having 63.4% of all cases. Elsewhere Bicol had over 300 more cases and MIMAROPA about 150 more. How does the Philippines stand in Asia? Most of its neighbours also reporting less cases: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...66a097465c.jpg From worldometers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Indonesia yesterday reported 915 cases. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a7904a0c36.jpg Rapid decline in Indonesia. |
Re: NCR llockdown
For Oct 16 about 150 more national cases at 7,772, backlog of 729. One lab late. A lower positivity of 13.0% from 54.2k tests. Lowest since Aug 10, says ABS-CBN. Tests on the way 48.5k.
Recoveries a low 1.6k Deaths 156, 81 RDs. Every day a large number of RDs, which inflated past recovery figures and under reported current death numbers. On one DOH chart the dates of deaths are used but they are not counted at the time when experts should know how the health system is doing. Active: 85,048 Severe 3,062, down 19 and Critical 1,276, down 67 NCR ICU 62%, down 2%. National ICU 64%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 1,429 Cag 934 4A 790 CL 738 Bic 646 CAR 587 300s 5 regions 200s 1 100s 4 The NCR with a few more cases, at 18.0% of all cases. Cagayan in second place added nearly 200 more. The top 3 regions at 40.6% of all cases, up slightly. Bicol, in fifth position added more than 200. The top 6 regions at 65.9%, up 2.5%. CV added about 160 more. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fb73d97a53.jpg Cagayan looks on a downward trend but recent numbers concerning. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c605eb806a.jpg Bicol also on a solid decline but now 2 successive days of high cases, https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...5?ocid=BingHPC Some NCR cities allowing kids outside. To the list there maybe you can add Manila. I saw some on the TV news last night allowed on the Dolomite beach. After so long cooped up the harm done by that surely greatly outweighs the covid risk? A dissenting ex government health adviser on the downgrade to Alert level 3. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/16/...-alert-level-3 I think the main changes down to level 3 are modest and yes, cinemas are potential spreading areas but it seems you need vaccination proof, at least in San Juan and probably other cities.. About 50% capacity, so a bit more than some indoor dining. Again people need to go out and enjoy themselves and if the risk is small... Weekly update later. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly update
New cases in the country last week showed a 20% reduction over the previous week. But the % reduction from the previous week compared to the week before was 33%. So case number improvement is slowing. So this week there many more regions, provinces and cities showing just small improvements or even cases increasing at a faster rate. Whereas in last week's update nearly all areas were showing decreases. Due to missing data from the week before last I won't give % changes (but will give figures in a week's time). Today I will just indicate the most obvious changes. Regional: Regions with a high rate of increase last week over the week before (in descending order): Bicol (very high) Zanboanga Pen W Visayas MIMAROPA Caraga Regions with a moderate % fall in new cases : Cagayan CAR Ilocos For NCR cities: Las Pinas new cases high % increase. Also in Navotas. And Pateros (but small numbers). Manila, Pasig, S Juan, Pasay, Pasig moderate % increase Large decline in new cases in Muntinlupa. Moderate decline in Makati. QC small decline. Small changes in the provinces around the NCR except for Bataan and Rizal, which both had moderate % rises. For cities: Naga and Sorsogon in Bicol both had very large % increases. In the Visayas Bacolod and IloIlo both with moderate % increases. In Mindanao Zamboanga City had a large % increase. Baguio had a moderate % fall. https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7f893450c7.jpg Apart from rising cases and hospital admissions the UK showing increasing infection in the 35-55 yrs age group (green), likely mostly infected by the young(blue) who are back to school. So good that all schools in the Philippines won't return for a while. Similar to the UK the economy here is being prioritized. But in the UK nearly all restrictions were removed a few months ago. Here a good thing is that the main ones look like being kept. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bde4ecba56.jpg Dr John and other experts very concerned that cases are still rising going into Winter in the UK despite a high vaccination rate. While there a number of big differences between the covid situations in the UK and here we will be nowhere near 85% next year so it will not be over here in 2022. The video: |
Re: NCR llockdown
I think the problem in the Philippines now is that they been squeezing the economy for so long that the pips are starting to squeak. It's okay the populace suffering but it's now getting to the stage that the privileged classes are starting to feel the pinch, so things are starting to change, be it a good idea or not. One telling result was Duque being left out of the latest decision over the quarantine changes.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 13062518)
I think the problem in the Philippines now is that they been squeezing the economy for so long that the pips are starting to squeak. It's okay the populace suffering but it's now getting to the stage that the privileged classes are starting to feel the pinch, so things are starting to change, be it a good idea or not. One telling result was Duque being left out of the latest decision over the quarantine changes.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 6,913 new cases. That is over 800 less than the day before. Backlog of 204, 3 labs late to report. Lower positivity of 12.5% from 53.7k tests. Slightly lower 50.8k in preparation.
