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-   -   Pistorius. Guilty or not? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/barbie-92/pistorius-guilty-not-830821/)

Sally Redux Apr 23rd 2014 6:22 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 
George Zimmermann got off. Some parallels. Gun nut who felt threatened.

Beoz Apr 23rd 2014 9:14 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11230863)
I have no horse to get down from but if you look through your posts on this thread it's obvious that you have done a lot of blustering on and not much studying of the case nor do you show any understanding of the South African backdrop and how it differs to the UK or Australian one. Interesting really because on another thread that you contribute to you seem to know where things are at but on this you appear to be quite clueless.

Some argue that the truth might have been a better course of action. Takes courage though.

Fella. I'm purely looking at the evidence, and coming up with an objective view as to whether the judge has enough evidence or not to convict him of murder. I have no opinion whether he is guilty of murder or not. I don't care. What I find fascinating about the case is the complexity. If you are going to throw your expertise about "south African law" kindly back it up with some facts cause right now your word against nothing is useless.

Tegwyn Apr 23rd 2014 5:47 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Sally Redux (Post 11231196)
George Zimmermann got off. Some parallels. Gun nut who felt threatened.

A slight difference, he got jumped by the guy. Reeva was locked behind a door - screaming!

Tegwyn Apr 23rd 2014 5:54 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11231517)
Fella. I'm purely looking at the evidence, and coming up with an objective view as to whether the judge has enough evidence or not to convict him of murder. I have no opinion whether he is guilty of murder or not. I don't care. What I find fascinating about the case is the complexity. If you are going to throw your expertise about "south African law" kindly back it up with some facts cause right now your word against nothing is useless.

Yup, he murdered her alright. Just have to work on premeditated or poor impulse control. Folk did hear screaming but I assume Oscar must be deaf because he could not or chose not to hear it. Any which way you look at it, he shot at her FOUR times. He certainly intended to make sure the person behind that door was toast and he did a good job of it.:sneaky:

Sally Redux Apr 23rd 2014 6:01 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Tegwyn (Post 11231886)
A slight difference, he got jumped by the guy. Reeva was locked behind a door - screaming!

They appear to have both been men with a heightened fear of crime. That seemed to work as a defence for Zimmermann.

I have not followed the Pistorius case closely. It seems weak, but strange things happen in court.

Beoz Apr 24th 2014 2:33 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Tegwyn (Post 11231891)
Yup, he murdered her alright. Just have to work on premeditated or poor impulse control. Folk did hear screaming but I assume Oscar must be deaf because he could not or chose not to hear it. Any which way you look at it, he shot at her FOUR times. He certainly intended to make sure the person behind that door was toast and he did a good job of it.:sneaky:

In regard to your last sentence. Yes indeed.

paulry Apr 24th 2014 4:20 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 
It suggests here that he's an accomplished liar who's managed to wriggle off the hook before.

http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/artic.../#.U1kv6PmSySo

And these interviews suggest that he's received coaching for over a year now - no doubt the best that money can buy. A few really telling remarks too.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9L3f0TtMqQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ut6-X8X7lEA

Beoz Apr 24th 2014 11:16 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11232707)
It suggests here that he's an accomplished liar who's managed to wriggle off the hook before.

http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/artic.../#.U1kv6PmSySo

And these interviews suggest that he's received coaching for over a year now - no doubt the best that money can buy. A few really telling remarks too.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9L3f0TtMqQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ut6-X8X7lEA

That article in the Daily Maverick gives me a headache.

I think I'd far rather read some South African legal journals. You've got plenty of those handy right?

paulry Apr 24th 2014 1:25 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11233292)
That article in the Daily Maverick gives me a headache.

I think I'd far rather read some South African legal journals. You've got plenty of those handy right?

If you think it'll help you get rid of that bee that's buzzing around in your bonnet then yes, go ahead.

Beoz Apr 24th 2014 10:57 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11233395)
If you think it'll help you get rid of that bee that's buzzing around in your bonnet then yes, go ahead.

