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Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by Capo Boi
(Post 11966537)
From a 'shoe in' two weeks ago, the 'Remain' vote continues to lose ground according to the financial markets and the bookmaking fraternity. Probability of a Remain vote is now down to just under 70%.
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Re: "Brexit"
The same thing happened in the Scottish referendum, there was a brief panic and the status quo prevailed comfortably.
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Re: "Brexit"
I'd anticipated this:
PM urged to reopen free movement discussion if UK stays in EU | Politics | The Guardian The other thing is cutting 'benefits' for foreigners (e.g. health care). They both might be dangerous for UK nationals in Italy. |
Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by Sancho
(Post 11969718)
I'd anticipated this:
PM urged to reopen free movement discussion if UK stays in EU | Politics | The Guardian The other thing is cutting 'benefits' for foreigners (e.g. health care). They both might be dangerous for UK nationals in Italy. |
Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by Sancho
(Post 11969718)
I'd anticipated this:
PM urged to reopen free movement discussion if UK stays in EU | Politics | The Guardian The other thing is cutting 'benefits' for foreigners (e.g. health care). They both might be dangerous for UK nationals in Italy. |
Re: "Brexit"
Interesting thread, been watching it, good that it has managed to stay polite and reasoned.
Few rambly thoughts from me - good posts from jonwel and modicasa in particular on the smoke and mirrors job on the supposed strength of the brit economy. I do wish some of the folks in the public (not on here) debate would stop rabbitting on about how great the brit economy is and how envied abroad - maybe they could explain to some of those foreigners why this uber successful powerhouse is closing (or handing to volunteers) loads of libraries across the country that have served their communities since victorian times through two world wars, various recessions, depressions and near national bancruptcy post WWII. And why many rural (and not so rural) places outside the blessed south east and london are losing their last bus links with the outside world, services that have run for decades. Leaving many an old person effectively stuck at home full stop to admire their free bus pass on the mantelpiece. I will vote to stay, with a certain reluctance. Don't like the way europe is going in many ways and can see real problems for it down the line as disaffected sectors of society and individuals see it as unresponsive. I don't think the debate is as simple as some would have you believe - not all brexiters are xenophobic headbangers by a long stretch. I know thoughtful folk, folk on the left, others, who have severe issues with europe. And pretty recent immigrants to the UK who are for brexit. Yes, boris is a charlatan, always has been. Has managed to captivate an amazing number of folk who I would have thought intelligent. |
Re: "Brexit"
Unfortunately both sides have duped people into choosing between a gang of thieves in Brussels and a gang of thieves at Westminster...
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Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by jonwel
(Post 11971139)
Unfortunately both sides have duped people into choosing between a gang of thieves in Brussels and a gang of thieves at Westminster...
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Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by ononno
(Post 11971169)
and what other choice is there??
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Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by jonwel
(Post 11971807)
To give both gangs (who are actually the same gang) a kick up the backside! Unfortunately that takes a lot of work...
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Re: "Brexit"
Brexit continues to gain ground. Markets pricing in a 36% chance of a 'Leave' victory. William Hill for example, pricing similar 36% probability up from 12% three weeks ago.
http://www.cityam.com/243160/william...odds-on-brexit |
Re: "Brexit"
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Re: "Brexit"
Originally Posted by Sancho
(Post 11972142)
What would leaving the EU mean for the Brits? Tusk: The leave campaign contains a very clear message: "Let us leave, nothing will change, everything will stay as before". Well, it will not. Not only economic implications will be negative for the UK, but first and foremost geopolitical. Do you know why these consequences are so dangerous? Because in the long-term they are completely unpredictable. As a historian, I am afraid this could in fact be the start of the process of destruction of not only the EU but also of the Western political civilization. |
Re: "Brexit"
Western (and world) civilisation is indeed threatened by the worst economic crisis for 200 years, basically since capitalism began. Brexit could be a contributing cause, but only because the whole structure is headed for collapse anyway. In or out, there are hard times ahead. We should start looking for an alternative rather than running after illusory solutions (stay or leave).
I hope the vote will be to stay, but only because I don't want to give an extra push towards collapse. The sun's not going to shine just because of that vote. |
Re: "Brexit"
A few minutes ago -
EU referendum: leave takes six-point lead in Guardian/ICM polls | Politics | The Guardian Think I'll go and hide in the shed. |
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