Recoveries 10.2k Deaths 95, 31 RDs Active 81,641 Severe 3,102, up 40 and Critical 1,306, up 30 NCR ICU 59%, down 3%, national 62%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 1,159 4A 742 CAR 647 Cag 617 CL 565 CV 563 IL 519 WV 419 200s 4 regions 100s 4 NCR with a lower 16.8% of all cases. The top 3 regions with a lower 36.9% of all cases. CV added about 200 new cases. The top 6 regions had a lower 62.1%. Lower down the table Ilocos added about 200, WV and MIMAROPA each about 100. Vaccination progress: Philippines: 24M fully, 27.5M first dose (latest) About 22% of pop and 30% of "target pop"..80M. Compare to: Indonesia 23% fully Thailand 36% Malaysia 69% Vietnam 18% |
Re: NCR llockdown
Only 30 more cases announced yesterday. Backlog of 259 and 2 labs were late. Positivity 13.3% from 54.2k tests. Tests coming are lower, as expected, at 35.3k.
Recoveries 19.7k Deaths 86, 30 of them RDs Active down to 68,632 Severe 3,097, down 5 and Critical 1,308, up 2 NCR ICU 59%, national 62% both unchanged Regional data: NCR 1,165 4A 859 Cag 695 WV 572 CAR 548 CL 544 IL 495 Bic 459 Zam 458 200s 2 regions 100s 3 NCR with just 5 more cases and again 16.8% of all cases. Region 4A added over 100 and Cagayan over 80 to make together with the NCR 39.2% of all cases, up. WV added over 150 in 4th position. The top 6 regions at 63.1% of all cases, up 1%. Elsewhere Bicol added over 250 more and Zamboanga over 150 more. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Testing down to 35.8k was the main reason for a low 4,496 cases yesterday. Seven labs late meant cases were likely about 90 less. A small backlog of 61 included. Positivty at 12.4%. A higher 40.7k tests in preparation.
Recoveries 9.6k Deaths 211, 45 RDs Active 63,637 Severe 3,055, down 42 and Critical 1,273, down 61 NCR ICU 54%, down 5%. National 60%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 741 Cag 465 4A 454 CL 418 CAR 411 WV 375 IL 308 CV 307 ZP 232 100s 3 regions The NCR had over 400 less and 16.5% of all cases, region 4A also had about 400 less. Cagayan reported over 200 less. The top 3 regions had 36.9% of all cases, down. The top 6 at 63.7%, up. Elsewhere Ilocos added about 200. CV added over 100. New vaccination target: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/20/...5-million-jabs Pie in the sky! Targets can be above the possible to encourage but not as much as this! Seniors can now go out for "non essential" purposes in the NCR. Go to Malls if they show a vaccination certificate. I went in one SM Mall there yesterday. Just a temperature check. https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...-under-alert-3 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Again a lower announcement yesterday, 3,656, 2 labs late. But 1,250 results were held over for some reason. Positivity down to 11.6% from 42.3k tests. Coming along 47.3k.
