Coronavirus

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Old Jan 26th 2021, 11:43 pm
  #3826  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by Jsmth321
Pfizer vaccine for Canada comes from Belgium, yes.

Astra Zeneca is not approved in Canada so haven't received any deliveries of it.
I read that Doug Ford wants to Kalamazoo to collect some vaccine.
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Old Jan 27th 2021, 12:13 am
  #3827  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by bats
I read that Doug Ford wants to Kalamazoo to collect some vaccine.
Yes he said something about that I think last week.

Issue with the US facility is Pfizer has guaranteed a certain number of doses to the US by July, so they likely simply cannot meet the US agreement and ship vaccine to other countries. No idea what Canada is paying per dose, US is around $20 per dose.
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Old Jan 29th 2021, 3:19 pm
  #3828  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

New Brunswick. Covid deaths doubled since Christmas. More cases in January than the whole of 2020.
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 11:13 am
  #3829  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Where do you check the number of vax in Canada ?
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 3:20 pm
  #3830  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by Shard
Where do you check the number of vax in Canada ?
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-heal...ollout.html#a4
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 3:49 pm
  #3831  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by Shard
Where do you check the number of vax in Canada ?
In addition to the government link posted, CTV also has a site they usually update daily, they also compare where other countries are in comparison with different metrics.

https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/corona...hots-1.5247509
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 5:32 pm
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Default Re: Coronavirus

In addition to JS and my earlier links - this is quite interesting 5 more vaccines awaiting approval. https://www.canada.ca/en/public-serv...s-covid19.html

Calculator - when will you qualify for the vaccine? https://www.omnicalculator.com/health/vaccine-queue-ca
It doesn't take into consideration having an existing 'at risk' condition..
📅 Using these vaccination rates and an uptake of 70.3%, you should expect to receive your two doses of vaccine and get maximum immunity by between late September 2021 and mid April 2022.
Roll out plan for each Province: https://www.omnicalculator.com/healt...e-or-territory
If you get bored, there's another 43 calculators you can play with https://www.omnicalculator.com/collections/coronavirus

.

Last edited by Siouxie; Jan 30th 2021 at 5:37 pm.
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 6:55 pm
  #3833  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by Siouxie
Calculator - when will you qualify for the vaccine? https://www.omnicalculator.com/health/vaccine-queue-ca
It doesn't take into consideration having an existing 'at risk' condition..
.
I did an American one that covered conditions in the way one expects it will eventually be sorted out here and I answered Maine as my state.
This is where I was in a representative line



If the line in Maine was represented by about 100 people, this is where you’d be standing

Here's the link if you want to try it
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-timeline.html
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 7:43 pm
  #3834  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Be careful what you wish for.
I wished for something and got it...just not in the way I expected.
Our tier system runs Yellow, Orange, Red and Locked Down.
In Orange (and red) socialising has been limited to one household bubble.
In Yellow, a 'steady 20' was allowed. It was supposed to be a fixed 20 but one can imagine someone within a 20 would also be part of a different 20.
However, even if everyone followed it to the letter and stuck rigidly with their 20, this could still involve mixing of 5, 6, or 7 households; 10 if it was all childless couples.

When you consider that every household has members who work or in education and they'll all be different to other households making up their 20, that's an awful lot of potential cross infection. Criss cross infection?

I thought the difference was just too great between the two - just your own household or up to 20 people/half a dozen households or more.
Well, they've now closed that difference.

All the province was in yellow at Christmas and it seems people took full advantage of the 'steady 20' and no doubt a bit more.
Once there was enough time for new infections to develop into symptoms and thus testing, we kept breaking records daily for new cases.
We moved into Orange but the case numbers didn't come down when the holiday gatherings infections would have hopefully run their course, nor did they when the move to Orange should have begun to make a difference.

So half the province was moved into Red.

January has seen the Province death figures more than double from Christmas. The new case figure for January is more than the whole of 2020.

Our new case figures have now started to decline but we're still getting more every two days than we were getting in a whole week during December.

Some regions dropped back to Orange. It seems active cases reducing is the reason. It doesn't take much to conclude that a large number of new cases over a sustained period will eventually lead to a large number of (apparent) recoveries/eventual negative tests for those people. And if the rate at which infections have grown slows down, eventually tailing off and actually reducing, then there's going to be a period where active cases fall fairly dramatically and then consistently.

That's good in terms of recovery - putting aside the questions of whether they've really recovered and have no lasting effects.

But it's not a sign of things being back to normal if we're still getting daily infections at a far higher rate than we were before Christmas.

There's actually not a great deal different between Orange and Yellow. The single household - steady 20/several households is the biggest change.

And the province has now announced that in Orange tier, mixing can be extended to include a 'steady 10' which means that new Orange is not so different to Yellow.

They've effectively moved large regions back towards Yellow when the infection rates are worse than when they moved us to Orange.

Sounds like Folly to me.



Last edited by BristolUK; Jan 30th 2021 at 7:46 pm.
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 8:21 pm
  #3835  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by BristolUK
I did an American one that covered conditions in the way one expects it will eventually be sorted out here and I answered Maine as my state.
This is where I was in a representative line



If the line in Maine was represented by about 100 people, this is where you’d be standing

Here's the link if you want to try it
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-timeline.html
Based on your risk profile, we believe you’re in line behind 118.5 million people across the United States.

