Died Suddenly

You may know that some anti vaxxers have been linking the deaths of people who died suddenly to covid vaccines. It started off with media personalities but some have been compiling lists of ordinary people.
Our own SS has done that:


Newsletter March 31.

https://supersally.substack.com/

Talking here about a suspicion that a covid vaccination was the cause rather than a rare adverse effect proved to be the cause of death by medical investigation.

BBC Newsnight yesterday did a critical piece on a certain Stew Peters and his film "Died Suddenly":


Mr Peters was interviewed and refused to answer the interviewer's questions about some of the cases in the film where deaths actually occurred before covid vaccines were available or were simply due to an accident. Recent changes in Twitter policy seems to have played a role in helping the film and its associated misinformation go viral. A person who shared her husband's sudden death started getting some sinister messages among those of support.

The full film is available on Rumble:

https://rumble.com/v1wcesu-died-sudd...-children.html

A short documentary version is on You tube.

When will people just accept that when Covid reared it's ugly head everyone was caught off guard. It is so tiresome that the various interests on either side are all experts in hindsight. They didn't have to manage a crisis let alone make critical decisions affecting the lives of millions.

Weekly Update

Weekly cases totaled 4,456 (3,148). For the 39th April alone they announced 1,263. Possibly some backlog in that.
So the daily average was 637 (450). Increase on the previous week 42% (32%).

Testing averaged 6.7k a day. About the same as in the previous week.

Given those figures a strange press release came from the DOH:expecting cases to stabilise at around 600 a day over the next month! When the weekly percentage increase has itself been increasing each week over the last month.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/05/02/...ses-until-june

Infections in the top regions over the last 14 days:

NCR +46% (+43%) Nearly 3k infections. More than double those n region 4A.
4A +56% ( +62%)
Dav -10% (-5%)
WV +35% ....400 infections
CL ended the week with 410 infections.

5,875 active infections is the latest total given by the DOH. Some commentators say it should be much lower.

NCR positivity:according to OCTA:


NCR positivity not yet at half the rate at the peak of the first Omicron outbreak last year. But testing is now much less. Latest figure 17.2% on the 20th of April.

Positivity higher than the NCR's in a few provinces:



Not entirely clear about deaths as no figure announced in ABS-CBN or GMA reports. The Inquirer said there were none.
As usual the DOH weekly bulletin not yet updated online.

Hospital Data

New severe and critical: 22 (14)
Admitted 351 (345)
ICU 15.0% (13.7%)
Non ICU 18.1% (17.4%)

A continuing slight deterioration showing each week but utilization still at a low level.

The big news of the week is that Dr John Campbell was banned for a week fromYou tube after posting this::


You tube said the interview breached their community guidelines. I watched it before it was taken down and heard nothing too shocking. Bridgen alleged Big Pharma had undue influence and that mRNA vaccines were experimental. He has received much support from his loyal and mostly uncritical viewers and being banned will undoubtedly make him even more popular.

Rather than suspend Campbell for that video there have been plenty of others where he has spread misinformation and not corrected it when it has been shown to be so.. This is not the best example as he did correct it, but still...


Campbell recently posted a video claiming a big increase in miscarriages and still births in Lanarkshire during the Pandemic Of course he hinted it could be related to covid vaccination. Soon after, as once before, the data from a FOI request was shown to be incorrect and there was no increase. Campbell did correct it but not what he said in the rest of the video. And when he corrected it he alleged some sort of conspiracy with these incorrect FOI data requests. When they are obviously human errors by staff who are probably usually doing other duties.
He also found data which showed still births went up by 10% in 2021 over 2020 in England and Wales. He couldn't get complete miscarriage data nor information on vaccine status. Again hinting there may be a link with covid vaccination. As usual Dr Susan Oliver clears it all up very convincingly with relevant studies.This one shows that prior covid infection, not vaccination or not, was the only factor which raised mortality rates.
Campbell's original video is still up on You tube and Dr Oliver's correction got only 5,700 views to date.

Philippine Excess Deaths

An SS newsletter April 29 showed some materials forming part of a campaign that an Australian group (RDA), which she seems connected with, is waging to publicize excess deaths during the Pandemic.


https://supersally.substack.com/

This chart from OWiD confirms the Philippines data:



The Philippines higher than a number of other countries with high 2021 excess deaths.



