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Re: NCR llockdown
Just to add to my recent experience. I did not report my NHS positive test. How many more failed to report? Who knows? Nobody knows!
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 13194570)
Just to add to my recent experience. I did not report my NHS positive test. How many more failed to report? Who knows? Nobody knows!
Just hope the official numbers are a good proxy for movements in the true. Though I would guess rapid home tests are not so readily available here as in the UK. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Report
New cases from the DOH: 11,667 (12,426). A 6% fall (0%). Latest weekly DOH national positivity down a little to 18.8%. Latest OCTA positivity report in NCR and elsewhere saying a fall in the NCR but elsewhere still some high figures: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/other...ta/ar-AA1bPuIs Latest last 14 days infections % change: NCR -17 (+4) 4A -4 (+12) CL +13 (+11) WV +15 (+23) Bic -1 (+16) Except for one region new infection either decreasing or increasing at a lower rate. Active cases now at 16,002. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f05fffcf75.png Active cases over the past year. No deaths reported. Hospital Report New Severe and Critical 105 (87) Admitted 564 (486) ICU 21.8% (18.2%) Non ICU 23.2% (23.0$) A marked deterioration over last week.. Especially a 3.6% increase in ICU use. Omicron can still require the ICU. It is mainly characterized by viral replication in the upper respiratory tract but that still can need intensive care. Percentage of Health Care facilities at moderate or severe risk: National 9 (8) NCR 16 (14) 4A 18 (18) CL 4 (4) CV 18 (13) Davao 10 (9) A slight deterioration nationwide. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e8f26085c4.png Many did not find one but just the one paper linking blindness with mRNA vaccines was given some exposure recently..... https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1c7ddde67e.png ....but the data it used found to be fatally flawed in terms of bias by Dr Susan Oliver. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7727615e59.png More misinformation from Dr John Campbell today. Getting over excited by what he says is a WHO publication linking MS to covid vaccines. But it wasn't published by the WHO, just on their publication database. As he thinks it proves a link he keeps saying it is from the WHO, an organisation he is usually very critical of..Rather it's from an MS journal, not peer reviewed and was fact checked by the WHO as"limited" and further research needed. The WHO say on their database that the papers there are not to be taken as approved by them. Amazingly he actually gives a link to the AP report on the fact checking of the research in question..But doesn't say much about it other than to make his usual complaints about fact checkers.. Presumably thinking that few of his followers will look. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...79f57093f1.png The latest top Asian new cases yesterday. on Worldometers. Japan stopped reporting there 3 weeks ago. But its latest health ministry report on May 21 said cases were at 1.3x the previous week's and that was the 7th week in a row cases had increased. S Korea didn't report yesterday but had 17.5k on the 27th, 19k on the 25th. . . |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Report
Cases 9,109 (12,426). A fall of 22% (6%). Last 14 days percentage change in infections by region NCR -25 (-17) 4A -20 (-4) CL +6 (+13) WV -6 (+15) Bic -3 (-1) The small wave seems to be on the decline. Deaths 10. 3 were in May. Hospital Data New admissions 77 (105) Admitted 559 (554) ICU 18.9% (21.8%) Non ICU 20.0% (23.2%) Occupancy: % of facilities at moderate risk or higher National 10 (9) NCR 17 (16) 4A 18 (18) CL 3 (4) CV 11 (18) Dav 9 (10) Some regional improvements. New Health Secretary appointed.... after a year! He served as an adviser to the previous President in the IATF: https://www.rappler.com/nation/who-i...lth-secretary/ https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d0e180452d.png 390k bivalent boosters arrived from Lithuania over the weekend. For healthcare workers and seniors at first: https://mb.com.ph/2023/6/4/ph-receiv...nian-gov-t-doh Doubts have also been raised at whether they will be a fgood it to the Omicron variants here: https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...809f3e7c18.png XBB from BA.2. In region 6 less than a third not.The bivalent booster works best against BA.4 and 5. : https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...960af3c443.png Why Lithuania can now donate. Boosters per 100 for Lithuania (Blue) and Philippines (Red). https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...18d6deed14.png Dr Susan Oliver slams Campbell's video last week on MS and covid vaccination. At the time it looked ridiculous and she looks at papers which prove that it is covid infection rather than vaccination which does have a link with MS. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0b64e70ba6.png Auto -immunity associated with covid much more than the vaccine, which was less than in the control group. Last an article from the ABS-CBN site which pushes back against the idea that the WHO will be in control of national pandemic responses in the future: https://news.abs-cbn.com/spotlight/0...ockdown-powers |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Report
New cases 6,630 (9,107). Fall of 27% (22%). Latest OCTA positvity report shows falls in the NCR but not everywhere nationwide: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...ta/ar-AA1cqUrn Last 14 days infections % changes by top regions: NCR -33% (-25%) 4A -33% (-20%0 CL -16% (+6%) WV -15% (-6%) Deaths 5 4 in May 1 in March. Hospital Data New admissions 112 (77) Admitted 527 (559) ICU 17.7% (18.9%) Non ICU 19.5% (23.0%) Percentage of facilities in selected regions seen as moderate risk: National 8 (10) NCR 13 (17) 4A 16 (18) CL 4 (3) CV 12 (11) Dav 7 (9) Big increase in new admissions but facilities seem to be coping. The outbreak is on the way down so the hospital situation should be able to cope. Putting this data up now. A number of covid news items coming later |
Re: NCR llockdown
You have to wonder why there is so much fuss about booster vaccinations when they are only effective for about six months. So all those people fully vaccinated with two, three and four jabs are now not protected.
Looking at the Worldometer for yesterday the data for Philippines shows 10761 total cases of which 162 are critical and 727 reported new cases. For a country with a population of almost 110 million the continuing paranoia seem out of proportion particularly when Mt Mayon is making hay in Bicol. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Covid related updates on the Philippines, latest You tube activity and the UK:
Bivalent boosters are out....mostly to the NCR...Seniors and Health Care workers: https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1203463 Latest OCTA positivity report: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...cid=BingHPCTop SS highly suspicious about "death spikes" in Central Luzon cases in a newsletter posted on June 8: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7cbaa6c5ac.png Death spikes on the first day of every month in 2021, and at two week intervals. Just how they recorded deaths there or, as SS suggests, vaccine related? The other thing of note mentioned by her is the very high rate of Excess Deaths in the small province of Zambales, 75% against 43% for the nation in 2021. https://supersally.substack.com/ Dr John Campbell presented an updated report on Pandemic controls from the right wing think tank the IEA. That's the Institute of Economic Affairs. They've been around a long time but recently came to notice as one source of the disastrous economic policies applied during the premiership of Liz Truss and the Chancellorship of Kwasi Kwarteng. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ee5b0b5719.png Originally out over a year ago from Johns Hopkins, but an online paper disowned by them. At the time,January 2022, he did a video on it. This is really the same work updated and purely economic...not including any epidemiological analysis, Especially of the economic costs without lock down. Not peer reviewed and criticised by many for its analysis. Lock down will be a major topic in the UK Covid Public Enquiry (see at the end about that) and hopefully better work will be presented there. He has also been busy with the daily Telegraph and the UKs Counter Disinformation Unit: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7f02aaf431.png The last of 3 videos on the UKs CDU. Which despite what he said about it being secret has been known about for 3 years in Parliament. Though moved to be under a different ministry..We can debate if it is reasonable that the government is able to monitor and sometimes try to restrict the most extreme forms of disinformation. On some of his videos people comment that they have started to worry that they might get a serious disease, like MS, from covid vaccinations 2 years ago. Comments on his latest video contain one from someone who thinks a turn for the worse in their liver disease could be related to past covid vaccination. Excess Deaths: Dr John Campbell resuming on this topic after a break: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...82efb5f6c5.png He started his first video with his concern they were increasing. Then showed 12 country's data, which to me look to be going down gradually. He seemed to get away with that, judging from comments. As usual he hints at vaccines being a big, if not the main or only, reason for the deaths. His followers in the comments lap it all up. Of course we're not dealing with a simple number. It's a comparative statistic and although the statisticians try to estimate what was to be expected they are limited in what and how much they can do to present a fair comparison for reasons of transparency. Eg the ONS left one year out of their 5 year average as it was unduly affected by covid deaths. UK excess death data: https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...cf6d233e8d.png High in 2020. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1cba062281.png ...then high again in 2022. Then for this year the weekly data trending down but quite volatile in April and May...28 April 12.9%, 5 May 5.4%, 12 May 2.5%, 19 May 11.7%. 26 May 9.4% and the latest estimate 11.3%. It should be noted that May had 3 bank Holidays this year and that may be something to do with it. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c29b52b9e3.png Dr Campbell leads his latest video on excess deaths in the young...although the data goes up to age 24!!! As you can see in past years there have been significant periods below zero. Yes, a concerning rise in 2023 so far. UK Public Enquiry into covid: Will they look into Excess Deaths? Or will the lawyers dominate so we don't get into statistical areas that much? For regular reports the BBC online news is doing a live report. This is their report on the first day's proceedings: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-65888152 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Report
