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-   -   Nuclear Meltdown? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/barbie-92/nuclear-meltdown-708987/)

paulry Mar 17th 2011 2:02 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by Vegemite Kids (Post 9246106)
I wonder if the Japanese Govt will set up a fund to take care of them and their families after all this is over? I hope so.

I would think so. Possibly older people/people without families would be more likely to be coming forward to help too. What a terrible triple tragedy it all is. It's really is a job for someone who's already terminally ill. I wonder if there are such stories that'll be revealed later on.

newjersey Mar 17th 2011 2:25 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by lesleys (Post 9245786)
I haven't read the whole thread :o but here are some statistics

Energy Source Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

Coal – world average 161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
Coal – China 278
Coal – USA 15
Oil 36 (36% of world energy)
Natural Gas 4 (21% of world energy)
Biofuel/Biomass 12
Peat 12
Solar (rooftop) 0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
Wind 0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
Hydro 0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
Hydro - world including Banqiao) 1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
Nuclear 0.04 (5.9% of world energy)


Source http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/low...t-hour-for.htm

And

But what about Chernobyl ?
The World Health Organization study in 2005 indicated that 50 people died to that point as a direct result of Chernobyl. 4000 people may eventually die earlier as a result of Chernobyl, but those deaths would be more than 20 years after the fact and the cause and effect becomes more tenuous.

He explains that there have been 4000 cases of thyroid cancer, mainly in children, but that except for nine deaths, all of them have recovered. "Otherwise, the team of international experts found no evidence for any increases in the incidence of leukemia and cancer among affected residents."


Averaging about 2100 TWh from 1985-2005 or a total of 42,000 TWh. So those 50 deaths would be 0.0012 deaths/TWh. If those possible 4000 deaths occur over the next 25 years, then with 2800 TWh being assumed average for 2005 through 2030, then it would be 4000 deaths over 112,000 TWh generated over 45 years or 0.037 deaths/TWh. There are no reactors in existence that are as unsafe as the Chernobyl reactor was. Even the eight of that type that exist have containment domes and operate with lower void co-efficients.

Source http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/dea...gy-source.html

About Chernobyl. I have met some expert guys back in 2000 out of New Hampshire or Rhode island company (not quite important, potential new business), they were investigating big ass disasters on behalf of insurance companies basically, and were involved in Chernobyl. According to them, the reactor blew up during a routine training exercise, conducted by the station themselves. To test all safety layers, some of them were manually shut down to see how the others react, but that time around one of the safeties that remained on failed. By the time they had realized what are they up against, it was too late to do anything.

Bob Mar 17th 2011 7:08 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9245932)
Have you seen the news recently?

Yup...and it's not all that bad.

The rescue effort because of the earthquake/tsunami could do with more news coverage because that's where the real disaster, tragedy and deaths are.

chriswinter Mar 17th 2011 7:17 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by Bob (Post 9246757)
Yup...and it's not all that bad.

The rescue effort because of the earthquake/tsunami could do with more news coverage because that's where the real disaster, tragedy and deaths are.

Seems to me some of these so-called news reporters are really trying to whip this up (are they actually hoping for...some type of nuclear holocaust?).
Am watching CNN and MSNBC..and each and every one of the 'experts' they are interviewing are saying...NO DANGER to this side of the Pacific. I'm with you Bob...I would rather see and hear about the real disaster..then this hoped for one by American media. :frown:

Cape Blue Mar 17th 2011 8:52 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by Swerv-o (Post 9245005)
It's not just domestic energy generation that is the problem. Though there is lots of it needed, you would be unlikely to be able to power an aluminium smelting works using batches of cyclists. For this sort of heavy industrial application, you need a reliable baseload supply.


S

Like windpower with pumped hydro.

I also saw an article recently regarding converting windpower into methane - using the wind electricity to crack CO2 and water to produce methane, which was then stored in the existing gas infrastructure and burnt in existing gas power stations. That would be a very elegant solution if they can scale it.

iamthecreaturefromuranus Mar 17th 2011 9:16 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by Cape Blue (Post 9246938)
Like windpower with pumped hydro.

How many aluminium smelting plants use that approach currently? Any?

renth Mar 17th 2011 9:19 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by Bob (Post 9246757)
Yup...and it's not all that bad.

That's funny. I love your sunny outlook.

Rambi Mar 17th 2011 9:22 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by lesleys (Post 9245786)
I haven't read the whole thread :o but here are some statistics

Energy Source Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

Coal – world average 161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
Coal – China 278
Coal – USA 15
Oil 36 (36% of world energy)
Natural Gas 4 (21% of world energy)
Biofuel/Biomass 12
Peat 12
Solar (rooftop) 0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
Wind 0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
Hydro 0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
Hydro - world including Banqiao) 1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
Nuclear 0.04 (5.9% of world energy)


Source http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/low...t-hour-for.htm

And

But what about Chernobyl ?
The World Health Organization study in 2005 indicated that 50 people died to that point as a direct result of Chernobyl. 4000 people may eventually die earlier as a result of Chernobyl, but those deaths would be more than 20 years after the fact and the cause and effect becomes more tenuous.

