Re: 2020 Election
 

538 reckons four in states won by Trump will not. That's out of 47. Presumably no Republican senator will vote guilty.

Re: 2020 Election
 

Well if Dems vote innocent then that rather does away with the backbone issue.

Re: 2020 Election
 

91% versus 0% seems a slight difference to me. But it certainly does illustrate the hold that Trump has over 40% or more of the country.

https://www.esquire.com/news-politic...enators-trump/

Re: 2020 Election
 

Great to see that a lifelong socialist is now the favourite to be the Democratic nominee!

A few days ago it was Biden- maybe Hillary Clinton's attack had the opposite effect to what she intended.

Re: 2020 Election
 

I don't see anything to suggest Sanders is the favourite. In Iowa and New Hampshire maybe?

"Their appearances took place amid signs of growing strength in Mr. Sanders’s candidacy, particularly a New York Times/Siena College poll of likely caucusgoers released Saturday that showed him leading the field in Iowa."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/25/us/politics/joe-biden-cindy-axne-iowa.html

​​​​​​⠀‹https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Re: 2020 Election
 

I looked at the betting odds: Sanders 9/5, Biden 21/10. A few days ago when I looked Biden was the favourite.

Re: 2020 Election
 

Betting odds reflect bets placed as much as anything.Given Sanders has jumped ahead in Iowa and New Hampshire I suspect that's pulled in a lot of punters laying money on him being the nominee.

Re: 2020 Election
 

Not a chance. Iowa and NH don't count for much when the rest of the States get to choose later.

Re: 2020 Election
 

Yeah but you aint seen nuthin yet if that happens

Re: 2020 Election
 

Well at least our life long Socialist will have l Jeremy's shoulder to cry on when it's all over

Re: 2020 Election
 

He lost because of Brexit. And the incumbent here is far more right-wing, corrupt, and unfit for office.

Re: 2020 Election
 

I know that Tom Steyer is spending a lot - I see his ads every day on TV - but did not know the extent until today when I read that Steyer has spent more on advertising in Nevada than all of the ad spending of Biden, Warren, and Klobuchar combined in their entire national campaigns. Democratic candidates have spent a total of $11.6 million in Nevada, of which $10.4 million was spent by Steyer.
Steyer's positions seem fine to me (not that I have a vote).

Re: 2020 Election
 

Do those figures include Bloomberg or do they date form before his ad-blitz started?

Re: 2020 Election
 

Bloomberg is skipping the first four states, so spending money there would be a waste.

Re: 2020 Election
 

So anybody thinking of hiring the Iowa Democratic Caucus to organize their piss up at a brewery:rofl: