Re: NCR llockdown
 

Cases yesterday greatly down by nearly 300 to 442 following the usual weekend testing fall. Can't give the positivity rate daily now, only weekly, starting next week.

As a consequence of the low total some regional figures and all the cities I am tracking outside the NCR were in single digits.

Yet the NCR report was a much higher 37.1% of national cases. For its 6 largest cities 3 were down and 3 up...Manila added 7 to 40, QC was down 4 to 26.

While CL cases were down 43 to 35, 4A's fell less proportionately to 65 and were at at a higher 14.7% of national cases.

Cases in nearly all Visayan and Mindanao regions fell significantly except in SOCCSKSARGEN, with 5 more to 20.

Last, of note that Baguio City had no cases. Bacolod City only one.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 580 new cases were announced on the DOH tracker site. Hailed as the lowest this year by GMA News but ABS-CBN called it correctly as the second lowest, after 442 the day before. GMA just cottoned on that you can still get some daily information from the DOH tracker site. But these figures are without the context oft test number, cases held back for further validation and labs late to submit.

Looking at the cumulative deaths figures one can make a good estimate of daily deaths:

For Tuesday: 6
Yesterday: 110

I say estimate because occasionally the DOH makes revisions to the cumulative deaths total.

Location detail:

NCR 137 and a fall in its national share back down to 23.6%. Six largest cities: 3 up, 3 down by small numbers.
CL up 21 to 56,. 4A up 17 to 82 and down slightly to 14.1% of all cases.

In the Visayas WV up 46 to 80.
IloIlo City up to 31, highest so far this week.

In Mindanao small increases in Caraga, Davao and Zamboanga regions. while SOCCSKSARGEN was up 18 to 38.
GenSan City up 5 to 11.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday a slightly higher 592 more cases and 76 more deaths.
Active total now 47,173

Location detail

The NCR up 15 to 152 and a higher 25.7% of all cases. Greater case rises outside the largest 6 cities as only Pasig and Taguig had a few more each..
Regions 4A and CL reported less cases than the day before. Cavite province 13 more to 22.

The CAR 12 more to 23. Baguio City up to 14.

The two largest Visayan regions were down. EV up a little.
Cebu City up 13 to 22.

In Mindanao nearly all regions had less cases. Davao up slightly to 28.

The situation in E and SE Asia:

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3185e8229e.jpg
Latest daily cases. S Korea has fairly high testing but nevertheless.. The Philippines would be at 20th place but Worldometers at 7am had still not entered its numbers for yesterday.

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cdee5d51e3.jpg
S Korea cases.

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...229cb21a74.jpg
S Korea deaths higher for Omicron.


https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bf3fe7f614.jpg
Indonesia on an established downward trend.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Six more cases announced yesterday at 598. Deaths 59.
Active 47,116

Location detail:

NCR down by only 3 cases at 149 and at 24.9% of national cases. Four of its six largest NCR cities each up by a few cases.

CL down but 4A up 14 to 90 and 15% of national cases. Laguna and Rizal provinces with a few more cases.
The Ilocos region up by 21 to 33.

WV added 11 to 66. Bacolod City 8 cases.

Four Mindanao regions with small increases.
Davao, GenSan and Zamboanga Cities each with small increases.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 57 more cases over the day before were announced, at 655.
Deaths 124
Active: 46,752

Location detail:

NCR up to the second highest case number this week at 205, 31.3% of all cases. Five of its 6 largest cities reported more cases. Manila 22 more to 48.
CL had a few more cases, region 4A a few less.

All 4 Visayan regions had more cases. WV added 22 to have 88.

Small changes in all but one of the cities I am tracking.
IloIlo City added 16 to report a total of 24.

Weekly update later.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Weekly update:

A slight drop in the rate of fall over the week before for the country as a whole from 35 to 33%.

