NCR llockdown
Jun 5th 2022, 9:07 pm
#1696
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 6 more cases to 219. Saturday's test number down to 15.7k individuals.
Active 2,479, up 38
Location detail
NCR up 6 at 111 and 51% of all cases. Its 6 largest cities with a higher 69 cases. QC 23, Manila 16 cases.
CL 15, 4A 26 Cavite 9, Rizal 9.
These 3 regions with 69% of all cases.
Visayas 26, MIndanao 30 cases.
Dr John talking about covid less these days but in a recent video there was an interesting graph of US data from the CDC reviewing the past advantage of vaccination over non vaccination:
This is protection against death. Though there is a much smaller relative protection advantage against being diagnosed as a case.
Even recently death protection was as high as x8. Though we know Omicron is killing those with comorbidities and the US with a large population of such people.
Dr J has recently been promoting "natural immunity". Bemoaning the failure of bodies like the ONS and CDC to publish data on the covid outcomes for the unvaccinated but previously infected.
The immunity benefits of vaccination for those vaccines used in the US were tested in a recent study done in a Californian University and the results are reviewed in this Medcram video:
This is the first result showing antibody response. It declines for all the vaccines after a while....but if you watch further they all show a consistent response through time for memory T and B cells.
When comparing vaccination vs infection and "natural immunity" the more consistent immunity given by vaccines is an advantage not fully appreciated, paraphrasing the words of the Medcam MD presenter of this video.
Active 2,479, up 38
Location detail
NCR up 6 at 111 and 51% of all cases. Its 6 largest cities with a higher 69 cases. QC 23, Manila 16 cases.
CL 15, 4A 26 Cavite 9, Rizal 9.
These 3 regions with 69% of all cases.
Visayas 26, MIndanao 30 cases.
Dr John talking about covid less these days but in a recent video there was an interesting graph of US data from the CDC reviewing the past advantage of vaccination over non vaccination:
This is protection against death. Though there is a much smaller relative protection advantage against being diagnosed as a case.
Even recently death protection was as high as x8. Though we know Omicron is killing those with comorbidities and the US with a large population of such people.
Dr J has recently been promoting "natural immunity". Bemoaning the failure of bodies like the ONS and CDC to publish data on the covid outcomes for the unvaccinated but previously infected.
The immunity benefits of vaccination for those vaccines used in the US were tested in a recent study done in a Californian University and the results are reviewed in this Medcram video:
This is the first result showing antibody response. It declines for all the vaccines after a while....but if you watch further they all show a consistent response through time for memory T and B cells.
When comparing vaccination vs infection and "natural immunity" the more consistent immunity given by vaccines is an advantage not fully appreciated, paraphrasing the words of the Medcam MD presenter of this video.
Jun 6th 2022, 9:02 pm
#1697
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday a low 179 cases. On Sunday tests done were 12k. A few months ago you would relate tests 2 days ago to the announced cases but it looks now the time to process results is only 1 day.
Active 2,459, down 20
Location detail:
NCR 80 and 45% of all cases. Its top 6 cities with 47 cases. QC 17, Manila 13 cases.
CL 13, 4A 22 vases. Cavite 13 cases.
These 3 regions with 64% of all cases.
Visayas 22, Mindanao 27 cases.
DOH weekly report
Last week in brackets.
Cases 1,295 (1317) 2% fall
Deaths 1 (0)
New Severe and Critical +16 (+12)
Patients 599 (679)
ICU 14.7% (16.8%)
Positivity 1.8% (1,2%)
Active 2,459, down 20
Location detail:
NCR 80 and 45% of all cases. Its top 6 cities with 47 cases. QC 17, Manila 13 cases.
CL 13, 4A 22 vases. Cavite 13 cases.
These 3 regions with 64% of all cases.
Visayas 22, Mindanao 27 cases.
DOH weekly report
Last week in brackets.
