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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Tumbling_Dice
(Post 12720993)
What should, in my humble estimation, have happened (given it was an advisory vote) is that the government should have used the result to start a national conversation on what the hell it meant. I am no longer sure it was as clear cut as it seemed, but there is no doubt that the ensuing madness and bitter exchanges have caused people to dig in. As an aside, this would likely have also started a much needed conversation on how the UK sees itself, what it wants to be, desperately needed political reform etc. All this should have happened, and a fleshed out vision for the future developed, before triggering A50 (if that would have even been needed). I mean, who goes into negotiations without an agreed negotiating position?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12720978)
Parliament is doing it's best to save ill informed voters from themselves. ​​​
As an MP I find that you don't agree with my position, but I'm in charge so I'm right and it's my duty to convince you otherwise and if I can't do that then I'll ignore you completely. And this from a group of people who've been shown, time and time again, to exploit their status to rip off the UK with their fraud and expense practices and from time to time, when prompted from overseas, to invade the odd middle eastern country. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12721011)
Exactly, right back at you. My heart absolutely sank when that vacuous robot stood on the steps of Number 10 and said "Brexit means Brexit". Her incompetence for the role is now breathtaking. So much could have been achiveved if a national conversation were started. Control freak May did her utmost to force an ill fitting solution on Parliament and the country, and if were not for Gina Miller, the debacle would all have occurred behind closed doors. There has been digging in on both sides. Remainers refusing to compromise an inch on the existing well-crafted position, and Leavers now espousing a No Deal calamity as exactly what they had intended. What I hope for now is an election (prior to the Brexit deadline - which in reality could be postponed further were there will to do so) and a final chance for the country to have the informed debate that is now possible.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by dave_j
(Post 12721014)
Simply an example of how arrogant these people are.
As an MP I find that you don't agree with my position, but I'm in charge so I'm right and it's my duty to convince you otherwise and if I can't do that then I'll ignore you completely. And this from a group of people who've been shown, time and time again, to exploit their status to rip off the UK with their fraud and expense practices and from time to time, when prompted from overseas, to invade the odd middle eastern country. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by dave_j
(Post 12721014)
Simply an example of how arrogant these people are.
As an MP I find that you don't agree with my position, but I'm in charge so I'm right and it's my duty to convince you otherwise and if I can't do that then I'll ignore you completely. As PM I find that you don't agree with my position, but I'm in charge so I'm right and it's my duty to convince you otherwise and if I can't do that then I'll ignore you completely. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12721020)
Are you able to explain what is wrong with the agreement negotiated by May (from your perspective alone accepting that Brexit has to happen)?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by BristolUK
(Post 12721024)
Or put another way with a simple reversal of the letters M and P
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12721025)
For the prize of a weaker economy and reduced global influence, no freedom of movement. It's a well meaning compromise to satisfy the ill-informed and the anti-Europeans. Nevertheless, if the country were asked again, and despite the three years of shambles wanted such a future, I would reluctantly accept it as a democratic choice.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12720873)
Maybe, but England isn't making noises about breaking up the union and I stand by my position that most in England really won't care.
Having patrolled NI prior to the Good Friday Agreement I know that, in those times, virtually everyone felt one way or the other, as result of events that related to events that occurred prior to Brexit. I have no idea if that has changed, but I doubt it. The recent independence referendum in Scotland showed what the position was then and, while that may have changed since, polls suggest otherwise. My experience of having to deal with lots of Scots resulted from my time in the Army and, when I first met them, I was taken aback by how their views of the English had been affected by what they had learned in school. My recollection of school history was that there was no mention of anything related to the battles between the two countries. I have never experienced any animosity towards Scots from the English, but I have experienced lots that went the other way. So I accept that Scots may feel very differently towards the English than the English about the Scots. I would argue that most in Wales really don't care but I accept that residents of rural north Wales hate the English with a passion. Whether that is because of events from centuries ago, or more recent events, is debatable but, again, politicians aside, I have no experience of the Welsh wanting to break away from the UK and go it alone. One never hears of the Scots having an issue with the Welsh, or those in NI, or the Welsh having an issue with those in NI or Scotland. I accept that those in NI that wish to have a united Ireland always refer to "Brits" rather than the "English." As a result of this, I believe that Scotland has an issue with "England" rather than with NI or Wales, but I accept that I may be wrong. I believe that most English identify as being "British", most Scots identify as being "Scottish", most in Wales are somewhat ambivalent between being "Welsh" and being "British" and those in NI will identify as either "Irish" or "British" along sectarian grounds. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Jingsamichty
(Post 12721059)
AC, you're a good man, but I'm I afraid that goes down as an astonishingly patronising post. I honestly expected much better of you. I'm virtually speechless,
I shall stop digging now. |
Re: PM Boris
Perhaps the legalistically minded among us could comment on the following.
