Raffin

Announced yesterday were over 500 more cases than the day before at 3,389. And the latest test number down by nearly 2k.
Deaths 15
Active 24,478, up 2,271

Reflecting nationwide positivity up at 14% for July 17-21.

Location detail:

The NCR had 167 more cases than announced Thursday at 1,169. Its 6 largest cities 71 more at 693. QC 219, Manila 31 more at 143, Taguig 37 more at 124, Pasig 96, Paranaque 77, Caloocan 34.

NCR Positivity:

OCTA had predicted NCR positivity was about to peak..but...



Region CL up 42 to 380...Bulacan up 30 to 104, Pampanga 95.
For region 4A an increase of 165 on the day before to 797. Cavite up 116 to 283, Laguna 62 to 242, Rizal 147, Batangas 110.

These 3 regions down slightly with 69% of all cases.

Visayas cases up 80 to 471. CV the same at 175, WV up 51 to 232.
Cebu City 82, IloIlo City 66, Bacolod 12.

Mindanao cases up 15 to 162.
Davao City up 17 to 43.

Two interesting recent videos from Dr John Campbell.
This one on vaccines for 5-11 year olds.


Vaccine effectiveness declining rapidly over time. Singapore data from January 2022.
Though protection against severe disease is given policy makers need to balance that against adverse reactions.

US data presented by the reliable NY Times:



The benefit of vaccination still there in Omicron times, but greatly diminished.


Long Covid....the ONS with some laboratory confirmed UK data


The Omicron percentage a little less than Delta's, he says.

Gazza-d

The child vaccinations is an interesting video but I can't help thinking Dr John is missing a trick. Ok there was 22 adverse events and 5 serious illnesses but not vaccinating would have prevented the 22 adverse reactions but how many would the hospitalizations gone up by.

Raffin

Hardly any at all. From the data given only 30 kids out of 51,995 in the unvaccinated group were hospitalized. Very uunlikely to be seriously ill too as out of the only 5 kids in the study given supplemental oxygen just one was unvaccinated. They don't say if that kid was in intensive care, only that 4 of the 5 kids were.

Raffin

Yesterday well over 200 more cases at 3,604. Latest daily test total up 1.6k to 23.1k.
Deaths 14
Active 25,743, up 1,265

Location detail

The NCR up by over 150 to 1,324 and a higher 37% of all cases.Its 6 largest cities with over 100 more cases at 811.
QC up to 274, Manila up to 159, Taguig 121, Paranaque up 37 to 114, Pasig 100, Caloocan up 9 to 43.

Region CL up 56 to 380...Bulacan steady at 103, Pampnga up 19 to 114.
Region 4A up 132 to 929. Cavite up 79 to 362, Laguna down 25 to 217, Rizal up 30 to 177, Batangas up 12 to 122. Quezon with 51 much higher than recently. Last week averaged 16 a day.
These 3 regions at a much higher 75% of all cases.

Visayan cases were down 69 to 402. WV case number stable but CV down over 50 to 122.
Cebu City down to 57, IloIlo City up 17 to 83.

Mindanao cases up 26 to 188..
Both NM and Davao regions up a little.
CDO City 19, Davao City 45, Iligan City 4...which is unusually high!

Pushing ahead with covid boosters for all seemingly not the answer if you look at Australian and NZ data:


Australia well into second boosters roll out.


New Zealand will soon start second boosters to vulnerable groups. Note the high death rate.

For more on this see the July 22 newsletter from:

https://supersally.substack.com/

Raffin

Weekly update

Cases nationally showing some slowdown in growth...31% (57%).
A total of 18.581 cases.

But as shown yesterday NCR cases, total 6,892, are rising faster again.....last week by 35% (11%)
For its 6 largest cities:
Caloocan 39%
QC 35
Pasig 31
Taguig 31
Manila 17
Paranaque 13

Noting that Caloocan case numbers low at 202 last week.

So how did a national slowdown occur?