Cases 1,295 (1317) 2% fall
Deaths 1 (0)
New Severe and Critical +16 (+12)
Patients 599 (679)
ICU 14.7% (16.8%)
Positivity 1.8% (1,2%)
Jun 7th 2022, 7:08 pm
#1698
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 168 cases, 17.4k individuals tested on the 6th.
Active 2,437, down 22
Location detail:
NCR up 15 at 93 and a high 57% of all cases. Its 6 biggest cities 54 cases. QC 22, Pasig 9. Caloocan 0 cases.
CL 9, 4A 11. Cavite 6.
These 3 regions with 63% of all cases.
Visayas and Mindanao each with 20 cases.
The IATF announce full capacity in Alert Level 1 areas:
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...2de87b66481ad5
The only "establishment" where I have been asked for my vacc card recently was the BI!
OCTA on the NCR
Yesterday's numbers and weekly reports add to the feeling that the NCR now behaving somewhat differently from other areas.
Even to those regions close to it.
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...af221b16b58ddd
Active 2,437, down 22
Location detail:
NCR up 15 at 93 and a high 57% of all cases. Its 6 biggest cities 54 cases. QC 22, Pasig 9. Caloocan 0 cases.
CL 9, 4A 11. Cavite 6.
These 3 regions with 63% of all cases.
Visayas and Mindanao each with 20 cases.
The IATF announce full capacity in Alert Level 1 areas:
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...2de87b66481ad5
The only "establishment" where I have been asked for my vacc card recently was the BI!
OCTA on the NCR
Yesterday's numbers and weekly reports add to the feeling that the NCR now behaving somewhat differently from other areas.
Even to those regions close to it.
https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...af221b16b58ddd
Jun 7th 2022, 11:20 pm
#1699
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Joined: Feb 2014
Location: Marikina Philippines
Posts: 885
Re: NCR llockdown
"The only "establishment" where I have been asked for my vacc card recently was the BI!"
Yes rather strange. I was at both BI and NBI yesterday. One would have thought that NBI would be the more strict of the two, no vaccinations card checks and what is social distancing???
However one has to remember that BI is mostly visited by those not to be trusted foreigners.
Yes rather strange. I was at both BI and NBI yesterday. One would have thought that NBI would be the more strict of the two, no vaccinations card checks and what is social distancing???
However one has to remember that BI is mostly visited by those not to be trusted foreigners.
Jun 9th 2022, 5:52 pm
#1700
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Re: NCR llockdown
No time to post yesterday so here are the numbers announced on Wednesday and Thursday.
New Cases 192 and 252
Active Thursday 2,529, up 89.
Tests same for both days Tuesday and Wednesday at 19.1k
​​​​​​Location detail
NCR 83 and 125. 43% and 50% of all cases.
Its top 6 cities 42 and 85 cases.
QC top city both days with 16 and 34 cases.
Manila 22 and Paranaque 14 Wednesday.
On Wednesday regions CL and 4A both with 19 cases.
Thursday 15 and 27. Rizal 11, Cavite 8.
Visayas 25 and 30 cases.
Mindanao 25 and 40 cases.
New Cases 192 and 252
Active Thursday 2,529, up 89.
Tests same for both days Tuesday and Wednesday at 19.1k
​​​​​​Location detail
NCR 83 and 125. 43% and 50% of all cases.
Its top 6 cities 42 and 85 cases.
QC top city both days with 16 and 34 cases.
Manila 22 and Paranaque 14 Wednesday.
On Wednesday regions CL and 4A both with 19 cases.
Thursday 15 and 27. Rizal 11, Cavite 8.
Visayas 25 and 30 cases.
Mindanao 25 and 40 cases.
Jun 10th 2022, 11:49 am
#1701
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 287 cases. Tests again 19.1k....that's 3 days running at that level.
Active 2,697, up 168
Location detail
NCR 121 and 42% of all cases. Biggest 6 cities 72. QC 32, Manila 16.
CL up 26 to 41, 4A up to 36. Bulacan 13, Cavite 17.
These 3 regions 69% of all cases.
