NCR llockdown
Oct 24th 2022, 9:33 am
#1876
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly report:
Last week's % change in brackets.
Cases reported last week fell by 15% (+5%).
NCR cases fell by 26% (-6%).
Taguig -41%
Caloocan -35%
Pasig -29%
Paranaque -28%
QC -25%
Manila -15%
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...ptember/story/
Cases in region CL fell by 10% (-6%)
Bulacan -15%, Tarlac +23%
Cases in region 4A fell by 23% (+4%)
Cavite -28%.
Visayas cases increased by 11% (+42%)
IloIlo city +13%.
Mindanao cases increased by 3% (+15%)
Cases on a downward trend again, but one exaggerated by the low testing:
Latest DOH positivity (red line) to w/e Oct 16th still high at 13.6%. So testing (blue bars) shouldn't be falling.
Last week's % change in brackets.
Cases reported last week fell by 15% (+5%).
NCR cases fell by 26% (-6%).
Taguig -41%
Caloocan -35%
Pasig -29%
Paranaque -28%
QC -25%
Manila -15%
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...ptember/story/
Cases in region CL fell by 10% (-6%)
Bulacan -15%, Tarlac +23%
Cases in region 4A fell by 23% (+4%)
Cavite -28%.
Visayas cases increased by 11% (+42%)
IloIlo city +13%.
Mindanao cases increased by 3% (+15%)
Cases on a downward trend again, but one exaggerated by the low testing:
Latest DOH positivity (red line) to w/e Oct 16th still high at 13.6%. So testing (blue bars) shouldn't be falling.
Oct 24th 2022, 9:12 pm
#1877
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Re: NCR llockdown
Low Sunday testing at 9.8k mainly the cause of only 1,334 new cases announced yesterday.
Active 22,850, down 519
Location detail
NCR down by about 100 to 367 and a slightly lower 28% of all cases. Those in its 6 largest cities down by 70 to 231....QC 101, Manila 35, Paranaque 28.
CL cases down 11 to 160...Bulacan 60, Pampanga 36, Tarlac 24.
4A cases down 37 to 221...Cavite 70, Laguna 62, Rizal 44, Batangas 38
These 3 regions maintaining a 56% share of all cases.
Visayas cases about the same at 239...WV down 15 to 126, CV up 19 to 89.
Cebu City 32, Bacolod City 19, IloIlo City 25
Mindanao cases down 81 to 224...Davao region 74, SOCCSK 63
CDO City 19, Davao City 15. Iligan City 0
Latest OCTA positivity report:
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...cf836fa2752295
NCR positivity falling but increasing to some high and you could say very high levels in several areas.
The latest national DOH positivity to w/e Oct 23 was down to 12.1% from 13.6% the previous week.
Latest DOH Annual Report
Previous week's % change in brackets.
Cases down 22% (+7%)
Deaths 272 (251)
28 in October, 3 Sep, 3 Aug, 1 Jan
In 2021: 186 Aug , 14 July, 19, May, 18 Apr
Again the great majority of deaths from 2021, especially later that year. Which is why I have stopped giving the DOH daily totals. It is not stated if these deaths have already been reported by the PSA, though it seems likely most will have been. The two bodies not coordinating on deaths data.
Severe and Critical.
4 new cases (+4)
Admitted 650 (690)
ICU beds 23.1% (25.0%)
Non ICU beds 26.4% (26.8%)
The national hospital covid utilization continues to be fairly low.
Active 22,850, down 519
Location detail
NCR down by about 100 to 367 and a slightly lower 28% of all cases. Those in its 6 largest cities down by 70 to 231....QC 101, Manila 35, Paranaque 28.
CL cases down 11 to 160...Bulacan 60, Pampanga 36, Tarlac 24.
4A cases down 37 to 221...Cavite 70, Laguna 62, Rizal 44, Batangas 38
These 3 regions maintaining a 56% share of all cases.
Visayas cases about the same at 239...WV down 15 to 126, CV up 19 to 89.
Cebu City 32, Bacolod City 19, IloIlo City 25
Mindanao cases down 81 to 224...Davao region 74, SOCCSK 63
CDO City 19, Davao City 15. Iligan City 0
Latest OCTA positivity report:
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...cf836fa2752295
NCR positivity falling but increasing to some high and you could say very high levels in several areas.
The latest national DOH positivity to w/e Oct 23 was down to 12.1% from 13.6% the previous week.
Latest DOH Annual Report
Previous week's % change in brackets.
Cases down 22% (+7%)
Deaths 272 (251)
28 in October, 3 Sep, 3 Aug, 1 Jan
In 2021: 186 Aug , 14 July, 19, May, 18 Apr
Again the great majority of deaths from 2021, especially later that year. Which is why I have stopped giving the DOH daily totals. It is not stated if these deaths have already been reported by the PSA, though it seems likely most will have been. The two bodies not coordinating on deaths data.