Ah ha ....... Ding ding.

So what do you think the judge will rule when she gives her verdict?

spouse of scouse Apr 24th 2014 11:13 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 
Thread title - Pistorius Guilty or not?

Doesn't matter what we think, or what we know, or what we think we know, the judge will decide. Anything else is just noise :argue:

paulry Apr 25th 2014 12:52 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11233774)
Ah ha ....... Ding ding.

So what do you think the judge will rule when she gives her verdict?

Depends if she believes him or not. What's your opinion?

ededed Apr 25th 2014 1:01 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11233292)
I think I'd far rather read some South African legal journals. You've got plenty of those handy right?

Well, you didn't give any credence to my opinion, despite the very same thing happening to me less than 3 months ago, so not sure that will help you with your apparent independent deliberations either. (I say the same thing - different outcome. There actually was someone in my house, I checked where my wife & kids were, called security, who turned up after they'd gone with my laptop and wallet. No-one died, because I'm not a trigger-happy psychopath).

FWIW, I think he'll get the equivalent of manslaughter and 7 years.

paulry Apr 25th 2014 1:33 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by ededed (Post 11233928)
Well, you didn't give any credence to my opinion, despite the very same thing happening to me less than 3 months ago, so not sure that will help you with your apparent independent deliberations either. (I say the same thing - different outcome. There actually was someone in my house, I checked where my wife & kids were, called security, who turned up after they'd gone with my laptop and wallet. No-one died, because I'm not a trigger-happy psychopath).

FWIW, I think he'll get the equivalent of manslaughter and 7 years.

The manslaughter and 7 years would be if she believes his story, right? And if she doesn't believe his story it could be about double that. Both of the above would be relatively modest because I'm assuming the judge accepts that he's been dealt a tough hand in life (born with a disability, lost his mum at a young age, etc). But even that can't be taken for granted because relative to the wider SA'n population he's had a life of privilege, good fortune and Oom Arnie.

But it's in Africa ...anything is possible there :unsure:

ededed Apr 25th 2014 1:42 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11233970)
The manslaughter and 7 years would be if she believes his story, right? And if she doesn't believe his story it could be about double that. Both of the above would be relatively modest because I'm assuming the judge accepts that he's been dealt a tough hand in life (born with a disability, lost his mum at a young age, etc). But even that can't be taken for granted because relative to the wider SA'n population he's had a life of privilege, good fortune and Oom Arnie.

But it's in Africa ...anything is possible there :unsure:

Exactly. On all counts. I am convinced he did it deliberately - but I am not convinced it has been proven beyond reasonable doubt. But - letting guns off in a café and in a car, plus shooting through a door when not under a direct threat (even if you know a machine-gun wielding murderer is waiting there) are all illegal here, and they have been pretty well proven. So 7 years should be the minimum he is facing.

paulry Apr 25th 2014 2:02 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by ededed (Post 11233984)
Exactly. On all counts. I am convinced he did it deliberately - but I am not convinced it has been proven beyond reasonable doubt[/B]. But - letting guns off in a café and in a car, plus shooting through a door when not under a direct threat (even if you know a machine-gun wielding murderer is waiting there) are all illegal here, and they have been pretty well proven. So 7 years should be the minimum he is facing.

Yes, the "proven beyond reasonable doubt" aspect is a major issue. Another problem area is the allegation (with supporting photographic proof) that police tampered with evidence at the crime scene.

Bernieboy Apr 25th 2014 7:40 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 
The first shot was lucky,he fired at her 'head',continued on when he knew she was falling,n got lucky again,2 shots killed her,enough said.

Beoz Apr 25th 2014 9:57 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11233914)
Depends if she believes him or not. What's your opinion?

I believe he will be done for culpable homicide with a lot of neglect. There's too much reasonable doubt to go with murder.

That's the point I've been making all along and it seems like you now agree. You have as much evidence as the judge so if your gut feels he committed murder but your head says manslaughter then run with the big organ at the top of your body.

