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Almost Canadian Sep 4th 2018 5:23 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by Jsmth321 (Post 12558541)
Besides larger prison costs, do longer sentences reduce crime by a significant amount? Are they useful?

They sound good on paper and in the media and it will win elections, but do long sentences work in reality?

They work in the respect that they keep criminals in a situation where how they act doesn't affect the general public. However, the "rehabilitation" effect of prison is far too overrated IMO.

As someone that was once a prison officer I can tell you that the same people kept coming back time after time. At least until they hit their mid thirties to early forties. It appeared that, until such an age, they saw prison as an occupational hazard as they believed that crime was the only way they could get what they wanted. However, upon reaching such an age, it appeared to dawn on them just how much time they had "lost" and, at that time, they had additional motivation to make a change.

The more "humane" the conditions inside prison, the more it costs to keep them there. The more humane, the less the incentive to avoid returning.

I don't know what the answer is, but I am confident that politicians don't have the answers either.

dbd33 Sep 4th 2018 5:27 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by plasticcanuck (Post 12558532)


There are already laws in place for persons with and illegally using registered firearms. The problems with shootings in the GTA is that probably all firearms used are unregistered, so are in the hands of thugs and killers.



I don't see this at all. I think the problem with the shootings in the GTA is that people get shot. The status of the weapons used is neither here nor there, people would be no less shot if the guns were registered.



Originally Posted by plasticcanuck (Post 12558532)

You said my comments were Thatcheresque. I don’t quite understand this

Ill thought out, playing to the crowd today, not considering the long term; like selling off the council houses or declaring war in a far flung island.



Originally Posted by plasticcanuck (Post 12558532)


Do you have any suggestions on how to deal with the situation?

Yes, as noted above. I see two facets to the problem; the availability of ordnance and the willingness to use it. The former is just a consequence of living next to the kind of nation that Canadians do. The latter is not, IMO, going to be addressed by locking lots of people up for long periods.

I'm speculating here but I suppose much of the gun violence to be profit driven and related to the drug trade; the answer to that is simple enough, end the drug prohibition, tax the drugs. If deried, use the tax revenue to lock up the remaining shooters.

plasticcanuck Sep 4th 2018 6:57 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by Jsmth321 (Post 12558541)
Besides larger prison costs, do longer sentences reduce crime by a significant amount? Are they useful?
,
They sound good on paper and in the media and it will win elections, but do long sentences work in reality?

There are lies, damn lies, then there are statistics. Society must stop mollycoddling violent criminals. They must be taken off the streets regardless of whether or not it reduces crime. At least while locked up they won’t be adding to statistics. If you know a better way to deal with them I’d like to hear it. For the most part these thugs cannot be educated or retrained. Many of them are just bad people who have no place in a civilized society.

scrubbedexpat091 Sep 4th 2018 7:42 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by plasticcanuck (Post 12558601)


There are lies, damn lies, then there are statistics. Society must stop mollycoddling violent criminals. They must be taken off the streets regardless of whether or not it reduces crime. At least while locked up they won’t be adding to statistics. If you know a better way to deal with them I’d like to hear it. For the most part these thugs cannot be educated or retrained. Many of them are just bad people who have no place in a civilized society.

I was neither agreeing nor disagreeing, simply curious as to if anyone knew if long prison sentences are beneficial as a whole.

daveincolchester Sep 4th 2018 1:08 pm

Re: Toronto Shooting
 
There was a statistical analysis done by some research group a few years ago in Britain.

It showed that the longer the incarceration, the less likely to reoffend.

Long sentences seem beneficial as a whole to me.

dbd33 Sep 4th 2018 1:23 pm

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by daveincolchester (Post 12558692)
There was a statistical analysis done by some research group a few years ago in Britain.

It showed that the longer the incarceration, the less likely to reoffend.

Long sentences seem beneficial as a whole to me.

Sentences of over 100 years do seem likely to reduce the incidence of recidivism, if the sentences in question are shorter than that then a link would be of interest.

BristolUK Sep 5th 2018 12:13 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by dbd33 (Post 12558696)
Sentences of over 100 years do seem likely to reduce the incidence of recidivism, if the sentences in question are shorter than that then a link would be of interest.

That was my thought too, although I wasn't quite thinking a century.

But I do remember newspaper articles and TV documentaries about "soft" prisons in Europe (The Netherlands seems to stand out in my mind) with prison cells more like cosy bedsits with all the comforts of home and very low reoffending rates.

dbd33 Sep 5th 2018 12:23 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by BristolUK (Post 12558918)
That was my thought too, although I wasn't quite thinking a century.

But I do remember newspaper articles and TV documentaries about "soft" prisons in Europe (The Netherlands seems to stand out in my mind) with prison cells more like cosy bedsits with all the comforts of home and very low reoffending rates.

A problem with comparisons across countries is that countries have different cultures and some of them have diverse cultures. It may be that a type of prison works in Iceland because the people are all very similar in outlook, not so well in the Netherlands where the population is more diverse and not at all in Canada where some of the population do come from places where life is cheap and they just don't care about killing people ( and, no, I don't think all the criminals come from, say, the Turks and Caicos, nor that all the criminals are immigrants). It's not simple but locking people up for long periods, short of "until they're dead", doesn't seem a brilliant solution. Until they're dead doesn't quite work either as a) it's expensive and b) there's then a population with nothing to lose.

daveincolchester Sep 5th 2018 1:45 pm

Re: Toronto Shooting
 
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dbd33 Sep 6th 2018 12:43 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by daveincolchester (Post 12559195)

I'm surprised at the low rates of reoffending shown, according to that document two-thirds of adult offenders do not reoffend within a year, but I don't see any correlation between the rate of reoffending and the length of the sentence; is it in there somewhere?

caretaker Sep 6th 2018 1:03 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 

Originally Posted by dbd33 (Post 12559357)
I'm surprised at the low rates of reoffending shown, according to that document two-thirds of adult offenders do not reoffend within a year, but I don't see any correlation between the rate of reoffending and the length of the sentence; is it in there somewhere?

Subtract the substantial number of convictions for things like failing to appear and breach of conditions and those rates drop a lot more.

magnumpi Sep 6th 2018 10:02 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 
It just goes on and on and on and on and on

Now a shoot out near Nigara

https://www.google.ca/amp/s/www.cbc.ca/amp/1.4813465



JamesM Sep 6th 2018 10:54 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 
I had a scare on Sunday. I went out for a run by the lake. My normal route consists of running from Dan Leckie down to near British Colombia drive following a lake shore trail. I then drink from a water cooler. Do some leg exercises because my knees are a bit feeble and run back. It's 3 km's in each direction and takes 40 to 50 minutes depending on my bodies condition that day.

On the way home as I ran through Coronation Park there was an army of police and spectators. It transpired that someone was shot dead right on my route. I had missed the incident by a mere 5 minutes as I ran outward.

The problem with Toronto in my opinion is they never seem to catch anyone for the shootings so people know they'll get away with it. They're going to increase.

​​​​​​https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toron...park-1.4808973

magnumpi Sep 6th 2018 11:57 am

Re: Toronto Shooting
 
Agreed James, it’s daily now, sometimes a few in a day it madness and nothing is being done, or seen to be done.


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