Mainly because both the CL and 4A regions showed slower growth:

Region CL 53% (72%) and 4A 33% (57%).
In the provinces of those two regions differing growth rates:
Bulacan 29% (83%), Pampanga 87%
Bataan also with growing case numbers. To be monitored starting this week.
Cavite 39%, (52%) Laguna 43% (59%), Rizal 69% (51%), Batangas 42% (30%).
Total cases 6,607.
Due to its high population the slowdown in Cavite most significant.

Contributing also in the Visayas region WV fell by 4% (rise of 51%). and CV rose by 40% (45%).
Overall 16% (43%) and total cases 2,039.
IloIlo City -20% (51%), Cebu City 47% (78%).

Mindanao overall 61% (54%)
Davao City 19% (46%), CDO City 30% (27%).
But total cases only 1,101.


Dr John presents Qatari data showing the size of the level of protection against reinfection by BA.5 especially if you already had previous Omicron infection.



A negative factor here that the percentage who have never had covid and especially any Omicron virus is much higher. The Omicron wave here earlier this year very moderate.

Raffin

Yesterday cases rose by just over 50 to 3,657. The latest test number fell by 1.3k to 21.8k.
Deaths 13
Active 27,116, up 1,373

Location detail

The NCR with just 3 more cases at 1,327. Its 6 biggest cities 783 of them, down on the day before. QC 290, Manila 147, Paranaque 103, Taguig 100, Pasig 99.

The CL region down substantially to 347, Bataan 130, Pampanga 83, Bulacan 71
4A down a little to 911. Cavite 290, Laguna 253, Rizal 205, Batangas 130, cases.

These 3 regions with a lower 71% of all cases.

Visayas up over 100 to 520 cases.
CV up most.....by 67 to 189. WV up 13 to 243.
Cebu City up 20 to 77.

Mindanao up 21 to 209 cases..
Davao region up 44 to 68, SOCCSK up 17 to 41.
Davao City up 14 to 59.

Latest OCTA positivity report:


For last week.
NCR 16% Friday.

Davao del Norte EO to mandate 2 plus 2 vaccinations:

https://www.sunstar.com.ph/article/1...ed-vs-covid-19

Not to be followed in Davao City:

https://www.sunstar.com.ph/article/1...ealth-official

However I think if this BA.5 wave continues for many more weeks we may see some sort of national policy to try to get people to have more vaccination. BBM is still a believer, despite two covid infections, and the acting Health Secretary is too, despite always saying she is mostly monitoring hospital utilization and that is rising at a slow rate.

When vaccs cards were necessary to enter our local Savemore last year it was around half empty of shoppers most days. Even though in a semi rural area in region 4A claiming a high level of vaccination. I often wonder about significant under estimation of population numbers here.

Philosophical 11

Interesting...

https://greatreject.org/laboratories...ositive-tests/

Gazza-d

Isn't Greatreject one of those wacko conspiracy theory websites.

Raffin

It is.

This is a good fact check:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...in/4085132001/

Bealinehx

Viewing todays SONA activities it was really good to see so many elected representative and senators showing a great example to the electorate by NOT wearing face masks.

Raffin

Weekend fall in testing started so a much lower 2,778 new cases from nearly 5k fewer tests.
Deaths 11
Active 27,625, up 509

Location detail

NCR down by 385..Its 6 largest cities by 426. QC 214, Manila 105, Paranaque 77, Taguig 76.

Region CL down slightly at 341. Pampanga 93, Bulacan 89.
Region 4A down by 270......Cavite 249, Laguna 169, Rizal 115.

These three regions with a lower 69% of all cases.

The CAR up to 89. Baguio City 46.
Illocos region up to 112.

Visayas cases down to 373. WV 185, CV 134.
Cebu City 61, IloIlo City 70.
​​
Mindanao cases down to 166.

DOH weekly report

Cases up by 33% (44%)
My slightly different week had 42%.
Deaths 42 All from 2021!
New Severe + Critical 56 (35)..up 60%
Admitted 666 (589) up 13%,
ICU 21.7% (18.3%)
Non ICU 26% (24%).