Recoveries 22.8k Deaths 5 !! Active: 67,061 Severe 3,084, up 29 and Critical 1,341, up 68 NCR ICU 53%, down 1%. National 59%, down 1% Regional data: NCR 642 CL 436 Cag 387 4A 305 ZP 296 CAR 290 WV 233 Bic 215 100s 5 regions NCR down about 100, region 4A by about 150, Cagayan by 80. But CL had a few more. NCR with 17.6% of all cases and the top 3 regions had 40.1%, up. The top 6 regions had 64.4% of all cases, up. They included the ZP, which reported 64 more. Bicol had about 100 more. Vaccinations https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/20/...e-distribution Problem is the ordering last year favored one Chinese supplier, Coronavac, making an older and less effective vaccine. The President himself got the better Chinese one, Sinopharm. But only about 1m doses of that came. Sinovac has sent about 40M to date. Making distribution and the vaccination centre managers jobs more difficult, if followed. "...almost no deaths now" What? Latest OCTA report on the NCR and some other cities and provinces: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...51cfe9d8d2.jpg NCR has the highest attack rate but on a downward trend with positivity lower at 8% and R around 0.5. Hospitals coping. Three provinces, Laguna, Bulacan and Pampanga with high positivity. How do the provinces above outside the NCR (level 3) relate to the new DOH Alert system? https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dde7436bcb.jpg For details on Alert level 4 see posts from last month on the NCR. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5d3db770ae.jpg https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...457aa7d352.jpg More complicated. I'm sure most people in the newly designated level 3 and 2 areas won't understand them after getting used to MECQ and GCQ. If they are really piloting it the DOH would see if the public and officials understand it, But they won't check that. The public will just look to see what they can and can't do. Remember this? https://www.cnnphilippines.com/news/...ults-RITM.html The Alert levels mention the Delta variant. They haven't much idea of its extent here, but judging by experience from other countries with better testing it must be dominant here. This is from ZOE app tracking data (King's College, London). Very reliable symptom data comes from the app. ZOE data generally is usually consistent with official ONS UK data. Though the UK DOH have kept misleading symptom data from the time of the alpha variant still showing until now. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...081645b6ef.jpg https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b71e21c07c.jpg The second list is more relevant to the vaccination situation here in the Philippines, but both lists are similar and ZOE say the order of symptoms is also similar for the unvaccinated. Both lists do not have fever as a main symptom. So temperature checks cannot be relied upon with the delta variant, giving more importance to proof of vaccination. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 4,806 cases, 891 of them from backlog. No labs late. Positivity lower at 10.9% from 52.3k cases. Coming along are 55.3k test results.
Recoveries 5.9k Deaths 260, 175 of them were RDs. Active 65,835 Severe 3,166, up 82, Critical 1,317, down 24 Regional data: Cag 946 NCR 842 CL 482 4A 428 CAR 325 CV 289 WV 284 IL 275 BIc 232 3 regions 100s A splurge of new cases from Cagayan, over 500 more, means it unusually has first place. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d6cf12f31b.jpg But Cagayan seemingly on a downward trend.... The NCR had about 200 more to have 17.5% of all cases. The top 3 regions 47.2% of cases, up. Region 4A had over 100 more. The top 6 regions with 68.9% of cases, up. Elsewhere Ilocos had over 100 more. A short film from Al Jazeera about the 2020 Manila lockdown, filmed in Santa Cruz, Manila and Payatas, QC. https://www.aljazeera.com/program/wi...s-in-the-world Dr John with an excellent video on the Delta Plus variant: |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday about 1,000 more cases announced but 937 were held back for some reason. Two labs late. Higher 11.6% positivity from 58.4k tests. In preparation 55.6k.
Recoveries 4.8k Deaths 283 including 220 RDs. That's nearly 400 of the mysterious RDs in 2 days. Active 66,838 Severe 3,075, down 91 and Critical 1,270, down 47 in primary hospitals only. NCR ICU 49%, down 3% National 56%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 1,031 Cag 849 4A 641 CL 505 CV 445 CAR 398 IL 333 200s 4 regions 100s 4 regions The NCR with about 200 more to maintain over 17% of cases. Cagayan had 100 less but still reporting a high number. Region 4A had over 200 more. The top 3 regions with 43.3% of all cases, down. CV reported about 200 more. The top 6 regions with 66.4%, down. Elsewhere ZP had about 200 more. Vaccination: BE server not responding so cannot put in a link on this....but government claiming 81% fully vaccinated in the NCR. Actually 75% of its target there, which is 9.8M. Population of NCR taken at 13M. Do they know that is a good estimate? The recent census was taken during the lockdown and many people left the NCR then, only to return lately. Again ....BE server not allowing picture upload this morning, so no table to show, but.. Vaccines have been concentrated on the NCR. The Cordilleras are at about 35% of target, Davao and Calabarzon around 31%, Central Luzon at 28% and the Visayas around 26%. The justification given by the President's spokesman is that protecting the NCR protects the rest of the country. Though there are and have been travel restrictions between the NCR and the rest of the country. Its really mostly about the economy. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/21/...ovid-19-in-ncr https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...77859cb341.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
There's talk of giving vaccine to the adolescents yet they are nowhere near vaccinating the vulnerable groups. My wife's 89 year old aunt living near Dumaguete has not been vaccinated and I don't think there is even a schedule yet. She just spent 6 days in hospital with suspected covid, I say suspected because to me her slow slurred speech sounded more like a minor stroke, no fever or coughing just off eating and very lethargic. They put her on 6 daily shots of remdesivir, not recommended by the WHO at 6k a shot. After 2 days the hospital refused any more until they come up with some more money. I suspect the total bill will approach 150 k. she has improved markedly but I think that is largely due to getting some food into her.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yes G. We registered months ago locally here in Upper Cavite and have heard nothing. Our subd HOA now promising soon through a neighbouring LGU.
