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Re: NCR llockdown
Seniors tend to suffer from more comorbilities and won't be vacinated if they have raised blood pressure, which most seniors do.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 13096690)
Seniors tend to suffer from more comorbilities and won't be vacinated if they have raised blood pressure, which most seniors do.
https://www.cnnphilippines.com/news/...accinated.html Read also that if you catch covid and have hypertension, say over 130, then it's more serious. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Hypertension coupled with an accelerating growth in Type 2 Diabetes is a big community problem. A pork dominant diet does not help.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday over 500 more cases from Monday tests at a higher 24.5k. tests. Positivity at 6.1% gave 1,534 positive results. Two labs late, no details, and 38 cases taken from the large backlog held by the DOH.
Recoveries 2,729 Deaths 201, 187 RDs Feb 69, Jan 118 14 back to Sep https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...629dfb3018.jpg After Xmas an increase occurred. But we must be cautious about any recent decline as deaths data is very unreliable. Active: 55,489 Severe 1,426, up 1. Critical 302, down 2 In Primary hospitals only. NCR ICU 25%, down 1%. National 29%, unchanged. NCR Ward beds 25.3%, down 0.6%. Location detail: Only the Ilocos region posted fewer cases. Generally moderate increases in other regions except for: The NCR added 106 more to maintain its national share of 20.5%. Increases in all of its 6 largest cities. CL added 63 and 4A 50 cases, where Bulacan, Laguna and Rizal provinces all reported moderate increases over the day before. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...beb726e96d.jpg Promising picture....but some caution needed with Cavite. Elsewhere WV added 89 to 161, CV 20 to 112, EV 11 to 25 and MIM 25 more to 34. Bacolod, IloIlo and Cebu cities all with small increases. All Mindanao regions had increases. The most notable was SOCCSKSARGEN with 69 more to 103. Davao, GenSan, Iligan and Zamboanga cities all with small increases. Baguio City added 15 to 36. Looks like NCR Alert Level 1 from March 1 https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...livarez/story/ Note: NCR Reproductive Number incorrect. See OCTA table above. About time something said about the need to continue mask wearing outside as the weather warms up. Can't find anything definitive about it under AL1 except "continue with minimum health protocols". They were stated before as including "mask wearing in public places". Around our area one major grocery has now dropped the vaccs card requirement in both its branches. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Interesting point about vaccine cards. A few days ago I went to a nearby SM Mall and the Security Guards had no clue about the VaxCertPH card and insisted on the Stay Safe QR Code.
Confusion continues to reign! |
Re: NCR llockdown
Now the national press are adding downshift to accompany upstick when commenting on Covid. Sounds like some have been to a driving school recently.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Today getting on for 4k more tests and a slightly higher positivity of 6.3% brought 1,745 positives announced. The backlog included was only 35 from the many thousands of past cases awaiting announcement. Three labs late, no details on the likely number of cases missed.
Recoveries 2,045 Deaths 188, 126 RDs Severe 1,428, up 2. Critical 299, down 3 NCR ICU 25%, unchanged. National 28%, down 1% Ward beds NCR 25.3% Yes, the media getting a little over excited about progress with large numbers of cases in backlog and undetected. But medical facilities are under less pressure in the NCR and in most other areas of the country, with the exception of Davao, in the worst situation, together with BARMM. The CAR and Cagayan valley to a lesser extent. So they can justify a downgrade of Alert levels in most areas. But to make a motoring analogy the vehicle is slowing down but emitting black smoke from the exhaust representing the increasing covid death toll here. Remembering that most people who die are not in primary hospitals. Nearly 400 announced in just the last two days. Given the long data delays here these must surely still mostly be Delta, not Omicron? We get no information on that. But Omicron has almost certainly now become dominant here and will cause some hospitalizations and deaths. The general conclusion from studies has been that Omicron, though much more transmissible, causes less hospitalization and is less severe. Dr John's latest video looks at some questions on immunity: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...37c001e634.jpg One question was answered by a well reviewed SA study of Omicron relative to Delta. In SA compared to Delta cases increased at the peak by 117% but hospitalizations by only 56%. The study also looked at a UK study. Allowing for undetected infections in both countries the authors say from both studies that roughly speaking Omicron is causing 75% of Delta hospitalizations. About the same as Alpha did. They say there are many studies showing that If a person had had two doses of an MRNA vaccine Omicron infection was equally likely as Delta to lead to hospitalization. So far two studies support the idea that these would be less severe cases. But then one study does not. So for the Philippines I don't think we have yet seen the effect of Omicron on mortality due to the data delays and lack of primary hospital care. SA had a much higher prior infection rate than here, probably superior in protection to our higher, though patchy, vaccination rate. Though we probably have an immunity edge with a younger population. Still, even if Omicron hospitalizations here are less than 75% of Delta's and they are milder, I think deaths will still be a continuing poor metric for covid here over the next few months, due mainly to our lack of proper medical facilities. https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.10...2_appendix.pdf |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
NCR was about the same and so fell to 12.9% of national cases. Two of the 6 biggest cities with small increases. CL cases were down but 4A's went up by 31 to 210 and 12% of all cases. Cavite, Rizal and Laguna provinces all with more. In N Luzon the CAR had a few more cases at 68, Ilocos 24 more to 79 and Cagayan 24 more up to 64. In the Visayas WV had 54 more to 215 and 12.3% of all cases. CV 75 more to 187 and 10.7% of all cases. Both regions with their highest daily totals so far this week. Bacolod, Cebu and IloIlo cities all with higher case reports. In Mindanao the Davao region with 63 more to 149, the highest so far this week. Mirrored in Davao City with 22 more and up to 60. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Today 1,671 new cases announced from just over 200 less tests. Positivity down to 5.6% and a sizeable 1,008 cases taken from backlog. Three labs late but no details on these.
Recoveries 1,586 Deaths 59, 41 RDs Feb 30, 11 Jan 18 back to July Active 55,140 Severe 1,424, down 4. Critical 299, unchanged NCR ICU 27%, up 2%. National 28%, unchanged NCR Ward Beds 24.6%, down 0.7% |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
National cases down but NCR cases up......only by 31 but at 344 the second highest number of the week so far. At 20.6% of total cases. Three of its 6 largest cities with a few more, the others with one or two less cases. CL cases up by 44 to 156, the highest so far this week. But 4A cases up only by 10. Although possibly significant together with the NCR figure was that Cavite province was up by 18 to 82. The CAR reported 19 more to 87, the highest of the week so far. All Visayan regions with substantially less except MIMAROPA with 13 more to 29. In Mindanao Zamboanga and SOCCSKSARGEN had small increases. In other cities: Baguio up by 23 to 44. Cebu up 13 to 71 GenSan up 5 to 16. CDO up 3 to 26 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Lower testing by about 1.4k on Thursday with a lower positivity rate of 5.3% produced less new cases at 1,223 even when added to by 188 from backlog.
Recoveries 2,400 Deaths 128, 113 RDs Active 53,934 Severe 1,417, down 7. Critical 298, down 1 NCR ICU 26%, down 1%. National 27%, down 1% NCR Ward Beds 25.4%, up 0.8% https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8e9aa9896f.jpg Latest OCTA data for NCR plus and CL. If you compare with the OCTA data from two days ago some improvements for the NCR and Cavite. Here mostly good data except for some CL areas. Omicron BA.2 variant https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...67a1b6ebe6.jpg Secondary attack in households following one initial infection. A significantly higher chance with the BA.2 variant. From very good Danish data. In Dr Js latest video the more transmissible BA.2 variant said by him to be dominant in the Philippines. Yet this must be based on the very limited genomic data published here at the end of January. There were about 500 cases found in samples in the NCR plus area which led them to assume BA.2 dominance there. Then just saying it is also turning up in most other regions. Maybe one reason why NCR cases are not going down quickly? |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
The NCR case number down by about 60 to 285, but this is still 23.3% of total cases. An equally high share for the week with the report for last Sunday. Two big cities up,4 down. Although CL' s and 4A's numbers both dropped by nearly half, 4A's share of total cases was higher at 12.7%. CL's went down to 7%. Laguna reported 9 more cases at 40. Cavite went down by 23 to 59. In other regions only WV had an increase, up 12 to 162. All major cities with less cases except IloIlo, which was the same as the day before at 31. Weekly update later. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The national percentage case fall last week over the week before was less at 39%. Last week it was 51% down.