He explains that there have been 4000 cases of thyroid cancer, mainly in children, but that except for nine deaths, all of them have recovered. "Otherwise, the team of international experts found no evidence for any increases in the incidence of leukemia and cancer among affected residents."


Averaging about 2100 TWh from 1985-2005 or a total of 42,000 TWh. So those 50 deaths would be 0.0012 deaths/TWh. If those possible 4000 deaths occur over the next 25 years, then with 2800 TWh being assumed average for 2005 through 2030, then it would be 4000 deaths over 112,000 TWh generated over 45 years or 0.037 deaths/TWh. There are no reactors in existence that are as unsafe as the Chernobyl reactor was. Even the eight of that type that exist have containment domes and operate with lower void co-efficients.

Source http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/dea...gy-source.html

Just a couple of questions. The coal figure. Does it include all the deaths for coal. If so then it is dishonest. It should apportion the deaths only for the coal used for electricity generation.

Nuclear. Does it include any deaths from uranium mining?

Chernobyl. It's meaningless to calculate a ration of those 50 deaths and all the nuclear electricity generated between 1985 and 2005 because Chernobyl wasn't operating during that period and I'm fairly sure there must have been some deaths on other nuclear plants during that period.

Sorry, although I'm willing to accept that nuclear power has a lower death rate than coal or dams I suspect that there are some dodgy calculations in there.

Rambi Mar 17th 2011 9:27 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by iamthecreaturefromuranus (Post 9246996)
How many aluminium smelting plants use that approach currently? Any?

Not pump storage but I think there are some that use hydro. One was in the US somewhere. I think they're also building one in Iceland.

Edit: It looks like the US one closed in 2007 but was operating from 1917.

renth Mar 17th 2011 9:29 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 
US, UK Pull Search Teams Out Of Japan As TEPCO Admits Situation Is "Severe"

"This is a severe incident that is occurring right now," the spokesman said at a news conference. "We have vented and used seawater as cooling, followed the accident management plan but this is a very severe operation." The admission comes as plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co (Tepco) continues attempts to stop the six-reactor Fukushima 1 complex from going into nuclear meltdown. "We have to keep cooling the fuel so it doesn't reach criticality," the Tepco spokesman said, adding that radiation levels have barely fallen at the site." Translation: if operation "Irrigation" fails, TEPCO itself confirms the chance of a critical reaction in the nuclear fuel is very high. Which of course would explain why everyone who knows more than the average peasant who just watches manipulated media, is getting the hell out of dodge."

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/us-...tuation-severe

Cape Blue Mar 17th 2011 9:33 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by iamthecreaturefromuranus (Post 9246996)
How many aluminium smelting plants use that approach currently? Any?

Conventional hydro on its own powers lots of industrial plants and is a well known source of baseload and topping power. As the full costs of fossil and nuclear fuels get internalized we will start to see renewables being able to compete.

In order to help smooth renewable intermittency we will need more robust electricity grids and enhanced storage - pumped hydro is already used in some countries to store excess power and is an obvious way of doing this before other more novel techniques like the methane system come on-line.

renth Mar 17th 2011 9:36 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 
"Sebastian Pflugbeil, president of the private German-based Society for Radiation Protection, said Japan's efforts to pull the Fukushima 1 plant back from the brink signalled "the beginning of the catastrophic phase".



"Maybe we have to pray," he said.


Bob Mar 17th 2011 9:36 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9247008)
That's funny. I love your sunny outlook.

As opposed to media hype that's not covering reality?

iamthecreaturefromuranus Mar 17th 2011 9:38 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by Rambi (Post 9247029)
Not pump storage but I think there are some that use hydro. One was in the US somewhere. I think they're also building one in Iceland.

Edit: It looks like the US one closed in 2007 but was operating from 1917.

OK. I thought there may have been a couple using hydro but didn't think too many would use pumped storage. Just how much pumped storage is there in the world?
I only knew of Dinorwig in the UK and I'm not aware of any here in Australia... that doesn't mean there isn't plenty, just that I've never heard of any :)

Sally Redux Mar 17th 2011 9:39 am

Re: Nuclear Meltdown?
 

Originally Posted by renth (Post 9247054)
"Sebastian Pflugbeil, president of the private German-based Society for Radiation Protection, said Japan's efforts to pull the Fukushima 1 plant back from the brink signalled "the beginning of the catastrophic phase".



"Maybe we have to pray," he said.

http://youtube.com/watch?v=7xNSgBkum7o

A big foot will descend and keep the radiation in (which apparently doesn't hurt you anyway :confused:)

http://sawyerspeaks.files.wordpress....monty_foot.jpg


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