For the regions (previous week's % fall in brackets):

NCR 22 (28) Pnq. Tag, Caloocan Cities around 5%, Manila 22%, QC 26%, Pasig 40%

4A 28 (34) Cavite, Laguna both 26%, Rizal 20%
CL 35 (36) Bulacan 40%

Cagayan 51 (45)
CAR 36 (57)
IL 40 (45)
Bic 43 (39)

WV 45 (23)
CV 50 (40)
EV 40 (29)
Mim 42 (13)

BARMM 33 (49)
NM 36 (39)
D 50 (32)
Zam 41 (43)
Caraga 37 (34)
SOCCSK 12 (79)

Other cities

Baguio 51

Cebu 30
Bacolod 23
IloIlo 57

Davao 70
GenSan 16
Iligan 40 very small numbers
Zam 44

The NCR rate of fall continues to slow.
The same for the three main provinces around...Cavite, Laguna and Rizal.

All Visayan regions falling at a fast rate.

A mixed picture in Mindanao:
Davao region and Davao City cases falling at a fast rate.
Moderate falls elsewhere except in the SOCCSKSARGEN region which had a large drop in the rate of fall.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday's new cases 564, deaths 169...nearly 300 last two days.
Active 46,537

Location detail:

NCR total down by only 8, 3 of its largest cities up, 3 down. Up to 34.4% of all cases.
CL up slightly, 4A down to 77 and 13.7% of all cases.
Laguna province up slightly.

The great majority of other regions down.
SOCCSKSARGEN up to 31.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday a few less new cases at 554.
Deaths 15
Active 57,625

Location detail:

NCR 141 and down to 26.4% of national cases. Only the city of Manila up significantly, adding 5 to 28. Pasig City zero.
Both CL and 4A down, but the latter region up slightly to 13.9% of all cases. Rizal up 8 to 23.

The CAR and Ilocos region both up slightly.

In the Visayas WV up 32 to 79, CV up 18 to 62

In Mindanao NM up 8 to 13.

DOH weekly report:
Out but not yet on their website!
Figures from GMA.

For 7-13 March:
4,131, 590 per day average.
Compare with my week of March 6-12: 4,164. 595 per day average.

Positivity for the week

Deaths 591 (615 in the previous 7 days)
For my week March 6-12 438

March 115, Feb 164, 95 Jan
217 back to March 2020

In a severe and critical condition 1,006 compared to 1,055 the previous week.
Note: On March 7 the DOH said there were 1,568!

Nationwide ICU use 19.6%.
NCR figure not available.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Philippines covid deaths

A respected US heath statistics Institute in Washington State has published a peer reviewed paper on worldwide excess covid deaths.
Discussed by Dr John in a recent video.
Links to the paper and results are given there.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...27ce790fad.jpg

For the Philippines:

Reported: 53k
Mortality rate; 23.8/100k
Excess deaths: 184k
Excess deaths per 100k: 82.9

For comparison:

Indonesia 144k, 27.5, 736k,140.7
UK 173k, 131.1, 142k, 125.8

The Philippine death total from the DOH was questioned recently by the PSA in a report.
Working from death certificates they said that covid deaths up to November 2021 were 103k. Twice as many.
From monitoring what the DOH do with their death statistics I would put my money on the PSA!
Therefore its mortality rate is doubled but excess deaths are much less than estimated here.
See my post here Feb 4.

The authors also seem to doubt the reported UK number. Both Worldometers and John's Hopkins now show it at differing numbers, but in the 160ks. Whereas in the paper the figure they are using is 173k, up to a few months ago.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yes the latest Dr John presentation was fascinating. No surprises about the Philippines. The variations between PSA and DOH reported deaths really highlights the poor data collection by the DOH. As for the UK there was always a suspicion that there was over reporting and that some of the parameters were spurious.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

It seems that both the Philippines and the UK have ceased to report one Covid to Worldometer, or, that the data is no longer available. Of course the DOH here have said that they are only going to publish data weekly.
On another topic many may remember at the beginning of the pandemic on how well S Korea was managing the crisis. Well now they have been reporting in excess of 300,000 new cases per day. I wonder how things are going to shape up in the PRC? There's a thought to mull over your breakfast!

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Good morning!

The UK now announce the weekend plus Monday cases., This week 170k. Gives Worldometers indigestion. They don't put anything in new cases. In any case the UK say no more daily data after April 1.
Here the DOH haven't put out yesterday's figures yet. maybe they've laid off staff there as their data publications are now less? Their weekly bulletin came out late and is not very informative.

S Korea having to build new temporary hospitals to cope.
China figures only 3,602, 1,436 last two days. Can we believe them?

Re: NCR llockdown
 

No covid data from the DOH so far today for March 14. Have they stopped daily data? Let's see tomorrow.

Otherwise they have put the NCR and most other areas under level 1 from today until the end of the month:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...story/?just_in

The government eyeing some sort of level for the whole country, one not quite back to complete normality. My bet is that all they will keep is mask wearing:

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/03/16/...d-alert-system

The Health Secretary commenting on the possibility of new variants coming here, especially from Hong Kong. He says we have better vaccine coverage than Hong Kong. We don't. Latest figures 2 doses 80.7% in Hong Kong compared to 59% Philippines. They are also well ahead on the 3rd dose at about 43% while here 11.2M, so just over 10%.

Also is he sure we have BA.2 here as the dominant variant? No information on that for some weeks.

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops..._picks&order=4

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Better late than never with daily data but a no show for data on Tuesday.

So yesterday 393 cases.
Note: we have no idea how many cases are being held back by the DOH from day to day.. Will have some idea when we see positivity data, but that is lagging.

Deaths 110 for the last two days.
Active 45,447 Over 800 down last two days.

Location detail:

NCR down to 114, but up to 29% of all cases.
CL up to 11.7%, 4A 14.2%
The 3 regions accounting for well over half of all cases.

WV holding up at 61 cases and 15.5% of total cases.

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...level-1/story/

More areas go to Alert Level 1.

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...54cb9b58d5.jpg
Dr John continues to bang the drum about natural immunity. About mask rules in Scotland..

He discusses why most governments are not listening and continuing to push vaccination .Mainly because that's what the momentum is for, they have programmes to complete, bought the vaccines, the public expects them. They think they can get herd immunity or near it. They may also be looking at some other countries where there is a recent uptick in hospitalizations from very high virus levels, even with Omicron. Like the UK or in E Asia.

The Philippines?

Only moderate immunity from vaccination with a lowish rate and about half with the less effective Sinovac. The infection rate also only moderate. Still, a young population and one generally adhering to protocols. Unless a dangerous new variant comes in the next few months I think they can hold off boosting generally even if they won't release people from masks.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

The Philippines?
As it is now election season does anyone really expect serious data to be released?

Re: NCR llockdown
 

I think they will continue to release this limited information weekly, but so far the two reports have come out late Monday night and early Tuesday morning. Missing the evening news. Then no daily data on Tuesday. One today which has been ignored so far by the news media. It will be interesting if, as is quite possible, cases and hospital admissions start to rise again before May.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Also we must not forget that most of the decision makers will not be around after June.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday's new cases up 205 to 598.
Deaths 145
Active 45,394. Down only 53.

Location detail:

The NCR up substantially to 229, that's nearly 40% of all cases. The 6 largest cities all up. Manila up 13 to 31, Paranaque 27 to 37.
Seems clear that the virus is not dying away there. Whether it is a pause in the decline or the beginning of an upturn we shall see, As that goes against the picture the DOH and government wants to paint we wait for expert comment from the OCTA group and other experts on the possibilities. Although it seems everyone is reluctant now not to be optimistic.

Also we see region 4A up to 71, Cavite, Laguna and Rizal provinces all with some more cases. It had 12.3% of all cases.
The CL region added a few up to 53 and 9.2% of total cases.
These 3 regions together at 61% of all cases.

In the Visayas WV with 22 less at 39, CV had 15 more to 42.

All Mindanao areas except BARMM had small or moderate case increases.
No major case number changes in other cities.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 53 fewer cases with 545 announced.
Deaths 119 Information on the month of these deaths now not given daily. Instead it might be given weekly. But we can be sure many of these deaths go back many months, some even years.
Active 45,491 Up by nearly 100. An Increase in the Active count not seen since early January.

Location detail:

The NCR report fell greatly after Wednesday's 229 to 128 and 23,5% of all cases. Five of its 6 largest cities down. One the same.
Region CL down a few cases to 42, 4A down a little to 66.

