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Old Dec 9th 2015 | 10:22 am
  #2431  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

This is, bar none, the worst group of candidates of my lifetime. We've got:
- a fascist billionaire blowhard, d*****bag clown that makes me depressed to be American
- an amoral and chronically dishonest career politician with no convictions and a room full of million dollar "advisers" producing polling guidance that she unconvincingly parrots to the lowest common denominator
- a completely unelectable self-proclaimed socialist who makes sense only if you're a grad student living on dad's dime
- a wet sock nobody who apparently has no real positions, is about as exciting as watching paint dry and whose brother and father were already (extremely dubious) Presidents
- a religious weirdo who has zero experience
- a bunch of other anonymous guys in suits

Last edited by Hiro11; Dec 9th 2015 at 10:25 am.
 
Old Dec 9th 2015 | 10:26 am
  #2432  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

I was just checking the date of the Iowa caucus and came across this interesting graphic in the NYTimes.

It shows the dates plus who won the previous two races in 2012 and 2008.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...ults.html?_r=0

2012 GOP Iowa winner Santorum (in fact he did quite well for some time)
2008 GOP Iowa winner Huckabee (same but not as long as Santorum)

It wasn't until March when things solidified. In other words, current polling is just too early to be meaningful, driven more by amount of media coverage.
 
Old Dec 9th 2015 | 10:58 am
  #2433  
 
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by Boiler
Was there not a previous President who did something very similar at the time of the Iranian Embassy incident?
No, visa sanctions against a country is a world away from a religion. No one issues visas to a religion (The Haj being a possible exception)
 
Old Dec 9th 2015 | 11:00 am
  #2434  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by Hiro11
This is, bar none, the worst group of candidates of my lifetime. We've got:
- a fascist billionaire blowhard, d*****bag clown that makes me depressed to be American
- an amoral and chronically dishonest career politician with no convictions and a room full of million dollar "advisers" producing polling guidance that she unconvincingly parrots to the lowest common denominator
- a completely unelectable self-proclaimed socialist who makes sense only if you're a grad student living on dad's dime
- a wet sock nobody who apparently has no real positions, is about as exciting as watching paint dry and whose brother and father were already (extremely dubious) Presidents
- a religious weirdo who has zero experience
- a bunch of other anonymous guys in suits
Which one is going to lower taxes and fix the Middle East problem?
 
Old Dec 9th 2015 | 11:39 am
  #2435  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Or the earth is flat or global warming
 
Old Dec 9th 2015 | 3:00 pm
  #2436  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by Hiro11
This is, bar none, the worst group of candidates of my lifetime. We've got:
- a fascist billionaire blowhard, douchbag [FIFY] clown that makes me depressed to be American
- an amoral and chronically dishonest career politician with no convictions and a room full of million dollar "advisers" producing polling guidance that she unconvincingly parrots to the lowest common denominator
- a completely unelectable self-proclaimed socialist who makes sense only if you're a grad student living on dad's dime
- a wet sock nobody who apparently has no real positions, is about as exciting as watching paint dry and whose brother and father were already (extremely dubious) Presidents
- a religious weirdo who has zero experience
- a bunch of other anonymous guys in suits

Originally Posted by mrken30
Which one is going to lower taxes and fix the Middle East problem?
None of the above?
 
Old Dec 9th 2015 | 5:24 pm
  #2437  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

When I look at Donald Trump Steven King's "Dead zone" comes to mind. Greg Stilson for sure
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 2:10 am
  #2438  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius
That's too simplistic and silly a response. No one is in that business.
Exactly my point. A silly response to match a silly suggestion. It cannot be done, and even from a security standpoint it should not be done.
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 2:14 am
  #2439  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by Anian
Exactly my point. A silly response to match a silly suggestion. It cannot be done, and even from a security standpoint it should not be done.
Whenever there is a mass shooting, any suggestion of restricting guns is shot down (pun intended) as not feasible. But after a terrorist incident restricting Muslim immigration is totally a great idea. Makes sense.
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 3:30 am
  #2440  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by zargof
So I think I've figured out Trump's game plan.

With Trump's latest outburst about banning all Muslims there was a very important caveat: "until we figure out what is going on." Remember this it will be important later.