Cases down again significantly last week: 4,281 (6,630) A 35% fall (-27%). Last 14 days infections down significantly too in all the top 5 case regions. The latest UK ZOE estimates: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5942b3e53b.png The Philippines a falling trend with ups and downs as in the UK. Though with much lower prevalence. The latest OCTA positivity report: https://www.cnnphilippines.com/news/...w-risk-ph.html Deaths 1. From May 2023. Active:cases 8,659 https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c19a62f0e1.png Active cases since 2022. Hospital Report New serious cases: 57 (112) Admitted 477 (527) ICU 16.6% (17.7%) Non ICU 19.5% (19,5%) https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c940fb112d.png Interestingly The Philippines top for new cases for June 19 and recently near the top every day before that...726, 693,719,528. Vietnam and especially Indonesia with many fewer daily cases lately. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e1f2ac424b.png But GMA's headline giving the wrong impression. More covid news later. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Covid news update:
https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c020e9c069.png Dr Campbell started off 3 videos on Excess Deaths with this chart with 15 countries. Trending down, but peaks in 2021 and early in Omicron. Notice it starts in 2021. Followed by two other videos.. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...55d19a4c10.png ...followed by a video on young excess deaths, England from the ONS, though actually went up to 24 years. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...36a8ae9cae.png Data from the Australian Actuaries Institute, For Australia in 2022. Later opening up meant their excess deaths peak much later than many other countries. After allowing for covid he highlights the 4% left. Focuses on deaths caused by coronary artery blockage. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ce496f21f9.png Excess deaths for IHD of all the causes showed a steady increase in Australia from March 2021 before starting to fall in August 2022. The report notes that it follows the peaks and troughs from covid 19 deaths. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d3b7f17bd4.png Australian excess deaths form Our World in Data. The Australian Actuaries Report is worth having a look at. In particular they link non covid deaths with covid and say non covid excess deaths are mostly in the two oldest age groups, both sexes. Then a good discussion of the factors likely to be involved with excess deaths: High likelihood: 1 Post covid sequelae. 2. Interaction of covid with other diseases. 3 Delays in emergency care Moderate 4. Delayed mortality due to earlier absence of other respiratory diseases. 5. Delays in routine care Low 6. Undiagnosed covid. 7. Mental health 8. Pandemic induced lifestyle changes eg alcohol, drugs. Negligible 9. Vaccine induced deaths. The actuaries noted that vaccine roll out fell in 2022 and was inconsistent with the higher excess deaths that year. Of course Dr Campbell mad no reference to any of this in his video, preferring to end it with an update on the German lawsuit against Pfizer (see below) https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5d3a9900b.png As usual Dr Oliver thoroughly rebuts the analysis in Dr John Campbell's videos on this topic. She refers to interesting data from past Pandemics and on cardiovascular disease,. Especially good on liver disease...effect of alcohol, of some drugs used in covid treatment and from Ivermectin use...which is interesting because: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...70801e4dd1.png https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5b560829bc.png Dr Oliver used this selection of countries. Australia and NZ showing later rises in excess deaths. But notice US, UK and other European countries had peaks in 2020 and early in 2021...well before there could have been any significant effects from vaccine roll out. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e4f756bed1.png Unlike the UK and here Germany allows legal action over claimed vaccine injury. Dr Campbell excited about the case. Seems to me to be unlikely to prosper. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dfd424cfa0.png Dr Campbell did a video on myocarditis after vaccine in S Korea. Seems to be a good study but it's a mass treatment giving only 0.22 persons vaccine related myocarditis for every 100,000 people! An interesting side note: Dr Campbell made a reply to one of the many (and lately increasing numbers are crititical) commentators admonishing him for not mentioning the far greater risk of myocarditis post covid infection. One US study said 7x a Scandinavian study said 5x. He basically said that it was against the oft quoted in medicine nursing principle of "Do no harm". Derived from a simplified version of the Hippocratic Oath. But in practice it means one should treat with minimum harm to achieve the greatest beneficial outcome. The new Campbell avoiding any mention of the small risk and the benefits of vaccination. Something the old Campbell in 2021 was saying. One reply asked what about anesthesia? It causes many deaths during operations. Campbell is not someone on You tube to watch now for expert analysis...just for the statistics and to see where he is leading his thousands of loyal followers. UK covid Public Enquiry Evidence from ex PM Cameron on Pandemic plans not allowing for changes due to covid being a novel virus: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-65950286 Yesterday ex Heath Secretary Hunt said, among other things, that the UK could have avoided lock down through earlier quarantining. There was a "group think" over herd immunity which meant ways to stop a pandemic earlier weren't properly considered: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-65979485 Last, what has Super Sally been saying lately? Newsletter June 19. https://supersally.substack.com/ Latest vaccine injury report for March: 137 new ones, 46 serious including 10 deaths. None again admitted due to vaccine. 0.002% of doses administered. As an anti vaxxer she has taken to listing so called "unexpected deaths" lately. This time 3 community figures. One had apparently been ill and recovered. Another was of heart failure. Each time drops a hint as to what she thinks were the causes of death. When each time there isn't one stated.. A more interesting item about how the government proposes to tackle the nurse shortage here...by lowering standards! About the new Health Secretary Herbosa. About Mayon Volcano and the Batangas tremor !! Her thinking about those latest activities is that it shows the power of Mother Nature. Humans should work with her, not mess with her! Of course...vaccination! But all that vaccination does is to try to teach the immune system to work better. : . |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Report
New cases 3,442 (4,281). A 20% fall (-35%). The latest from Worldometers: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...59c33a05d2.png Top 10 reported cases in the world. Greatly affected by countries not reporting. Then some only reporting every one or two weeks. S Korea now reporting weekly...last week only 32 a day average. Thailand every 2 weeks, average 118 a day. Indonesia had an unusually low figure yesterday, averaged about 100 daily cases lately. So Philippine daily numbers at about 500 are still quite high. Deaths 0. Active cases 8,244 (8,659). Down 5%. Hospital data New serious cases 37 (57) Admitted 325 (477) ICU 13.0% (16.6%) Non ICU 17.7% (19.5%) Improving hospital situation Three late vaccination roll out countries compared: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...82816f7e50.png 2020-21: Philippines excess deaths peak late 2021. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ba9471ceb2.png 2020-21: South Africa excess deaths peaks in both years. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ca6fcbd597.png 2020-21: Egypt excess deaths also peaks in both years. Their vaccine roll outs: Philippines vaccine roll out delayed in 2021. General population start mid 2021. For an analysis of the reasons see: https://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/in...e-deal-pfizer/ The article does not include an allegation that the President did not want to pay a deposit. South Africa also had a delayed roll out, and made things worse by temporarily suspending the AZ vaccine after a small study said it was ineffective against the dominant variant there: https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n1949 https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0cf845c9c1.png 2020-21: Egypt excess deaths. Egypt received few vaccine doses in early 2021 and only got a large Pfizer delivery much later in 2021 for its 100M population. It adopted a mandatory vaccine policy. \ https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/20/w...e-mandate.html https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5232c8e487.png Vaccine doses per 100 people for the 3 countries. The UK for comparison. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ff3a4390ee.png Covid cases per M 2020-21. S Africa's varied greatly with 4 high peaks. Egypt early 2020 peak. Philippines peak late 2020 and 2021 peaks. So the 3 countries each had substantial excess deaths 2020-21. Covid cases significant only for S Africa 2020-21 and have to be seen against its high excess death peaks..Vaccines not administered in time in any country to affect this. Good evidence that for each country something other than vaccines caused the high non covid excess deaths. For S Africa and the Philippines probably caused mostly by longer term effects of covid. For Egypt other reasons must have caused their high excess deaths. They had a lock down but also possibly a poor health service, although deaths per M for the whole pandemic were lower than average. Poor statistics are also a possibility. SS in a newsletter June 24 reported rising deaths in Japan. She suggests something to do with the booster campaign. Japan is now one of the most highly boostered nations. Our World in Data also reports on Japanese excess deaths, using its own methods: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9353e750a1.png Japanese excess deaths showing an upward trend though recently possibly signs of a reverse. Latest 2022 PSA updates: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b976b5d85a.png 2022 deaths still provisional. Philippine deaths 26% lower than in 2021. 7% lower than in 2020, Births 3% lower than 2021 and 21% lower than 2019. https://supersally.substack.com/ No Dr John Campbell video for over a week. But yesterday on Back to the Science this was interesting: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...981cddd469.png Dr Susan Oliver exposes Robert Kennedy Jnr's understanding on vaccines to be based on "half truths" about vaccines. Half truths being a large under estimate. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Report
New cases 2,747 (3,442). Another 20% decrease last week. Two late recorded deaths announced. Active total slightly down at 6,925. The latest OCTA report says NCR positivity down to 4.9%: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1262c38214.png Hospital Report New admissions 32 (37) Admitted 442 (325) ICU 13.7% (13.0%) Non ICU 17.7% (17.7%) E and SE Asian update from Worldometers https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c63422c0aa.png S Korea reports weekly and the latest report is due soon. Recently at 8-900 a day. Japan no longer reporting to Worldometers. But see article below. Again Philippines well above Vietnam and Indonesia....two previous days at 319 and 397 cases. Rebound in Japan: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...kinawa-strain/ Will give some other covid news later this week. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Time for the IATF to withdraw all Covid era restrictions and join the rest of the world. This will help the new Tourism drive to succeed.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 13201873)
Time for the IATF to withdraw all Covid era restrictions and join the rest of the world. This will help the new Tourism drive to succeed.