Visayas 47, Mindanao 26
Face masks outside
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/10/...g-of-mask-rule
Active 2,697, up 168
Location detail
NCR 121 and 42% of all cases. Biggest 6 cities 72. QC 32, Manila 16.
CL up 26 to 41, 4A up to 36. Bulacan 13, Cavite 17.
These 3 regions 69% of all cases.
Visayas 47, Mindanao 26
Face masks outside
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/10/...g-of-mask-rule
Jun 11th 2022, 11:38 pm
#1702
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday cases up 10 to 297, Testing on Friday down a little to 18.9k individuals.
Active 2,805, up 108.
Location detail:
NCR up 30 to 151 and 51% of all cases. The 6 biggest cities with 104 cases. QC 36, Manila 22.
QC has had over 30 cases 3 days running. Its own Yellow Alert announced.
Region CL 22, 4A 38. Cavite 12, Rizal 10.
These 3 regions 71% of all cases.
Visayas 35, Mindanao 34.
Cebu mask rules:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...mandate/story/
Echoes of faceshields. One brave Mayor in Cebu but will others join her now the election is over?
And what will the PNP do there?
Covid vs influenza and pnuemonia deaths in the UK
Dr J reviewed this ONS data in a recent video.
Shows some reliable percentages for deaths "with" and "from" covid and also shows relative death tolls comparing the novel covid with two well established respiratory diseases. Many people have doubted that the "from" percentage of covid is anywhere near what you see on the chart. About 60% now, but has been higher. And many downplay the seriousness of covid now, which from the other chart is showing a significantly higher number of deaths "from" in Omicron times compared to those from influenza and pneumonia. Apart from suffering long term effects from covid, although they are less lately with Omicron.
Weekly report later.
Active 2,805, up 108.
Location detail:
NCR up 30 to 151 and 51% of all cases. The 6 biggest cities with 104 cases. QC 36, Manila 22.
QC has had over 30 cases 3 days running. Its own Yellow Alert announced.
Region CL 22, 4A 38. Cavite 12, Rizal 10.
These 3 regions 71% of all cases.
Visayas 35, Mindanao 34.
Cebu mask rules:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...mandate/story/
Echoes of faceshields. One brave Mayor in Cebu but will others join her now the election is over?
And what will the PNP do there?
Covid vs influenza and pnuemonia deaths in the UK
Dr J reviewed this ONS data in a recent video.
Shows some reliable percentages for deaths "with" and "from" covid and also shows relative death tolls comparing the novel covid with two well established respiratory diseases. Many people have doubted that the "from" percentage of covid is anywhere near what you see on the chart. About 60% now, but has been higher. And many downplay the seriousness of covid now, which from the other chart is showing a significantly higher number of deaths "from" in Omicron times compared to those from influenza and pneumonia. Apart from suffering long term effects from covid, although they are less lately with Omicron.
Weekly report later.
Jun 12th 2022, 8:15 am
#1703
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Re: NCR llockdown
Weekly update
Nationally 1,594 cases (1,276)... a 25% increase.
The NCR 766 (588). A 30% increase.
Its 6 largest cities with 42% of the cases.
QC 180
Manila 104
Paranaque 64
Taguig 50
Pasig 47
Caloocan 29
Region CL 134 cases (105) and 8% of all cases.
4A 179 cases (211) and 11% of all cases.
Bulacan 43 cases, Cavite 71, Rizal 48.
These 3 regions 68% of all cases.
The Visayas and Mindanao areas each with 13% of all cases.
So nationally a reverse from the small fall of 3% the week before.
The NCR put on cases at a higher rate. Last week it was up 20%.
Region CL with a big reversal from last week when there was a 21% fall.
However region 4A showed a greater 15% fall over the week before, when there was a fall of 6%.
Though it must be kept in mind the numbers of cases now are still quite low.
Nationally 1,594 cases (1,276)... a 25% increase.
The NCR 766 (588). A 30% increase.
Its 6 largest cities with 42% of the cases.
QC 180
Manila 104
Paranaque 64
Taguig 50
Pasig 47
Caloocan 29
Region CL 134 cases (105) and 8% of all cases.
