2016 Election
#1321
Lost in BE Cyberspace










Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 13,212
From: San Francisco











My earlier point about the "first past the post" award of 100% of the electoral college votes in 48 states was that it enhances the power of the majority in each of those states and *effectively* disenfranchises the votes of the minority. Without doing away with the Electoral College - the system is established by the Constitution - I would like to see the states apportion them according to the proportion of the vote.
ETA: "First Past the Post" may be OK in UK elections, even if it gives one party that only achieved about 40% of the national vote an absolute majority in Parliament, because we're talking about each single riding. By contrast, in California, for example, almost 12 million people voted and (theoretically) a single vote could end up awarding 55 electoral votes, or more than 1/5th of the total votes needed to elect a President (270). At least in Germany, seats are awarded in the Bundestag when a party exceeds 5% of the total vote, even if it does not win a single seat outright.
And instead of complaining about "disenfranchised voters" etc, maybe the Republicans should modify their policies to make themselves competitive in California, instead of a complete pariah?
Last edited by Giantaxe; Sep 14th 2015 at 2:36 pm.
#1322
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











The Republicans used to love the electoral college. But then the Democrats figured out how to win Virginia, Florida and Ohio, and suddenly now the GOP would like to "fix" it.
The Republicans attack Hispanics, then are astonished that some of those Hispanics vote.
The Republicans attack Hispanics, then are astonished that some of those Hispanics vote.
#1323
Given that electoral college votes for a state equal its number of representatives plus 2 (for a state's senators), with the former distributed proportionate to population, your suggestion is almost equivalent to "first past the post" on a country-wide basis. Which, by your argument, would "effectively disenfranchise the votes of the minority".
Or, alternatively, elections could be run by an independent body as is the case you most other western democracies. Really, one shouldn't have to change the manner in which a President is selected to rid the process of the kind of shenanigans that saw Bush elected in 2000.
The key being seatS, as opposed to ultimately a single individual. So that doesn't make it a good comparison point.
And instead of complaining about "disenfranchised voters" etc, maybe the Republicans should modify their policies to make themselves competitive in California, instead of a complete pariah?
Or, alternatively, elections could be run by an independent body as is the case you most other western democracies. Really, one shouldn't have to change the manner in which a President is selected to rid the process of the kind of shenanigans that saw Bush elected in 2000.
The key being seatS, as opposed to ultimately a single individual. So that doesn't make it a good comparison point.
And instead of complaining about "disenfranchised voters" etc, maybe the Republicans should modify their policies to make themselves competitive in California, instead of a complete pariah?
Without going into the “shenanigans†that got Bush elected, I would point out that the NYT concluded he beat Gore by 547 votes in Florida, which got him elected. Gore probably lost because of the Nader vote (97,000 left wing votes in Florida) and/or the Buchanan vote, which probably cost Gore 3,700 votes in Palm Beach County where the butterfly ballot apparently confused that many elderly Jewish voters, to whom Buchanan was anathema, but they still apparently voted for him. I am old enough to remember the 1960 election cliffhanger that was decided when Chicago “found†some 20,000 votes that flipped Illinois to Kennedy, and where Lyndon Johnson’s people found enough votes, hours after the polls closed, to deliver Texas to Kennedy as well.
As far as California Republicans modifying their policies, are you suggesting they try to out-pander the Democrats? Not possible. Buy blocs of votes by using the public purse? Open the borders to millions of people, 85% of whom they know will never vote for them because they won’t outbid the Democrats? That’s probably not going to happen, so they will have to content themselves with being pariahs.
#1324
Lost in BE Cyberspace










Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 13,212
From: San Francisco











In California’s 2012 Presidential vote, 60% of the vote went to Obama and 37% to Romney. Under my suggestion, Obama would have received 33 electoral votes and Romney 22. As I see it, no one would have been effectively disenfranchised, each side receiving the number of electors in proportion to the vote the candidate received.
Of course, the answer is "neither are disenfranchising at all".
And as I pointed out before, there are solid reasons who the current fptp system has advantages.
Without going into the “shenanigans†that got Bush elected, I would point out that the NYT concluded he beat Gore by 547 votes in Florida, which got him elected. Gore probably lost because of the Nader vote (97,000 left wing votes in Florida) and/or the Buchanan vote, which probably cost Gore 3,700 votes in Palm Beach County where the butterfly ballot apparently confused that many elderly Jewish voters, to whom Buchanan was anathema, but they still apparently voted for him. I am old enough to remember the 1960 election cliffhanger that was decided when Chicago “found†some 20,000 votes that flipped Illinois to Kennedy, and where Lyndon Johnson’s people found enough votes, hours after the polls closed, to deliver Texas to Kennedy as well.
Two studies that concluded Gore won Florida:
Florida 'recounts' make Gore winner | World news | The Guardian
The bottom line is we'll never know one way or another.
As far as California Republicans modifying their policies, are you suggesting they try to out-pander the Democrats? Not possible. Buy blocs of votes by using the public purse? Open the borders to millions of people, 85% of whom they know will never vote for them because they won’t outbid the Democrats? That’s probably not going to happen, so they will have to content themselves with being pariahs.
Here are a couple of clues: maybe calling Mexican immigrants criminals and rapists isn't going to get Hispanics to vote for you? And maybe associating homosexuality with bestiality isn't going to get gays (or a lot of other rational people) to vote for you? Oh, and those two comments are from the two Republican primary candidates ahead in the polls.
Last edited by Giantaxe; Sep 14th 2015 at 3:50 pm.
#1325
Why is a "first past the post" election on a state by state basis more "disenfranchising" than a "first past the post" election of a national basis (which is what you're effectively suggesting)?
Of course, the answer is "neither are disenfranchising at all".
And as I pointed out before, there are solid reasons who the current fptp system has advantages.
Ultimately justices appointed by Republican presidents outvoted those appointed by Democratic ones. I call that shenanigans, especially given the actions of Katherine Harris.
Two studies that concluded Gore won Florida:
Florida 'recounts' make Gore winner | World news | The Guardian
The bottom line is we'll never know one way or another.
How many strawmen would you like to stuff in a paragraph??
Here are a couple of clues: maybe calling Mexican immigrants criminals and rapists isn't going to get Hispanics to vote for you? And maybe associating homosexuality with bestiality isn't going to get gays (or a lot of other rational people) to vote for you? Oh, and those two comments are from the two Republican primary candidates ahead in the polls.
Of course, the answer is "neither are disenfranchising at all".
And as I pointed out before, there are solid reasons who the current fptp system has advantages.
Ultimately justices appointed by Republican presidents outvoted those appointed by Democratic ones. I call that shenanigans, especially given the actions of Katherine Harris.
Two studies that concluded Gore won Florida:
Florida 'recounts' make Gore winner | World news | The Guardian
The bottom line is we'll never know one way or another.
How many strawmen would you like to stuff in a paragraph??
Here are a couple of clues: maybe calling Mexican immigrants criminals and rapists isn't going to get Hispanics to vote for you? And maybe associating homosexuality with bestiality isn't going to get gays (or a lot of other rational people) to vote for you? Oh, and those two comments are from the two Republican primary candidates ahead in the polls.
I admit I tried to stuff as many points (you could think of them as strawmen, if you wish) into as short a paragraph as possible. As for what The Donald and The Brain Surgeon say about Mexicans and gays, well, that's not California's Republican Party. Anyway, my guys are Bernie on the Dem side and Fiorina on the Rep side - neither of them would say such stupid stuff.
I thought we were talking about California's Republican state party modifying its platform to shed what you see as its pariah status; and I'm suggesting it's not in their makeup, for the solid reasons I suggested. Essentially they would have to get to the left of the Democratic Party, and how hard would that be in California?
#1326
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











It's both telling and comedic that not behaving like an overt dumb bigot is considered by many Republicans as "leftist."
#1327
When we first moved to the States from Alberta we lived in a section of Newburgh, NY that had Italians on one side of the street and blacks on the other (I had never laid eyes on a black person before that move). Both sides were dirt poor, all were Democrats, and the Italian side looked down on the blacks. They constantly said bigoted things about the blacks (they used the "N" word back then); and I'm sure it was instilled into the kids, most of whom are undoubtedly adult Democrats now. Fortunately my parents moved us to Pennsylvania after six months.
#1328
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