They want to push the bivalent boosters. https://mb.com.ph/2023/5/22/muntinlu...spital-workers |
Re: NCR llockdown
You should know by now that I ask extremely cynical about the recent management of Covid in this Land of Seven Thousand Islands. Given my experience of Covid and vaccinations I really wonder if bivalent boosters will do any good. As I understand it, the bivalent booster offers six months protection a similar period to Pfizer, Moderna etc. Following on, despite people having had 2,3 or 4 vaccinations if the last one was more than six months ago one is not protected. So logically nearly the whole population of the Philippines is currently unprotected against Covid.
I really do believe that the management of Covid is way out of kilter with the reality. Yesterday, on the Worldometer site 6,846 active cases were reported, knowing that is not a true picture and increasing that figure fivefold the Covid issue is not in fact a problem given that the population of the Philippines is around 112.5 million. I hope that ultimately common sense will prevail over emotion. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Covid news updates
SS posted an update on regional Philippine Excess Deaths July 3: https://supersally.substack.com/ https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9833253b9e.png As 2020 did have some covid deaths I prefer to compare Pandemic years with the normal year of 2019. The results are similar. 2021 NCR 33.8%, 4A 50.4%, CL 52.1%. In the Visayas WV had the worst number at 46.6%. In Mindanao NM was at 48.2%, Zamboanga 45.5%. Davao was lower at 34.1%. The autonomous Muslim region of BARMM had an extremely high 127.3%. Notable that vaccination of the general public here did not start until the second half of 2021. 2022....preliminary data. More updates expected so these numbers will get worse. Excess deaths for 2022 down 25.6% on 2021, up 6.5% on 2020. Regionally compared to 2019 As SS says in her headline the NCR showed a fall compared to 2020.One of 6.5%. Compared to 2019 a fall of 5.4%. Again compared to 2019 for the other two large regions in Central Luzon, 4A was up 5.9%. CL up 5.1%. In the Visayas EV went up by 16.5%, WV by 9.7%. Mindanao regions other than BARMM had excess deaths ranging up from Davao 8.2% to 13.3% up for Caraga. Again BARMM was again an extreme outlier at 66.3% up.. Noteworthy differences between 2022 and 2021 compared with 2019: 1. A big turnaround in the NCR, in 2022, but not in the adjoining large regions of CL and 4A. 2. These regions did relatively badly in both 2021 and 2022: WV 9.7%, Zamboanga 9.7%, NM 11.7% 3. These regions surprisingly ranked worse in 2022 than in 2021: Bicol 6.8%, EV 16.5%, Davao 8.2%, SOCCSK 12.6%, Caraga 13.3%. So it seems that it's mostly regions in Mindanao that have not recovered from the Pandemic effects on health and health services. If you read the SS newsletter you will, as usual, pick up she is looking to continue blaming the continuing excess deaths in 2022 on covid vaccinations. When there were some excess deaths in 2020 and a large number in 2021. For nearly all of that time vaccines cannot be implicated. All the evidence suggests that the most likely causes are sequelae from covid, especially vascular in nature, also missed diagnoses, treatment and undiagnosed covid. She cannot avoid mentioning that the NCR had a strikingly large 40% turnaround from 2021-22. She doesn't remind her readers that the NCR is also one of the most highly vaccinated regions with over 12M people fully vaccinated, according to ABS-CBN. Ending covid era restrictions The Health Secretary suggesting it's just a matter of time before Marcos Jnr signs off on them: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...cid=BingHPCTop But...there may be a problem with the legal basis for rolling out the bivalent vaccines if the Covid emergency is lifted. Also the DOH have already started to roll out the donated bivalent vaccines and do not want to see a message given which might affect demand. On the positive side immunity does not end when antibodies decline to a low level as people will have some long term immunity from long living B and t memory cells. From infection and/or vaccination. You tube videos: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...19bb2bf831.png Dr Susan Oliver on more misinformation from RFK Jnr (see also last week here) on the MMR vaccines and autism. She starts with the infamous, now retracted, 1998 paper in the Lancet by Dr Andrew Wakefield et al. Dr John Campbell chose to start his return from a two week break with a video on the final report from US Intelligence agencies to the US Senate on the Lab Leak covid origin theory: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fcffbf5977.png Getting no further than the preliminary report. There's a lot more you can read from it, but here are the not overwhelming main conclusions on the competing covid origin theories from the various agencies: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...df06de691a.png https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...aeafd31def.png Internationally. From a meta study. Dr Campbell more than usually careful not to mention the vaccines. But we know, and from the many comments we can see his followers also do, that is his hidden agenda here. But unfortunately for him no vaccines were given to young people to account for the first year increase and few were given in the second year. He must know that but keeps quiet. As is noted diabetes has been on a yearly rise in Europe and the CDC say in the US.. Diet has been a factor thought likely to explain much of that increase and those same dietary changes look to have accelerated during the Pandemic years. This morning here Dr Campbell is excited about another video: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...90bc3900a5.png But not a paper. Just a research letter to the editor. Was it really peer reviewed as Campbell says? Looks at Pfizer vaccine safety variability with batch in Denmark. Campbell using the word viral here to say it has been trending on the internet.Though I couldn't see much about it from a standard Google search. Variability between batches wouldn't be surprising. You may recall there have been claims here that "death spikes" seen in data from Cebu and Central Luzon could have been caused by bad batches. Finally some viewing suggestions from You tube on a vaccination theme: Rawhide TV series: Incident at Red River Station.(1960). Eric Flemming and a young Clint Eastwood with the other drovers get caught up in a late 19th Century vaccination campaign along the way of their cattle drive. The US Army get involved. A Matter of WHO (1961).. Film from a time when the WHO was much more respected. Terry Thomas Stars as a top WHO doctor on the look out for dangerous diseases coming in to Europe. A few laughs but not nearly as many as usual from him. A complicated plot linking crime with smallpox. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly covid update
New cases 2,510 (2,747). Fall of 9% (-20%) Serious and Critical 44 (32) Admitted 382 (442) ICU 12.3% (13.7%) Non ICU 17.4% (17.7%) Active cases 6,606 (6,925) Latest OCTA positivity report https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e9b808b8ce.png Nationwide 6.4% 9 July The NCR, Cavite and Bulacan under the WHO guideline of 5%. No deaths reported. Latest Asian cases from Worldometers: The Philippines still reporting daily. Yesterday 258. So is Vietnam, 39 yesterday.. Last Indonesia report 40 cases for July 3. Latest report from S Korea: the daily average for the w/e June 26 was 940. Japan has stopped reporting to Worldometers. Will look at some recent You tube videos later this week. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Some recent videos and covid data:
On July 6 Dr Campbell put out a video about a Danish investigation into adverse effects from the Pfizer vaccine. The authors suggested there was a much higher occurrence from a small number of vaccine batches.."bad batches". The Danish vaccine calendar is shown: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7112446af8.png A typically robust examination of the paper from which she concludes the reason it was not accepted by three high quality journals was not censorship. As suggested by both Dr Campbell and the lead author he had in for interview. The main reasons for higher reported effects were the Danish vaccine roll out prioritised those with vulnerabilities and the aged. And with a new vaccine there is a concentration on following up reported adverse events.at first. Anti vaxxers have been trying hard recently to link cardiac arrests in the young to covid vaccination. This is a clip from her main video on this from 2 months ago. She gives a link to that. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7138062a1c.png From an Australian paper. Three time periods. Before covid, covid, covid vaccination. Notice that for Australia vaccination started well before covid arrived. The yellow area due to myocarditis, blue cardiac arrests, red covid vaccination, green covid cases. It can be seen there is no difference in cardiac arrests through time. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ccac6f2bea.png Dr Campbell presents a report from the British Heart Foundation on cardiac deaths. Its main findings: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4f264b5f3a.png Dr Campbell goes through the sections of the report and .interestingly, he includes this one: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9585b36514.png He uses his green pen approvingly on this section which looked at cardiovascular disease in the pre vaccination year of 2020. But then skipping over the even higher numbers in 2021. He doesn't pick up the on the role of covid long term. Or on the effects of a lower standard of NHS treatment..Except he does say something about late ambulance arrival as one reason for the increase. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...27d8672a2d.png ....he moves on quickly to now, when covid cases have fallen greatly in the UK. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...55d42e159b.png He again likes a quote that suggests covid no longer fully explains the increase in cardiovacsular disease. And introduces a new word to most of us, Iatrogenesis, which means that there is some treatment causing this. What treatment could he mean? Of course its code for covid vaccination. Just one big problem Dr Campbell.....how do you explain the increase in 2020 cardiovascular deaths? Also the BHF themselves do not suggest covid vaccination is a reason for the continued high numbers of deaths. The BHF suggest long term effects of covid, continued disruption to health services, changing patient behaviour and attitudes after the Pandemic and increasing diabetes and obesity. They only mention myo/pericarditis post vaccination, a rare effect from covid vaccination, might be a small contributor. But they state it was a much more frequent occurrence after covid infection. Note: The link to the BHF report from the video no longer works.You can read it from the BHF site in a summary form or download the full report. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ba65350fc6.png The main Medcram presenter Dr Seheult, looks at falling excess deaths trend in the US. The increase in Winter 2021/22 due to a combination of increased pneumonia, influenza and covid deaths. UK Excess Deaths The ONS weekly UK data shows stubbornly high figures so far for June, only slightly lower than for May. 2 June 11.3% 9 June 5.3% 16 June 10.6% 23 June 8.7% 30 June 8.8% The w/e 9 June figure may have been affected by holiday delays in reporting. Our World in Data calculates excess deaths differently to the ONS: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7f22388021.png A long downward trend for the first quarter of 2023, then 3 months of highly variable data. Some of which due to Holiday effects. Going back to the excess UK cardiovascular deaths, is this caused at least partly by ongoing problems in the NHS? https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...28133d00ab.png Germany and France similar to the UKs for the first quarter, but then only gentle increases. The Benefit of Vaccination The ONS have produced reports on this since April 2021. Made possible in the UK because we have the NHS and its Immunisation Management Service (NIMS). I've looked at the figures for the ever vaccinated and the unvaccinated from April 2021 through 2022: here are exerts from the results (unvaccinated first). The mortality is expressed by a rate per 100k person years. That is to standardise mortality by a weighted average of the numbers of people in each age category. The aim is to adjust for the differences in the age distribution of a population. April 2021: 131.3 vs 14.1 9.3x July 2021: 239.0 vs 24.3 9.8x October 2021 373.9 vs 66.1 5.7x January 2022 647.3 vs 108.9 5.9x April 2022 214.9 vs 97.0 2.2x July 2022 164.0 vs 65.5 2.5x October 2022 118.0 vs 58.4 2.0x December 2022 63.5 vs 35.5 1.8x Anti vaxxers not only question covid vaccine safety and sometimes label it as a mass killer or poison but also say it was and is ineffective .In terms of saving lives these figures show that it is not ineffective. Though the advantage of being vaccinated did fall markedly in 2022 when the Omicron variant was dominant. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...nstatusenglandc |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Update
New cases 1,938 (2,510) A 23% decrease (-9%) Latest OCTA report...no regional positivity data. https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/180240...ays-now-at-5-6 Active 5,681 (6,606) Deaths surprisingly high:: 26...19 July, 5 June, 2 May. Hospital Data ​​ New serious and critical: 25 (44) Admitted: 324 (382) ICU 10.4% (12.3%) Non ICU 16.0% (17.4%) SE and E Asian cases The Philippines still reporting daily to Worldometers as are a few other countries: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c5c5b3f24b.png Jaoan stopped reporting some time ago. S Korea is an outlier with its still high delayed reports. An average of 3,048 per day June 26-July 5 and 1,850 5 -10 July. Newspaper reports from Japan suggest a further gradual wave: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/20...nfection-wave/ This article also includes a US report on US infection this summer: https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/202.../covi-j17.html Later this week will report on local covid news and some latest You tube videos. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly covid news update:
President Marcos has lifted the more than 3 years old covid State of Emergency: https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...ergency/story/ Covid vaccinations are covered for a further year. The IATF are going to issue a report and government units are told to "amend existing or promulgate new orders". Face mask wearing requirements on public transport and elsewhere are rescinded "from a technical standpoint". Hmmm? Yesterday we attended the public areas of two local hospitals. They both required face mask wearing. Uncomfortable for the long hours you often need to wait. Then you wonder about workers? It's going to take a while to get fully back to 2019. The DOH going to keep the Alert Levels. So the DOH still see it as worse than the 'flu. SS gives more detail on this in her latest newsletter and also wonders whether certain requirements for expensive PCR tests from the bereaved if burial, women about to deliver in hospital, workers and unvaccinated foreign tourists will continue. https://supersally.substack.com/ A not unexpected SC ruling vs petitions vs covid policies: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/13/...-covid-policie You tube videos: Dr John Campbell: He gets so many viewers and so that, rather than the quality of the presentations, justifies continued monitoring! https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3326504833.png The fourth appearance for the Danish doctor. As always on the search for temporal coincidences of excess deaths with covid vaccination. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ed4cb1d56a.png The Australian Senator has been on before. Campbell and he criticize the Western Australia vaccine report. Interesting to note the Senator has recently been dropped from his party for his views on covid vaccines, climate change and Ukraine. UK Excess Deaths Latest UK ONS data w/e 7 July fell to 2-9% from an average over the three previous weeks of about 10%. Needs to be continue low, as this data has been volatile lately. Our World in Data's latest UK excess mortality chart: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ff19363111.png Our World use a different method to calculate expected deaths. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...982101367d.png A meta study presented by Dr Campbell. Pictures of spike proteins form autopsies of suspected vaccine related deaths. But the covid variety far more dangerous and better equipped than the short lived vaccine one. A study with a well known anti vaxxer Dr peter McCullogh as one of the authors,,which came out in an online publication the day after it was submitted. I fully expect a rebuttle from Dr Susan Oliver soon. The BBC with a good summary of what has come out of the UK covid enquiry so far. An interim report promised in 2024. After that a final report. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-66223172 |
Re: NCR llockdown
At last we are joining the rest of the world. It will be interesting to see what the IATF finally dictates.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 13205126)
At last we are joining the rest of the world. It will be interesting to see what the IATF finally dictates.