I think many people may wrongly think the top priority groups have been already vaccinated. The government as usual not giving out much information apart from totals. But they also may see more risk to them and others in their household like Seniors from the return of kids to school, thinking that must be coming next year. I think they're right. Most Seniors here are with family, regardless of health condition. Just as well, given what happened with covid in UK and US care homes! |
Re: NCR llockdown
New cases yesterday about the same as the day before...5,807, again 2 labs late and again cases held over, 257. Positivity 10.3% of 58.8k tests. A lower number, 53.6k coming.
Recoveries 9.6k Deaths 65, 51 RDs Active 63,051 Severe 3,090, up 15 and 1,324, up 54 NCR ICU 49%, unchanged. National 55%, down 1% Regional data: NCR 1,224 4A 636 Cag 594 CL 497 WV 490 Bic 390 ZP 389 IL 364 200s 2 regions 100s 4 NCR with a higher 21.1% of all cases. Up by about 200, as was region 4A. Cagayan reported about 350 less. These top 3 regions with 42.3% of all cases, down. WV added over 350 and Bicol over 150. The top 6 regions at 66.0% of all cases, also down. Elsewhere Zamboanga had about 100 more. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...72ccb6db47.jpg Chart from Dr John's Friday video showing how breakthrough infections needing hospital treatment have varied with age in the UK. Increase greatly in Seniors. You might not believe it but the TV series Rawhide back in the early 1960s had an episode dealing with vaccination: Weekly update coming later. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly update:
This week back to the normal comparison of percentage change in new cases last week over the week before. Nationally a fall of 35%. Regionally: all 17 region's rate of increase fell substantially. The lowest fall was in the CV, by 7%. Other regions with low % falls were: Cagayan 14% Zamboanga 23% Ilocos 24% N Mindanao 26% Other regions fell by : NCR 41% 4A 50% CL 40% WV 36% Dav 44% For NCR cities: All had substantial % falls. The lowest % falls were in: Paranaque 25 Makati 27 Valenzuala 30 Caloocan 30 Also: QC 41 Manila 33 The greatest fall (excluding tiny Pateros) was in Taguig, by 62%. All the provinces around the NCR had falls in the rate of increase around 50% except: Pampanga 24% Pangasinan 20 Major cities: All fell substantially; except Cebu and Iligan: Baguio 36% Bacolod 34 Cebu 5 CDO 38 Davao 42 Iligan 5 Cotabato 44 Gen San 40 Zamb 19 Naga 60 Sorsogon 40 Tacloban 24 IloIlo 55 Lucena 56 Areas: Aklan 26 Bohol 25 IloIlo 25 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 5,279 cases, more than 500 less than the day before, 168 results were held over, 2 labs late. The DOH estimate these would have added another 40 positives. Positivity again 10.3% from 52.9k tests. Tests in preparation 46.8k.
Recoveries 7.3k Deaths 208 Active 60,957 Severe 3,109, up 19 and Critical 1,280, down 44 NCR ICU 46%, down 3% . National 53%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 1,010 Cag 646 CL 469 MIM 426 4A 423 WV 297 Caraga 280 More in the 200s 5 regions 100s 3 NCR had about 200 less cases to come top with 19.1% of all cases. The top 3 regions with a lower 40.3% of cases. MIMAROPA in an unusually high 4th place reported over 250 more cases. 4A added over 200 more. The top 6 regions at 62.0% of all cases, down. Elsewhere Caraga, in 7th position, reported nearly 200 more cases. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday over 800 less with 4,405 cases announced. including a 109 backlog. Five labs late. Positivity down at 9.0% from 47.7k cases. To come soon 32.7k results.