The fall in the NCR was less at 32% Falls of mid to the upper 40s percent in the three N Luzon regions. The CL fall was near to that of the NCRs at 37%. But region 4A had a lower fall at 33%. Cavite province at 26%. In the Visayas WV reports dropped by 37%, CVs by 38%. EV by 57%. MIMAROPAs by 33%. Bacolod City had 45% less, IloIlo's fell by 31%. But Cebu City bucked the trend and had 4% more cases. In Mindanao Davao figures fell by 52%. Zamboanga's by 47% and NM's by 33%. BARMM and Caraga regions reported 49% and 57% falls. The SOCCSKSARGEN region, population about 5M, going the other way with a 46% increase over the week before last. Full vaccination there at only about 40%. In other cities (%) Baguio -45 Davao -44 GenSan -34 Iligan +8 (But only 39 cases last week) Zamboanga -46 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Today lower testing as Friday was a holiday. Positivity 5.0% from 25.3k tests. There were 228 cases held over by the DOH and one lab was late to submit. The result: 1,038 new cases announced.
Recoveries 1,999 Deaths 51, 44RDs Feb 9, Jan 2 40 back to Jan Showing again the often long delays in death reports. Active 52,961 Severe 1,417, Critical 298 Both unchanged. NCR ICU 24%, down 2%. National 26%, down 1% NCR Ward Beds 24.5%, down 0.9% |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location detail:
The NCR down 55 to 230 and its share of national cases was 1% lower at 22.2%. Five of its six largest cities with less cases. Taguig with a few more. CL up by 7 to 93 while 4A was down by 47 to 108. The CAR was up by 8 to 39. Visayan numbers were all down and in Mindanao only NM reported more cases, only 5 to 43. For other cities the only sizeable increase was in Davao, up 10 to 42. NCR goes to Alert Level 1 from Mar 1-15. Full list of new Alert Levels: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/02/27/...vel-1-in-march Notable that in region 4A only Cavite and Laguna go down to AL 1. Looking back at the OCTA table I posted here 2 days ago Laguna is Ok but Cavite seems to be a candidate for staying at AL 2 while Batangas, Rizal and Quezon seem deserving to go down to AL 1. Then in CL, Bulacan yes. But Bataan and Tarlac? The OCTA data was quite recent and maybe the DOH data these decisions were based on was less so. I think the government is going to get protests from the provinces around the NCR kept at level 2. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Much lower weekend testing combined with a stable positivity rate of 5.0% and 169 to backlog gave a low total of 951 announced. Added to that 5 labs were late to submit. No details on them.
Recoveries 1,717 Deaths 50 36 RDs Jan/Feb 45 5 back to June. Active 52,179 Severe 1,417. Critical 298 Unbelievably constant over the past 3 days. NCR ICU 25%, up 1%. National 27%, up 1% NCR Ward Beds 23.5%, down 1.0% Alert Level 1 guidelines: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/02/28/...for-new-normal Nothing about Malls, groceries. In our area of Upper Cavite vacc certs no longer required. Check out lines in SM back to normal ie much longer. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Interesting to note that as the UK is now in an endemic phase it seems to have ceased reporting data which is displayed in the Worldometers Coronavirus page.
Apart from that welcome to the 'new normal" that is Level 1. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 13098239)
Interesting to note that as the UK is now in an endemic phase it seems to have ceased reporting data which is displayed in the Worldometers Coronavirus page.
Apart from that welcome to the 'new normal" that is Level 1. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51768274 Btw this use of "endemic" entirely wrong.....the virus in many countries, especially in the UK, is all over the country , there in about 1 in 25 people countrywide, so not endemic. Worldometers must be thinking what to do about that in their tables. The government here declaring victory but as you say B keeping to AL 1! I wouldn't be surprised if there are upticks, then what will they do? |
Re: NCR llockdown
If there is an upstick (increase) then they will have to change gear.