Severe and Critical.
4 new cases (+4)
Admitted 650 (690)
ICU beds 23.1% (25.0%)
Non ICU beds 26.4% (26.8%)
The national hospital covid utilization continues to be fairly low.
Oct 25th 2022, 9:46 pm
#1878
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Getting on for 400 fewer cases announced yesterday at 943. ABS-CBN say lowest since July 5. Latest testing Monday up 3.6k to 13.4k.
Active 21,924, down 926
Location detail
NCR at 248 cases and a lower 26% of all cases.142 of them in the 6 cities. QC 56, Manila 32.
CL down 50 to 110......Bulacan 52, N Ecija 23
4A down 60 to 161......Cavite up 16 to 86, Laguna 25, Rizal 24, Batangas 21.
These 3 regions with a lower 55% of all cases.
Elsewhere
Yesterday's missing reports in brackets.
CAR 34 (24)
Ilocos 35 (34)
Cagayan 20 (28)
Bicol 15 (30)
Visayas cases down by nearly 100 to 138......WV 83, CV 40.
Mindanao cases down by nearly 50 to 175......NM 36, Davao region 70, SOCCSK 33.
Indoor mask wearing relaxation announcement expected from the President
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/25/...doors-official
New appointments by the President at the Department of Health:
A former head of the PNP appointed as an Under Secretary.
Leading to this sort of thing on Social Media:
Joining 4 doctors,.the majority from one hospital in Manila.....San Lazaro.... and a CPA. Could not find out the profession of one other member.
UK ONS data:
The ONS often referred to as a gold standard organisation in national statistics. But Dr John put out a very interesting interview with a London University mathematician recently:
Prof Norman Fenton.
The ONS missing 8M people from the population they start from when they estimate using sampling techniques eg the % of the population unvaccinated.
Their current estimate for unvaccinated around 5%...Prof Fenton reckons it could easily be 20% as the majority of the missing very likely to be unvaccianted.
For me this adds to the superiority of ZOE type data, even allowing for it being self reported.
UK infections:
The latest ZOE chart looks like this for UK covid infections:
Projecting a downward trend for the rest of the year.
Prof Tim Spector reckons the main reason is that the level of personal contacts there have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Here? Not so relevant as I think they have!
Looks like we have the same downturn here...
On a much smaller scale.
A paper, in preprint but not yet peer reviewed, saying that older people getting impaired long term immunity following booster vaccination:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1....13.22281024v1
Active 21,924, down 926
Location detail
NCR at 248 cases and a lower 26% of all cases.142 of them in the 6 cities. QC 56, Manila 32.
CL down 50 to 110......Bulacan 52, N Ecija 23
4A down 60 to 161......Cavite up 16 to 86, Laguna 25, Rizal 24, Batangas 21.
These 3 regions with a lower 55% of all cases.
Elsewhere
Yesterday's missing reports in brackets.
CAR 34 (24)
Ilocos 35 (34)
Cagayan 20 (28)
Bicol 15 (30)
Visayas cases down by nearly 100 to 138......WV 83, CV 40.
Mindanao cases down by nearly 50 to 175......NM 36, Davao region 70, SOCCSK 33.
Indoor mask wearing relaxation announcement expected from the President
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/25/...doors-official
New appointments by the President at the Department of Health:
A former head of the PNP appointed as an Under Secretary.
Leading to this sort of thing on Social Media:
Joining 4 doctors,.the majority from one hospital in Manila.....San Lazaro.... and a CPA. Could not find out the profession of one other member.
UK ONS data:
The ONS often referred to as a gold standard organisation in national statistics. But Dr John put out a very interesting interview with a London University mathematician recently:
Prof Norman Fenton.
The ONS missing 8M people from the population they start from when they estimate using sampling techniques eg the % of the population unvaccinated.
Their current estimate for unvaccinated around 5%...Prof Fenton reckons it could easily be 20% as the majority of the missing very likely to be unvaccianted.
For me this adds to the superiority of ZOE type data, even allowing for it being self reported.
UK infections:
The latest ZOE chart looks like this for UK covid infections:
Projecting a downward trend for the rest of the year.
Prof Tim Spector reckons the main reason is that the level of personal contacts there have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Here? Not so relevant as I think they have!
Looks like we have the same downturn here...
On a much smaller scale.
A paper, in preprint but not yet peer reviewed, saying that older people getting impaired long term immunity following booster vaccination:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1....13.22281024v1
Last edited by Raffin; Oct 25th 2022 at 9:57 pm.
Oct 26th 2022, 2:17 am
#1879
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Location: Marikina Philippines
Posts: 885
Re: NCR llockdown
A question that I have about the missing 8 million from ONS data. Is the Professor from my old university accurate with his statistics?