Recoveries 7.6k Deaths 149, 118 RDs. Active: 57,763 Severe 3,061, down 48, Critical 1,214, down 66 NCR ICU 46%, same, national 52%, down 1% Regional data: NCR 837 Cag 525 4A 464 CL 352 CAR 307 CV 303 WV 288 Dav 231 5 regions 100s The NCR with about 170 less cases and again 19% of national cases. Cagayan, with over 100 less, was second. But 4A in third had about 40 more. These top 3 regions with 41.5% of all cases, up. The only notable increase elsewhere was the CAR with over 100 more. Top 6 regions with 63.3% of all cases, up. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/25/...nd-match-trial Had our first jabs yesterday at a school in a neighbouring LGU. Judging by the information board it seems that they had recently resumed as the latest total of vaccinations given was from late September. Was told by our subdivision it was to be AZ, but turned out to be Sinovac! One lady in our party expressed disappointment. I told her and others in the room about the "mix and match" trials, where, as you can read in the link, if OKd, you could get later next year another brand eg Az on top of two Siovacs. Unclear if it would be a booster or full dose, but I would think a full dose. Though having Sinovac is OK with me as I'm mainly after the certificate. For those of you watching Dr John, as I expected, no aspiration. |
Re: NCR llockdown
We had our flu jabs yesterday at the barangay health centre. Both me and the wife should be thinking about covid boosters soon as we had our shoots last spring in the UK. I had AZ and the wife received the Pfizer. I'm waiting to see what the recommendations are as to if we need to follow our original shots with the same vaccine booster or we can take anything available. Saying that I would stick with the mainstream vaccines. Watching Dr John I would be concerned if I'd had the single shot Johnson & John which looks to fall rapidly in effectiveness in only 2-3 months.
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Re: NCR llockdown
So far JnJ only 3% of total doses which have come here, so plus the poor performance unlikely you would be offered it It would be interesting to know what went wrong with that vaccine.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 13065441)
So far JnJ only 3% of total doses which have come here, so plus the poor performance unlikely you would be offered it It would be interesting to know what went wrong with that vaccine.
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Re: NCR llockdown
The usual weekend effect on testing, 4,393 cases at 8.5% positivity. Five labs late to submit. Somewhat delayed figures with a 1,395 backlog. Numbers tested 35.3k, dropping to 39.1k in process.
https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c2ad10004a.jpg Samples tested falling rapidly, much more so than they did earlier this year when there was another fall in cases. Recoveries 8.5k Deaths 135, 97 RDs Active 53,642 Severe 3,111, up 50 and critical 1,287, down 73 NCR ICU 47%, up 1%. National 53%, up 1% Regional data: NCR 1,095 CL 582 4A 581 CAR 377 Cag 335 MIM 220 WV 190 ZP 170 Regions in 100s 4 more NCR with over 250 more had an increased 25% share of all cases. Probably due to some of the backlog. CL had 230 more and 4A over100 more to give the top 3 regions just over half of national cases. The top 6 with 72.6% of all cases, up 9%. MIMAROPA in sixth place had nearly 40 more. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Over 1,000 less cases announced yesterday, one lab late and and a small backlog of 98 included. The total of 3,218 the lowest since May 23. Positives lower at 7.6% from 41k tests. In preparation 49k.
Recoveries 6.7k Deaths 271, 227 RDs. The crazy RDs keep coming in large numbers most days! Active 50,152 Severe 3,109, down 2 and Critical 1,304, up 17 NCR ICU 42%, down 5%, national 51%, down 2% Regional data: NCR 586 Cag 368 CAR 354 CL 291 Dav 252 4A 239 MIM 209 IL 204 100s 3 regions NCR down by over 500 to have a much lower 18.2% of cases. Cagayan up 33 and the CAR down by 23. These top 3 regions had 40.6% of all cases, down. Davao had 50 more cases but CL's and 4A's numbers fell markedly. The top 6 regions with 64.9% of all cases down. Elsewhere Ilocos reported 60 more. DOH recommended boosters: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8a6f921b64.jpg Other SE Asian countries: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...74b2de2685.jpg Thailand https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3aabd90f86.jpg Malaysia https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bb250d8838.jpg Indonesia...remarkable case fall and also deaths. Latest report 719 new cases and 29 deaths. According to John Hopkins Indonesia is only slightly ahead of the Philippines on fully vaccinated, 25.5%, against 24.2%. But it has administered 117M first doses against the Philippines 30M, so some advantage there. Otherwise both countries are heavily reliant on the Sinovac vaccine. So it's not clear why Indonesia has been doing so much better. Unless its the poor Philippines vaccine roll out, with its over concentration on one part of the country? |
Re: NCR llockdown
It's odd that the Philippines death rate is similar to the UK but the UK sees 5x the level of class. Is tbis indicative of poor healthcare in the Philippines compared to the UK or is someone telling fibs.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Phil has more like 3 x level of total cases and of the two countries I would guess the case counts here are by far the most under estimated, so it could be less than a multiple of 3. Deaths here are also likely to be more under estimated than in the UK.