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Re: NCR llockdown
That means keep on with their Alert levels...unless they embrace the UK approach of never mind the cases just look at hospitalizations and look at DrJs latest videos on natural immunity. Doubt they will do that, so masks in the street are here for a while yet.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
Despite the fall in the headline total and all that 4 regions had falls in cases we see again increases in the NCR and its adjoining region 4A, NCR 274, up 14 and to a high 28.8% of all cases, the highest for many weeks. Manila up 29 to 76. Three other of the 6 largest cities had cases up. 4A:139, up 31 and to 14.6% of all cases. A little higher than the normal share last week. Cavite and Rizal provinces both up. Otherwise only EV up 6 to 19. Other major cities all down. So NCR figures and to a lesser extent those for region 4A are not smoothly trending down. The government/DOH have said they want the NCR to be showing daily figures around 100. That seems likely to take quite a while and there is the danger of an uptick. In the past the NCR has never maintained a level period for long. Although if we are truly at the end of the Omicron wave and no other variant emerges then it may do so and we will see covid fall to levels near to that of influenza. Btw I use the US term "uptick" to better describe an abrupt increase/change of trend rather than just say increase. A tick goes down then sharply up. |
Re: NCR llockdown
R,
Thank you for your use of 'American' English. Sarcasm intended. As things stand now I believe the most realistic measure is to compare excess deaths and ICU occupation. Sadly an enormous number of deaths due to Covid have not been reported for a number of reasons. If this measure is used we may be in for a pleasant surprise. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Low weekend testing produced only about 800 new cases with an additional 260 from a large backlog making up the 1,067 cases announced. Positivity was at a lower 4.3%. Nine labs late They would have only added about 10 cases.
Recoveries 1,652 Deaths 0! Yes B death reporting is very problematic! The problem of using excess deaths is one of timing. The best estimates will come from the PSA, but many months later as they look at death certificates. So not timely for decisions on Alert Levels etc. Hospital data, yes, especially in the NCR and other urban areas. Not so useful elsewhere as people away from urban centres aren't being treated in primary facilities. In the end the authorities will have to gamble. Those in charge in England recently admitted as much that they are taking one with the removal of all restrictions. Here we do have other countries to learn from and can adapt their experience to suit the situation here. So for example Omicron elsewhere leads to far fewer hospitalizations and less severe cases. Just today we got a message here in Upper Cavite from a local school about our view on resumption of face to face classes. As far as we know this is not part of the experimental return which started in January, but rather about preparing for a general return around here some time. About time too. I can see at close hand that the modules are generally a disaster. That it is so late in coming is Indicative of excessive caution here with covid all the way through the pandemic, mostly due to the way decisions are generally taken by the government. Active 51,592 Severe 1,417, unchanged. Critical 289, down 9 NCR ICU 26%, up 1%. National 26%, down 1% NCR Ward beds 24.5%, up 1%. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
Well over 3k less tests but the addition of a 260 backlog gave over 100 more cases announced. There were falls in the NCR and region 4A but increases in the two largest Visayan regions. The NCR was at 236 cases and its share went down a little to 22.1%. CL went up slightly as did the CAR and the Ilocos region totals. Baguio City was up 18 to 27. WV was up by 33 to 127. CV by 44 to 102. IloIlo City by 18 to 28. Cebu City by 15 to 25. In Mindanao the Zamboanga region added 17 to 30. Zamboanga City 14 to 20. Davao City 13 to 49. The SOCCSK region added 8 to 36. |
Re: NCR llockdown
From an earlier post from me.
"Interesting to note that as the UK is now in an endemic phase it seems to have ceased reporting data which is displayed in the Worldometers Coronavirus page." The UK up until 25 February was reporting Covid data daily. It his now five days without any reporting. I wonder why? |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 13098475)
From an earlier post from me.