The three largest Visayan regions were all up. WV the most, more than doubling to 85.

Cebu City added 9 to 22.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 20 less cases at 525.
Deaths 24
Active 45,339, down 152

Location detail:

The NCR was up 60 to 188 and 35.8% of all cases. All of its 6 largest cities were up. Paranaque the most with 17 more to 27.

The CL region was down but 4A went up 13 to 79, highest of the week. The Cavite and Laguna provinces were both up. Rizal down by only 1 case.

The WV, CV and EV regions were all with lower reports than the day before.

In the Mindanao regions NM and Davao were both down a little. Zamboanga and SOCCSK were both up by a few cases.

Weekly report:

There was no data for last Tuesday. I will be able to get its most important missing number, the national case total, from the DOH's weekly report, probably coming out on Tuesday. Will do something then on last week as best as I can given the absent location data.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

New cases yesterday: 577
Deaths 240
Active 45,201 down 138
Lowest since Jan 5

Location data:

NCR up 41 to 229 and 39.7% of all cases. But only small upward changes in its 6 biggest cities..
CL region up 9 to 42, 4A down 9 to 70.

In the Visayas WV up 16 to 62, CV and EV both down.

Cases in the Zamboanga Peninsula up 10 to 28.

For cities:

The only notable upward movements were IloIlo City up 14 to 22 and Zamboanga City up 11 to 20.

The Philippines brush with Omicron seemingly nearly over but the UK seeing an upward trending wave, according to the latest ZOE data:


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3a2d86f395.jpg

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Don't count your blessings about Omicron. Vietnam is showing the same alarmingly upward trend as has been the case in S Korea.. Not a time to be complacent.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yes, special factors operating here could well push numbers up again soon, starting in the NCR ,which already is showing a resistance to continued case falls.

What is common to S Korea and Vietnam is that they got off very lightly earlier in the pandemic.
Japan did quite well too earlier but they're now having an Omicron wave, which may be about to peak.
Thailand had a fairly high Delta peak and like Japan their Omicron wave may be about to peak.

So the Philippines in a better place for now, together with Indonesia and Malaysia, all three having had significant earlier surges to deal with.

PS Dr John in his latest latest video looks at Hong Kong. He gets it wrong that it has a lowish overall vaccination rate. It's high, but not in the elderly. But he does refer to Sinovac, the main vaccine used there, with its low effectiveness. The implications for China of that. But then here about half of those fully vaccinated had Sinovac.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday a heavy weekend effect produced only 415 cases.
Deaths 13
Active 45,021 down 180.

NCR 115, down by well over 100 but still at 28% of all cases.
CL down just 2 to 40. 4A down 21 to 49.

Visayan region reports all down substantially.
Bacolod City up 6 to 10.
IloIlo City down 15 to 7.

Davao region up 6 to 27.

Weekly update:

For the country as a whole cases down by 19.0%. The week before they were down by 33%.

For the NCR there is a difficulty as I am missing all location data for last Tuesday.
Tuesday is usually a low report day, so I conservatively estimated the missing NCR figure for that day to be only 100.
So the rate of case fall is at the most 9.6%, likely though somewhat lower. Last week 22%.

I didn't make any assumptions about other regions for last Tuesday, so these figures are from 6 days compared to 7 the previous week so they show an exaggerated case fall

Regions limited to CL,4A the two other largely populated Luzon regions and the two major Visayan regions:

4A: 28% (last week 28%)
CL 29 (35)
WV 24 (45)
CV 11 (50)

So with only 6 days data definitely a lesser but still significant slowdown in the areas around the NCR compared to the NCR. In the Visayas both the two main regions sowing substantial slowdowns in case fall.

Some data from the DOH weekly report:
Their week different to mine as Tuesday to Monday not Sunday to Saturday.

Case fall: 14% last week 34%
Deaths 655 (591) Compared to my week: 653 (655)
Severe and Critical; 805 (1,006)
Phil ICU 17.8% (19.6%)

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Cases yesterday a low 290.
Still the weekend effect on testing and we don't now get the daily positivity rate to calculate how many cases have been withheld for validation.
Positivity lately has fallen to an average of 2.5% last week. Let's say it is now 2.0%...that would mean 400 or so cases now from about 20k individual tests on Sunday.