So, where are we right now? Trump is saying crazy shit and still leading in the polls. Here's the thing, for Trump's plan to work, it doesn't matter what the subject is, only that's it's crazy. This is because he's: 1) able to sell his appeal as honest and not afraid to say what needs to be said, and 2) keep getting tons of publicity and media coverage. This leads to him staying high in the polls, which he needs to show he's invincible and the inevitable candidate.

Now, he has the GOP by the balls as they have to keep supporting him regardless of what crazy shit he does, as he just has to threaten to run as an Independent because he isn't getting their support and he takes his loyal Trumpers with him and the GOP loses the election. Now if the GOP were to coalesce around another candidate, then all this would be lost as Trump would no longer be leading the polls and would have lost his power. But the GOP is too divided for that to happen.

Anyway, this keeps going on until the primaries. All the while Trump keeps on saying crazy shit, rides high in the polls, the GOP establishment panics, and Democrats think Trump is crazy, but secretly want him to win as it guarantees them victory (some of them even vote for him in the primaries to make it happen).

Now this is the important part. If this gambit pays off and Trump is the candidate, he totally changes tactics. He walks back all the crazy shit. Remember the caveat above? Well Trump then says, it's OK, they figured it out we don't need to ban Muslims. He also claims credit for it by saying they only figured it out because he talked about it. He says similar stuff for all the other crazy shit.

So it's the general election, and Trump has his loyal Trumpers in the bag as well as all the other Republicans who'll vote for whoever the Republican candidate is. On the Democrat side, you have the Anyone But Hillary crowd who are going to sit this out, or may even vote for Trump, plus the Bernie fanatics who are going to write in Sanders. I'm not sure what the numbers are and how many swing voters he'll need. In order to get them he'll go all out on the populism (job/ponies for everyone etc.), while trashing Hillary (untrustworthy, Wall St, Benghazi, etc). It's enough to persuade the swing voters and say hello to President Trump.

Now, I'm not sure what his real agenda is once elected, and frankly I'm not sure he knows himself. Rather it's an ego trip to prove he can do it. Not that it really matters as he'll have no support in Congress to get anything done anyway.

Even if it doesn't work, he can still Palin the shit out of all the publicity and hawk whatever tat he's trying to sell next.

That's all reasonable if you believe he actually wants to be president. I don't think he ran to be president, I think he ran because he's a bored old attention whore and he needed to be back in the spotlight. Now that he's figuring out he's got a decent chance of winning the nomination, will he stick around or intentionally sabotage his own campaign? If he decides to stay around then, yes, he will walk back all of the crazy shit he's said but you can't unring certain bells. It won't work.
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 3:36 am
  #2441  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius
Zargof touched on an important point, i.e. that Trump really only called for hitting the Pause button with respect to immigration of Muslims. From a security standpoint, that makes sense, and all the Republican candidates screaming Hillary talking points about Trump are digging their political graves. Only Cruz was smart enough to refrain from piling on. I predict he ends up as the party's candidate and better than even chance he wins the Presidency.

Trump has opened a dialogue with the American people where perhaps more than 60% agree with him. Part of the frustration leading to that groundswell is that the political elites of both parties are chanting identical mantras - same as in Europe, which is why the Front National Party in France came in first in last Sunday's elections, and why elections in Germany are likely to see the fall of Merkel as well as the Socialists.
That's 60% of Republican primary voters that have been polled. That's not even 60% of the broader Republican party much less the whole country.
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 3:38 am
  #2442  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by zargof
Whenever there is a mass shooting, any suggestion of restricting guns is shot down (pun intended) as not feasible. But after a terrorist incident restricting Muslim immigration is totally a great idea. Makes sense.
Not just immigration, but all Muslim visitors as well.

Good to see Kareem calling Trump out:

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar: Donald Trump, ISIS's Candidate
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 4:36 am
  #2443  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Trump is directly responsible, Kristallnacht!

Texans begin nightly smashing windows of Muslim family only six weeks after they move in
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 5:19 am
  #2444  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by sir_eccles
Interesting, but not unsurprising.

But I did see this story on the same site. It appears Lou Dobbs doesn't do irony.

Fox’s Lou Dobbs lashes out at zombie nativity: ‘If you’re going to mock a religion, choose Islam’
 
Old Dec 10th 2015 | 5:57 am
  #2445  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Ted Cruz says something sensible shocker!

Ted Cruz rejects demands to revive NSA surveillance after San Bernardino | US news | The Guardian
 


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