The RDA put out a useful list with some sensible comments about possible causes:




A much more reasonable analysis than the one given by SS, who is always hinting that the main cause was vaccination.
I would only add that there is a strong possibility of bad batches of vaccine being the cause of a high death spike in Cebu. This incident was covered here in 2021.

The Covid Global Health Emergency is now over declares WHO.
Will the IATF and DOH continue to spread paranoia? In the final analysis are the health care facilities able to cope with sporadic increases in declared cases?

The DOH is being reluctantly forced to accept that the war is over and there is no need to continue the interventions of mandatory masking and wide scale vaccination.The IATF will vote for that as it is obviously also the view of BBM. I wonder if his views have been influenced by all his travelling abroad lately?

Still there are certain die hard "experts" around getting quoted by the media and officials in some regional authorities,, educational facilities etc who want to go back to masking and restricting operations. BBM may not clamp down on them so those people inconvenienced will have to endure a return to restrictions while the present covid wavelet lasts.

SS in a newsletter posted yesterday has given details of a DOH memo published on April 13 which aims a 2nd booster program specifically at people in BARMM...the Muslim republic here. Although much delayed some bivalent boosters are coming soon. However BARMM residents were very hesitant and are now only 27.4% fully vaccinated, according to ABS-CBN. Looking at the program in detail it is mainly concerned with catching up on vaccinating those persons, rather than the only 81k there who ABS-CBN say have had a first booster. Using some of the millions of primary doses presently unused here. Despite the fact that the virus has changed.

How has BARMM fared during the Pandemic, despite being very under vaccinated? Covid deaths per M much lower at 124 against the Philippines 591. But it did suffer higher Excess Deaths..In 2020 it was exceptional with EDs at 58%. The next year it had slightly higher EDs than nationally at 44%. Obviously vaccination itself cannot be blamed and barring massive under recording of covid deaths the only possible explanations left are serious breakdowns in medical services and too strict movement restrictions. As usual with Philippine EDs no government study seems to have been made so far.

For more detail on the April 13 memo see SS newsletter May 5:

https://supersally.substack.com/

For the DOH memo:

https://doh.gov.ph/sites/default/fil...m_medium=email

Weekly Report

New cases last week 9,465 (4,456). A 112% increase (42%).

Percentage increase in cases over the last 14 days by region:

NCR 97 (46) The NCR with about half of each day's cases.
4A 119 (56)
CL 117
WV 79 (35)
Bicol was in 5th place at the end of last week with 545 cases.

Deaths 9.
Not in the previous week.

Hospital Data

New cases 50 (22)
Admitted 410 (351)
ICU 16.5% (15.0%)
Non ICU 21.2% (18.1%)

Facility Risk

Nationally 9% of facilities at moderate risk or greater.
NCR 16%
4A 19%
CL 4%
CV 14%
Dav 11%

The accelerating number of cases producing a much greater deterioration in the reported hospital situation last week. But generally well within the ability of the health facilities to cope.

The situation in our neighbours?


The Japanese total yesterday far lower than in recent days.....9k, 14k, 6k for the previous 3 days. After reaching a low point in mid March cases there have been gradually increasing. Indonesia's daily cases have been falling over the last few days. In contrast with the Philippines. Vietnam does the most testing. Daily case totals there have been quite variable recently. Generally 2-3k.



Dr Campbell ended his enforced week away with a video obviously intended to shock his followers. It showed the latest weekly ONS Excess Deaths data for England and Wales. There was a big increase and covid deaths continue to be only a few percent of them:


....could this be the start of a reversal in a falling trend for this year? Not likely as an examination of last year's data shows that the period after Easter always shows a big increase as reporting is delayed. In fact the ONS warns users of these statistics about that in a note. Something Dr Campbell failed to mention.

The rest of the video is the same as a few before where he looks through the Excess Death charts of a number of countries. While at one point he says the causes are "multifactorial" his followers all know what he is hinting at. That vaccinations themselves were a major cause. He complains no one has come out with good studies on the issue yet. Of course many health experts are working on it.....but they have to go through a rigorous process before publication. Unlike Dr Campbell.

I agree with him that some governments should be looking into it. However some seem not to be under any public pressure to do so. Perhaps the public just want to move on? Maybe they have a good idea of the causes? For example in the Philippines everyone knows the health system is poor and during the lock down many sick people, especially the poorer, couldn't get into, or had no money for, hospital to get diagnoses and treatment.

