2020 Election
#2101
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Jan 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 12,865
Re: 2020 Election
Looking forward to hearing some analysis of last night's debate from some of our more thoughtful regulars. I only caught the excerpts, and it looked like a horrible mud-slinging hate-fest. The candidates behaved terribly. I hate to say it, but Sanders looked normal among them. Fussing over tax returns and NDAs ... just what the party needs when we really should be focusing on Trump! Really, do we give a shit about Bloomberg's tax returns? He's rich and his tax returns will be eye-popping; he said they'll be released soon, so why focus on it now? Biden looked awful. Warren did get a lot of brownie points from me for supporting Klobuchar on the 'Mexican President' topic. But overall - what a horrible performance by the party, collectively.
So I am not sure it will change any minds. Sanders seems to have cemented front runner status, but it also seems pretty clear that we may come into the convention with no candidate having a majority of delegates. This could well be a mess.
#2102
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: 2020 Election
Interesting that assuming it comes to a convention Sanders is the only one who is prepared to accept the popular vate.
#2111
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Jan 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 12,865
Re: 2020 Election
Huge change then for primaries as you'd likely have to have a single day for primaries, which would meet huge resistance from some states.
If you're going to have a popular vote in primaries, I'd prefer to go with a ranked choice voting system.
Anyway, it's all moot for 2020 as the rules have already been decided.
If you're going to have a popular vote in primaries, I'd prefer to go with a ranked choice voting system.
Anyway, it's all moot for 2020 as the rules have already been decided.
#2112
Account Closed
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 2
Re: 2020 Election
The situation that seems likely at the moment is that Bernie picks up 30% or so all the way and is comfortably leading when we get to the Convention, is there is another fix, see 2016, will be interesting to see how the Bernie Bros respond.
#2113
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Jan 2006
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 12,865
Re: 2020 Election
I think it's a given that the "Bernie Bros" will react badly if Sanders is not the nominee, however that comes about.
#2114
BE Forum Addict
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,900
Re: 2020 Election
In the 2016, Clinton won 54% of the pledged delegates - won based on primary results - and 55.2% of the popular vote. So, it's interesting that Sanders now believes that the popular vote should carry weight in 2020 given his complaints back then.
I think it's a given that the "Bernie Bros" will react badly if Sanders is not the nominee, however that comes about.
I think it's a given that the "Bernie Bros" will react badly if Sanders is not the nominee, however that comes about.
I have said before and will say again, Sanders and the "Bernie Bros" will not play nice with whoever the nominee is, and will work to undermine the ticket.
What happens if Sanders wins the nomination, and Bloomberg decides to run as an independent, a la Joe Lieberman circa 2006? If there was ever a year for a third candidate it's this one.
If it's a brokered convention and Bernie has the popular vote lead but is more than just a few delegates short, and his sweeping popular vote mandate is still at an amazing-astounding-look-he's-FDR-all-over-again 29%, the Bernie Bros will go ballistic but I don't think anyone else will be shedding tears over it.
Last edited by carcajou; Feb 21st 2020 at 12:04 pm.
#2115
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Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 2,900
Re: 2020 Election
Further to that - I wonder what all those California tech bro millionaires backing Bernie will think, when he wins the nomination, they high-five over Medicare For All etc and then it sinks in that his promises aren't free, cost real money and that he and his team are going to pay for it with, for instance, a 70% income tax on those over $250,000 a year. Similar to all those Scandinavian countries we ought to be emulating. I predict we will suddenly get a ton of "Shy Trump" voters in unexpected places. Bernie on the bumper sticker and Trump in the ballot box.