When we first moved to the States from Alberta we lived in a section of Newburgh, NY that had Italians on one side of the street and blacks on the other (I had never laid eyes on a black person before that move). Both sides were dirt poor, all were Democrats, and the Italian side looked down on the blacks. They constantly said bigoted things about the blacks (they used the "N" word back then); and I'm sure it was instilled into the kids, most of whom are undoubtedly adult Democrats now. Fortunately my parents moved us to Pennsylvania after six months.
#1329
Lost in BE Cyberspace










Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 13,212
From: San Francisco











I admit I tried to stuff as many points (you could think of them as strawmen, if you wish) into as short a paragraph as possible. As for what The Donald and The Brain Surgeon say about Mexicans and gays, well, that's not California's Republican Party. Anyway, my guys are Bernie on the Dem side and Fiorina on the Rep side - neither of them would say such stupid stuff.
I thought we were talking about California's Republican state party modifying its platform to shed what you see as its pariah status; and I'm suggesting it's not in their makeup, for the solid reasons I suggested. Essentially they would have to get to the left of the Democratic Party, and how hard would that be in California?
#1330
Bloody Yank









Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 4,186
From: USA! USA!











Really, this has nothing to do with "get to the left of the Democratic Party", it's about having candidates who don't spew hatred on social issues and have rational policies not driven by the Tea Party crowd. In other words, like the Republican party of, say, 30 years ago.
#1331
Wherever Newt Gingrich is these days you have to think he must be kicking himself that he didn't wait another four years. He could have had his moon base after all.
Oh and the way CNN have been hyping the debate tomorrow, I'm surprised it's not set in a steel cage with Hulk Hogan as the moderator.
Oh and the way CNN have been hyping the debate tomorrow, I'm surprised it's not set in a steel cage with Hulk Hogan as the moderator.
#1333
Two songs Tina could sing about the guy with the squirrel on his head: "Break Every Rule," and "Typical Male."
For the Low Energy Guy: "I Don't Wanna Fight."
For the Randist: "We Don't Need Another Hero."
For Fiorina the Fierce: "Simply the Best."
For The Preacher: "Steamy Windows."
Finally, for the Guy Who Wears Specs to Look Smart: "When the Heartache is Over."
Sing your heart out, Tina! - my favorite: "River Deep, Mountain High" probably doesn't apply to anyone applying for Obama's job on either side of the aisle.
#1334
No, my point comes straight out of Federalist 45, which I'm sure that you've never heard of, let alone read or understood:
Neither can you frankly, Mr. Google.
The State governments may be regarded as constituent and essential parts of the federal government...Without the intervention of the State legislatures, the President of the United States cannot be elected at all. They must in all cases have a great share in his appointment, and will, perhaps, in most cases, of themselves determine it...each of the principal branches of the federal government will owe its existence more or less to the favor of the State governments, and must consequently feel a dependence, which is much more likely to beget a disposition too obsequious than too overbearing towards them.
FEDERALIST PAPER NO. 45
You probably aren't aware of this, but the US began without the Constitution.
The Constitution had to be approved by the states. It increased the power of the national government, and the individual states had to be convinced that it was worth their while. And that included assurances that they played a role in electing the president.
FEDERALIST PAPER NO. 45
You probably aren't aware of this, but the US began without the Constitution.
The Constitution had to be approved by the states. It increased the power of the national government, and the individual states had to be convinced that it was worth their while. And that included assurances that they played a role in electing the president.
The purpose of a Federal Government is to decentralize power. The President doesn't directly represent the States anymore than the Queen represents the provinces. The President isn't beholden to the States in a formal way dictated by the Constitution.
Look at how hard it was for Texas to get standing to try and stop DAPA for example. Read the case law on that one. That is in fact the main point of the DoJ's appeal at this point, that Texas lacks standing.
And anyway, it's not as if the Federalist papers were the final word, there have been 27 amendments and a Civil War since.
You probably aren't aware of this, but the US began without the Constitution.

Strangely yes I am familiar with it because I live in a part of North America that still has them.