The 8 million roughly equate to the populations of Norther Ireland and Scotland. Historically England and Wales have been treated as one for statistical purposes \.
The 8 million roughly equate to the populations of Norther Ireland and Scotland. Historically England and Wales have been treated as one for statistical purposes \.
Oct 26th 2022, 6:29 am
#1880
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Well to get in the 39M population the ONS sample from you have to be both recorded by the 2011 Census and currently registered with a doctor. Some miss the census, then there's 11 years of immigration and some are not with a GP. The official estimate of the population of England is 49M,10 years and above. A missing 8M adults. He made a well founded assumption that at least 69% of them had not been vaccinated. Meaning the ONS estimate of 8% (not 5% as I stated earlier) should be much higher. This is one use of the data set. The ONS make other estimates from it. Generally he is saying the ONS data set is unrepresentative due to bias.
If you download his paper you can see all the ONS could say to defend their 8% figure was that it is difficult to measure the number of unvaccinated.
Accurate? Maybe not entirely and his paper not yest peer reviewed, but he seems to be on the right track and is a well known professor from Queen Mary with 407 publications.
If you download his paper you can see all the ONS could say to defend their 8% figure was that it is difficult to measure the number of unvaccinated.
Accurate? Maybe not entirely and his paper not yest peer reviewed, but he seems to be on the right track and is a well known professor from Queen Mary with 407 publications.
Oct 26th 2022, 10:18 pm
#1881
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Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Cases from Monday increased to 1,121. Latest testing for Tuesday up 1.9k to 15.3k.
Active 21,325, down 599.
Location detail
NCR up 70 to 318 and to 28% of all cases. Those from its 6 biggest cities at a lower than usual 59% of the NCR total.
QC 92, Manila 37. Paranaque 23.
CL 106......Bulacan 37, Tarlac 25, Pampanga 16.
4A up 35 to 196.....Cavite 55, Batangas up 20 to 41, Rizal up 16 to 40,.
These 3 regions still at 55% of all cases, 55-56% for the first 4 days this week.
Elsewhere
CAR up 19 to 53...Baguio City 29.
Ilocos 37
Cagayan 9
Bicol 16
Visayas reports up 94 to 232.
Notably WV almost doubling to 163, CV up 12 to 52
IloIlo City 30, Cebu City 28, Bacolod City 27.
Mindanao cases down 27 to 148.
SOCCSK 44, Davao region 36, NM 25.
CDO City 6...had the highest main city case count from the five I track.
Excess deaths in the young:
From a recent Dr John video. US 0-24 year olds. Crosses indicate recent weeks where they have been above what would be expected. Similar graphic for the UK. Nearly all age groups similar. Reasons unclear, need investigating, but data not getting general attention
Latest E and SE Asian covid data from Worldometers:
Japan small uptick cases and deaths. SK cases low but small uptick, deaths down. Taiwan cases down but deaths up. Singapore cases down, deaths up but low. HK cases uptick from low level, deaths low. Indonesia both cases and deaths low. Malaysia small case uptick, deaths low. Vietnam both cases and deaths low.
Active 21,325, down 599.
Location detail
NCR up 70 to 318 and to 28% of all cases. Those from its 6 biggest cities at a lower than usual 59% of the NCR total.
QC 92, Manila 37. Paranaque 23.
CL 106......Bulacan 37, Tarlac 25, Pampanga 16.
4A up 35 to 196.....Cavite 55, Batangas up 20 to 41, Rizal up 16 to 40,.
These 3 regions still at 55% of all cases, 55-56% for the first 4 days this week.
Elsewhere
CAR up 19 to 53...Baguio City 29.
Ilocos 37
Cagayan 9
Bicol 16
Visayas reports up 94 to 232.
Notably WV almost doubling to 163, CV up 12 to 52
IloIlo City 30, Cebu City 28, Bacolod City 27.
Mindanao cases down 27 to 148.
SOCCSK 44, Davao region 36, NM 25.
CDO City 6...had the highest main city case count from the five I track.
Excess deaths in the young:
From a recent Dr John video. US 0-24 year olds. Crosses indicate recent weeks where they have been above what would be expected. Similar graphic for the UK. Nearly all age groups similar. Reasons unclear, need investigating, but data not getting general attention
Latest E and SE Asian covid data from Worldometers:
Japan small uptick cases and deaths. SK cases low but small uptick, deaths down. Taiwan cases down but deaths up. Singapore cases down, deaths up but low. HK cases uptick from low level, deaths low. Indonesia both cases and deaths low. Malaysia small case uptick, deaths low. Vietnam both cases and deaths low.
Oct 27th 2022, 10:09 pm
#1882
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Over 250 more cases announced yesterday over the day before's at 1,379. Latest testing down 0.9k at 14.4k.