4A 179 cases (211) and 11% of all cases.
Bulacan 43 cases, Cavite 71, Rizal 48.
These 3 regions 68% of all cases.
The Visayas and Mindanao areas each with 13% of all cases.
So nationally a reverse from the small fall of 3% the week before.
The NCR put on cases at a higher rate. Last week it was up 20%.
Region CL with a big reversal from last week when there was a 21% fall.
However region 4A showed a greater 15% fall over the week before, when there was a fall of 6%.
Though it must be kept in mind the numbers of cases now are still quite low.
Jun 12th 2022, 10:11 pm
#1704
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 308 cases from slightly less tests at 18.0k on Saturday.
ABS CBN say the highest since April 20.
Active 2,918, up 113
Location detail
NCR 153, 50% of all cases. The six largest cities with 105 cases.
QC 36, Manila 21.
CL 28, 4A 39
These 3 regions 71% of all cases.
The Visayas up at 50 cases.
Mindanao 33.
Review of neglected regions and cities in these reports:
In N Luzon the CAR, Cagayan and Ilocos regions continue to report low numbers....only 88 cases between them last week.
The same goes for Bicol in S Luzon. It only had 17 cases last week.
Cities outside the NCR:
All low.
Davao with 40 cases last week was the highest. Followed by IloIlo with 26 , Bacolod 23, Cebu 22, Zamboanga 20.
Baguio only 8 cases.
Tacloban City notable with no cases last week. And only 4 the week before.
ABS CBN say the highest since April 20.
Active 2,918, up 113
Location detail
NCR 153, 50% of all cases. The six largest cities with 105 cases.
QC 36, Manila 21.
CL 28, 4A 39
These 3 regions 71% of all cases.
The Visayas up at 50 cases.
Mindanao 33.
Review of neglected regions and cities in these reports:
In N Luzon the CAR, Cagayan and Ilocos regions continue to report low numbers....only 88 cases between them last week.
The same goes for Bicol in S Luzon. It only had 17 cases last week.
Cities outside the NCR:
All low.
Davao with 40 cases last week was the highest. Followed by IloIlo with 26 , Bacolod 23, Cebu 22, Zamboanga 20.
Baguio only 8 cases.
Tacloban City notable with no cases last week. And only 4 the week before.
Jun 13th 2022, 9:54 pm
#1705
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 386 cases. Can't get test number for Sunday at present. Computer trouble.
Active 3097, up 179.
Location detail
NCR up 35 to 188. 125 in 6 cities.
QC 50. Manila 29.
CL 27, 4A up 33 to 72.Cavite 18 Rizal 26. Laguna 10. Batangas 10.
Visayas 40, Mindanao 27.
DOH weekly bulletin
Cases 1,682 (1,295) up 30%
Deaths +5
S+C +8 (+16)
498 patients (599)
ICU 16.6% (14.7%).
Will give positivity later.
Alert Level 2 NCR (and maybe later 4A?) being mentioned as possible by DOH spokeswoman. But hospital data good. Slippage in mask wearing blamed. In closed inside spaces maybe a factor, but not outside IMO.
Active 3097, up 179.
Location detail
NCR up 35 to 188. 125 in 6 cities.
QC 50. Manila 29.
CL 27, 4A up 33 to 72.Cavite 18 Rizal 26. Laguna 10. Batangas 10.
Visayas 40, Mindanao 27.
DOH weekly bulletin
Cases 1,682 (1,295) up 30%
Deaths +5
S+C +8 (+16)
498 patients (599)
ICU 16.6% (14.7%).
Will give positivity later.
Alert Level 2 NCR (and maybe later 4A?) being mentioned as possible by DOH spokeswoman. But hospital data good. Slippage in mask wearing blamed. In closed inside spaces maybe a factor, but not outside IMO.
Jun 14th 2022, 9:16 pm
#1706
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 257 and Monday testing at a slightly higher 19.4k.
Acrive 3,130, up 33.
Location detail
NCR 126 and 44% of all cases. Top 6 cities 68 cases, Manila 19, QC 17.
CL 18, 4A 45. Cavite 22, Rizal 11.
These three regions 74% of all cases.
Visayas 37, Mindanao 16 cases.
Acrive 3,130, up 33.
Location detail
NCR 126 and 44% of all cases. Top 6 cities 68 cases, Manila 19, QC 17.
CL 18, 4A 45. Cavite 22, Rizal 11.
These three regions 74% of all cases.
Visayas 37, Mindanao 16 cases.
Jun 15th 2022, 9:57 pm
#1707
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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday one less at 256 cases. Testing up slightly at 20k Tuesday.
Active 3,211, up 88
Location detail
NCR 117 and 46% of all cases. Six biggest cities 72 cases. QC 23, Pasig 19.
CL 23, 4A 52. Both up a little. Rizal 18, Cavite 16.
These 3 regions 75% of all cases.
Visayas up a few to 42 cases.
Mindanao at 14.
NCR Positivity
Rising a little...in the NCR from 2.2% to 2.7% last week.
Reproductive number NCR 1.25 to 1.59 last week.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/15/...of-june-palace
Alert levels to end of the month.
Waning immunity seen as main factor which will increase hospital admissions.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/15/...g-immunity-doh
I would add something about Sinovac. China data apparently showing it only does well with 3 doses but not at all well with 2.
Sinovac was 30-40% of all doses here. Boosters here of any type only 14.4M at present.
Active 3,211, up 88
Location detail
NCR 117 and 46% of all cases. Six biggest cities 72 cases. QC 23, Pasig 19.
CL 23, 4A 52. Both up a little. Rizal 18, Cavite 16.
These 3 regions 75% of all cases.
Visayas up a few to 42 cases.
Mindanao at 14.
NCR Positivity
Rising a little...in the NCR from 2.2% to 2.7% last week.
Reproductive number NCR 1.25 to 1.59 last week.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/15/...of-june-palace
Alert levels to end of the month.
Waning immunity seen as main factor which will increase hospital admissions.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/15/...g-immunity-doh
I would add something about Sinovac. China data apparently showing it only does well with 3 doses but not at all well with 2.
Sinovac was 30-40% of all doses here. Boosters here of any type only 14.4M at present.
Jun 16th 2022, 9:02 pm
#1708
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday 425 cases. ABS-CBN say highest since April 3. Testing numbers stable lately....latest 19.5k.
Active 3,462, up 332
Location detail
NCR up 97 to 214 and about half of all cases. Of those 126 from its 6 largest cities.QC 43, Manila 21, Paranaque 20. Pasig and Taguig each 18.
CL up 6 at 29.
4A up 17 at 69. Cavite 25, Rizal 22.
Visayas cases up 31 tp 73.
WV up 12 to 41. IloIlo City 20.
Mindanao cases up 11 to 25.
Latest on the Cebu face mask rebellion:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/16/...face-mask-rule
https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...k-rule-in-cebu
Active 3,462, up 332
Location detail
NCR up 97 to 214 and about half of all cases. Of those 126 from its 6 largest cities.QC 43, Manila 21, Paranaque 20. Pasig and Taguig each 18.
CL up 6 at 29.
4A up 17 at 69. Cavite 25, Rizal 22.
Visayas cases up 31 tp 73.
WV up 12 to 41. IloIlo City 20.
Mindanao cases up 11 to 25.
Latest on the Cebu face mask rebellion:
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/16/...face-mask-rule
https://news.abs-cbn.com/video/news/...k-rule-in-cebu
Jun 17th 2022, 11:10 pm
#1709
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday well over a 100 more national cases at 539. Yet test numbers were actually a little less than they have been for the past few days, down to 18.1k on the 16th. National positivity now at 3.0%.
Deaths 6
Active 3,829, up 367. ABS CBN say highest since May 9.
Location detail
NCR up 68 at 282 and 52% of all cases. Its 6 biggest cities with 187 cases...that is nearly two thirds of the NCR total. QC 66, Pasig 40, Manila 38 cases.
