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-   -   2016 Election (https://britishexpats.com/forum/trailer-park-96/2016-election-855107/)

FlaviusAetius Aug 25th 2015 12:39 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Leslie (Post 11732982)
What Trump is doing, and this is why the RNC is horrified, is alienating the Hispanic vote from the entire Republican coalition. He is making this too easy for the Dems. The Democratic nominee, whomever it may be, won't even have to work for the Hispanic vote now. I actually feel sad about that because the Dems have seriously let down that huge portion of the base, on many levels. At the end of the day, they've now been given the choice between (1) the Dems who have taken them for granted or (2) the Republicans who consider them subhuman and want them eradicated from the planet.

I'm afraid you may be right, and that Bush can't repair the damage Trump has done. If The Donald doesn't mount a 3rd party effort, the only way Bush wins is if the electorate has become so polarized on the immigration issue that there is a major shift of white Dems to the Republican candidate offsetting a massive pro-Dem Hispanic vote - but Bush's position on immigration won't make that happen. So the end result seems a foregone conclusion.

Leslie Aug 25th 2015 12:49 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius (Post 11732993)
I'm afraid you may be right, and that Bush can't repair the damage Trump has done. If The Donald doesn't mount a 3rd party effort, the only way Bush wins is if the electorate has become so polarized on the immigration issue that there is a major shift of white Dems to the Republican candidate offsetting a massive pro-Dem Hispanic vote - but Bush's position on immigration won't make that happen. So the end result seems a foregone conclusion.

I remember posting on BE during the countdown between Romney and Obama in 2012. I was wrong about thinking it would be super close --- it wasn't. But, I was right about it coming down to the Hispanic vote --- it did. If the black and Hispanic voters had all stayed home, Romney could have won. But they didn't and so he didn't.

Fast forward to 2016. The fantasy scenario for the RNC is a boring election where the minorities stay home. Trump is activating the Hispanic vote ... on steroids.

sir_eccles Aug 25th 2015 2:48 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
Alienate the Hispanic vote? The only way they could do that would be to kick out the most influential news anchor on univision from a news conference and then talk about him behind his back. Doing that would be silly.


http://www.nytimes.com/politics/firs...d-and-debated/

Leslie Aug 25th 2015 11:30 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by sir_eccles (Post 11733046)
Alienate the Hispanic vote? The only way they could do that would be to kick out the most influential news anchor on univision from a news conference and then talk about him behind his back. Doing that would be silly.


http://www.nytimes.com/politics/firs...d-and-debated/

Yeah, and something that nobody is talking about ... Trump mentioned Ferguson and Detroit when he was lecturing Ramos about gangs and murderers. That's just Trump telegraphing his next dog whistle to the base. We're going to have to start a list:

Mexicans
Chinese
Black Americans

Muslims should be coming down the pipe soon.

FlaviusAetius Aug 26th 2015 2:14 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Leslie (Post 11733299)
Yeah, and something that nobody is talking about ... Trump mentioned Ferguson and Detroit when he was lecturing Ramos about gangs and murderers. That's just Trump telegraphing his next dog whistle to the base. We're going to have to start a list:

Mexicans
Chinese
Black Americans

Muslims should be coming down the pipe soon.

Right. Next Muzzie arrested for plotting something and Trump's on it. After he runs out of non-whites, next up will be the Russian mafias in Brighton Beach (NYC) - for starters. Are you suggesting not only racism, but also zenophobia?

sir_eccles Aug 26th 2015 2:18 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius (Post 11733425)
Right. Next Muzzie arrested for plotting something and Trump's on it. After he runs out of non-whites, next up will be the Russian mafias in Brighton Beach (NYC) - for starters. Are you suggesting not only racism, but also zenophobia?

He is a troll plain and simple.

SultanOfSwing Aug 26th 2015 2:22 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius (Post 11733425)
Right. Next Muzzie arrested for plotting something and Trump's on it. After he runs out of non-whites, next up will be the Russian mafias in Brighton Beach (NYC) - for starters. Are you suggesting not only racism, but also zenophobia?

Is zenophobia the fear of a very specific Greek philosopher, by any chance?

username.exe Aug 26th 2015 2:25 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by SultanOfSwing (Post 11733435)
Is zenophobia the fear of a very specific Greek philosopher, by any chance?

I thought it was the fear of being 'at one' with the universe.

SultanOfSwing Aug 26th 2015 2:27 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by username.exe (Post 11733440)
I thought it was the fear of being 'at one' with the universe.

Fear of the impossible - I like it :sneaky:

zargof Aug 26th 2015 2:33 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by SultanOfSwing (Post 11733435)
Is zenophobia the fear of a very specific Greek philosopher, by any chance?

It's the fear of only being halfway to your destination.

SultanOfSwing Aug 26th 2015 2:35 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by zargof (Post 11733449)
It's the fear of only being halfway to your destination.

If that was a real thing, it'd make for some interesting road trips ...

FlaviusAetius Aug 26th 2015 2:36 am

Re: 2016 Election
 
Texter 1: Hey dude, wanna go hang out with Muhammed at the ice rink?

Texter 2: No way, that guy gives me the creeps 'cause I'm zenophobic.

Texter 1: Don't you mean Xenophobic?

Texter 2: Oh yeah. Whatever.

Giantaxe Aug 26th 2015 4:28 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by sir_eccles (Post 11733046)
Alienate the Hispanic vote? The only way they could do that would be to kick out the most influential news anchor on univision from a news conference and then talk about him behind his back. Doing that would be silly.


http://www.nytimes.com/politics/firs...d-and-debated/

"Last night, Univision posted video of what happened after Ramos was escorted into a hallway. A Trump supporter tells Ramos, "You were very rude. It's not about you. Get out of my country..

Ramos, for the record, is a U.S. citizen."

Univision's Jorge Ramos: Journalists Must 'Denounce' Trump's 'Dangerous Words' : The Two-Way : NPR

Steerpike Aug 27th 2015 4:48 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Leslie (Post 11732922)
I like Jeb and he doesn't scare me. I don't think there's a lot of daylight between him and Hillary, tbh. I wouldn't vote for him but if he won, I wouldn't throw up.
...

My sentiment entirely!


Originally Posted by sir_eccles (Post 11732949)
I might have to get that printed up as a Bumper sticker.

:)



Originally Posted by Leslie (Post 11732999)
I remember posting on BE during the countdown between Romney and Obama in 2012. I was wrong about thinking it would be super close --- it wasn't. But, I was right about it coming down to the Hispanic vote --- it did. If the black and Hispanic voters had all stayed home, Romney could have won. But they didn't and so he didn't.

Fast forward to 2016. The fantasy scenario for the RNC is a boring election where the minorities stay home. Trump is activating the Hispanic vote ... on steroids.

So maybe the Black vote is the wild card this time. The Dems don't seem to be doing much (YET) to court them, and obviously Obama had the inside track last time ... But if Trump moves on to 'Black' issues, and if he takes a 'support our police at all costs' approach, maybe that will stir things up nicely.

Pity the election isn't this year. People have short memories and if things settle down next year, much of this may be forgotten (except the Hispanic issue, perhaps).

sir_eccles Aug 27th 2015 4:59 am

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Steerpike (Post 11734431)
People have short memories and if things settle down next year, much of this may be forgotten (except the Hispanic issue, perhaps).

This is very true. Just looking right now the primary season doesn't start until Feb 2016.


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