"Interesting to note that as the UK is now in an endemic phase it seems to have ceased reporting data which is displayed in the Worldometers Coronavirus page." The UK up until 25 February was reporting Covid data daily. It his now five days without any reporting. I wonder why? The UK govt continue to do a daily report. But they don't give the latest daily figures directly , preferring a weekly comparison. I seldom looked at it before so I don't know if they changed the presentation. But anyway the UK and many other countries are still in the Pandemic, not the Endemic phase. To be endemic the virus has to be confined to certain regions of a country. The problem is that the term pandemic has wrongly come to be understood only in an international context. Of course we don't speak of a common cold pandemic, an infection has got to be serous and maybe very transmissible to qualify. The Omicron variant is definitely the latter. And you can die or be severely ill from Omicron, though less chance of those outcomes than with previous variants. Then there is the possibility of long covid. A comparison with Influenza would be interesting. https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ The BBC is best place for the daily UK figures. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51768274 |
Re: NCR llockdown
A much lower 866 cases announced from another 5k tests over the day before. Positivity higher at 4.7%. Backlog gained another 250 cases, to be held for validation. There were also 8 labs late to submit, likely to have added only about 10 cases.
Recoveries 1,622 Deaths 53 March 23, Feb 2 28 back to March 2020! Active 50,827 Severe 1,417. Critical 298 Both unchanged. Yesterday's critical figure should have been 298. NCR ICU 24%, down 2%. National 25%, down 1% NCR Ward beds 24.1%, down 0.4% |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
About 200 less cases were announced but the NCR stayed at just over one fifth of the national total....21.1% to be exact. Although region 4A's figures and share both fell to 83 and 9.6% of national cases. CL's cases were also down to 83. WV added 42 cases to 169, almost 20% of all cases. IloIlo City added 45 to 73. The NM region had 43 more with CDO City adding 10 to 35. SE and E Asian data: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2b80f9299d.jpg Top 10 countries by new cases in Asia as listed by Worldometers yesterday. Difficult to find any analysis on Singapore's surprising case numbers. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3c033cde10.jpg Singapore cases Hong Kong: In a worse situation and having to call in help from the Mainland. High death rate. Poor living conditions are a big factor, but can't find much explanation as to why things got so bad in this late wave. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d3d5d38222.jpg Hong Kong cases https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4be5b06bfc.jpg Hong Kong deaths had a recent spike: prior to yesterday's 246 they were down at 85, 82 Worldometers: There are no other tables like theirs. They are now back with the correct UK daily and total figures but it's not clear what they will do next Monday, when the UK announces combined figures for Monday and the weekend. But anyway on April 1 it's been announced that England's mass covid testing is to be scrapped and they will rely on ONS data: https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknew...cid=uxbndlbing |
Re: NCR llockdown
Much higher testing at 27.1k but only 120 or so more cases announced. Partly because positivity was down to 4.5% but mainly as 232 cases were held over for validation. Five labs were late but only a small number of cases was likely lost.
Recoveries 1,349 Deaths 34, 26 RDs March 11, Feb 3 20 back to April 2020. Active 50,548 Severe 1,415, down 2. Critical 297, down 1 Small daily reductions. NCR ICU 25%, up 1%. National 25%, unchanged. NCR Ward beds 21.9% Big fall..2.2%! |
Re: NCR llockdown
I have the impression that Singapore is following the UK in its management of Covid. Where Omicron is dominant it seems that it is being treated as if it was a common cold or mild influenza.
Nice being able to go out and about in Alert Level 1, almost normal apart from the face masks. Why is Comelec insisting on face shields? The general election is two months away! I wonder if someone has a warehouseful of them? |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
Over 100 more cases yesterday over the day before and the NCR with a slight fall in its national share. Up 22 to 205 cases. Five of its 6 largest cities with more cases. Region 4A added 44 to 127, the second highest this week. Cavite put on 37 to 65 cases. The highest this week by one. For now levelling or a very slow decline in NCR plus.....take your pick. Ilocos and the CAR regions had small increases. In the Visayas CV saw a doubling over the day before to 117 new cases. Cebu City up 33 to 47. The highest by far this week. In Mindanao the Caraga, Zamboanga, Davao and SOCCSK regions all saw moderate increases. But only GenSan and Zamboanga cities saw case increases, which were small. OCTA comparing the situation now with that pre Omicron last December: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...79e0222009.jpg A mixed picture but OCTA seem fairly optimistic. Comelec and Face Shields: Many people have junked their face shields, so if they stick with this there will be a lot of opposition. Very inappropriate to expect people to use them in polling stations. I don't think this is about people making a quick buck. The face shield issue here got to the level of a religious dispute, with some doctors, health experts and high up government officials fighting it out with those who, quite rightly, said there was no evidence they were any use in most settings. The President prevaricated. There was never any definitive statement on them, they just withered away with the help of some big city Mayors. So given all that I think the Comelec just doesn't dare to update their old safety protocol now. As we get nearer May this will obviously have to be changed, otherwise election turnout will be seriously affected. Interesting to see when and by whom. This face shield saga almost fit for "humorous episodes"! |
Re: NCR llockdown
Another lower announced total of 853. A lower positivity too at 4.3%, but on 25.5k tests so that meant again many cases were held over.... 243 today. Two labs late. Little effect on the total from those.
Recoveries 1,062 Deaths 232, 219 RDs Mar 5, Feb 17, Jan 16 then a long tail of 194 in most of the months back to July 2020. Active 50,230 Severe 1,411, down 4. Critical 296, down 1 NCR ICU 25%..National 25% Both unchanged. NCR Ward beds 24.1%, up 2.2% |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location detail:
National cases fell by 136 but the NCR numbers fell by only 20, with its national share increasing by 1% to 21.7. Cases in each of its 6 largest cities fell, except for Taguig, which had the same number, 11. Region 4A added a few more cases and accounted for a higher 15.6% of national cases. Laguna and Rizal provinces each with a few more cases over the previous day's. CL numbers went down by only none. Otherwise case falls in nearly all other regions. MIMAROPA up 10 to 26. For cities elsewhere only CDO and GenSan reported some more. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Today 88 more cases than yesterday to 941 new cases, 75 held over. Positivity went lower at 3.8%. Only one lab late to submit.
Recoveries 1,784 Deaths 109, 96 RDs Active 49.374 Severe 1,344, down 67. Critical 292, down 4 NCR ICU 38%, up 11%. National 42%, up 10% NCR Ward beds 34%, up 9.9% If these are not typo errors an incredible one day change in the hospital data, especially inconsistent with the large drop in severe cases. The NCR ward beds increase also is not consistent with the fall in "moderate case" data from yesterday and today. ABC-CBN saying that the DOH is to cease giving out daily case data from next week. 6.40 pm DOH Twitter published bulletin now corrected and same bulletin on DOH site. NCR ICU 25%. National 25% NCR Ward beds 24% Large drop in severe cases unchanged. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location data:
The NCR added 60 cases to 245 at 26.0% of national cases, the second highest share last week. QC added 20, Manila had 16 more cases. Region 4A added 18 to 151 and had 16.0% of all cases. Cavite province added 24 to 72. The Cagayan Valley region added 13 to 50, the most in the week. WV had 17 more cases to 110. No significant upward changes in all other cities. Weekly report: The Philippines as a whole last week saw a 35% decrease over the previous week. The fall last week was 39% over the week before. Above average regional falls: SOCCSK 79 CAR 57 BARMM 49 Ilocos 45 Cagayan 45 Zamboanga 43 CV 40 Bocol 39 Caraga 39 NM 39 CL 36 Below average: 4A 34 Davao 32 EV 29 NCR 28 WV 23 MIM 13 Six largest NCR cities: Range from Manila 22 up to Pasig 47%. QC 26%. Provinces around the NCR Cavite 29 up to Rizal 38% Other cities: Baguio 52 Cebu 48 Bacolod 54 IloIlo +25 CDO 19 Davao 28 GenSan 40 Iligan 49 (only 20 cases last week) Zamboanga 44 