Deaths 18
Active 46,764 down 257

Location detail

NCR cases down by 12 but at a higher 35.5% of all cases. Two big cities had more cases. Paranaque up 13 to 22.
CL cases were half those the day before but 4A cases went down 8 to 41. Laguna province reported only 4.

Visayan cases down substantially.
EV reported a zero.

Zamboanga Pen cases up 7 to 18.
The main city there up 10 to 17.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 407 cases
Deaths 282
Active 44,597, down 167

Location detail

NCR 123 cases, 30.2% of all cases. In the 6 biggest cities 4 up by a few cases each only..
CL up a little but 4A more than doubled to 85 and 20,9% of all cases. Cavite province up 27 to 47.

WV up 18 to 38, CV up 7 to 27.

In MIndanao the SOCCSK region up 12 to 23.

Small numbers in all tracked cities.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 442 cases
Deaths 208
Conveniently for the DOH the news media only give the cumulative total of deaths each day.

Location detail:

NCR 143 cases, up at 32.4% of all cases. City of Manila up 11 to 28, Paranaque 5 to 16.
The CL region up 19 to 48, 4A down 33 to 52. Cavite province down 23 to 24.

So the area surrounding the NCR adding 22.6% of all cases. Together with the NCR 55% of all cases yesterday.

The Visayas is the other main area for cases. Its 3 main regions all up moderately. In total 25% of all cases.
Cebu City up 8 to 21.

Lately small numbers in nearly all my tracked cities.
Zero cases reported yesterday in both IloIlo City and Baguio City.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

New cases yesterday: 411
Deaths 60
Active 44,149, down 429

Location detail

NCR down by only by 3 to 140 and 36% of all cases.
4A up 2 to 54 and 13% of all cases. Cavite up 4 to 28.

Ilocos region up 4 to 17.

WV up 3 to 51, CV down 21 to 32.

In Mindanao the SOCCSKSARGEN region up 11 to 23.

Zamboanga City up 6 to 14.

The DOH charts show infections and deaths by date of origin. They make an estimate if that data is missing. You can see from the difference between the trend line and the bars that for both infections and deaths, especially for infections, the daily figures are some weeks out of date.


https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...609d2acc8b.jpg
Infections.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...61d49541ab.jpg
Deaths

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 437 new cases
Deaths 53
Active 43,486, down 663

Location detail:

NCR at 161, up 21 and at a slightly higher 36.8% of all cases.
Four of its biggest cities with more cases.
The CL region up 11 to 31, 4A also up but by only a little. Cavite and Laguna provinces both up a little.
The CAR up 13 to 16.

WV down by 7, CV by 4.
Cebu and IloIlo cities both up a little. Each to 12 cases.

Davao region up 6 to 21.
Davao City up 5 to 12.

Weekly report later.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Weekly update:

As expected the rate of weekly case decline has slowed nationally to 7%. Last week 19%.

Primarily due to the NCR, where I estimate cases increased by about 2% on the previous week. Last week at 1,014. Estimated then to have fallen by about 9% on the previous week. I say estimated as one day's data from the previous week was missing.

For my 6 NCR cities last week's figure with the previous week's 6 day figure for comparison:

Caloocan 101 (82+)
Manila 154 (171+)
Paranaque 123 (113+)
Pasig 45 (52+)
QC 139 (126+)
Taguig 57 (55+)

Of the above 6 biggest cities only Caloocan looks like it definitely had an increase, but 3 others get close.

One day's data for all the other areas of the country was also missing in the previous week so please bear that in mind as I now give these figures, for a few of them only, in the same way:

CL 230 (259+)
4A 407 (423+)

Cavite 199 (143+)
Laguna 69 (121+)

Region 4A close to a small increase, CL less close.
For its provinces Laguna a probable fall but Cavite likely to have had a small increase.

WV 307 (357+)
CV 233 (265+)

Both the two main Visayan regions look likely to have small falls.

Providing no more missing data (and missing domestic internet!) I will be able to look at more areas in my next update.