When it comes to Colorado, we think you’re behind 1.6 million others who are at higher risk in your state.

And in **** County, you’re behind 5,100 others.

Looks like I will be able to get mine on the 8th February

Has been mentioned on the other threads but the WHO have been making a big fuss and if their policy was introduced the timing would significantly extend.
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 10:15 pm
  #3836  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Thanks Siouxie and JS.
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 10:27 pm
  #3837  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by BristolUK
I did an American one that covered conditions in the way one expects it will eventually be sorted out here and I answered Maine as my state.
This is where I was in a representative line

If the line in Maine was represented by about 100 people, this is where you’d be standing

Here's the link if you want to try it
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-timeline.html
Just tried the Omnicalculator for Canada...I'm Sept '21 - Apr '22
UK one is around June '21 if I recall, but hopefully much sooner.

I guess Canada is having supply issues. I wonder if there are any politics behind the slow approval on the AZ vax...considering it doesn't seem to be available.



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Old Jan 30th 2021, 10:31 pm
  #3838  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

I tried that link again.

My wife- When it comes to California, we think you’re behind 2.6 million others who are at higher risk in your state.

Me- When it comes to
California, we think you’re behind 31.0 million others who are at higher risk in your state.

Having diabetes seems to really bring one up the ladder in priority.

My dad who is 63- When it comes to
California, we think you’re behind 31.0 million others who are at higher risk in your state.




Originally Posted by BristolUK
Be careful what you wish for.
I wished for something and got it...just not in the way I expected.
Our tier system runs Yellow, Orange, Red and Locked Down.
In Orange (and red) socialising has been limited to one household bubble.
In Yellow, a 'steady 20' was allowed. It was supposed to be a fixed 20 but one can imagine someone within a 20 would also be part of a different 20.
However, even if everyone followed it to the letter and stuck rigidly with their 20, this could still involve mixing of 5, 6, or 7 households; 10 if it was all childless couples.

When you consider that every household has members who work or in education and they'll all be different to other households making up their 20, that's an awful lot of potential cross infection. Criss cross infection?

I thought the difference was just too great between the two - just your own household or up to 20 people/half a dozen households or more.
Well, they've now closed that difference.

All the province was in yellow at Christmas and it seems people took full advantage of the 'steady 20' and no doubt a bit more.
Once there was enough time for new infections to develop into symptoms and thus testing, we kept breaking records daily for new cases.
We moved into Orange but the case numbers didn't come down when the holiday gatherings infections would have hopefully run their course, nor did they when the move to Orange should have begun to make a difference.

So half the province was moved into Red.

January has seen the Province death figures more than double from Christmas. The new case figure for January is more than the whole of 2020.

Our new case figures have now started to decline but we're still getting more every two days than we were getting in a whole week during December.

Some regions dropped back to Orange. It seems active cases reducing is the reason. It doesn't take much to conclude that a large number of new cases over a sustained period will eventually lead to a large number of (apparent) recoveries/eventual negative tests for those people. And if the rate at which infections have grown slows down, eventually tailing off and actually reducing, then there's going to be a period where active cases fall fairly dramatically and then consistently.

That's good in terms of recovery - putting aside the questions of whether they've really recovered and have no lasting effects.

But it's not a sign of things being back to normal if we're still getting daily infections at a far higher rate than we were before Christmas.

There's actually not a great deal different between Orange and Yellow. The single household - steady 20/several households is the biggest change.

And the province has now announced that in Orange tier, mixing can be extended to include a 'steady 10' which means that new Orange is not so different to Yellow.

They've effectively moved large regions back towards Yellow when the infection rates are worse than when they moved us to Orange.

Sounds like Folly to me.
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Old Jan 30th 2021, 10:35 pm
  #3839  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by Shard
Just tried the Omnicalculator for Canada...I'm Sept '21 - Apr '22
UK one is around June '21 if I recall, but hopefully much sooner.

I guess Canada is having supply issues. I wonder if there are any politics behind the slow approval on the AZ vax...considering it doesn't seem to be available.
There doesn't seem to be, and its expected to be approved within the next 2 weeks. Health Canada is waiting on AZ final submission on the manufacturing processes, otherwise it seems Health Canada is more or less ready to approve it once they receive the data from the drug maker.

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Old Jan 31st 2021, 12:13 am
  #3840  
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Default Re: Coronavirus

Originally Posted by Jsmth321
I tried that link again.

My wife- When it comes to California, we think you’re behind 2.6 million others who are at higher risk in your state.

Me- When it comes to
California, we think you’re behind 31.0 million others who are at higher risk in your state.

Having diabetes seems to really bring one up the ladder in priority.

My dad who is 63- When it comes to
California, we think you’re behind 31.0 million others who are at higher risk in your state.
I tried it for Maine..
Based on your risk profile, we believe you’re in line behind 23.0 million people across the United States.

When it comes to Maine, we think you’re behind 98,000 others who are at higher risk in your state.

And in Oxford County, you’re behind 2,700 others.
and for California
Based on your risk profile, we believe you’re in line behind 23.0 million people across the United States.

When it comes to California, we think you’re behind 2.6 million others who are at higher risk in your state.

And in Napa County, you’re behind 12,100 others.
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