Wikiposts

Planespotting

Thread Tools
 
Old Mar 19th 2014 | 7:12 pm
  #541  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Pulaski
It's looking, as has been suspected for several days on some web sites I have seen, that the aircrew were dead/ unconscious and the autopilot switched OFF. It was just drifting along, following the laws of physics and being occasionally buffeted by the wind, aided only by the fly-by-wire software that is defaulted to prevent stalls and excessive speed. The alternative is suicide, perhaps even before the plane crashed, which would lead to the previously described scenario. .... That said, given the amount of debris floating around in the oceans, I will remain sceptical until the debris is recovered and identified.
That also sounds like Hollywood since the plane's failure would have occurred right when it was changing airspaces, flew a route that not heavily monitored by radar to the Indian ocean, and then headed south east without likely overflying Indonesia.

It is possible that a lot of data of the planes route may be wrong and a U-turn was made instead of a left turn but then the plane would have likely crossed into Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, and/or Indonesian airspace and would have likely been detected by radar.

Also all communications systems (transponder, ACARS, and voice) quit working but still the plane was able to fly itself for 7 hours seems very Hollywood. Therefore in this scenario, a catastrophic failure occurred that damaged all communications and killed all the people but didn't damage the flying capabilities seems highly unlikely.

Last edited by Michael; Mar 19th 2014 at 8:55 pm.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 12:55 am
  #542  
Pulaski's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 53,356
From: Dixie, ex UK
Pulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Michael
That also sounds like Hollywood since the plane's failure would have occurred right when it was changing airspaces, flew a route that not heavily monitored by radar to the Indian ocean, and then headed south east without likely overflying Indonesia.

It is possible that a lot of data of the planes route may be wrong and a U-turn was made instead of a left turn but then the plane would have likely crossed into Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, and/or Indonesian airspace and would have likely been detected by radar.

Also all communications systems (transponder, ACARS, and voice) quit working but still the plane was able to fly itself for 7 hours seems very Hollywood. Therefore in this scenario, a catastrophic failure occurred that damaged all communications and killed all the people but didn't damage the flying capabilities seems highly unlikely.
Sorry, my description was incomplete. The scenario as described assumes nefarious interference in the navigation of the plane from "Goodnight" to when it turned southwards after being seen by Malaysian radar 200 miles northwest of Penang Island off Malaysia's west coast.

Under that scenario it is hard to see any other probable explanation than suicide, with the plane pointed to an area where finding it would be extremely challenging when it came down; failed theft/ ransom would be a back-up explanation, with the flight crew battling with hijacker and all of them dead or incapacitated.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 4:35 am
  #543  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Pulaski
Sorry, my description was incomplete. The scenario as described assumes nefarious interference in the navigation of the plane from "Goodnight" to when it turned southwards after being seen by Malaysian radar 200 miles northwest of Penang Island off Malaysia's west coast.

Under that scenario it is hard to see any other probable explanation than suicide, with the plane pointed to an area where finding it would be extremely challenging when it came down; failed theft/ ransom would be a back-up explanation, with the flight crew battling with hijacker and all of them dead or incapacitated.
Suicide or hijacking started seeming implausible and that was why I started thinking that the plane might have had a catastrophic failure and crashed someplace around Malaysia. To believe that, I would have to assume that the ARARS pings were probably from some unknown plane and misinterpreted to try to determine it's position.

If the debris off of Perth is not from MH370, then I'd lean back to the possibility of a catastrophic failure with the plane crashed somewhere near Malaysia.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 5:06 am
  #544  
lansbury's Avatar
 
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 10,058
From: Milwaukie, Oregon
lansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Michael
To believe that, I would have to assume that the ARARS pings were probably from some unknown plane and misinterpreted to try to determine it's position.
What about the data stream from the engines going back to RR. They know what engines those came from, and what aircraft they were fitted to.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 5:11 am
  #545  
Scouse Express's Avatar
Thread Starter
BE Forum Addict
 
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 3,770
From: Dubuque, Iowa, USA
Scouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

One theory that's a load of crap, is that MH 370 got close to another Plane, so as it could follow in its shadow so as to obsure it's own Radar Blip.

If that was the case, the Collision Avoidance Radar on the other Plane would have alerted its Pilots to the presence of MH 370.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 6:07 am
  #546  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by lansbury
What about the data stream from the engines going back to RR. They know what engines those came from, and what aircraft they were fitted to.
Aren't those the ACARS protocol layer communications or are there 3 types of data communications coming from the plane (transponder, ACARS, and RR engine pings)?
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 6:09 am
  #547  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Scouse Express
One theory that's a load of crap, is that MH 370 got close to another Plane, so as it could follow in its shadow so as to obsure it's own Radar Blip.