An SS Newsletter May 9 worth a look at on Philippines demography lately:


For her free newsletters:
https://supersally.substack.com/



As usual a high quality video from Dr Susan Oliver focusing on the facts relating to sudden deaths in young people.

Last week the DOH announced 12,414 cases (9,465). Over the previous week a 31% increase (112%).

% increase in last 14 days infections:

NCR 41 (97)
4A 47 (119)
CL 80 (47)
WV 44 (79)
Bic 42

The rate of increase in infections may be lessening.


Positivity continues to increase.



Only a slight increase in pfficial testing. Then the vast majority of infections are mild though many people have a requirement to have a test.

Deaths 0

Hospital Report

53 new at least moderately ill new patients (50)
Admitted 437 (410)
ICU 18.8% (16.5%)
Non ICU 21.7% (21.2%)

Occupancy rate of facilities at medium risk or greater:

Nationally 8% (9%)

NCR 14% (16%)
4A 18% (19%)
CL 4% (4%)
CV 13% (14%)
Dav 9% (11%)

Again a slight deterioration for hospitals but still at low utilization.
Easing slightly in the NCR.

Latest cases and deaths In our neighbours. From Worldometers.


Japan has stopped reporting daily.
Case increase in S Korea and Indonesia slight. In Vietnam flat.
Deaths in S Korea latest weekly average 11 and in Indonesia 21. Vietnam claims 1! But here it is 0!


Dr Campbell saw another high week of England and Wales excess deaths late last month. At 12,152 for w/e 28 April. Only 2% lower than the previous week. He used that to lead in to a repeat of past videos where he looks at Excess Deaths in other countries. To little effect except to hint there is or was something which caused the increase on a large scale. His followers all know what he is hinting at. Re the UK data I still think the effects of registration delays around Easter continue to play out. If it is a blip it is moderated by the Easter effect one and the downward trend started in January will likely continue.


Another interesting video from Dr Susan Oliver. She talks about medical treatments, cosmetics and processed foods....but also about vaccination.....



A 2022 study in Indiana of nearly 268k matched pairs of people comparing those previously infected (solid line) and those who had at least one covid vaccine dose (dotted line). The superior outcome shown here was repeated for ER attendance and for hospitalization.

As I predicted the bigger cities have started to bring back mask mandates. Manila's is just in the City Hall but we now have Baguio:

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...ty/ar-AA1bdhfE

Others will follow with these knee jerk type reactions. Disinfection too is likely to make a comeback.
Don't throw away your masks as supermarkets and Malls may well follow.

Schools may send pupils home. One school did a week ago as several teachers had covid although conveniently others have gone back to remote education as classrooms became too hot.

UK Excess Deaths update:


The latest ONS data for early May shows UK EDs down to 5.4% in early May after two high weeks affected by delayed Easter registrations. They were used as a hook by Dr Campbell to make 2 videos hinting that vaccinations are at least the main cause of EDs. I'm not expecting an update.

The DOH announced 12,426 cases for the past week. It was 12,414 in the previous week. So no change (31%).

Has the wavelet reached a plateau?

Weekly positivity nationally at 21% has also turned down.

Though up to recently some regions were on the rise:

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...se/ar-AA1btFuf

Last 14 day infections % increases:

NCR 4 (41)
4A 12 (47)
CL 11 (80)
WV 23 (44)
Bic 16 (42)

Some big falls in the rate of increase.

Deaths: 13 One this month.

Hospital Report

New Severe and Critical 87 (53)
Admitted 486 (437)
ICU 18.2% (18.8%)
Non ICU 23.0% (21.7%)

Increase in new cases of 64% and an 11% rise in those admitted.

Facilities at moderate risk and higher:

Nationally 9% (8%)

NCR 13 (14)
4A 19 (18)
CL 5 (4)
CV 17 (13)
Dav 7 (9)

Apart from CV no concerns from that. Though there are other regions I'm not tracking..

Is Marcos being advised that the recent upturn has reached a peak?

https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...after-pandemic

Excess Deaths


Another video from Dr Campbell on this topic last week.

