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Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

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Old Jun 25th 2016, 8:48 pm
  #361  
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

So what now? Immigrants to be sent packing to wherever they came from ?
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 8:53 pm
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

This apparently from the Guardian comments section. Seems to make sense to me.
"From the guardians comments section:
If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.
Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.
With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.
How?
Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.
And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.
The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.
The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?
Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?
Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.
If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.
The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.
When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.
All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign."
This is the FB link that was shared https://www.facebook.com/tom.short.3...55134392909152
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 9:10 pm
  #363  
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by dc koop
So what now? Immigrants to be sent packing to wherever they came from ?
Invest in infrastructure or maybe civil unrest. But realistically immigration is going to happen, people just get upset when they feel hopeless and not heard. They don't see the benefits of immigration.
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 9:10 pm
  #364  
 
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by petitefrancaise
This apparently from the Guardian comments section. Seems to make sense to me.
"From the guardians comments section:
If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.
Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.
With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.
How?
Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.
And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.
The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.
The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?
Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?
Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.
If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.
The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.
When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.
All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign."
This is the FB link that was shared https://www.facebook.com/tom.short.3...55134392909152
Much of that rings very true. But who do we have prepared to stand up against the popular vote? And what would the price of that be? I'm not sure that's a very good idea.
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 9:31 pm
  #365  
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by mrken30
Invest in infrastructure or maybe civil unrest. But realistically immigration is going to happen, people just get upset when they feel hopeless and not heard. They don't see the benefits of immigration.
What I see of immigrants are those working in fields under scorching heat picking strawberries or oranges cleaning motel rooms or private homes, working in restaurants as cooks or dishwashers. Jobs that no Anglo, black or Asian American would want or bother doing.

Trump however sees them as job stealers a political ploy used by rascals who seek the vote of the less affluent whites
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 9:56 pm
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by Nutek
"Stay" lost it when they tried using FEAR(tm) as their main marketing tool. (imo, ymmv, etc).
I'm not sure about this. Scare tactics abounded on both sides - they were just different. Leave employed fear of EU domination, immigrants, Germans, loss of sovereignty, and more.

Remain failed to offer a case more convincing than "we know it isn't perfect, but it could be worse" - not much to capture the popular imagination there. Leave had catchy phrases like "get our country back" - their advertising agency must have been better. The gap between the catchy phrases and the reality of what people will get is huge, but that doesn't matter during an election, only afterwards.

Now we will just have a divided country full of pissed off people and none of the available options are likely to make it better. We are in for an interesting ride. Still, Cameron's gone, so that's a plus. I only hope we don't get the vile Boris instead.
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 10:06 pm
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Now this is convincing.

https://vimeo.com/135166094
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 10:28 pm
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by Lion in Winter
I'm not sure about this. Scare tactics abounded on both sides - they were just different. Leave employed fear of EU domination, immigrants, Germans, loss of sovereignty, and more.

Remain failed to offer a case more convincing than "we know it isn't perfect, but it could be worse" - not much to capture the popular imagination there. Leave had catchy phrases like "get our country back" - their advertising agency must have been better. The gap between the catchy phrases and the reality of what people will get is huge, but that doesn't matter during an election, only afterwards.

Now we will just have a divided country full of pissed off people and none of the available options are likely to make it better. We are in for an interesting ride. Still, Cameron's gone, so that's a plus. I only hope we don't get the vile Boris instead.
This reads like an absolutely accurate description of the US election, complete with catchy phrases about "Making America Great Again" and scare tactics by both sides. We will get a bitterly divided country full of pissed off people and none of the options to make it better.
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Old Jun 25th 2016, 11:15 pm
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius
This reads like an absolutely accurate description of the US election, complete with catchy phrases about "Making America Great Again" and scare tactics by both sides. We will get a bitterly divided country full of pissed off people and none of the options to make it better.
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Old Jun 26th 2016, 12:56 am
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by dc koop
What I see of immigrants are those working in fields under scorching heat picking strawberries or oranges cleaning motel rooms or private homes, working in restaurants as cooks or dishwashers. Jobs that no Anglo, black or Asian American would want or bother doing.

Trump however sees them as job stealers a political ploy used by rascals who seek the vote of the less affluent whites
In the UK are a lot of Europeans (immigrants) in all walks of life, tech sector, retail, healthcare. I remember watching a TV show about 10 years ago. A Polish doctor would fly to Aberdeen to work the weekend shift and then fly back to Poland for his week shift. Also anyone who has experienced the NHS is aware of the multitude of nationalities. This certainly helps with language issues. Also when I used to work in Education the notices were in 6 or 7 different languages.
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Old Jun 26th 2016, 2:08 am
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by dc koop
So what now? Immigrants to be sent packing to wherever they came from ?
If some people have their way.



Left at primary schools. Thank you Nigel.

Apologies for the double post - I put this in one of the TIO threads too.

Reports of "No more Polish vermin" signs left outside primary schools in Huntingdon | Cambridge News
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Old Jun 26th 2016, 2:23 am
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

The problem with the European unification model was that there is no common language like there is in the US. If people can't communicate, it's difficult.
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Old Jun 26th 2016, 2:24 am
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Old Jun 26th 2016, 2:27 am
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

Originally Posted by Lion in Winter
If some people have their way.

http://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/imag...0062-large.jpg

Left at primary schools. Thank you Nigel.

Apologies for the double post - I put this in one of the TIO threads too.

Reports of "No more Polish vermin" signs left outside primary schools in Huntingdon | Cambridge News
I'm disgusted and appalled if this is true.
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Old Jun 26th 2016, 2:38 am
  #375  
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Default Re: Consequences of the UK leaving Europe

https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...rica?CMP=fb_gu

don't suppose the author is one of us?

This article explains how I am feeling quite well.

I'm not surprised about that awful racist sign left at a school Appalled yes, but no longer surprised.
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