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-   -   PM Boris (https://britishexpats.com/forum/maple-leaf-98/pm-boris-926655/)

Jingsamichty Sep 24th 2019 1:03 am

Re: PM Boris
 
Since Johnson became PM he's lost 6 out of 6 votes in the House of Commons, and had a Supreme Court ruling against him by 11-0.

I wonder what will happen once the honeymoon period is over?

Almost Canadian Sep 24th 2019 1:09 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Jingsamichty (Post 12739340)
Since Johnson became PM he's lost 6 out of 6 votes in the House of Commons, and had a Supreme Court ruling against him by 11-0.

I wonder what will happen once the honeymoon period is over?

What is likely now:

a) He gets a deal that he can put to Parliament by mid-October?
b)He prorogues Parliament again?
c) He undermines the letter Parliament have insisted he writes to the EU?
d) He resigns?
e) He does something else?

Shard Sep 24th 2019 1:16 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Almost Canadian (Post 12739346)
What is likely now:

a) He gets a deal that he can put to Parliament by mid-October?
b)He prorogues Parliament again?
c) He undermines the letter Parliament have insisted he writes to the EU?
d) He resigns?
e) He does something else?

Not B.

scrubbedexpat142 Sep 24th 2019 1:32 am

Re: PM Boris
 
Poor old Boris, I expect the last time he felt this sore was when he was roasted as a fag at Eton!

SultanOfSwing Sep 24th 2019 1:43 am

Re: PM Boris
 
Boris is Pitt the Younger from Blackadder III, and I'll not have anyone convince me otherwise.

'It doesn't surprise me, sir, I know your sort. Once, it was I who stood in the big, cold schoolroom, a hot crumpet burning my cheeks with shame ...'

dave_j Sep 24th 2019 3:33 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Almost Canadian (Post 12739346)
What is likely now:
a) He gets a deal that he can put to Parliament by mid-October?
b) He prorogues Parliament again?
c) He undermines the letter Parliament have insisted he writes to the EU?
d) He resigns?
e) He does something else?

f) Vote of no confidence?
g) Second Referendum?
I think most of the rabbits have been pulled from the hat, in fact there are probably only a few small bunnies left scrabbling around waiting to be thrown to the audience.
But we have two audiences, Leave and Remain, and each will see the Supreme Court ruling completely differently.
Remain will view the ruling as confirmation that their cause is just but they shouldn't appear too triumphalistic, a difficult thing for MPs to keep under control.
Leave will view this as yet another brick prized out from the democratic wall by the establishment to frustrate brexit.
Most people won't understand the reasons behind the decision, but what they will understand will be used by both sides to confirm their points of view.





jimf Sep 24th 2019 3:34 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Almost Canadian (Post 12739346)
What is likely now:

a) He gets a deal that he can put to Parliament by mid-October?
b)He prorogues Parliament again?
c) He undermines the letter Parliament have insisted he writes to the EU?
d) He resigns?
e) He does something else?

So Parliament passed a law requiring the government to request an extension by end of October if there is no deal by then. If the government don’t comply can Parliament request the extension direct?

scrubbedexpat142 Sep 24th 2019 3:38 am

Re: PM Boris
 
Can't wait to see the headlines in the Mail & Express tomorrow.

SultanOfSwing Sep 24th 2019 3:40 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12739447)
Can't wait to see the headlines in the Mail & Express tomorrow.

I think this might actually be the first time anyone has said that.

Almost Canadian Sep 24th 2019 3:46 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by dave_j (Post 12739442)
f) Vote of no confidence?
g) Second Referendum?
I think most of the rabbits have been pulled from the hat, in fact there are probably only a few small bunnies left scrabbling around waiting to be thrown to the audience.
But we have two audiences, Leave and Remain, and each will see the Supreme Court ruling completely differently.
Remain will view the ruling as confirmation that their cause is just but they shouldn't appear too triumphalistic, a difficult thing for MPs to keep under control.
Leave will view this as yet another brick prized out from the democratic wall by the establishment to frustrate brexit.
Most people won't understand the reasons behind the decision, but what they will understand will be used by both sides to confirm their points of view.

I don't see how a vote of no confidence helps anyone. Let's say it goes against him - what will happen then? The Lib Dems have already stated that they will not support Corbyn leading.

A second referendum will require the government to propose it (whichever government that is). I can't see the Tories doing that, nor, on the basis of what happened at the Lab conference, do I see Lab proposing it. Lab appears to be just as divided as the country is.

If Boris cannot persuade the EU to give him an agreement that Parliament can get behind prior to mid-Oct, I anticipate that Brexit will never happen.

What I hope happens is that a) Boris writes the letter, b) the EU grants an extension, c) an election is then called, and one side obtains a majority so that they can proceed how they feel fit. What it will do for the country is another matter. I can see a) and b) happening and then those that wish to remain doing all they can to avoid c), and the process is delayed and delayed until an election is held in accordance with the legislation, with the devastating effect that that will have on cross border businesses from now until then.

Almost Canadian Sep 24th 2019 3:47 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by jimf (Post 12739443)

So Parliament passed a law requiring the government to request an extension by end of October if there is no deal by then. If the government don’t comply can Parliament request the extension direct?

I have no idea.

Novocastrian Sep 24th 2019 3:51 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Expatrick (Post 12739447)
Can't wait to see the headlines in the Mail & Express tomorrow.

It'll be something balanced and fair. Along the lines of ELITIST UNELECTED "JUSTICE" LORDS DEFY THE WILL OF THE 52%!!!!!

Shard Sep 24th 2019 3:57 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by jimf (Post 12739443)

So Parliament passed a law requiring the government to request an extension by end of October if there is no deal by then. If the government don’t comply can Parliament request the extension direct?

There has been talk of that. I think the EU confirmed they could accept it, but there needs to be further legal opinion on whether a Parliamentarian would be authorized. So many things going on it's hard to keep up.

Novocastrian Sep 24th 2019 4:08 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 12739460)
There has been talk of that. I think the EU confirmed they could accept it, but there needs to be further legal opinion on whether a Parliamentarian would be authorized. So many things going on it's hard to keep up.

One line of thought going the rounds today, is that Parliament can instruct the Cabinet Secretary to present their request.for an extension.

jimf Sep 24th 2019 4:25 am

Re: PM Boris
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 12739460)
There has been talk of that. I think the EU confirmed they could accept it, but there needs to be further legal opinion on whether a Parliamentarian would be authorized. So many things going on it's hard to keep up.

So what does Parliament do now?


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