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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 2:53 am
  #3886  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by sir_eccles
I think the fraud thing makes good headlines but in reality you're talking about people squeezed into a room shouting over eachother while someone tries to count who is standing where. Not exactly scientific.

As they say Iowa picks corn, New Hampshire picks presidents.
Bill Clinton lost the 1992 New Hampshire primary.

Hillary Clinton won the 2008 New Hampshire primary.

In this particular instance, I suspect that New Hampshire will be more meaningful for the GOP -- their field will be narrowed -- than for the Democrats.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:16 am
  #3887  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

News is reporting that Sarah Palin beat a hasty retreat after the final poll result came in.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:21 am
  #3888  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

You betcha!
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:27 am
  #3889  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by RoadWarriorFromLP
Bill Clinton lost the 1992 New Hampshire primary.

Hillary Clinton won the 2008 New Hampshire primary.

In this particular instance, I suspect that New Hampshire will be more meaningful for the GOP -- their field will be narrowed -- than for the Democrats.
Yes, I think the saying is more of a dig at the meaningless of Iowa in the grand scheme of things than NH's importance. More of a "now we have gotten that side show out of the way let's get on with the proper voting".
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:32 am
  #3890  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by RoadWarriorFromLP
In this particular instance, I suspect that New Hampshire will be more meaningful for the GOP -- their field will be narrowed -- than for the Democrats.
Also an evangelical firebrand won the GOP caucus in IA. Just like in 2008 and 2012. It didn't really help Prick or Iron Mike, so I don't see it helping Cruz much either.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:46 am
  #3891  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

The kiss of death for Trump was Palin's endorsement. McCain lost to Obama because he nominated the Bimbo as his running mate
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:49 am
  #3892  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by Giantaxe
Cruz won by 3%, Clinton "won" by 0.3%.
Here's what they are saying:
Iowa caucus resultsRepublican vote, 99% reported:
  • Ted Cruz: 26%, eight delegates
  • Donald Trump: 23%, seven delegates
  • Marco Rubio: 23%, seven delegates
  • Ben Carson: 10%, three delegates
  • Rand Paul, Jeb Bush: one delegate each.
  • Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich and Rick Santorum: no delegates
Democratic vote, 99% reported:
  • Hillary Clinton: 50%, 22 delegates
  • Bernie Sanders: 47%, 21 delegates
  • Martin O'Malley: 0%, no delegates
  • source: The Associated Press
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 3:58 am
  #3893  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by Anian
Here's what they are saying:
Yes, but that only tells half the story. If you look at what they call the SDEs (basically a representation of the voter share) it's 701 to Clinton and 697 to Sanders. Which is rather closer than 3%.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/2016-...-results/iowa/

You can spin the narrative any way you want, but it's not a convincing win for Clinton.

Last edited by zargof; Feb 2nd 2016 at 4:04 am.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 4:05 am
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by dc koop
The kiss of death for Trump was Palin's endorsement. McCain lost to Obama because he nominated the Bimbo as his running mate
Dear Ms Palin, I think it's time you switched your endorsement to Mr Cruz.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 4:08 am
  #3895  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

You know what. If Rubio does win the GOP nod, then he could win the whole thing because Clinton is such a fcking awful candidate. She really is her own worst enemy.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 4:21 am
  #3896  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by zargof
You know what. If Rubio does win the GOP nod, then he could win the whole thing because Clinton is such a fcking awful candidate. She really is her own worst enemy.
That could be the best prediction yet, especially if Rubio cuts into the Hispanic vote. If he does get the nod expect him to spend lots of quality time on Univision. Her Hispanic accent is even worse than her southern and black accents.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 4:28 am
  #3897  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius
That could be the best prediction yet, especially if Rubio cuts into the Hispanic vote. If he does get the nod expect him to spend lots of quality time on Univision. Her Hispanic accent is even worse than her southern and black accents.
Yes, her last attempt to court the Hispanic vote didn't go so well...

#NotMyAbuela: Hillary Clinton Offends Some Latinos With Blog Post : NPR
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 4:49 am
  #3898  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by zargof
You know what. If Rubio does win the GOP nod, then he could win the whole thing because Clinton is such a fcking awful candidate. She really is her own worst enemy.
I can well see Rubio beating Clinton as he'll likely eat into the "traditional" Hispanic Democratic vote.

Rubio certainly seems to be last night's "winner" on the Republican side. As for the Democrats, they should be alarmed in the division of support for Clinton and Sanders, with the former overwhelmingly getting support from older voters (69% of over 65s) and the latter from younger (84%! from under 30's).

Last edited by Giantaxe; Feb 2nd 2016 at 5:07 am.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 4:59 am
  #3899  
 
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Originally Posted by FlaviusAetius
That could be the best prediction yet, especially if Rubio cuts into the Hispanic vote. If he does get the nod expect him to spend lots of quality time on Univision. Her Hispanic accent is even worse than her southern and black accents.
Point of information:

While you can have a southern accent (presumably in this case from the southern US) you cannot have an accent with a colour, since there are Black people from all areas of the country with the appropriate regional accents. Equally, you cannot have a "Hispanic" accent since that term encompasses people from a large number of different countries and/or from many areas of this country, al of which have different accents.

As you were.
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Old Feb 2nd 2016, 5:00 am
  #3900  
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Default Re: 2016 Election

Rubio is not popular among Latinos. His nomination wouldn't do anything to move that needle.

However, if Rubio can deliver Florida's electoral votes to the GOP, that would make things that much harder for the Democrats.
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