If that was the case, the Collision Avoidance Radar on the other Plane would have alerted its Pilots to the presence of MH 370.
Yah, that one was definitely made up by someone who watched too many Hollywood movies.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 6:31 am
  #548  
lansbury's Avatar
 
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 10,058
From: Milwaukie, Oregon
lansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond reputelansbury has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Michael
Aren't those the ACARS protocol layer communications or are there 3 types of data communications coming from the plane (transponder, ACARS, and RR engine pings)?
RR engine data streams direct to RR via a company in London. The engines stream data as long as they have power going to them. There are a standalone system.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 6:37 am
  #549  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by lansbury
RR engine data streams direct to RR via a company in London. The engines stream data as long as they have power going to them. There are a standalone system.
Too bad that they didn't put in the GPS coordinates in the stream. That probably could have been done for less than $10 per plane.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 6:39 am
  #550  
Pulaski's Avatar
 
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 53,356
From: Dixie, ex UK
Pulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond reputePulaski has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

After more than two years, the title of this thread has, in recent days, taken on a more literal meaning than I think any of us ever foresaw.
Originally Posted by Michael
Too bad that they didn't put in the GPS coordinates in the stream. .....
How the hëll could you "lose" a commercial jet and both its engi ....... Oh! Nevermind.

Last edited by Pulaski; Mar 20th 2014 at 6:45 am.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 6:52 am
  #551  
sir_eccles's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 8,106
From: Phoenix, AZ
sir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond reputesir_eccles has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Michael
Suicide or hijacking started seeming implausible and that was why I started thinking that the plane might have had a catastrophic failure and crashed someplace around Malaysia. To believe that, I would have to assume that the ARARS pings were probably from some unknown plane and misinterpreted to try to determine it's position.

If the debris off of Perth is not from MH370, then I'd lean back to the possibility of a catastrophic failure with the plane crashed somewhere near Malaysia.
I read somewhere recently that Inmarsat are claiming the data pointed to south west of Oz all along and don't know why Malaysia insisted it crashed nearby to home.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 7:13 am
  #552  
Scouse Express's Avatar
Thread Starter
BE Forum Addict
 
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 3,770
From: Dubuque, Iowa, USA
Scouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond reputeScouse Express has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Pulaski
After more than two years, the title of this thread has, in recent days, taken on a more literal meaning than I think any of us ever foresaw.

How the hëll could you "lose" a commercial jet and both its engi ....... Oh! Nevermind.

Well, I only started the thread as a Piss-Take, because some Grumpy Member had complained about the thread "Trainspotting"
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 7:24 am
  #553  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by sir_eccles
I read somewhere recently that Inmarsat are claiming the data pointed to south west of Oz all along and don't know why Malaysia insisted it crashed nearby to home.
After the debris was located off of Perth, CNN showed plotting points indicating that the plane was flying in a southerly direction and the debris off of Perth was in line with those plotting points. Although it was indicated that the plane could have gone north, several days ago most of the search effort was in the south Indian ocean so maybe it was because of those plotting points.

However nobody explained how those plotting points were derived.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 7:47 am
  #554  
civilservant's Avatar
Often not so civil...
 
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 9,612
From: The Boonies, GA
civilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond reputecivilservant has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by Scouse Express
If that was the case, the Collision Avoidance Radar on the other Plane would have alerted its Pilots to the presence of MH 370.
TCAS receives information from the transponders of other aircraft - which is why a commercial aircraft could easily run into a GA aircraft. If the transponder was off, TCAS wouldn't have had a clue it was there.

I agree it didn't happen - but it IS possible.

Last edited by civilservant; Mar 20th 2014 at 8:05 am.
 
Old Mar 20th 2014 | 8:02 am
  #555  
Michael's Avatar
Lost in BE Cyberspace
 
Joined: Jun 2008
Posts: 10,678
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Michael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond reputeMichael has a reputation beyond repute
Default Re: Planespotting

Originally Posted by civilservant
TCAS receives information from the transponders of other aircraft - which is why a commercial aircraft could easily run into a GA aircraft. If the transponder was off, TCAS wouldn't have had a clue it was there.

I agree it din't happen - but it IS possible.
I agree it is possible. Some think that when the North Koreans shot down that South Korean airliner, a US spy plane may have been hiding behind the South Korean airliner.

However that may have been an intentional act by the US military but for the pilot of MH370 to navigate and find the Singapore Airlines airplane in the Indian ocean and then hide would seem highly improbable.

Last edited by Michael; Mar 20th 2014 at 8:07 am.
 


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service - Your Privacy Choices

Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.