Philippines Genomic Testing:

A question: why no genomic report since the end of January?

Don't want to make too much of this, but on the basis of the last report the world took it on that the Philippines was dominant with the Omicron BA.2 variant. Despite the small sampling and the vague statement to the effect that it was seen in 14 regions and especially in Central areas of Luzon.
I bring this up because in many other countries the BA.2 variant is rampant. This is the latest UK ZOE chart:

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7facc3a51d.jpg

So did we really have dominant BA.2 here? As many other countries have seen its widespread transmission, not just in Europe, but in E and S E Asia with very large case numbers. But we did not.

Of course I am not suggesting that is necessarily the reason for the non appearance of Genomic data lately. Maybe just cost cutting?

Re: NCR llockdown
 

New cases yesterday 330.
According to ABS-CBN the second lowest total this year.
Maybe a good sign but the weekend effect is a factor and since the change in DOH data output we do not know about the number of cases being withheld.

Deaths 131
Active 42,835, down 651

Location detail:

NCR down substantially at 84, 25.5% of all cases.
Manila at 22, QC 14.

The CL region up 1 and 4A down by only 4 cases.
In 4A Cavite down 16 to 13, Laguna the same at 12 and Rizal up 8 to 20.

For the two main Visayan regions WV down 6 and CV up 3.

SOCCSKSARGEN region up 7 to 20.

All other cities with small numbers.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

New cases yesterday: 387
Deaths 15
Active 41,846, down 989

Location detail:

NCR cases up 72 to 156, that's just over 40% of all cases. All of its 6 biggest cities with more cases, though none of them with a large increase.

Both CL and 4A regions about the same as the day before. Although for the province of Cavite up 15 to 28.
The same for the Visayan regions.

Again other cities showing no significant case numbers. Five had 0,1 or 2 cases.

So generally low numbers but the fly (or bluebottle!) in the ointment is the NCR, showing an increase even with reduced weekend testing. Reports from the next few days will really confirm whether there is an uptick in progress there. I will look soon at some recent NCR test centre positivities and see how they compare with the national figure.

DOH weekly report

For their last week they report a 24% fall in cases over their previous week.
My fall was 18% over the previous calendar week (in my report I mistakenly said 7%).

Severe and Critical 758 (805 for the previous week).
New admissions in that category 0 (1 )
Deaths 752 (655)

Hospital data looking good but deaths not. I will be showing some more statistics on Philippine deaths soon. Let's just say they are puzzling for now.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Philippines Excess Deaths 2021

The bar chart here is from the PSA. so fairly reliable data:

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dd6e0ac302.jpg
Excess deaths actual minus expected, based on recent years.

I can't give a chart to show it but it seems there were almost no excess deaths during 2020.

Something obviously unusual happened in 2021 to cause the large, and getting larger, disparity between excess deaths and covid deaths last year.

Note: The covid death numbers used here are from the PSA, not the lower ones from the DOH.

Here is a link to an article which explores all this further:

https://supersally.substack.com/p/th...nfirm-aefi?s=r

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday's new cases: 246
The Sunday test number given was just over 35k individual tests. There were 861 positives but only 246 of them were announced. So over 600 cases were withheld. A positivity rate of 2.5% for the day. Interesting that the average rate for the past week was lower at 2.2%. More difficult now to monitor positivity but it is a useful general indicator of virus prevalence and also enables the calculation of the case backlog held by the DOH. Up to the time when they stopped publishing the data daily case backlog was of the order of several thousands. But from a rough calculation it looks to me that backlog has fallen somewhat over the last fortnight.

Deaths: 8
Active: 41,185, down 661

NCR 89 cases and a lower 36.2% of all cases. Only Caloocan City had more cases, just one. Manila reported only 4 cases.

The CL region down 6 to 24, 4A was down 14 to 33. In the provinces Bulacan was up 5 to 13, Cavite down 13 to 15. Rizal unchanged at 11. Laguna reported zero cases.

The NCR together with CL and 4A with 59% of all cases.

WV down 9 to 24, CV down 25 to 8.

In Mindanao the SOCCSKSARGEN region up 5 to 16.