Think more falls in testing will be seen over the next week as we enter Undas. Which is only given one special non working day holiday by central government but involves a large amount of intra and extra regional travel. Extending the time off to about a week for many.The first Undas since 2018 where restrictions have been largely lifted. So likely also to be an infection spreading event.
Active 21,215, down 110....Recoveries 1,357.
Location detail
NCR up by only 8 at 326 and with a lower 24% of all cases. Cases in its 6 largest cities up 11 to 200...QC 75, Manila 41, Taguig 30, Paranaque 29.
CL reports up 13 to 119......Bulacan 53, Pampanga 30
4A up 19 to 215.....Cavite 88, Laguna 43, Rizal 33, Batangas 26, Quezon 19.
These 3 regions down to 49% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR 43
Ilocos up to 72...highest so far this week.
Cagayan similarly up to 44.
Bicol 25
Visayas cases up by about 90 to 323.....WV 167, CV up to 130..highest so far this week.
Cebu City 45, highest so far this week.
Mindanao cases up by about 60......NM 43, Davao region 42, SOCCSK up to 70.
Its main cities all with at most low two digit reports.
Going back to the 2019 pre vaccine covid time:
Dr John presents a pre print paper calculating covid infection fatality rates (IFRs) in a number of countries from antibody data in the early pre vaccine days of the pandemic.
In the UK an Imperial College group came up with an IFR of 0.9%. These researchers calculate an international median rate for 0-59 year olds at a far smaller 0.035%.
Many later decisions were argued as necessary by health authorities from these high IFR estimates.
Think more falls in testing will be seen over the next week as we enter Undas. Which is only given one special non working day holiday by central government but involves a large amount of intra and extra regional travel. Extending the time off to about a week for many.The first Undas since 2018 where restrictions have been largely lifted. So likely also to be an infection spreading event.
Active 21,215, down 110....Recoveries 1,357.
Location detail
NCR up by only 8 at 326 and with a lower 24% of all cases. Cases in its 6 largest cities up 11 to 200...QC 75, Manila 41, Taguig 30, Paranaque 29.
CL reports up 13 to 119......Bulacan 53, Pampanga 30
4A up 19 to 215.....Cavite 88, Laguna 43, Rizal 33, Batangas 26, Quezon 19.
These 3 regions down to 49% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR 43
Ilocos up to 72...highest so far this week.
Cagayan similarly up to 44.
Bicol 25
Visayas cases up by about 90 to 323.....WV 167, CV up to 130..highest so far this week.
Cebu City 45, highest so far this week.
Mindanao cases up by about 60......NM 43, Davao region 42, SOCCSK up to 70.
Its main cities all with at most low two digit reports.
Going back to the 2019 pre vaccine covid time:
Dr John presents a pre print paper calculating covid infection fatality rates (IFRs) in a number of countries from antibody data in the early pre vaccine days of the pandemic.
In the UK an Imperial College group came up with an IFR of 0.9%. These researchers calculate an international median rate for 0-59 year olds at a far smaller 0.035%.
Many later decisions were argued as necessary by health authorities from these high IFR estimates.
Oct 28th 2022, 10:03 pm
#1883
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Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Nearly 200 more cases over Thursday's at 1,551. Latest testing number went down slightly to 14.0k.
Active 21,685, up 470.
Location detail
NCR up to 364 and maintaining a 24% share of all. Its 6 biggest cities with a much smaller share of its cases than usual at 54%. QC 73, Manila 43, Pasig 24.
CL down slightly at 113..... Bulacan 34, Bataan 20.
4A up by nearly 80 to 294.....Cavite 106, highest so far this week, Laguna 94, Batangas 40, Rizal 36.
These 3 regions at 50% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR 53, highest so far this week.
Ilocos 42
Cagayan 62, highest so far this week.
Bicol 23
Visayas cases down by nearly 60 to 266......WV 147, CV 93.
Cebu City 29
Mindanao cases highest so far this week at 326.
NM highest at 77
Davao region second highest report so far this week at 111.
Similarly SOCCSK up to 84.
Davao City 31
The DOH again putting out to the media their most pessimistic upper limit results as the headline from their case modelling rather than the mid range number.So officially reported cases could be as high as 18k daily rather than at about 10k by the end of the year they say. Caused by the lifting of the mask mandate. Presumably the indoor mandate rather than the outdoor? Even if masks are really that effective even 10K seems far too high as many will continue to wear them indoors through choice, or convenience as they are still needed for public transportation.These alarmist DOH forecasts are not going to be believed.by the public To his credit they were not by the President either as the DOH strongly lobbied him to maintain indoor and outdoor mask wearing.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/27/...-mask-rule-doh
Active 21,685, up 470.
Location detail
NCR up to 364 and maintaining a 24% share of all. Its 6 biggest cities with a much smaller share of its cases than usual at 54%. QC 73, Manila 43, Pasig 24.
CL down slightly at 113..... Bulacan 34, Bataan 20.
