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-   -   Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit? (https://britishexpats.com/forum/spain-75/will-like-brits-visiting-spain-post-brexit-904470/)

Rotor Oct 20th 2017 9:26 pm

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by carcajou (Post 12365650)
Really? I quoted from The Guardian and Eurostat.

Interesting you didn't try to refute what I wrote, just tried to discredit me through lazy insult.

Psst , she`s not very bright :)

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 12:39 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

The most spoken language in the European Union is English - 51% of the EU population can speak it (at least until the UK leaves). Second place is German at 27%. Take out the native-speaking citizens of both languages, and you see there is not a lot of linguistic operability between the populations of EU countries.
So after UK leaves the EU 43% of the 27 will speak English (& 30% will speak German) - that's plenty of interoperability. Consider also the demograph / professions of those who speak English as a common language. In mine, for example the rate of English speaking is 100 % (in an organisation that comprised the EU 28 + 16 other nearby States).

carcajou Oct 21st 2017 1:06 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12365726)
So after UK leaves the EU 43% of the 27 will speak English (& 30% will speak German) - that's plenty of interoperability. Consider also the demograph / professions of those who speak English as a common language. In mine, for example the rate of English speaking is 100 % (in an organisation that comprised the EU 28 + 16 other nearby States).

Can you tell me how you got your 30% for German - minus the native speakers that I alluded to in my post, in my figures I got 42% for English (basically same as you) but only 10% for German once you subtract Germany and Austria.

I concede that English is the lingua franca of the European Union but I would contest that there is operability with German when only 10% of the population outside Germany and Austria can speak the language.

I would also say that having 58% not speak English is also very problematic for operability, but perhaps somewhat workable in some fields.

But I think this strengthens what I wrote, not weakens it.

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 1:09 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

. Can you tell me how you got your 30% for German - minus the native speakers that I alluded to in my post, in my figures I got 42% for English (basically same as you) but only 10% for German once you subtract Germany and Austria.
In the context of UK leaving the EU but Germany / Austria remaining. As you say the interoperability stems from the use of English - which is why more & more young Europeans are learning English.

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 1:15 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 
Where I did slip up is by deducting 65M for the UK. Given the continental Europeans in Britain I should probably have deducted 62M!

carcajou Oct 21st 2017 1:18 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12365739)
In the context of UK leaving the EU but Germany / Austria remaining. As you say the interoperability stems from the use of English - which is why more & more young Europeans are learning English.

Yes, they are, which is why the UK leaving is so damaging to the European Project. The young Italians I know aspire to live in London, not Frankfurt.

But my point was the interoperability between various populations - if there is only 10% who speak German in 25 of the 27 other countries, then it doesn't work.

Without the UK as part of Free Movement the entire project I believe becomes even more of a paper benefit than it already was.

Loafing Along Oct 21st 2017 1:20 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by carcajou (Post 12365752)
Yes, they are, which is why the UK leaving is so damaging to the European Project. The young Italians I know aspire to live in London, not Frankfurt.

But my point was the interoperability between various populations - if there is only 10% who speak German in 25 of the 27 other countries, then it doesn't work.

Without the UK as part of Free Movement the entire project I believe becomes even more of a paper benefit than it already was.

Having listened to Barnier & Co the prefered language seems to be French

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 1:21 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

. But my point was the interoperability between various populations - if there is only 10% who speak German in 25 of the 27 other countries, then it doesn't work.
Yes it does, because of the use of English.

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 1:23 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by Loafing Along (Post 12365753)
Having listened to Barnier & Co the prefered language seems to be French

The language of diplomacy used to be French.

Loafing Along Oct 21st 2017 1:24 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12365757)
The language of diplomacy used to be French.

Yes - even the Russians speak it

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 1:28 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 
VW have directed their senior staff to speak English.

carcajou Oct 21st 2017 1:28 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12365748)
Where I did slip up is by deducting 65M for the UK. Given the continental Europeans in Britain I should probably have deducted 62M!

Ha!

I was referring to "native speaking populations" and so when calculating English, 5 million extra people need to be deducted to account for Ireland.

So, 508 million EU citizens x 51% = 259 million English speakers.

259 million English speakers - subtract 66 million = 193 million English speakers in the EU after Brexit.

Subtract another 5 million for Ireland = 188 million.

Divide 188 million by 442 million [post-Brexit EU population] = 42.53%

So, let's just round up to 43% and you are correct.

So, 43% of the post-Brexit EU population outside the native-speaking countries will speak English, compared to 10% for German.

carcajou Oct 21st 2017 1:33 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12365754)
Yes it does, because of the use of English.

But 57% won't speak it!

Besides - my original point was that Free Movement doesn't benefit the vast majority of EU Citizens unless they have language skills to a near-native level. With the UK out of Free Movement, that issue becomes seriously, seriously accentuated.

Pulaski Oct 21st 2017 1:34 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by carcajou (Post 12365762)
.... So, 43% of the post-Brexit EU population outside the native-speaking countries will speak English, compared to 10% for German.

The population of Germany is about 82 million, and even if you allow for some immigrants who don't speak German, how can, say 70/440 be 10%, it is about 16%, or was 10% a typo? :unsure:

scrubbedexpat142 Oct 21st 2017 1:35 am

Re: Will it be like this for Brits visiting Spain post Brexit?
 

Originally Posted by carcajou (Post 12365762)
Ha!

I was referring to "native speaking populations" and so when calculating English, 5 million extra people need to be deducted to account for Ireland.

So, 508 million EU citizens x 51% = 259 million English speakers.

259 million English speakers - subtract 66 million = 193 million English speakers in the EU after Brexit.

Subtract another 5 million for Ireland = 188 million.

Divide 188 million by 442 million [post-Brexit EU population] = 42.53%

So, let's just round up to 43% and you are correct.

So, 43% of the post-Brexit EU population outside the native-speaking countries will speak English, compared to 10% for German.

Why are you subtracting Ireland, still part of the EU - we are assessing proportions pre & post Brexit. Similarly how does taking the UK out reduce your figure for German from 27% down to 10%? German speaking percentage will rise post Brexit.


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