So the similar Case Fatality Rates you have seen at 1.6% UK and 1.5% Phil are likely to be about right. The large difference in the age distribution of the two populations would be the reason for the lower Phil rate and higher UK rate. If healthcare was better here the Phil CFR could be even lower and the difference from the UK greater. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Perhaps the Philippines is starting to see the light at last.
https://www.rappler.com/nation/phili...age-population And https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/c...ience-ranking/ |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yes Gazza, good they realise they have to vaccinate more. Given the weaker Sinovac is about half of those doses administered so far, that's another reason.
We've just come back from a local school for the National ID, but they're also doing vaccinations at last. A line of people for vaccination at 8am went about half a km down the road and was growing when we left at 9am. So around Upper Cavite it looks like they can make the higher target. But the OCTA group recently said there was significant vaccine hesitancy in VisMin. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Raffin your post showing preferred booster vaccines is very interesting. Today I received a text from the NHS asking me to book my booster shots, my wife will be due in about 3 weeks. I had Astra Zenica and my wife had Pfizer so it looks we could both have a Pfizer booster.
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Re: NCR llockdown
A confusing output of covid stats for October 28 from the DOH. They've just put out an upwardly revised total of 7,313 new cases along with delayed local data, but kept up the old total of only 3,694 on an unrevised bulletin chart, which they published yesterday.
So all we can say is: Recoveries 6.7k Deaths 227 Active 49,857? But only 22 more than yesterday's figure and well over 3k more cases were later added. So a doubtful figure if the deaths number still stands. NCR ICU 41%, down 1%. National 50%, down 1% Regional data: NCR 1,303 4A 971 CAR 691 CL 623 ZP 477 WV 446 Cga 414 CV 308 Cag 302 200s 2 regions 300s 1 100s 4 NCR up over 700 at 18.3% of cases. Region 4A also up over 700. Top 3 regions at 41.6%, up. CL, ZP and WV each up by over 300 to give the top 6 regions 63.2% of all cases. Elsewhere CV up by 240. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in NCR Alert level 3 for first 2 weeks of November. Aurora and Bacolod City to level 4. Latest OCTA report from the past 7 days highlighting rapid case growth in Dumaguete and Occidental Mindoro: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b6df1456de.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dd83e02365.jpg The Philippines holding up the Bloonberg table on pandemic response with 4 SE Asian neighbours just above it.. First column overall pandemic resilience score, second full vaccination %, A good UK study on how easy it is for the fully vaccinated to spread covid indoors: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-59077036 |
Re: NCR llockdown
There's lots of cons going on in the hospitals over payment etc. My wife's aunt was in hospital and the final bill made no sense. A large part was for facilities and laboratories. We are talking 10s of ks. Well the only lab tests was a set of bloods, x-ray and swabs were paid in cash at the time. Facilities 48k ? labs 14k ? covid meds 61k totalling about 160k before senior and philhealth.
Talking to a neighbour who's mother was hospitalised non covid. The hospital wanted to admit her as a covid patient because they can then pass a bill onto the government which was something like triple the patient's initial bill. |
Re: NCR llockdown
You said 6 days stay before so 48k for "facilities" seems on the high side and 14k for blood tests also.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 13066523)
You said 6 days stay before so 48k for "facilities" seems on the high side and 14k for blood tests also.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Oxygen, Ventilator?
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 13066545)
Oxygen, Ventilator?
I've now got sight of the bill which reads like an electricity bill. Initially they wouldn't see her but had a change of heart. They wanted an initial payment of 10k then withheld treatment after a couple of days requiring further payment of 37k. Swab test and x-ray plus external pharmacy were paid independently. Only one initial blood test. Emergency Room, 1000 pesos Facilities, 48,772 pesos Laboratory, 14,963 pesos Misc, 325 pesos Pharmacy, covid meds, 60,281 pesos ​Room and Board, 24,000 pesos Doctors, 14,500 pesos |
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