Very small numbers yesterday in all the other cities I follow.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday's new cases: 312
Deaths: 87
Active: 40,412, down 773

Location detail:

NCR added 24 over the day before to 113, maintaining its share at 36.2%. Five of its 6 largest cities added cases. Manila went to 20. QC doubled to 25.

The CL region was down slightly and region 4A went up slightly.

In the Visayas CV was up 8 at 16, WV also up 8 to 32.

In Mindanao the SOCCSKSARGEN region added 12 to 28, its highest report this week so far.

GenSan City had 6 more cases to 15.

Report of local study on diabetes and covid:

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/03/30/...ients-diabetic

Re: NCR llockdown
 

The ONS have looked at the relative risk of death post vaccination for firstly all-cause deaths post vaccination., secondly cardiac related. The top bar is the one to concentrate on.
https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b7b4acdf94.jpg

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3fb4fa17c1.jpg

Basically vaccination makes no difference to the relative risk, 12-29 years.

Dr John Campbell looks at this towards the end of his latest video on the UKs Omicron surge.

Now England 1 in 16 people with the virus, Scotland 1 in 11.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday's new cases: 327
Deaths 134
Active 39,315, down 944

Location detail:

The NCR maintaining a 36% share of national cases for the third day running, with 118 cases, up 5.
Manila notable with 14 more to 34. Otherwise small changes in the other cities, except QC down 8 to 17.

Regions CL and 4A both up by several cases. Cavite up 12 to 20.

The WV and CV regions likewise.

In Mindanao both the Davao and Zamboanga regions up to their highest for the week so far. But only to 14 and 12 cases.

No significant case numbers in other cities to report ......except perhaps Iligan City had no cases for the third day this week. On the other two days just one case each.

A list of areas for Alert Levels 1 & 2 up to April 15:

https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...15-2022/story/

Asian new cases for March 30:

https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d13e0a1741.jpg

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday 29 more cases at 356
Deaths 39
Active 38,320, down 995

Location detail:

NCR up only 1 to 119 and a lower 33.4% of all cases. Four of my big cities lower, one the same and only QC with a few more cases. Unusually yesterday only just over half its cases came from its 6 largest cities.

The CL and 4A regions were both up, the latter by 15 to 62. Rizal 12 more to 19.

In the VIsayas WV had 17 less, CV 10 more cases to 34.

In Mindanao NM, Davao and SOCCSK each had a few more cases.

Again, very small numbers reported from all the other cities I am tracking.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Yesterday cases up 23 to 373
Deaths 26
Active 37,115, down 1,205

Location detail

NCR up 30 to 149 and a higher 40% of all cases, second highest share of the week. Caloocan City highest for nearly two weeks at 20. Manila up 11 to 30.
Will look at the trend in the weekly report but it seems that the NCR numbers are not likely to go down to the very low figures as we are seeing in other cities any time soon The public here not aware of this since the DOH recently drastically reduced the coverage of their data reports..

Around the NCR CL up 17 to 47, 4A down 19 to 43. Only Bulacan up a few cases to 14. Cavite, Laguna and Rizal provinces all down by a few cases.

In the Visayas WV up 17 to 35, CV down 16 to 18.
IloIlo City at 11 cases, highest for the week.

Weekly report following later today.

Re: NCR llockdown
 

Weekly report:

Last week a 21% fall on the previous week. Compared to that week's 18% fall (using figure corrected on March 29) on the week before.

The NCR had an 18% fall, compared to a small increase of 2% for the previous week.
So now not too far off the national fall. Four of its biggest cities fell by between 7 and 55%, but Manila added cases at 4% and Taguig had a 0% change over the previous week.

The CL region fell by 10%, 4A by 20%.
Cavite province fell by 38%, Laguna by 28% and Bulacan by 9%.
But Rizal province was 21% up on the previous week.

Both the main Visayan regions had about 30% less cases.

All except one Mindanao region fell on a weekly basis;
eg NM by 47%, Zamboanga by 42% and Davao by 38%.
But SOCCSKSARGEN had a 4% increase.

All the cities I am tracking had good sized falls except Bacolod with only 7 less cases and Baguio and Gen Santos cities, which each had small increases in cases over the previous week.