4A up by nearly 80 to 294.....Cavite 106, highest so far this week, Laguna 94, Batangas 40, Rizal 36.
These 3 regions at 50% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR 53, highest so far this week.
Ilocos 42
Cagayan 62, highest so far this week.
Bicol 23
Visayas cases down by nearly 60 to 266......WV 147, CV 93.
Cebu City 29
Mindanao cases highest so far this week at 326.
NM highest at 77
Davao region second highest report so far this week at 111.
Similarly SOCCSK up to 84.
Davao City 31
The DOH again putting out to the media their most pessimistic upper limit results as the headline from their case modelling rather than the mid range number.So officially reported cases could be as high as 18k daily rather than at about 10k by the end of the year they say. Caused by the lifting of the mask mandate. Presumably the indoor mandate rather than the outdoor? Even if masks are really that effective even 10K seems far too high as many will continue to wear them indoors through choice, or convenience as they are still needed for public transportation.These alarmist DOH forecasts are not going to be believed.by the public To his credit they were not by the President either as the DOH strongly lobbied him to maintain indoor and outdoor mask wearing.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/27/...-mask-rule-doh
Oct 29th 2022, 10:47 pm
#1884
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Cases down by 160 yesterday over Thursday's total at 1,391. Latest testing down 1.4k to 12.6k.
Storm Paeng starting to add to the weekend and Undas effects on test numbers. Both on provision and demand over the longer term as many fewer people will have canceled planned trips to cemeteries and to meet up with relatives.
Active 21,176, down 509.
Location detail
NCR up 37 to 401 and a higher 29% of all cases. Cases in its 6 biggest cities up to a more usual 60% of them....QC 75, Manila 54, Taguig 41.
CL up 13 to 126...Bulacan 40, Pampanga 32.
4A down 50 to 244...Cavite 78, Laguna 66, Rizal 57.
Elsewhere
CAR 19
Ilocos 44
Cagayan 30
Bicol 25
Visayas cases down 5 to 261.
WV again with 147 cases.
CV down slightly to 86.
Bacolod City up 14 to 29, IloIlo City 23, Cebu City 22.
Mindanao cases down 93 to 233.
Davao region 102, NM 47.
Davao City 24. CDO City 19.
Latest ZOE covid symptoms. Broadly consistent with those reported here on October 15. The top 8 can be the same as with the common cold, with the possible exception of Dry Cough. Symptoms such as muscle pains, swollen neck glands and altered sense of smell are not, but unfortunately for the purpose of differentiating from the common cold are much less common with covid.
Long Covid
Latest ONS estimate for the UK 3.5% of the population.
Could we guess 1% here? So over 1M?
ONS estimates of likelihood of catching covid given vaccination status.
The Omicron virus is so good at transmission and immune escape so generally more likelihood of testing positive whatever the vaccination history. First boosters improve the chances significantly in the first 3 months but then only slightly compared with the first two vaccinations when you get to more than 3 months after. Interestingly the unvaccinated with a lower chance compared with the 2 dosed and third dosed after 3 months. Of course, protection against serious illness and death is not measured here.
Weekly report later.
Storm Paeng starting to add to the weekend and Undas effects on test numbers. Both on provision and demand over the longer term as many fewer people will have canceled planned trips to cemeteries and to meet up with relatives.
Active 21,176, down 509.
Location detail
NCR up 37 to 401 and a higher 29% of all cases. Cases in its 6 biggest cities up to a more usual 60% of them....QC 75, Manila 54, Taguig 41.
CL up 13 to 126...Bulacan 40, Pampanga 32.
4A down 50 to 244...Cavite 78, Laguna 66, Rizal 57.
Elsewhere
CAR 19
Ilocos 44
Cagayan 30
Bicol 25
Visayas cases down 5 to 261.
WV again with 147 cases.
CV down slightly to 86.
Bacolod City up 14 to 29, IloIlo City 23, Cebu City 22.
Mindanao cases down 93 to 233.
Davao region 102, NM 47.
Davao City 24. CDO City 19.
Latest ZOE covid symptoms. Broadly consistent with those reported here on October 15. The top 8 can be the same as with the common cold, with the possible exception of Dry Cough. Symptoms such as muscle pains, swollen neck glands and altered sense of smell are not, but unfortunately for the purpose of differentiating from the common cold are much less common with covid.
Long Covid
Latest ONS estimate for the UK 3.5% of the population.
Could we guess 1% here? So over 1M?
ONS estimates of likelihood of catching covid given vaccination status.
The Omicron virus is so good at transmission and immune escape so generally more likelihood of testing positive whatever the vaccination history. First boosters improve the chances significantly in the first 3 months but then only slightly compared with the first two vaccinations when you get to more than 3 months after. Interestingly the unvaccinated with a lower chance compared with the 2 dosed and third dosed after 3 months. Of course, protection against serious illness and death is not measured here.