Outlook: Cases officially falling at a good but variable rate just about everywhere. Remembering that these represent a fraction of all cases which could well be as x5 or higher, given it is probably mainly the Omicron variant. The great majority will cause only mild illness but some will cause severe illness, especially in the unvaccinated. Probably a bit too early to see many Omicron cases like that in primary hospitals. Cases still falling in them. But patients will be in many other secondary institutions. Are cases in the NCR, 4A and WV heading towards a flattening? Now it looks more likely just reducing more slowly due to the increased economic activity. But the much slower rate of fall in WV is puzzling given that its Omicron wave started a week or so later than that in the NCR. As indicated yesterday the DOH will stop daily reports on Monday and concentrate on hospital reports. Declaring victory over the pandemic but not relaxing on masks and keeping most areas in Alert Level 1. But you could say they are avoiding comment if, as is possible, we get some increases over the next few months: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/03/06/...t-careful-octa One thing they have clarified is that vaccs cards are only needed in 3C spaces....ie closed, crowded, close-contact. So this is my last weekly update in this form. I will post if they do a daily report for today, otherwise I will see what daily hospital data is worth posting and when. And what weekly data they give out. Then there are OCTA reports. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Raffin,
A big thank you for all the hours you have spent collating and passing what at times was vital information. |
Re: NCR llockdown
First thank you B for your thank you!
Let's see what information will come out from other sources as I am sure there are many people who are not happy with the DOH change. Well, this may be the last daily report on cases. Slightly higher positivity at 3.9% from over 1k less tests. Held over 87 Cases held over for 5 consecutive days now. About 1k and many more before that. So the total announced was 870. Five labs were late but they probably would have only added a handful of cases. Recoveries 1,433 Deaths 144, 130 RDs I think they will be glad not to keep announcing those RDs! March 12, Feb 64, Jan 48 20 back to Sep Active 48,793 Severe 1,279, down 65. Critical 289, down 3 Looks like they have been having a clear out of severe cases. 132 in the last two days. Before that very small changes daily for the most part since mid February at 1,460. Looks like these numbers are not checked daily, rather at intervals. NCR ICU 25%. National 25% Both unchanged. NCR Ward beds 24.1%, unchanged. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's location detail:
Tests fell by over 2k yesterday but the NCR total was down by only 22 cases to 223, a share of all cases at 25.6%. Slightly less than yesterday's figure. Four of the six largest NCR cities had less cases. But Manila only 1 fewer, QC 6 fewer. The NCR downward trend continues to slow.. Region 4A had 22 less cases to 129 but CL 13 more up to 70. In the rest of the country cases were mostly down except: Davao region up 10 to 48 SOCCSK region up 34 to 61. Other cities: Down except: GenSan up 5 to 10 Zamboanga up 4 to 15 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Well, here is the new improved DOH weekly report:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops..._picks&order=1 Seems to be using as a week Tuesday to Monday inclusive. The total of 6,297 seems about right at 30% less. I had it higher for Sunday to Saturday at 35% less. Very unhelpful with no regional information. The idea is to focus on hospitals. Yesterday the DOH reported 1,279 Severe and 289 Critical. Now miraculously 1,055 Severe and Critical! You can work out from the data given that today's death total was 43. That's all. But I will look around during the coming week and see if I can find other sources of case data. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Report on March 7 cases:
To their credit the DOH are still giving the location data as normal. Though the tracker site is updated later later there you will also find the national total, which the DOH now doesn't want to announce daily, and information to work out daily deaths. Let's see if any journalists report on those data. Yesterday tests would be low from Saturday, so total cases down by 137 to 733. But we can't work out cases held back for further validation. Often many. Deaths were 43, as I posted yesterday. NCR 183, down 40, but still about 25% of all cases. In its largest cities only Paranaque had significantly more, 8 to 22. CL had 8 more to 78 while 4A had 36 less, down to 93 and 10.7% of all cases. The CAR had 20 more to 32, Ilocos 23 more to 38. In the Visayas CV went up 4 to 76, WV down 35 to 55. Cebu City added 12 to 29. In Mindanao only NM reported significantly more cases, 24 to 49. CDO City went up to 20 cases. |
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