When Article 50 was triggered it's provisions were governed by EU rules and as such is not subject to whim of the UK parliament. Although the Commons have voted for the UK default position to be a no-deal come 31st October, presumably this is simply a mechanism that states that come the 31st there will be no effort made by the UK government to request an extension beyond 31st October. So for the UK to avoid a no-deal one of the following must be in place. a) A deal agreeable to the EU must have been ratified the commons and if it's different from May's deal agreed to by the 27 to be effective on or before the 31st October. b) Revocation of Article 50 must have been voted on in the Commons and a request submitted to the EU and agreed to by the 27 on or before the 31st October. c) An extension beyond the 31st October must have been voted on and passed by the commons and a request submitted to the EU and agreed to by the 27 to be effective on or before the 31st October. It's clear that the Commons simply deciding to disallow a no-deal isn't good enough since EU law governs the implementation of Article 50 and any change must have the agreement of the 27. So, given the current stand of Johnson's government, not only must his government fall and a new government be in place but it must have tabled and passed resolutions allowing requests to be made to the EU and if May's deal isn't part of the end agreement then all 27 must be assembled to agree either an extension or revocation of Article 50 or agreement for the revised deal. Have I got this right? |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12721034)
So you wish to remain in the EU, that is obvious but, above, amongst the name calling, you implied that May's deal was not good at all. What you appear to have wanted her to do was to ignore the result of the referendum.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12721065)
I sincerely apologise for any offence caused and that certainly wasn't my intention. I can only speak to my experience.
I shall stop digging now. "Scotland has a new Prime Minister, elected by 92,000 Conservative Party members, of whom approximately only 6,000 are based in Scotland. He leads a party that hasn't won a major election in Scotland in 64 years, and is promising to deliver a Brexit that 62% of Scotland's voters rejected." |
Re: PM Boris
Seems to me like Boris&co are betting on having countries/regions line up for trade agreements (including EU) once UK leaves with no deal. I'm not sure it will be that simple though - for one if UK crashes out with no deal, it will have defaulted on it's debts to the EU (the divorce bill is to cover these payments which UK previously agreed to make). Why would the EU want to do a deal after that? Any potential trade deal with the US is dead until at least 2021 because Congress won't pass it. I think the best path for the UK is to pass the withdrawal agreement and then start working on trade deals. I understand the backstop is not popular but it is necessary, imo.
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Re: PM Boris
Crashing out does not necessarily mean the UK renegs on its obligations to the EU, but the fact that the hard Brexiteers are threatening to do just that is a good indication of what a diminished country Britain will become. Trade deals will indeed take time and will alter the fabric of the UK economy. Such a mess, and such a incompetent self serving bunch of politicians at the helm.