Weekly report later.
Oct 31st 2022, 12:20 am
#1885
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 21 fewer cases at 1,370. Latest testing well down to 10.0k on the 29th.
Active 20,825, down 861.
Location detail
NCR down 72 to 329. Of those 190 from its 6 biggest cities. A low 58%. QC 90, Manila 40.
CL up 24 to 150.....Bulacan 44, Tarlac 34, Pampanga 33.
4A down 18 to 226.....Laguna 78, Cavite 69, Rizal 39.
These regions with a lower 52% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR up 21 to 40. Baguio City 23.
Ilocos up 6 to 50
Cagayan 31
Bicol up 17 to 42.
Visayas cases down slightly to 256...WV down 14 to 133, CV up 5 to 91.
Cebu City 27.
Mindanao cases up slightly to 241.....NM up slightly to 53, the Davao region also to 108, SOCCSK down 8 to 31.
Davao City 38, highest for 2 weeks, CDO City 18.
Weekly Report
National cases down 27% (-15%).
With the exception of the CAR and Cebu these cases decreases were widespread.
The greatest change in the rate of fall in the larger regions was in CL.
The NCR down 42% (-26%)
Pasig -50%
Manila -48%
QC -45%
Caloocan -42%
Paranaque -41%
Taguig -31%
CL down 38% (-10%)
4A down 32% (-23%)
The CAR up 27% (-2%)
Baguio City up 36% (+16%)
Visayas cases up 4% (+11%).
Cebu City up 20% (-11%)
IloIlo City down 37% (+13%)
Mindanao cases down 17% (+3%)
Davao City down 37% (-12%)
The latest DOH case and deaths charts, by dates of onset and occurrence,
Active 20,825, down 861.
Location detail
NCR down 72 to 329. Of those 190 from its 6 biggest cities. A low 58%. QC 90, Manila 40.
CL up 24 to 150.....Bulacan 44, Tarlac 34, Pampanga 33.
4A down 18 to 226.....Laguna 78, Cavite 69, Rizal 39.
These regions with a lower 52% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR up 21 to 40. Baguio City 23.
Ilocos up 6 to 50
Cagayan 31
Bicol up 17 to 42.
Visayas cases down slightly to 256...WV down 14 to 133, CV up 5 to 91.
Cebu City 27.
Mindanao cases up slightly to 241.....NM up slightly to 53, the Davao region also to 108, SOCCSK down 8 to 31.
Davao City 38, highest for 2 weeks, CDO City 18.
Weekly Report
National cases down 27% (-15%).
With the exception of the CAR and Cebu these cases decreases were widespread.
The greatest change in the rate of fall in the larger regions was in CL.
The NCR down 42% (-26%)
Pasig -50%
Manila -48%
QC -45%
Caloocan -42%
Paranaque -41%
Taguig -31%
CL down 38% (-10%)
4A down 32% (-23%)
The CAR up 27% (-2%)
Baguio City up 36% (+16%)
Visayas cases up 4% (+11%).
Cebu City up 20% (-11%)
IloIlo City down 37% (+13%)
Mindanao cases down 17% (+3%)
Davao City down 37% (-12%)
The latest DOH case and deaths charts, by dates of onset and occurrence,
Oct 31st 2022, 11:55 pm
#1886
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday reports well down to 1,099 cases. Probably due to the latest testing figure, down to 7.6k on the 30th. Though the DOH no longer tells the public the number of tests the daily case count comes from.
Active 20,227, down 597
Location detail
NCR down to 281 and at 26% of all cases. 184 of them from its 6 biggest cities..QC 63, Taguig 33, Manila and Paranaque each had 25.
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...0a0bf41160b751
CL 93.....Bulacan 31, Bataan 16.
4A 181....Cavite 66, Laguna 42.
These 3 regions with 51% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR 25
Ilocos 29
Cagayan 27
Bicol 11
Visayas cases down only 15 to 241.
WV down 22 to 11.
CV up 16 to 107
Cebu City 30.
Mindanao cases down 34 to 207.
Davao region up 9 to 117.
Davao City 34
DOH Alert Levels
Surprising that 32 areas are still under AL2, with its business capacity limits:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/31/...om-nov-1-to-15
Cases must be low in them.
For example Quezon Province 141 Active Cases, pop 1.9M.
Cebu Province 408 Active Cases, pop 5.2M.
Cavite province, under AL1, 1,092 Active Cases from 4.4M pop.
About x3 the rate.
Is it hospitals? Maybe, but in Quezon only 2 facilities out of 18 at "high risk". In Cebu Province only 2 out of 25 at "critical risk".
The Alert Levels were supposed to be under review, by order of the President. No sign of any result from that.
Vaccination progress here:
No enthusiasm for boosters (in dark blue) here. Booster doses at only about 19k for the week to 27 October. So the public do not see covid as much of a problem and much benefit from boosters. Their view supported by the data, although they don't know that.