Region CL down to 16 but 4A up a few cases to 74, the highest this week so far. Cavite 29, Rizal 15 cases.
These 3 regions accounting for 69% of all cases.
In the Visayas WV up to 51. Bacolod 14, IloIlo City 15 cases.
The region higher at 95 cases. Again, the highest so far this week.
Mindanao also higher at 40 cases. Again the highest so far this week. But no large city reports there..
So further signs of case increase in the NCR and to a lesser extent in regions 4A and WV. One more report to be added today and then I expect these trends to be confirmed for the week in my weekly report on Sunday.
For once I agree with the Health Secretary:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...d-cases/story/
Problem will be there are Alert levels in place which are much less relevant now in this Omicron variant phase.
The Cebu masks in public issue continues. The governor of Cebu following Isko Moreno in Manila with the face shields earlier this year.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/17/...face-mask-rule
The latest Asian data by number of announced cases:
Discounting DPRK for obvious reasons all SE and E Asian countries in the table with established downward trends in cases:
Taiwan cases.
Taiwan deaths starting to fall too. Taiwan open with its data, but not China! Saying under 100 cases last 4 days.
Deaths 6
Active 3,829, up 367. ABS CBN say highest since May 9.
Location detail
NCR up 68 at 282 and 52% of all cases. Its 6 biggest cities with 187 cases...that is nearly two thirds of the NCR total. QC 66, Pasig 40, Manila 38 cases.
Region CL down to 16 but 4A up a few cases to 74, the highest this week so far. Cavite 29, Rizal 15 cases.
These 3 regions accounting for 69% of all cases.
In the Visayas WV up to 51. Bacolod 14, IloIlo City 15 cases.
The region higher at 95 cases. Again, the highest so far this week.
Mindanao also higher at 40 cases. Again the highest so far this week. But no large city reports there..
So further signs of case increase in the NCR and to a lesser extent in regions 4A and WV. One more report to be added today and then I expect these trends to be confirmed for the week in my weekly report on Sunday.
For once I agree with the Health Secretary:
https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/tops...d-cases/story/
Problem will be there are Alert levels in place which are much less relevant now in this Omicron variant phase.
The Cebu masks in public issue continues. The governor of Cebu following Isko Moreno in Manila with the face shields earlier this year.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/17/...face-mask-rule
The latest Asian data by number of announced cases:
Discounting DPRK for obvious reasons all SE and E Asian countries in the table with established downward trends in cases:
Taiwan cases.
Taiwan deaths starting to fall too. Taiwan open with its data, but not China! Saying under 100 cases last 4 days.
Jun 18th 2022, 9:16 pm
#1710
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Posts: 2,352
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday up 46 to 585 cases. Highest since April 3. Testing up a little on the 17th to 18.5k.
Active 4,176, up 347. Highest since May 7.
As on many recent days no deaths reported.
Location detail:
NCR down 16 at 266 and 46% of national cases. Cases in its 6 biggest cities at 166. QC 68, Manila 33, Pasig 24, Paranaque 22.
However...
CL up markedly by 38 to 54. Bulacan 26.
4A also with a large increase. Up 31 to 105. Cavite 43, Rizal 25.
The Visayas up a little to 81. IloIlo City 17.
Mindanao up 11 to 51. Caraga up 7 to 11.
Both these areas showing moderate increases over the week.
Weekly report later.
Active 4,176, up 347. Highest since May 7.
As on many recent days no deaths reported.
Location detail:
NCR down 16 at 266 and 46% of national cases. Cases in its 6 biggest cities at 166. QC 68, Manila 33, Pasig 24, Paranaque 22.
However...
CL up markedly by 38 to 54. Bulacan 26.
4A also with a large increase. Up 31 to 105. Cavite 43, Rizal 25.
The Visayas up a little to 81. IloIlo City 17.
Mindanao up 11 to 51. Caraga up 7 to 11.
Both these areas showing moderate increases over the week.
Weekly report later.