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Re: PM Boris
I have been following this thread with interest. I don't pretend to understand the full implications of leaving the EU however, given the diverse opinions featured here I think I can be excused on that lack of understanding. One question I do have is in relation the apparent stumbling block, the 'backstop' and the Irish border. Boris seems to think it's simply a means of keeping the UK stuck in the EU by hook or by crook. It was pointed out to me the other day that Switzerland is bordered by five EU countries.....and no hard border with any of them. Why the apparent intransigence from the EU wanting to maintain the backstop? On the face of it, does this lend credence to the opinion held by Boris and many others that it's simply a ploy to shackle the UK to the EU after the UK leaves?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by macadian
(Post 12722090)
I have been following this thread with interest. I don't pretend to understand the full implications of leaving the EU however, given the diverse opinions featured here I think I can be excused on that lack of understanding. One question I do have is in relation the apparent stumbling block, the 'backstop' and the Irish border. Boris seems to think it's simply a means of keeping the UK stuck in the EU by hook or by crook. It was pointed out to me the other day that Switzerland is bordered by five EU countries.....and no hard border with any of them. Why the apparent intransigence from the EU wanting to maintain the backstop? On the face of it, does this lend credence to the opinion held by Boris and many others that it's simply a ploy to shackle the UK to the EU after the UK leaves?
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Re: PM Boris
If that's the case, I stand corrected.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by macadian
(Post 12722096)
If that's the case, I stand corrected.
:getcoat: |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by spouse of scouse
(Post 12722100)
If you're going to be corrected you may as well sit, much more comfortable :p
:getcoat: |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by macadian
(Post 12722104)
Well, I'm a stand up kind of guy...ðŸ˜
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by macadian
(Post 12722090)
I have been following this thread with interest. I don't pretend to understand the full implications of leaving the EU however, given the diverse opinions featured here I think I can be excused on that lack of understanding. One question I do have is in relation the apparent stumbling block, the 'backstop' and the Irish border. Boris seems to think it's simply a means of keeping the UK stuck in the EU by hook or by crook. It was pointed out to me the other day that Switzerland is bordered by five EU countries.....and no hard border with any of them. Why the apparent intransigence from the EU wanting to maintain the backstop? On the face of it, does this lend credence to the opinion held by Boris and many others that it's simply a ploy to shackle the UK to the EU after the UK leaves?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by dave_j
(Post 12719701)
the bull's cajones
Probably because I have a cajon - I regularly beat it with my hands while other people in the room are playing with their instruments. It takes cojones to play a cajon in public, though... ;) |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12722114)
accept that in all likelihood reunification in Ireland.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12722114)
The border issue with Ireland is far more contentious because of the Troubles. The sticking point is that under the backstop, if UK and EU cannot resolve the border issue, then NI is locked in to the Single Market, and the UK is locked in to the Customs Union indefinitely. Boris claims there are myriad technical solutions to preclude any need for a border in which case you would think he would be perfectly ready to accept the backstop. Unless of course he is bluffing. In my view, if Britain insists on Brexit it should agreed to a border in the Irish Sea (as the EU) proposes, and accept that in all likelihood reunification in Ireland.
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Re: PM Boris
This sums it up well:
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12722153)
What do you believe the outcome will be if, by October 31, the UK and the EU have not been able to reach an agreement that requires them to reach a different agreement at a later date, if, as the EU suggests, a hard border has to be imposed between NI and Ireland?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by dbd33
(Post 12722134)
The Conservatives cannot do that as the depend on the Unionists for their majority.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Jingsamichty
(Post 12722094)
There certainly is a hard border with Switzerland.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12722192)
Hard to say. The issue definitely gives the EU significant leverage in a trade negotiations, particularly as the US seems to be sticking its nose into the issue. My guess is that Irish reunification would precede any attempt at a physical border (apparently NI public mood is shifting away from Britain and towards the EU given the risk of a divided island again). However, both the UK and EU may trial a (tech supported) trade border and assess how that goes.
Does anyone know what process would be required? I take a very different view to you regarding the border issue giving the EU significant leverage. I believe it will have the exact opposite effect the closer the parties get to October 31, as I don't believe that the likes of Germany will allow their trade with the UK to be tanked by an issue at the Irish border that could be easily overcome. Full marks to the EU for remaining "together" at this time (at least in public) but I would expect that to change the nearer we get to October 31, particularly if the only real issue between the parties is the backstop. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by macadian
(Post 12722090)
I have been following this thread with interest. I don't pretend to understand the full implications of leaving the EU however, given the diverse opinions featured here I think I can be excused on that lack of understanding. One question I do have is in relation the apparent stumbling block, the 'backstop' and the Irish border. Boris seems to think it's simply a means of keeping the UK stuck in the EU by hook or by crook. It was pointed out to me the other day that Switzerland is bordered by five EU countries.....and no hard border with any of them. Why the apparent intransigence from the EU wanting to maintain the backstop? On the face of it, does this lend credence to the opinion held by Boris and many others that it's simply a ploy to shackle the UK to the EU after the UK leaves?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12722214)
Is anyone in NI seriously proposing cutting ties with Westminster and uniting Ireland and, if so, is anyone taking them seriously?
Does anyone know what process would be required? I take a very different view to you regarding the border issue giving the EU significant leverage. I believe it will have the exact opposite effect the closer the parties get to October 31, as I don't believe that the likes of Germany will allow their trade with the UK to be tanked by an issue at the Irish border that could be easily overcome. Full marks to the EU for remaining "together" at this time (at least in public) but I would expect that to change the nearer we get to October 31, particularly if the only real issue between the parties is the backstop. I've been hearing how Germany and/or Merckel would pressurise the EU to accommodate Britain for three years now. It's not happening. So much of this current cabinet (and Eurosceptic) view/strategy has been about calling the EU's bluff. Sadly, for the UK, their calling ours and we're about to get roasted. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Shard
(Post 12722235)
Quite a lot of talk about a post-Brexit border poll in NI. Look into it.
I've been hearing how Germany and/or Merckel would pressurise the EU to accommodate Britain for three years now. It's not happening. So much of this current cabinet (and Eurosceptic) view/strategy has been about calling the EU's bluff. Sadly, for the UK, their calling ours and we're about to get roasted. I would bet that, post October 31 and no deal, life in the UK will be affected far less than you believe. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by bc2015
(Post 12722217)
The backstop only exists because the UK government requested a transition period (which the withdrawal agreement is part of). The backstop is there to ensure that the provisions of the Good Friday/Belfast Agreement are upheld. The EU are a co-guarantor for that agreement so they are only doing due diligence. I get the impression that the EU don't actually like the idea of a backstop but it's the best solution to a hard problem - I think the EU would have preferred to skip the transition period and started negotiating on a free trade agreement instead.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12722246)
I would bet that, post October 31 and no deal, life in the UK will be affected far less than you believe.
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12722249)
How do you explain the fact that they have done the exact opposite then, insisting that things can only move forward in a sequence of their making?
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Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by bc2015
(Post 12722254)
Because the UK has yet to offer any feasible alternative. This is the biggest issue right now - all Boris can say is "no backstop!" but doesn't actually have any alternative beyond some handwaving about technological solutions that don't yet exist.
I wasn't referring to the current position but to the fact that the EU was the party that determined that, "...this cannot happen, until this happens..." none of which was based in law at all. From what I have seen, they have refused to discuss a trade agreement until the items they wanted to get resolved, were resolved, which, to me, appears to contradict the statement you made that I highlighted above. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by bc2015
(Post 12722251)
Curious to know why you bet that.
If no deal is arrived at by October 31 (and even if a deal is arrived at) some things will be worse, some things will be better. Simply focusing upon one is only half of the story and I would bet that a few years from now, most people would have got used to the new situation and will not be that concerned about the old situation. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by Almost Canadian
(Post 12722261)
Well, to be fair, Boris inherited the current position.
I wasn't referring to the current position but to the fact that the EU was the party that determined that, "...this cannot happen, until this happens..." none of which was based in law at all. From what I have seen, they have refused to discuss a trade agreement until the items they wanted to get resolved, were resolved, which, to me, appears to contradict the statement you made that I highlighted above. |
Re: PM Boris
Originally Posted by bc2015
(Post 12722265)
The UK wanted a transition period, it could have negotiated a FTA before now but it didn't. If the FTA was completed there would be no need for the backstop. The EU is only holding the UK to account for what it already agreed upon.
In any event, the position that both find themselves in is what it is and time will tell how the UK will leave the EU. |
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