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EU Referendum

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Old Feb 21st 2016 | 6:28 am
  #106  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

BBC update ...

http://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-35601369

"Boris Johnson is political box office. He is one of Britain's most charismatic politicians. So his decision to support Brexit gives popular appeal to a Leave campaign that has lacked a talismanic figurehead.

And polls suggest that his is a voice that many will listen to as they make up their minds. So the Mayor of London will transform the referendum campaign. But will he transform the result?

Until now Mr Johnson has won his votes as a jovial character in two regional elections. He is now testing his appeal on the national stage in a contest of historic importance. And that matters because Mr Johnson could be our prime minister one day"
 
Old Feb 21st 2016 | 8:25 am
  #107  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by not2old
BBC update ...

Boris Johnson to campaign for out - live - BBC News

"Boris Johnson is political box office. He is one of Britain's most charismatic politicians. So his decision to support Brexit gives popular appeal to a Leave campaign that has lacked a talismanic figurehead.

And polls suggest that his is a voice that many will listen to as they make up their minds. So the Mayor of London will transform the referendum campaign. But will he transform the result?

Until now Mr Johnson has won his votes as a jovial character in two regional elections. He is now testing his appeal on the national stage in a contest of historic importance. And that matters because Mr Johnson could be our prime minister one day"
It's difficult to see team CameronSturgeonGoldmanSachsFTSE100 not winning.
 
Old Feb 21st 2016 | 8:41 am
  #108  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Not long ago we had the 'pundits in the know' posters hinting at the CAD-Sterling rate plummeting to 2.20-2.40...... hmmmm....
Can we have some likewise knowledgeable people suggest what might happen to Sterling if the outcome is Yes and likewise if the answer is No. Those who think the answer will be 42 need not contribute.
 
Old Feb 21st 2016 | 8:51 am
  #109  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

I think it will be 42.
 
Old Feb 21st 2016 | 11:54 pm
  #110  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Boris joining team Brexit has already dropped the GBP-CAD$ exchange rate to $1.93 to the GBP. (XE mid-market rates). We're going on vacation to UK in August, so there may well be a window to purchase some GBP around the referendum date! Thanks Bozzer...
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 1:50 am
  #111  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by jimf
It's difficult to see team CameronSturgeonGoldmanSachsFTSE100 not winning.
Originally Posted by dave_j
Not long ago we had the 'pundits in the know' posters hinting at the CAD-Sterling rate plummeting to 2.20-2.40...... hmmmm....
Can we have some likewise knowledgeable people suggest what might happen to Sterling if the outcome is Yes and likewise if the answer is No. Those who think the answer will be 42 need not contribute.
likely a small investment gain could be had on playing this.

Prior to the referendum could the pound drop to 1.50 Cdn, then right after a NO vote it pops back up to 2.00 Cdn?

Imagine even with a small a $15,000 investment, one would get a 33% gain

Now, if it goes a YES vote, the market would have already factored in the FX based on that outcome. Then, within 30 days of the YES vote, after the dust settles, simply cash out the $15,000 investment.

I'll buy within one week before 23 June, if its in the 1.50 range

.

Last edited by not2old; Feb 22nd 2016 at 1:57 am. Reason: edited
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 2:19 am
  #112  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by jimf
It's difficult to see team CameronSturgeonGoldmanSachsFTSE100 not winning.
wonder how many folks would play this?

What about shorting the GBP:CDN?

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GB...Shorting-Plan/
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 3:36 am
  #113  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by Yorkiechef
The twist in this is that if the scots SNP vote to leave Europe and swing the vote to BREXIT, they would have a very good chance of getting another referendum on independance on the grounds of wishing to remain in Europe. Truly bazaar.
The SNP are Europhiles through and through. Their 'independence' demands consisted of being ruled by Brussels rather than Westminster. Because FREEDOM!

I could easily see a majority in England voting to leave the EU, but Britain forced to remain because the Scots vote to stay. That would just accelerate the breakup of the UK.
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 3:56 am
  #114  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by MarkG
The SNP are Europhiles through and through. Their 'independence' demands consisted of being ruled by Brussels rather than Westminster. Because FREEDOM!

I could easily see a majority in England voting to leave the EU, but Britain forced to remain because the Scots vote to stay. That would just accelerate the breakup of the UK.
This was my point last year - if the Scots had left, the RoUK is much more likely to leave Europe, giving some of us a choice between a RoUK citizenship or Scottish/European. I knew which one I'd take (buy since have discovered you can actually retain both).
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 4:16 am
  #115  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Boris with Galloway and Farage. There is a trio !
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 10:24 am
  #116  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by scot47
Boris with Galloway and Farage. There is a trio !
I saw Galloway on the Sunday Politics Show just over a week ago on the same panel as Stephensonofneilandglenys with Andrew Neil asking them questions on Brexit. Galloway was the only one who spoke with any clarity on the issue. No doubt Stephen will expect to further follow in the steps of his parents.
 
Old Feb 22nd 2016 | 12:52 pm
  #117  
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I see that sterling dropped a little today on the Boris and referendum news.
A cynic might wonder how many of his school and city chums might have made a few quid, knowing the man and chatting to him as they do.
 
Old Feb 23rd 2016 | 3:59 am
  #118  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

So there is a "Charter of Fundamental Rights" where the British opt out appears to have no legal force?

The crucial missing part of Cameron's EU deal » The Spectator

Boris may get some of his legal advice close to home.....
 
Old Feb 23rd 2016 | 8:53 am
  #119  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

Originally Posted by jimf
So there is a "Charter of Fundamental Rights" where the British opt out appears to have no legal force?

The crucial missing part of Cameron's EU deal » The Spectator

Boris may get some of his legal advice close to home.....
Does the UK have any less control over its laws than Germany does?

Is this a bad thing?
 
Old Feb 25th 2016 | 9:24 am
  #120  
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Default Re: EU Referendum

David Owen for Brexit now...

If the arch-Europhile Lord Owen wants out of the EU, it should make us all stop and think - Telegraph
 


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