Beoz Apr 25th 2014 10:00 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by ededed (Post 11233984)
Exactly. On all counts. I am convinced he did it deliberately - but I am not convinced it has been proven beyond reasonable doubt. But - letting guns off in a café and in a car, plus shooting through a door when not under a direct threat (even if you know a machine-gun wielding murderer is waiting there) are all illegal here, and they have been pretty well proven. So 7 years should be the minimum he is facing.

So sounds like we are we running culpable homicide then?

Sally Redux Apr 25th 2014 10:01 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234702)
I believe he will be done for culpable homicide with a lot of neglect. There's too much reasonable doubt to go with murder.

That's the point I've been making all along and it seems like you now agree. You have as much evidence as the judge so if your gut feels he committed murder but your head says manslaughter then run with the big organ at the top of your body.

But if someone asks you if you think someone is guilty, that's a gut reaction based on media evidence.

Not the same as saying, "What do you think the outcome of the trial will be?"

Beoz Apr 25th 2014 10:32 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Sally Redux (Post 11234706)
But if someone asks you if you think someone is guilty, that's a gut reaction based on media evidence.

Not the same as saying, "What do you think the outcome of the trial will be?"

True, but isn't it better to rule with your head rather than your gut especially when such lengthy sentences are involved?

Sally Redux Apr 25th 2014 10:39 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234743)
True, but isn't it better to rule with your head rather than your gut especially when such lengthy sentences are involved?

Yes, but I was referring to the thread title.

If I were actually involved in judging him in a court of law of course I would take everything on board.

Beoz Apr 25th 2014 10:45 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Sally Redux (Post 11234750)
Yes, but I was referring to the thread title.

If I were actually involved in judging him in a court of law of course I would take everything on board.

But you would rather think with you gut, where you don't take everything on board? Is that what you are saying?

Sally Redux Apr 25th 2014 11:16 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234756)
But you would rather think with you gut, where you don't take everything on board? Is that what you are saying?

What I meant was that there are two different approaches here:

1. The actual court case. What a bunch of people on the internet think has no bearing on it. It should of course be judged on the evidence.

2. If someone in a bar, or on BE, says, "Do you think Pistorius is guilty or not guilty of murder?", that's just a talking shop for 'gut feelings'.

Swerv-o Apr 25th 2014 11:58 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234756)
But you would rather think with you gut, where you don't take everything on board? Is that what you are saying?


Are you not meant to take on only the evidence that is considered admissable? Cases in the past have been lost where jurors have gone off and done their own research, and judges need to make a decision about what other evidence they are going to allow.

I understand that this is a sole judge decision, but s/he still needs to follow the rules of evidence.


S

Beoz Apr 25th 2014 2:45 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Sally Redux (Post 11234772)
What I meant was that there are two different approaches here:

1. The actual court case. What a bunch of people on the internet think has no bearing on it. It should of course be judged on the evidence.

2. If someone in a bar, or on BE, says, "Do you think Pistorius is guilty or not guilty of murder?", that's just a talking shop for 'gut feelings'.

Right. Gotcha. I'll take No. 1.

paulry Apr 25th 2014 2:48 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234838)
Right. Gotcha. I'll take No. 1.

:lol:

Beoz Apr 25th 2014 3:51 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11234839)
:lol:

OK Paurly. Just for you I'll take your bar room guidance :)

paulry Apr 25th 2014 7:00 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234862)
OK Paurly. Just for you I'll take your bar room guidance :)

:D Only if the beers are on you! :drinkingbeer:

Beoz Apr 26th 2014 1:56 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by paulry (Post 11234919)
:D Only if the beers are on you! :drinkingbeer:

Beers are always on me, except for tonight. Nice cruiser round Sydney Harbour. Engagement party. Groom was very generous. :)

BadgeIsBack Apr 26th 2014 12:05 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Bernieboy (Post 11234516)
The first shot was lucky,he fired at her 'head',continued on when he knew she was falling,n got lucky again,2 shots killed her,enough said.