Looking around the region online it only seems to be Malaysia and Singapore who are still concerned much about it. Malaysia giving no case data to Worldometers but has still got a policy on quarantine after testing positive. Singapore also not giving case data but is giving out free tests ahead of vacation time there. Thailand reporting every 2 weeks at about 50 per day. Phils in the 200s daily. Nothing at all on Indonesia or Vietnam now to be seen about covid. |
Re: NCR llockdown
I really hope that compulsory wearing of facemarks on Philippine registered aircraft will now becomes a thing of the past. For many months Philippine airlines were the only ones enforcing the facemark rule.
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Weekly Report
The two main online news sites seem to have lost interest. There were incomplete reports in the Manila Bulletin and Inquirer. Cases 1,302 (1,958). Fall of 22% (-23%) Latest OCTA Positivity report shows NCR down to 2.7% from 3.3% a week ago. Cavite 3.8%, Bulacan 3.2%, Rizal 2.1% But three areas with increasing positivity: Isabela, Tarlac and Zambales. Deaths 49 (26). Not completely clear yet if they are all recent. Active cases 4,427 (5,681) Hospital data New admissions 30 (25) Admitted 356 (324) ICU beds 11.8% (11.2%) Non ICU 15.4% (16.6%) So cases continue to fall though the hospital data slightly worse and recent deaths up. Asian data The Philippines and Vietnam still reporting daily. The former with about twice the daily rate of the latter. Japan and Indonesia not reporting. S Korea weekly with a daily average of 2,627: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b4897c0fc5.png Slight uptick lately. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0e1e482711.png ...though deaths remaining low. Awaiting developments on other covid news. |
Re: NCR llockdown
COVID NEWS UPDATE
Locally the DOH repeating the long standing rules for covid cases, involving isolation. Even though the disease is milder now: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...te/ar-AA1euoY6 A factor involved in keeping recorded cases lower? DOH mask wearing advice also repeated. Hospitals keeping on with mask wearing for the public etc Pfizer Bivalent Vaccine SS commented on this today in a newsletter: The vaccine has a CPR but no pharmacies have applied to sell it. (CPR is the Certificate of Product Registration). https://supersally.substack.com/ Recent covid You Tube videos Back from his 2 week vacation Dr John Campbell continued with a number of videos. Two main themes of his were continued with: Claims of under recorded vaccine injury and the connected excess deaths data. Also complaints against lack of freedom of speech. I was puzzled as a month ago he presented two studies, one from S Korea based on 44M vaccinations and a smaller Pfizer only Denmark study. Both showed myocarditis rare after covid vaccination.. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...afa13b66eb.png Dr Campbell enthusiastically presented a Swiss paper on myocarditis after covid vaccination. The headline comes from a supposed 2.8% injury figure in the paper. only in an online journal and which took a year to be published. There were some strange things from the study. It was from 777 hospital staff, 70% female. Who had 10x more cases than men, who had only 2 cases You may recall that the vaccines had this as a rare side effect but when it was found that it was not quite so rare in young men with some vaccines some authorities recommended they were given alternative vaccines. A little thought tells you that 1 in 35 would mean doctors and hospitals swamped with cases all over the world. Dr Campbell's presentation perfectly illustrating that he is well out of his depth on many scientific medical areas and just bent on casting doubt on vaccine safety. The screenshot above also well illustrates that he knows he can get away with anything with his viewers. He pulls out a 2010 edition of a medical textbook's section on myocarditis which at the end of a summary of the symptoms notes that it has been seen to be more prevalent among young athletes. Those who are implicating covid vaccines whenever a sports man or woman collapses take note! Then a few minutes later Campbell rails against a supposed lack of advice given generally after vaccination re strenuous exercise. But it was well known about in 2010 and you are likely to have been told to rest for a day after vaccination. Funny then that on the 2.8% injury estimate he says "If I had known about this...I would have run a mile!" Still there is more scientific knowledge to come to understand why this study is a poor one.... https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f939f67dd6.png Dr Oliver points out that the Swiss study didn't find any confirmed case..They only found 2 people with "probable" myocarditis. But one of them just over the borderline level of Traponin T enzyme. which the authors used as a marker for possible myocarditis. A much lower level for the elevated enzyme than normal. The other 20 cases of injury come from looking at the Triaponin T levels. But they didn't measure their levels before vaccination. So they could be sure they were elevated.The scientific view is that raised Triaponin T levels are not significant markers.They go up with ordinary exercise, games and pregnancy. A study from the 4 Nordic countries shows myocarditis is an increased risk after covid compared to after the vaccination. Interestingly it also shows that in the rare case of having myocarditis after vaccination there is a lower chance of heart failure. A study from Israel showed 2.7 myocarditis cases per 100k and 11 cases per 100k after covid. There are links to these papers in Dr Oliver's notes. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2c953aab26.png Dr Campbell starts off with two points made in a recent Daily Mail article. From that and not a dog to let go of a bone he followed up with yet another video on myocarditis. Inexplicably he left out the results of the S Korean and Danish studies I mentioned above! And of course he doesn't mention the studies in Dr Oliver's video. Instead he repeats details of the Swiss study, a Thai study of 314 adolescents. An Israeli study of 324 people, using Triaponin T levels again. Only 2 mild cases from that.. Ends with a US autopsy report on 28 deaths. All links are there if you want to look. After a surfeit of myocarditis Dr Campbell again resorted to excess deaths. Headlining a 2022 WHO study covering excess deaths in the world regions, as defined by the WHO, for only the years 2020 and 2021. Nevertheless of some interest: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...415c5d30db.png He criticizes the WHO for not taking into account his favourite cause...vaccine related. Disguised by using the term "medical interventions" and his favourite not well known word "Iatrogenesis". Some charts: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...90799714b8.png Significant non covid excess deaths. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fcd51af2b0.png Smaller numbers in this huge and disparate area. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b3a336270e.png A puzzling high increased mortality in Africa. Contrary to some discussion that there was abundant natural immunity. Though how good is the data? Again, significant non covid excess deaths. The WHO say they use a wide definition of deaths caused by covid so the large differences in some areas could well be caused by the other factors which Campbell says were being left out....lock downs, economic etc. But almost certainly not by vaccination... https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f938d9be43.png Using World bank data we can see the High Income countries have fewer non covid excess deaths than the Upper Middle Income countries. A reasonable assumption is that the High Income countries were the ones with more vaccinations. ONS UK Excess Deaths update; Almost at zero for w/e 21 July.at 0,6%. 14 July 3.3% 7 July 2.9% 30 June 8.8% https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f4a8031a7b.png Alternative Our World in Data graph showing the downward trend established in the first 3 months, followed by a period of up and down sideways data..Two weeks behind the ONS with a latest 7%. They use different methods to the ONS for their expected deaths estimate. |
Re: NCR llockdown
I'm not convinced that the DOH has a well thought out Covid policy now that life is back to near normal.
Using my personal experience my second dose of Covid was not nearly as bad as a heavy cold. I did not report my situation (used a NHS antigen rapid test kit) Did self isolate for five days. My understanding that Covid symptoms do not present for five days but the victim is contagious during that period and up to five days once symptoms are experienced. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Bealinehx
(Post 13207590)
I'm not convinced that the DOH has a well thought out Covid policy now that life is back to near normal.