Still small numbers but seriously ill patient numbers rising at a faster rate by the week.

Raffin

Some pictures of the little bug---s:




Spike proteins clear.

People say the virus cannot be replicated in the lab.
But not easy to observe as it needs to be in living cells.

Raffin

Yesterday cases fell by about 400 to 2,360 due to low Sunday testing. Nearly 4k more tests reported on Monday at 20.9k.
Active 27,643, up 18 Due to recoveries applied to the total. The DOH back to doing this weekly.

Location detail

The NCR down at 893 but back to a higher share of national cases, 38%. Its 6 largest cities with 2 more at 559. QC 180, Manila up 7 to 112, Paranaque 83. Taguig 81.

CL down to 252, 4A down much less to 621.
Provincially Pampanga 66, Bulacan 71, Bataan 45.
Cavite 199, Rizal 156, Laguna 137, batangas 93.

The Visayas with 143 fewer cases at 230.....WV 107, CV 91.
Cebu City 30 cases.

Mindanao down 17 cases to 149.
Zamboanga and Davao Cities both with 20 cases.

Raffin

Yesterday 2,727 new cases announced. Latest test numbers from July 26 up 3.3k to 24.2k.
Active 27,754, up 111

Location detail

The NCR up by 93 to 986 and a lower 36% of all cases. Its biggest 6 cities with 551 cases and a lower than usual 56% of cases. QC 172, Manila 112, Paranaque 89, Pasig 74, Taguig 67.

CL up 53 to 305. Bulacan 66, Pampanga 68, Bataan 84.
Whereas region 4A down a little to 599....Cavite 191, Laguna 176, Rizal 94.

These 3 regions with a lower 69% of all cases.

The CAR up to 99.
Baguio City 58.

Ilocos 97.
Cagayan Valley 96.
Bicol 65

The Visayas up to 313...IloIlo City 58, Cebu City 38.

Mindanao up to 166.
Davao City 24.
Iligan City 8...the highest daily total there for many weeks!

Dr John's latest video on another bad outcome from lockdown:


A new cause of childhood hepatitis.

Update on Sigapore's surprisingly large BA.5 outbreak:


Cases


Deaths

Raffin

Yesterday well over 1k more new cases at 3,858. Testing numbers down by 1.3k to 22.9k on the 27th.



Test numbers lagging the rise in positivity lately.

Deaths 10
Active 29,897, up 2,143

Location detail

NCR 1,223 but that is a lower 32% of all cases. For its 6 largest cities cases rose to 673, a slightly lower 55% of all NCR cases.
QC 222, Manila 138, Paranaque 112, Pasig 110, Taguig 91.

CL had over 100 more at 413...Bulacan 112, Pampanga 102, Bataan 68.
Region 4A with 301 more to 900...second highest total so far this week. Cavite up 139 to 330, Laguna 234, Rizal 143, Batangas 141.

These 3 regions with a lower 66% of all cases

Notable also in N Luzon:
Ilocos up 59 to 156.
Cagayan up 83 to 179.

In S Luzon:
Bicol over 100 to 114.

The Visayas total up by nearly 200 to 508.
WV up 49 to 234, CV up much more by 119 to 200.
Cebu City up to 94 but the IloIlo City number stable at 55.

Mindanao numbers up by over 100 to 289...NM 72, Davao 64, SOCCSK 66.
CDO City up to a much higher 36, Davao City to 51, but it was 59 last Sunday.
But GenSan City only 9, Iligan City only 4.


Dr Susan Oliver worth watching on Youtube. A few of her videos have criticized Dr John.


Her latest one presents some US data (peer reviewed) showing a very clear benefit of childhood vaccination against hospitalization for fully vaccinated kids (second row). Unvaccinated first row. Although she does say that childhood hospitalization is relatively low. Though perhaps more distressing than in higher age groups.
She also gives good reasons for saying his interpretation of the Singapore data on adverse vaccine effects greatly over estimates the risk.
D John's video was mentioned and commented on here July 23.

Asian BA.5 wave:


Japan cases steep rise.


Japan deaths uptick.