Absolutely - I don't think the prosecution can really prove that he adjusted his shot for her falling. It woud be hard for anyone.


Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11234702)
I believe he will be done for culpable homicide with a lot of neglect. There's too much reasonable doubt to go with murder.

That's the point I've been making all along and it seems like you now agree. You have as much evidence as the judge so if your gut feels he committed murder but your head says manslaughter then run with the big organ at the top of your body.

The point about culpability along with negligence to say nothing of recklessness (a UK view) is the point I subscribe to as well. He was reckless in the act - (and has been proven negligent in the past).

Beoz Apr 26th 2014 12:14 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by BadgeIsBack (Post 11235684)
Absolutely - I don't think the prosecution can really prove that he adjusted his shot for her falling. It woud be hard for anyone.

The point about culpability along with negligence to say nothing of recklessness (a UK view) is the point I subscribe to as well. He was reckless in the act - (and has been proven negligent in the past).

And that's a point. Previous history of being reckless suggests that is just what he is, rather than a murderer.

moneypenny20 Apr 26th 2014 9:28 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11235692)
And that's a point. Previous history of being reckless suggests that is just what he is, rather than a murderer.

But surely, purely by his recklessness in this respect, he put bullets in a live person who then died so he is a murderer? Regardless of whether he did it by accident or on purpose.

Beaverstate Apr 26th 2014 9:38 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11235692)
And that's a point. Previous history of being reckless suggests that is just what he is, rather than a murderer.

I have not been following this thread but have followed the story. Its damning when you fire 4 times "Accidentally" through a closed door. I also believe he was arguing/fighting with her. My opinion makes no difference and I have no vote, but even in the US he would be convicted of something. I believe its jealous filled rage murder.

Beoz Apr 26th 2014 10:27 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by moneypenny20 (Post 11236049)
But surely, purely by his recklessness in this respect, he put bullets in a live person who then died so he is a murderer? Regardless of whether he did it by accident or on purpose.

I believe if it were an accident it would be the equivalent of manslaughter or culpuble homicide as its called in South Africa. But you have a point. He did intend to shoot something behind the door, but I believe his argument is self defense.

Beoz Apr 26th 2014 10:29 pm

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beaverstate (Post 11236059)
I have not been following this thread but have followed the story. Its damning when you fire 4 times "Accidentally" through a closed door. I also believe he was arguing/fighting with her. My opinion makes no difference and I have no vote, but even in the US he would be convicted of something. I believe its jealous filled rage murder.

He will be convicted. It just a matter of what. I don't think there's any suggestion that he accidently shot. Its a matter of who he thought he was shooting at.

Tegwyn Apr 27th 2014 1:21 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Beoz (Post 11236101)
I believe if it were an accident it would be the equivalent of manslaughter or culpuble homicide as its called in South Africa. But you have a point. He did intend to shoot something behind the door, but I believe his argument is self defense.

Just how threatened are you to shoot someone FOUR times behind a locked door? Then you take a bat to smash open the door to open it so you can face the supposed threatening intruder! Would you not run thinking you have time to escape from the supposed threat.

paulry Apr 27th 2014 2:55 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 
http://i1325.photobucket.com/albums/...ps754985ec.jpg

Beoz Apr 27th 2014 8:55 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 

Originally Posted by Tegwyn (Post 11236269)
Just how threatened are you to shoot someone FOUR times behind a locked door? Then you take a bat to smash open the door to open it so you can face the supposed threatening intruder! Would you not run thinking you have time to escape from the supposed threat.

If I liked guns, had a history of being reckless, and only had a couple of stumps as legs, running may be no go. I don't know, wasn't there, anyhow, how does this prove murder?

paulry Apr 27th 2014 9:14 am

Re: Pistorius. Guilty or not?
 
It all seems to hinge on the push-pull of the two words: "reasonably believe" - Both for the defence who is claiming that Pistorius reasonably believed he was shooting intruders and the prosecution who is saying no-one can reasonably believe Pistorius' story.


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