Land of opportunity...
#211
Re: Land of opportunity...
Methinks this very young user has a habit of posting economic data on other forums. Just an inkling I have.
#215
Forum Regular
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 90
Re: Land of opportunity...
Sure it does, because it allows consumers to acquire goods more cheaply from abroad than they could if they were sourced at home. They increase their consumption of their goods accordingly, which increases GDP and keep domestic inflation rates low. Their purchasing power increases thanks to the labor arbitrage achieved from the imports.
The alternatives to importing these goods would be to produce more of them domestically at higher prices (higher labor rates), which would necessarily reduce consumption and the business infrastructure that imports and retails them. US businesses achieve growth by selling these imports, which adds to GDP.
"Booming" is a relative term. US exports clearly cannot keep apace with the US appetite for imports, obviously, otherwise the US wouldn't attempt to support such a massive trade deficit. That trade deficit that can only be supported through foreign investment (read: debt.)
The weakening dollar and soaring commodity prices suggest that the system is cracking. Only a textbook idealist could believe that a weak dollar is good for the United States. The US is import dependent and has no basis for creating a trade balance.
If the dollar continues to lose value at this pace, there is no reason to believe that it will continue to remain a reserve currency over the long run, as no foreign treasury will wish to stay heavily invested in a rapidly depreciating asset.
The alternatives to importing these goods would be to produce more of them domestically at higher prices (higher labor rates), which would necessarily reduce consumption and the business infrastructure that imports and retails them. US businesses achieve growth by selling these imports, which adds to GDP.
"Booming" is a relative term. US exports clearly cannot keep apace with the US appetite for imports, obviously, otherwise the US wouldn't attempt to support such a massive trade deficit. That trade deficit that can only be supported through foreign investment (read: debt.)
The weakening dollar and soaring commodity prices suggest that the system is cracking. Only a textbook idealist could believe that a weak dollar is good for the United States. The US is import dependent and has no basis for creating a trade balance.
If the dollar continues to lose value at this pace, there is no reason to believe that it will continue to remain a reserve currency over the long run, as no foreign treasury will wish to stay heavily invested in a rapidly depreciating asset.
Actually trade balance doesn`t mean alot for a one time.
But constantly like in USA it could make opinion of investors that USA haven`t possiblites to pay USA saldo. And make decision to more actual country that could USA GDP down.
#216
Re: Land of opportunity...
I think fonseca mean that weak dollar became USA products cheaper and could "boom" export that results and could growth GDP.
Actually trade balance doesn`t mean alot for a one time.
But constantly like in USA it could make opinion of investors that USA haven`t possiblites to pay USA saldo. And make decision to more actual country that could USA GDP down.
Actually trade balance doesn`t mean alot for a one time.
But constantly like in USA it could make opinion of investors that USA haven`t possiblites to pay USA saldo. And make decision to more actual country that could USA GDP down.
#217
Banned
Joined: Jul 2008
Location: Bay Area, California
Posts: 826
Re: Land of opportunity...
I think fonseca mean that weak dollar became USA products cheaper and could "boom" export that results and could growth GDP.
Actually trade balance doesn`t mean alot for a one time.
But constantly like in USA it could make opinion of investors that USA haven`t possiblites to pay USA saldo. And make decision to more actual country that could USA GDP down.
Actually trade balance doesn`t mean alot for a one time.
But constantly like in USA it could make opinion of investors that USA haven`t possiblites to pay USA saldo. And make decision to more actual country that could USA GDP down.
#219
Bloody Yank
Joined: Oct 2005
Location: USA! USA!
Posts: 4,186
Re: Land of opportunity...
The only problem with that argument is that the US is still running enormous trade deficits, and the devaluation of the dollar has done little to change this.
There is no point at which the US dollar can be weak enough to create a trade balance. We would have to lose our thirst for imported oil and dramatically reduce our consumption of imports to fix it. Or else, we can start paying US workers what the Chinese are paying theirs (something that we attempt to accomplish with illegal migrant labor, but I digress.)
#220
Forum Regular
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 90
Re: Land of opportunity...
(Yes, I understood that.) You are right, I'm sure that's what he meant.
The only problem with that argument is that the US is still running enormous trade deficits, and the devaluation of the dollar has done little to change this.
There is no point at which the US dollar can be weak enough to create a trade balance. We would have to lose our thirst for imported oil and dramatically reduce our consumption of imports to fix it. Or else, we can start paying US workers what the Chinese are paying theirs (something that we attempt to accomplish with illegal migrant labor, but I digress.)
The only problem with that argument is that the US is still running enormous trade deficits, and the devaluation of the dollar has done little to change this.
There is no point at which the US dollar can be weak enough to create a trade balance. We would have to lose our thirst for imported oil and dramatically reduce our consumption of imports to fix it. Or else, we can start paying US workers what the Chinese are paying theirs (something that we attempt to accomplish with illegal migrant labor, but I digress.)
Fonseca wrong that the say that weak dollar is good.Yes this is good 20 years ago and maybe now. Weak dollar make USA like great export country himself. Unfortunatly Without possibilities to cover it. Which shows trade deficit.
But this is only given situation. I think fonseca told about ideal model without credits and strong Trade deficit.
#223
Re: Land of opportunity...
That figure is waaaaaay of. The average salary is much much higher than China. Where are you getting your figures?
#225
Account Closed
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 138
Re: Land of opportunity...
And the fact that these figures are simply bogus continues to be ignored.