Exchange rate
#931
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Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 68
From: Ontario



I think for the immediate future the loonie will get slightly stronger (1.93'ish) but eventually I believe if/when the US cuts their rates(in March) by another 50 bps this year then Canada will likely cut by 75 bps by the end of year...somewhat around the summer/autumn the GBP/CDN $ will improve...maybe to 2.1..Don't think we will see much above that this year though...all an educated guess ofcourse. Any other 'guesses' for the high/lows for GBP/CDN for 2008?
#932
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Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 450
From: Abbotsford, BC




GBP United Kingdom Pounds 1.9887470244 0.5028291621
this is the latest quote i ve found today! I expect 2:1 will be the best bet for the rest of the year! if Canada does cut rates things might improve but the UK may also cut rates further!
this is the latest quote i ve found today! I expect 2:1 will be the best bet for the rest of the year! if Canada does cut rates things might improve but the UK may also cut rates further!
#933
#936
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 895
From: Was Brentwood, Essex Now Wasaga Beach, Ontario

Bank of Canada interest rate decision at 2pm GMT today. Some chatter of 0.50% rate cut. Fingers crossed.
Chris
Chris
#937
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Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 450
From: Abbotsford, BC




Looks like the expected rate drop in Canada may already be affecting the exchange rate last quote i saw was $1.97-£1. Maybe it will get back above the $2-£1 mark!
#938
Forum Regular



Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 219
From: In a dream!










I think it'll take more than an interest rate drop to get past $2 again. Commidity prices will have to drop by a lot and that is unlikely to happen give recent sharp rises and continuation of. Here's praying anyway.
#939
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Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 895
From: Was Brentwood, Essex Now Wasaga Beach, Ontario

cut 50 bp to 3.50%
#941
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Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 219
From: In a dream!










The 0.5% rate cut has added a cent to the dollar-pound. So another 10% rate cut should just about do it.
#942





There are rumours on some "financial" sites of a big commodities correction just around the corner.... that's got to help.
Having said that the UK seems in such poor shape these days it may need a miracle to get back over 2, and several to get back to 2.35!
#943
Forum Regular


Joined: Aug 2003
Posts: 68
From: Ontario



I think Canada will basically match the agressive rate cuts by the US and UK won't be cutting rates so much...so I think 2.1 is possible over the next year...
#945
Banned




Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 341
From: Brighton











Well Canada being such a big country it will probably lower the house prices in AB, ON & BC. But in the other provinces house prices will probably keep going up for a little while at least. But no-one is sure if anything will happen at the moment.
The whole point of the interest rate cut is so that people can actually keep on living on their means which in turn will slow down the process of people 'buying' but for smaller provinces people do not live beyond their means and so the interest going down will increase people buying and thus becoming a sellers market.
But this is just theory in reality it could happen differently.
The whole point of the interest rate cut is so that people can actually keep on living on their means which in turn will slow down the process of people 'buying' but for smaller provinces people do not live beyond their means and so the interest going down will increase people buying and thus becoming a sellers market.
But this is just theory in reality it could happen differently.