Using my personal experience my second dose of Covid was not nearly as bad as a heavy cold. I did not report my situation (used a NHS antigen rapid test kit) Did self isolate for five days. My understanding that Covid symptoms do not present for five days but the victim is contagious during that period and up to five days once symptoms are experienced. https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/covid-...nd-what-to-do/ |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly covid report
New cases 977 (1,302) A fall of 25% (-22%) Deaths 34 (49)...29 in July, 3 June, 2 May. Hospital Report New cases 11 (30) Admitted 315 (356) ICU 12.1% (11.8%) Non ICU 15.9% (15.4%) Deaths lately continue to be higher than earlier this year. Worldometers reports.... from August 7 for the region, to show S Korea. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ba31b3388e.png S Korea reporting weekly with 18.4k the week before and 16.8k before that. See chart below. Thailand also...391 the week before and 596 the week before that Philippines has been missing making its daily reports to Worldometers lately. Resumed yesterday August 8 with 93. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c95ca1beab.png S Korea uptick. Cases lower than in the past but at a scale much higher than in other countries in the region. Except perhaps in Japan. Japan has ceased to report to Worldometers but cases there are also on the rise: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20230804_28/ Philippines bivalent vaccination is not going well: https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...236efef6&ei=11 |
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Weekly covid update Aug 7-13
DOH reported 924 new cases (977). A 5% decline (-25%). 20 deaths, 14 in August (34) Hospital Report New admissions 11 (11) Admitted 238 (315) ICU 10.5% (12.1%) Non ICU 14.4% (15.9%) Case fall markedly down. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...49adedb4c5.png UK ZOE latest showing self reported rise lately. WHO have also reported rising cases, especially in the Western Pacific region: https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2...bvariant-rises Worldometers latest: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d505c1726c.png Philippines not now reporting here. Had 102 cases yesterday. S Korea and Thailand numbers are for the past week. Japan stopped reporting months ago. Indonesia last reported 2 weeks ago with 17 cases in 12 days. Malaysia in mid July when a small case wave there subsided. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...faa051d68c.png Philippine entry vaccination requirements dropped. You tube video covid activity: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...156762fc6b.png Dr John Campbell misrepresenting what one health expert said to a parliamentary group investigating UK vaccine injuries. He actually said "up to 98% were not reported" A meaningless statement on its own and the 2% grabbed by the presenter to bolster his campaign against vaccines. Tabloid journalism! He also let it be known he himself reported one through the Yellow Card system, Will he later divulge it? Not to say there are not improvements that can be made with the system to get a better idea. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dcefb4931f.png Dr Susan Oliver, as usual thoroughly, follows up on a flawed Florida study which has now been used in a meta study. But wrongly it is in one where it contributes 90% of the data! https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...391fd07f19.png In any case it seems to have been altered for political purposes. So was not worthy for inclusion because of that alone. From 4 months ago. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Covid-19 in its many variants is probably here to stay. I am fed up with all of the blame game nonsense. Why not learn from the experience so that in future a similar crisis can be managed more effectively, which I know in the enlightened circles is already happening. The worldwide media thrive on the blame game as it's good for revenue. Sadly the less well educated are bombarded with over dramatic articles and presentations.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly Covid Report
New cases 789 (924) A 15% fall (-5%). Deaths 10 (20). All occurred this month. Cases resume a faster fall. Only 70 new cases announced yesterday. Vietnam is the other major country still reporting daily and its last two day's numbers 51 and 44. Up significantly from last week. Reported S Korean cases on Monday for the past week fall for the second week running to 14,570. Down 16%. UK cases continue to rise: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8dde8ed6a0.png UK ZOE app new cases continue to rise. In the US slight rises in cases and hospitalizations are reported: https://www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...say-rcna100380 Hospital Data New cases 11 (11) Admissions 242 (238) ICU 11.0% (10.5%) Non ICU 13.5% (14.4%) Will review some other covid news later this week. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Covid news update:
The latest You tube covid video output dominated by Dr Campbell, who wants to repeat misinformation or missed information as much as possible. Hoping other You tubers then get tired of rebutting him. He got excited about the FDA in the US now allowing doctors there to prescribe Ivermectin for covid. Nothing from him about the fact that nearly all the health authorities in the world do not recommend it. Many large studies worldwide have shown it to be ineffective. The Oxford Principle trial was paused and never resumed. Research is still ongoing with 93 studies listed by the FDA. But many of them are small. All despite many individuals claiming it was effective for them. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2a7aa9b1ec.png Dr Campbell continues to talk about myocarditis after covid vaccination. Blasting Australia's TGA for saying it won't in future be mentioning it in its regular vaccine safety updates. As reporting rates there are as low as 2 per 100k. Campbell ignores that they say they are continuing to monitor it and will update if necessary. He believes the rate is much higher due to massive under reporting..He recently misrepresented a Swiss study to give the impression rates were around 2,800 per 100.000.....or 1 in 35. . https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a9e64dd4f9.png As usual nothing about myocarditis post covid infection. Which many studies show has rates multiples greater. Dr Campbell is desperate for new material to support his changed view on covid vaccines but has none at present. So he keeps on about myocarditis. He returns to the Australian Senate Committee interview of two Pfizer representatives. A well known anti vaxxer,Sen Rennick, asks a question about the mechanism by which the mRNA vaccine causes myocarditis: The two Pfuzer men did not answer it. They were probably not prepared to. Rather than trying to hide something. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1cdb36ad1a.png Pfizer later put out a statement. Below I just include the later part of it. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...403476e17a.png Later in the video Campbell gives his ideas. Note he is not a medical doctor, virologist or scientist. This report is just out from the ONS about vaccination status and covid mortality In England up to May 31, 2023: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...england/latest Again showing the effectivity of covid vaccination. Of most relevance now it suggests first boosters are effective. It's less sure about second or extra boosters as the data actually shows worse mortality. The ONS explains this by thm being targeted on people with the greatest vulnerability.. Anti vaxxers often say that successive boosters reduce immunity levels. Expert immunologists mostly say that is not true if the proper intervals between doses are kept to. SS's latest newsletter on Australian provisional 2023 mortality shows it continuing to rise. She is an anti vaxxer and sees it as responding to booster vaccination. But the relevant factor is the later timing of covid infection in Australia compared to most other countries. Deaths in those countries took a while to decline as factors during the peak years of the Pandemic, notably covid itself, its sequelae and the effects of controls, increased mortality. As has happened with pandemics in the past. https://supersally.substack.com/ https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...123a58789b.png |
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Weekly covid update August 21-27.
New cases 801 (789) up 1.5% (-15%) Deaths 6 (10) All in past 2 weeks. Active: 2,645. Hospital Data New admissions 13 (11) Admitted 240 (242) ICU 10.3% (11.0%) Non ICU 12.7% (13.5%) Too early to know but possibly here a variant is around which will also lead to further increases over the coming months. Today a new video from Dr Campbell on a US CDC statement, which as usual, is interpreted by him to put vaccination in a poor light: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...30b5d3d913.png A new variant causing concern. It may evade the vaccines more. But what he doesn't say to his listeners is that they will still give more protection than if you are unvaccinated and with no covid infection. And will still give protection against hospitalization and death. He makes more sensible comments about the CDC recommending boosters for all age groups over 6 months. Though still using Australian data to blame them for vaccine injuries. UK recommendations are quite different: https://healthmedia.blog.gov.uk/2023...-need-to-know/ |
Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly DOH covid report Aug 28 - Sep 3.