To his credit he did do a quick update on the latest England and Wales data which shows the downward trend has resumed after the Easter effect played out.
He then looks at Canada and Australia. Which were both trending up at he end of last year. But for some unknown reason no data since then.
Canadian conspiracy theorists have come out alleging a cover up.
Though some more recent provincial deaths data has come out for Quebec and Nova Scotia which does suggest rising deaths.
But it has been winter there and deaths always rise as temperatures fall.
Otherwise much of the same analysis from him....along the lines "something big has happened" "we don't know what it is".
And sadly no mention of all the other, I would say, more obvious causes.
Another comment refers to Alberta, where deaths with no known cause have been announced as the leading cause of death there lately. I've checked and that is right. So something not going well with Canada's death stats.
Many commenters on this video complaining about the state of the Canadian health service.


Dr Campbell seized on an opportunity to have a go at mRNA technology without being suspended from You tube....


....the start of trials for an mRNA 'flu vaccine. Campbell saying it could well be inflammatory. My research found a paper which said that it is only a temporary effect. Anyway he's not to be trusted on this and I expect correction will be coming. Probably from Dr Susan Oliver.

This was a correction from Back to the Science's Dr Susan Oliver of some other claims he made last year about mRNA technology:

Also interesting was an interview she did with another Australian doctor


He's been challenging anti vaxxers there.

SE and E Asian latest daily cases and deaths:


S Korea slight case rise.
Thailand reports were for the week. Slight rise.
Vietnam slight rise
HK very slight rise. Small rise in deaths.
Indonesia slight case rise, possibly turning down.

Despite receiving four Covid vaccinations and having contracted Covid in August 2020 I was for the second time infected with Covid 2 weeks ago. Symptoms sore throat, runny nose, coughing Phlegm from upper chest and constipation. Whole experience lasted for 5 days. More of an inconvenience than anything else. Thankfully I was given NHS anti gen rapid test kits which I used to establish that I had in fact contracted Covid mark 2! I am 76 and have no medical issues.

Sorry to hear that. The boosters ain't that great at prevention but perhaps stopped it from being worse.
Amy idea where you might have contracted it?

Asawa is a midwife and she probably was infected by a patient and then on to me. In the final analysis who really knows. In the UK they say that in excess of half a million walk around with Covid on a daily basis so I wonder what the reality is here.
In the final analysis it is now part of every day life.

Yes, it's certainly around and although almost certainly lower than the 1 in 60 average in the UK indoors with no or little ventilation, close proximity? Then seems your wife was likely. Was she Ok?

Yes she also had mild symptoms. She is very strict about wearing her facemask but obviously to no avail. So hand washing seems to be the key to prevention.

Updatef some Philippine statistics

Courtesy of several recent email posts by SS.

https://supersally.substack.com/

The April Pharmacovigilance Report came out.

It says 181.6M doses have been administered.
112,517 reports of suspected adverse reactions, 10,663 serious reactions. Both up little since the March report.
2,801 deaths in one table, SS says the same total as announced in February..But from data elsewhere in the Report SS says there are 2,816, an increase of 15..
As usual no causal link to any of the deaths from vaccination is admitted.

They are now tracking 3 new conditions:
Encephalitis
Heavy menstrual bleeding
Myelitis

Investigation remains slow. Since 2022 13 cases of Threombosis, 22 of Myocarditis, 32 Guillain Barre syndrome, 9 Bell's Palsy, 9 Thrombocytopenia are listed as ongoing..

Philippine All Cause Mortality 2019-22


Another bar chart 2021 and 2022:



While SS makes a lot of the increase in cardiovascular disease she seems unaware of all the research linking it strongly with covid infection.




A slightly different impression of the various peaks using 4 week moving averages.

Covid cases by age:





Lines from top downwards 2019 -22. 2022 data preliminary and incomplete. 2022 falls in births over 2021 not in every month though big falls in late 2022. Looking at fully comparable months Jan- Oct there is only a preliminary 0.4% fall.

Opposition to Senate Bill 1869, which sets up a Philippines CDC and allows the WHO to have a strong influence on the country's future Pandemic responses is facing some opposition from local groups;:

One group is Lunas Pilipinas::


Made up of a number of groups, big and small.

The largest is the Concerned Doctors of the Philippines, CDPH:

Their position paper on SB 1869:



Last a useful graph from Our World in Data on world wide covid vaccination:






About 400,000 bivalent covid vaccinations for the DOH yet again delayed:

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...oh/ar-AA1bAgNr