However Dr Who (Dr Tedros) recently asked the President to maintain the Philippine's Covid State of Calamity to the end of the year. Which he did back in September. Something he won't instigate for Paeng. So the President by his pronouncements not seeing covid as a problem...encouraging business and tourism...but then keeping a State of Calamity for at least 2 months.
https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/168655...ef-asks-marcos
Active 20,227, down 597
Location detail
NCR down to 281 and at 26% of all cases. 184 of them from its 6 biggest cities..QC 63, Taguig 33, Manila and Paranaque each had 25.
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...0a0bf41160b751
CL 93.....Bulacan 31, Bataan 16.
4A 181....Cavite 66, Laguna 42.
These 3 regions with 51% of all cases.
Elsewhere
CAR 25
Ilocos 29
Cagayan 27
Bicol 11
Visayas cases down only 15 to 241.
WV down 22 to 11.
CV up 16 to 107
Cebu City 30.
Mindanao cases down 34 to 207.
Davao region up 9 to 117.
Davao City 34
DOH Alert Levels
Surprising that 32 areas are still under AL2, with its business capacity limits:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/10/31/...om-nov-1-to-15
Cases must be low in them.
For example Quezon Province 141 Active Cases, pop 1.9M.
Cebu Province 408 Active Cases, pop 5.2M.
Cavite province, under AL1, 1,092 Active Cases from 4.4M pop.
About x3 the rate.
Is it hospitals? Maybe, but in Quezon only 2 facilities out of 18 at "high risk". In Cebu Province only 2 out of 25 at "critical risk".
The Alert Levels were supposed to be under review, by order of the President. No sign of any result from that.
Vaccination progress here:
No enthusiasm for boosters (in dark blue) here. Booster doses at only about 19k for the week to 27 October. So the public do not see covid as much of a problem and much benefit from boosters. Their view supported by the data, although they don't know that.
However Dr Who (Dr Tedros) recently asked the President to maintain the Philippine's Covid State of Calamity to the end of the year. Which he did back in September. Something he won't instigate for Paeng. So the President by his pronouncements not seeing covid as a problem...encouraging business and tourism...but then keeping a State of Calamity for at least 2 months.
https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/168655...ef-asks-marcos
Nov 1st 2022, 10:40 pm
#1887
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
A very low 676 cases announced yesterday. Latest test number on the 31st up to 9.9k.
Active 19.930, down 297.
Will reduce the location detail for yesterday and today, at least, due to effect of Undas and TS Paeng:
NCR 141
CL 53
4A 81
Visayas 146
Mindanao 143
Mask wearing:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...ssrooms/story/
Stressed as optional in schools. But let's see if the policy survives its implementation nationwide.
To his credit Dr John Campbell sometimes gets hold of reports that the mainstream media doesn't or is late to.
A US Senate investigation on the origins of SARS 2:
and not through imported frozen food! Very likely from the Wuhan Lab. A lot of interesting data presented in this video about SARS Cor 2, the MERS virus and SARS Cor 1.
The DOH report for last week not out yet.
Active 19.930, down 297.
Will reduce the location detail for yesterday and today, at least, due to effect of Undas and TS Paeng:
NCR 141
CL 53
4A 81
Visayas 146
Mindanao 143
Mask wearing:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...ssrooms/story/
Stressed as optional in schools. But let's see if the policy survives its implementation nationwide.
To his credit Dr John Campbell sometimes gets hold of reports that the mainstream media doesn't or is late to.
A US Senate investigation on the origins of SARS 2:
and not through imported frozen food! Very likely from the Wuhan Lab. A lot of interesting data presented in this video about SARS Cor 2, the MERS virus and SARS Cor 1.
The DOH report for last week not out yet.
Nov 2nd 2022, 9:58 pm
#1888
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday another low total at 775. Latest testing on November 1 down 1.3k to 8.6k.
Active 18,689, down 1,241
Brief location detail
NCR 183
CL 73
4A 106
Visayas 183
Mindanao 182
Dr J Campbell continues with the US Senate report on SARS Cor 2 origin
A Chinese adenovirus type vaccine completes its phase 1 trial much faster than AZs and J&Js.
Virus genome claimed by them only available on January 11, 2020, when it was leaked abroad.
He cites reports that the virus was in California a few weeks before Xmas 2018..As noted by some in the video comments and from my recollection Dr John himself discussed evidence that the virus was around Italy and detected in Spain well before then.
Active 18,689, down 1,241
Brief location detail
NCR 183
CL 73
4A 106
Visayas 183
Mindanao 182
Dr J Campbell continues with the US Senate report on SARS Cor 2 origin
A Chinese adenovirus type vaccine completes its phase 1 trial much faster than AZs and J&Js.
Virus genome claimed by them only available on January 11, 2020, when it was leaked abroad.