New cases 780 (801) A fall of 2.6% (+2%) Deaths 5 (6) 3 in August, 2 in July. Latest UK ZOE report shows a continuing rise there: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4805ad06e7.png As of Sep 3. Official NHS data ceased months ago. Strangely however official US data showing a surprising large recent case fall in Worldometers: Aug 30 17,520 Aug 31 9,617 then... Sep 3 2,690 Sep 4 2,218 However a new wave of cases and hospitalizations is expected by many commentators. BA 2.86 again mentioned. Problem is testing is not free now. https://www.msn.com/en-gb/health/oth...st/ar-AA1gclEN Latest: Jill Biden tests positive for covid. Most SE and E Asian countries no longer reporting to Worlometers. The exception being Vietnam with under 50 daily. Philippines 112 yesterday. Hospital Data New Serious cases 10 (13) Admitted 291 (240) ICU 10.8% (10.3%) Non ICU 13.9% (12.7%) You tube covid update: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e5af2c8c3f.png Pirola or BA.2.86 covid variant causes a 3 week advancement in the UK's Autumn booster roll out. Hardly a panic reaction and not deserving a second day on BA 2.86 from Dr John Campbell. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9ad9ede03c.png See the misleading video title a few days ago? He went on to suggest the evasion would be greater for the vaccine than for those infected. Using his understanding of immunology and a few diagrams... Dr Susan Oliver posted a video that put him right: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...97c98f598c.png What's important for cell infection are the neutralizing antibodies. Come from both vaccines and infection. . : |
Re: NCR llockdown
Latest Philippine vital statistics
Courtesy of SS Newsletter September 6 https://supersally.substack.com/ https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...80767d5e02.png More 2022 data added, though still provisional. 2022 deaths slightly higher than those in 2019 and 2020 but a lot lower than 2021. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...69d353820e.png Death due to restricted blood flow through arteries by far the main cause of death in 2022 and 2019 and it increased its contribution by over 24% in 2022. Diabetes and Hypertension also showing big increases over 2019. Deaths due to respiratory illnesses greatly down in 2022. Due to people still taking prevention seriously? Covid not making the top 10 causes of death in 2022. The PSA found 17,662...5,052 confirmed and 12,610 identified covid cases. Contrast with the DOH number of 7,487 for 2022! https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d06803c028.png Births have been 800k lower since 2019. Causes? For the increase of ischemic heart disease in 2022 we need look no further than the effect of covid as a vascular disease rather than a respiratory one and perhaps some contribution from lack of diagnosis and treatment during the pandemic. Cholesterol tests are not free and their need easily overlooked. Deaths due to strokes, hypertension likewise. As usual SS lists some factors which may have caused these changes. Some sensible ones like lockdown, poor medical services, poverty, diet changes....then the usual "some other factor". By which is meant by her serious ie deadly vaccine adverse effects. Ignoring the effects of covid, which experience from other pandemics tells us may persist killing indirectly for some years after the acute phase of infection. The fall in births is obviously due to disruption to people both economically and socially during the pandemic. The economic situation of most people continuing to be affected by high inflation...especially food prices ..the 7-8% GDP growth since the fall during the pandemic not enough to provide the jobs needed. Unemployment, greatly underestimated here, has fallen since he pandemic but not by much and has actually risen since May this year. Note: Some anti vaxxers, SS included, try to suggest covid vaccines have something to do with the low birth rate! Dr John Campbell watch A number of videos this week on topics away from covid. But for the nth time he returned to excess deaths: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...29ed3d60e1.png Starts off with a vaccination chart which orders countries by covid vaccine take up. The low vaccine countries there are all in E Europe. He then goes on to put up Our World in Data excess death charts from the high vaccine countries and points out the peaks. Saying it is a pity they didn't benefit from the high vaccination rates.. Even effectively saying covid vaccination was a waste of money! Didn't say that in Europe 8 out of the top 10 countries for covid deaths/M were in E Europe. That the low vaccine rate country of Bulgaria had the highest covid death rate per M. 5,618, compared to the UK's 3,342. That's 68% higher. Those countries all also had high excess death peaks during the pandemic. But when Dr Campbell puts up the charts for Romania and Bulgaria he talks more about their recent low excess deaths Ignoring the peaks in the pandemic. He does put up charts for the UK (more data on that below) and the US. The UK is something of an exception, with very variable and stubbornly high excess death data this year. To some extent the Netherlands and Ireland also. The US chart shows excess deaths lately around zero..but again he focuses on \ the peaks during the pandemic. But no charts for France, Germany, Spain and Italy....which have had around zero excess deaths for many months this year! Data cherry picked and misinterpreted by a master! https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...57b36c17f6.png UK Our World chart 9% Aug 20, 9% Aug 13.... But a better picture recently from the ONS: UK % Excess Deaths: Weeks in July: 2.9, 3,3, 0.6, 0.8. Weeks in August 4.1, 3.8, 4.1, 4.5 When Dr Campbell looks at the UK chart he first mentions "averaging 4.5%" then goes to the World in Data higher figure. So he knows the lower ONS numbers but prefers to talk about the higher ones from Our World. A few months ago, when UK Excess Deaths were even higher at around at over 12% he he had videos about the ONS data. But now Our World suits his purpose better. The UK trend this year is down but not a consistent one. Difficult to explain the rise in August. Is it something to do with the NHS? Long waiting lists, strikes etc Just a guess. . |
Re: NCR llockdown
DOH Weekly Covid Report
Numbers still small but an upturn in cases and more concerning in the seriousness of hospital cases. New cases 894 (780) Increase 15% (-2.6%) Deaths 14 (5) 7 Sep, 6 Aug, 1 June Hospital Data New 10 (10) Admitted 276 (291) ICU 13.1% (10.8%) Non ICU 15.1% (13.9%) |
Re: NCR llockdown
COVID NEWS UPDATE
https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...62fbbd0925.png Some covid vaccine data and evidence that anti vaxxers either don't know about or ignore. She looks at: 1. NHS England data on deaths by vaccination status.analyzed by the ONS: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e7623fe537.png Graph from Dr Oliver..not the ONS as they only give spreadsheet data. Mortality data standardized by age. Dr Oliver gives a good discussion of the biases in the data between the 2 groups. No data given but results for boosters also show a good advantage. 2. Vaccine safety: A US study in the journal Vaccine on 2021 data. Nearly 7M participants in 7 large areas of the US with about 3% of the US population.The authors say a socio-economically diverse population. Efforts made to adjust for confounding variables between the vaccinated and non vaccinated groups. Separate results for three covid vaccines are given. Summary of results: covid vacinees vs non vacinees, 1. Lower non covid mortality rates for covid vacinees, 2. Covid vacinees faced less mortality hazard 3. No increased risk for non covid mortality after covid vaccination. 3. Risk of death at lower ages: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e38bbb52d2.png Relevant to the anti vaxxers young male athlete claims of sudden death is that males aged 15-24 have a 1 in 1,908 chance of dying each year. For those 25-34 a 1 in 1,215 chance of dying. 4. Outcomes for vaccinated vs infected. Indiana Study. 267,847 matched pairs of vaccinated vs infected https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b2a6771ee1.png Hospitalizations were also 37% lower. Dr Oliver provides a link to a previous video of hers with more detail on this study, which I summarised in a post a few months ago. 5. The long term cardiovascular outcomes of covid: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f427de8ffe.png A study in Nature showing the increased risk after covid. MACE stands for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events. 6. If you get covid what is the impact of vaccination on MACE? https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6fdab873f4.png A study in the journal of the American Cardiology College of over 1.9M US covid patients and MACE...fully vaccinated, partially vaccinated and not vaccinated. Early 2021.hence the low numbers of vaccinated. Note: top left number should read 1,716, 451. The vaccinated had a much higher probability of freedom from MACE. Shaded areas confidence intervals for vaccination...showing up wide as small numbers in early 2021. The Economist's analysis of Excess Deaths: Excess mortality is a good measure of the true toll of the Pandemic. But many countries did not produce any or reliable data. The Economist used other available data in an attempt to fill in the gaps. Published May 2021. To read about their Excess Deaths model you will have to register: https://myaccount.economist.com/s/lo...9660ac14ea4170 Pandemic-IC.com present in a blog some updated results of the model earlier this month. First using the World Bank's Income groups. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b2f2826a78.png Lower Income: Eg Most African countries, Syria, Afghanistan, Yemen, NOKOR. 26 in this group. Lower Middle Eg Bagladesh, India, Philippines, Iran, Vietnam.....54 Upper Middle Eg Brazil, Indonesia, Malaysia, Peru, S Africa, Mexico, Thailand....54 High: Eg US,Canada, UK, European countries, Australia, NZ, ...China, Taiwan, Singapore....83 The Lower Income countries had the lowest excess deaths but they were still significant. Lower Middle Income excess deaths rose to overtake that of the high income countries from mid 2021 to be the highest. Against anti vaxxer's claims that because those countries could not afford vaccines they would actually do better for mortality! https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a4d5754900.png Europe and Central Asia, S America, N America and S Asia the highest per capita rates. Southern Africa and East Asia and the Pacific the lowest. More on this and vaccine equity in: https://pandem-ic.com/the-global-pic...is-disturbing/ Latest UK Excess Deaths ONS weekly data: https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fbc1c837cc.png The large week to week volatility continues for the UK with another large drop. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...1september2023 Contrast with Our World in Data...latest data August 20: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...413a75d1e2.png Latest update of PSA data from SS in a newsletter posted today. As of May 31 2023 Philippine deaths in 2022 have risen to be 9.5% above 2020 levels (previously up 8.2% after an update a month ago). So 2022 deaths are still being updated this year. But SS points out that 2021 deaths, while still classed as preliminary, have not been updated since March 31 2022! She hints at the possibility of a nefarious reason for that delay. But it may just be an ongoing problem with the data collection in 2021.The DOH death count from covid has always been well below that of the PSA's so it is only a starting point. Causes of Death update: Ischemic (restricted blood and oxygen supply) now up 26.3% on 2019 (24.7% last update). Diabetes up 22.4% (21.2%). Hypertension up 38.7% (37.3%) https://supersally.substack.com/ |
Re: NCR llockdown
Last week's covid report AWOL.