He cites reports that the virus was in California a few weeks before Xmas 2018..As noted by some in the video comments and from my recollection Dr John himself discussed evidence that the virus was around Italy and detected in Spain well before then.
Nov 3rd 2022, 11:03 pm
#1889
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's announcement of 782 cases still way down due to the combined effects of Undas and Paeng. Though latest testing on Nov 2 up to 12.3k.
Active 18,392, down 297.
Brief location details
NCR about the same as the day before at 186
Similarly CL and 4A with 75 and 114 reports.
Visayas down 26 to 157.
Mindanao up 31 to 163.
Mask wearing:
Despite the President making mask wearing optional except in indoor establishments and medical facilities and also in certain crowded outdoor spaces it's not clear how it will go.
Both employers in consultation with their workers and schools with parents seem to be being allowed to decide on what to do. Many people also clinging to their masks even when outside in uncrowded areas.
Super Sally wades in on this in her latest newsletter. Especially interesting to see her link mask wearing with learning. Also citing some of the negative health effects. Although her assertion that mask wearing does not prevent infection at all seems not supported by the research I have seen.
Still, you do wonder if in 2 years from now the Philippines will still be notable for mask wearing?
You can receive her emailed newsletters free from https://supersally.substack.com/
The latest Medcram video.
Suggests one simple treatment for some Long Covid patients who feel tired. A common complaint. They may be having dysfunction of fat metabolism in their mitochrondria.....sometimes referred to as the power house in cells.
Latest DOH Weekly Report...AWOL.
Active 18,392, down 297.
Brief location details
NCR about the same as the day before at 186
Similarly CL and 4A with 75 and 114 reports.
Visayas down 26 to 157.
Mindanao up 31 to 163.
Mask wearing:
Despite the President making mask wearing optional except in indoor establishments and medical facilities and also in certain crowded outdoor spaces it's not clear how it will go.
Both employers in consultation with their workers and schools with parents seem to be being allowed to decide on what to do. Many people also clinging to their masks even when outside in uncrowded areas.
Super Sally wades in on this in her latest newsletter. Especially interesting to see her link mask wearing with learning. Also citing some of the negative health effects. Although her assertion that mask wearing does not prevent infection at all seems not supported by the research I have seen.
Still, you do wonder if in 2 years from now the Philippines will still be notable for mask wearing?
You can receive her emailed newsletters free from https://supersally.substack.com/
The latest Medcram video.
Suggests one simple treatment for some Long Covid patients who feel tired. A common complaint. They may be having dysfunction of fat metabolism in their mitochrondria.....sometimes referred to as the power house in cells.
Latest DOH Weekly Report...AWOL.
Nov 4th 2022, 9:54 pm
#1890
BE Forum Addict
Thread Starter
Joined: Jan 2015
Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday a similarly low case report total to those of the last few days, 776. Latest test number for November 3 up by 1.0k to 13.3k.
Active 18,085, down 604.
NCR down 29 to 157
CL down 13 to 62
4A 113
Visayas 113...WV up 15 to 100.
Mindanao 161
Both areas little change.
Dr J continues looking at early signs of the Pandemic. A paper analyzing the results of antigen tests done on blood samples collected in Italy for a lung cancer study started in September 2019. A much higher 12% prevalence than was later estimated by Italian health authorities. Notable that all 959 in the sample were asymptomatic.From this the authors estimate about 1.5M cases in Italy in late 2019. As a consequence case fatality rates greatly over estimated in 2020.
Update on SE and E Asia new cases from Worldometers.
SK cases up, deaths down.
Japan up,down
Taiwan down, up
Indonesia slight uptick, constant.
HK cases may have peaked, constant
Malyasia, up, constant
Not listed:
Thailand..weekly reports, one due soon.
Singapore: cases and deaths low and falling.
Philippines: yesterday's case number not there yet on Worldometers.!
Active 18,085, down 604.
NCR down 29 to 157
CL down 13 to 62
4A 113
Visayas 113...WV up 15 to 100.
Mindanao 161
Both areas little change.
Dr J continues looking at early signs of the Pandemic. A paper analyzing the results of antigen tests done on blood samples collected in Italy for a lung cancer study started in September 2019. A much higher 12% prevalence than was later estimated by Italian health authorities. Notable that all 959 in the sample were asymptomatic.From this the authors estimate about 1.5M cases in Italy in late 2019. As a consequence case fatality rates greatly over estimated in 2020.
Update on SE and E Asia new cases from Worldometers.
SK cases up, deaths down.
Japan up,down
Taiwan down, up
Indonesia slight uptick, constant.
HK cases may have peaked, constant
Malyasia, up, constant
Not listed:
Thailand..weekly reports, one due soon.
Singapore: cases and deaths low and falling.
Philippines: yesterday's case number not there yet on Worldometers.!