Mid pm Thursday and no DOH report on last week published. Although the DOH are still giving the daily figures. I wonder why. One possibility is that the last two daily figures have been up a bit...168 yesterday and 160 the day before. Not good to publicize them as the government tries to move on. I wasn't able to record the missing daily figures last week. Worldometers are no longer given them it seems.But am recording them daily from now on. Yesterday's figure came from the Manila Bulletin and their report included two latest hospital data: Covid ICU capacity used 10.74% Covid non ICU 15.01% The ICU figure much lower than the 13.1% last seen over a week ago. The non covid figure unchanged. YOU TUBE: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a0c1c45105.png Dr Susan Oliver with her usual robust response to a Dr John video nearly 2 weeks ago: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...dee92bb949.png He picked out some examples of high and low vaccination countries. Then went on to try to show there was a correlation between the level of vaccination and excess deaths. While not saying that almost all of the low vaccination countries had high covid deaths. Strangely he focused on Hungary. One of the charted counties which he showed from Our World. But seemingly unknown to him it was an exception with a fairly high vaccination level. Some unique factors there maybe but he could have tried to make something of that but missed out as it wasn't in his vaccination list! https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c16ce34f6d.png We've seen this approach before from Dr Campbell. He was corrected then but he doesn't care or doesn't look at them. Dr Susan Oliver compares what he says now with what he has said in the past. Version 2.0 vs 1.0: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...7dc0d6286e.png Elsewhere presented by another anti vaxxer,SS, we have some research which tries to do the same with 17 Southern Hemisphere countries. On first sight looks a thorough piece of data analysis: Looking at only The Philippines: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...4d68372b59.png They attempt to correlate the vaccine data (orange line) with the mortality data (blue line).to conclude that for The Philippines (and all the other 16 countries) the vaccines were a major cause of excess mortality and vaccinations were not beneficial. However if we look at the Philippine's much delayed vaccine roll out in 2021 in Our World: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...62c89edb9b.png A slow roll out. Only reached 50% coverage in November 2021. SS tries to distract from that by mentioning the small number of early vaccine doses given to some in the government and military. So is it obvious that there is a temporal vaccination? The main author is a PhD physicist, sacked a few years ago from the University of Ontario. He seems to have become part of the Canadian anti vaxxer movement and has already published on covid topics. The paper is not in a reputable journal, not peer reviewed. So because of all that I think not at all reliable. For more details see SS newsletter September 21. https://supersally.substack.com/ https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ba6b6dcc85.png I am doubtful if the Japanese study which Dr Campbell features as the centre piece in this video is of any great merit. Small numbers and retrospective rather than prospective, Not peer reviewed. Vitamin D levels not measured at the beginning of admission, Dr Campbell has vitamin D as one of campaigning issues. At least this is worth a watch for the diagrams showing how it works in the body. From comments it is obvious a lot of people are taking supplementation, sometimes at high levels, annoying their doctors, in an attempt to boost their immune systems. In the past Dr Susan Oliver has pulled up Dr Campbell on his thinking and the science fn vitamin D. Maybe she won't this time as she is too busy correcting his other videos. So I would not follow him on this until we see this paper and the other research here looked at by scientists and medically qualified doctors. |
Re: NCR llockdown
DOH Weekly Covid Report Sep 18-24
There was no report for Sep 11-17 and no daily reports for September 23 and 24. However we can estimate the case numbers for the missing week from the information given in the latest weekly report. There was a daily report on yesterday's new cases. A fairly high figure for a Monday at 161. Last Friday at 222. New cases 1,164 (c 1,030). An increase of c13% (+15%) 10 new serious in hospital (10 2 weeks ago) 260 admitted (276 2 weeks ago) ICU beds use 14.7% (13.1% 2 weeks ago) Non ICU beds use 9.7% (15.1% 2 weeks ago) At September 24 ICU use was at 11.6% and Non ICU 15.2% Deaths 11 9 September and 2 August Active cases 2,905 Latest UK ZOE graph: Self reported covid showing continued rise. https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...df9c185ae7.png Latest US CDC report with some downturns in early indicators and hospital admissions: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra...tatracker-home As usual YOU TUBE VIDEOS: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9bcd6970ab.png Dr Campbell tries to cast doubt on the safety of mRNA vaccines from this study which shows trace RNA in breast milk. As usual not a revelation. Dr Susan Oliver gives references to previous papers showing the same traces in breast milk and shows his fears about mRNA are unfounded in relation to breast milk and spread into organs in the human body. Dr Campbell found another way to keep the Excess Deaths pot boiling with some 2023 data from the OECD. I looked at their UK figures and they seem to follow the ONS data. Data up to July 2023. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9358ec9254.png Dr Campbell continued his interest in E Europe with Hungary and Poland, but also Sweden. Hungary had the second worst covid death rate in Europe but claims a 64% vaccination coverage. Nearby Bulgaria had a 16% vaccination rate and by far the worst covid death rate. Interesting comments suggest it was easy in Hungary to get a vaccination record by paying but not actually getting vaccinated. Also a roughly one third use of less effective Chinese and perhaps Russian vaccines. Poland had a much better covid death rate in the lower half of the European table and a 57% vaccination record, Sweden's record was also in the bottom half of the table but worse than its 3 Nordic neighbours. Along with a moderately high 74% vaccination coverage. The video also sees Dr Campbell repeating his usual looks at selective Our World Excess Deaths charts. You may also be interested in him talking about the past activity of a certain German national called August Landmesser. Again claiming there is something unusual about the excess deaths and asking why the media is not talking about it. They need the courage of Landmesser he is saying..who was actually dealt with any quite leniently by the Nazis for not saluting. Though persecuted, as many were,.. for marrying a Jewish woman. Philippines Vaccine Safety A FOI request about the so far 2,816 deaths following vaccination has been answered by Philippine Pharmacovigilance: The answers were: 1. Causality assessment percentage? https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...295210278e.png 2. Percentage of causality assessments of concern? https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...888bd6e6dd.png So 1.9% of total cases and 15.3% of them consistent with causal association to vaccination. You can see more in the latest SS newsletter, today. https://supersally.substack.com/ For comparison I looked at the UK and US. Did not any see recent data. By September 2021 in the UK there were 9 deaths confirmed where the vaccine played a part. Five of them where the vaccine was the underlying cause. For the US there were 4,496 deaths in the first 6 months of Pfizer and Moderna vaccinations. 1.3% of the total serious adverse reports received by the VAERS system. But none confirmed as caused in any way by the vaccines. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...054-8/fulltext Two articles of interest about covid effects and new variants: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/09/23/...earch-suggests https://www.bbc.com/news/health-66848549issued |
Re: NCR llockdown
Latest DOH Weekly Covid Report;
New cases 1,231 (1,164) Up 5.8% (+13%). No deaths (11) Hospital Report New admitted 8 (10) Admitted 189 (260) ICU % 13% (14.7%) Non ICU 16.3% (figure from the Manila Bulletin last week was obviously incorrect). Some recent You Tube videos: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b1de0928b8.png Dr Oliver shows Mr Nobody deserves to be forgotten for his attempt to prove vaccines are deadly.The video was withdrawn by Dr Campbell but Dr Oliver shows some of it. Dr Campbell put up two more useful videos in the past week: https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...1fb94f3c54.png One vaccine side effect which has not received the proper attention and may have caused some women to refuse a second vaccine. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b7e8a82407.png Has to be weak, hindsight is perfect.The Pandemic was unexpected and the virus novel. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b016239b60.png A thorough explanation from Dr Seheult on the way the US VAERS system works to provide information on changes in side effects. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Last week's covid cases:
1,264 (1,231). Up 2.7% (+5.8%) Deaths 6 (0) 1 recent Hospital Data 12 new serious, critical (8) ​​​​​​Ad mitted 272 (189) ICU 12 2% (13.0%) Non ICU 18.4% (16.3%) |
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