Exchange rate
#1906
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What really annoys me is the f'ing conservative party seriously talking down the UK economy at every opportunity, and making things worse.
$1.70'ish - £1, that's 15% lower than the norm..
... I am interested to know has it slid so low as to deter any/many forum members leaving the UK and settling in Canada ?
M.
$1.70'ish - £1, that's 15% lower than the norm..
... I am interested to know has it slid so low as to deter any/many forum members leaving the UK and settling in Canada ?
M.
Last edited by loser40; Jan 23rd 2009 at 3:07 am.
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#1907
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BTW - last time I looked, the £ has slipped 13% against the Russian Ruoble FFS !!!
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#1908
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171.9 this morning. Last week I was beginning to think my decision to change a load at 1.79 was bad...not anymore.
Changing dollars into £s would be very brave indeed. The Pound is in very big trouble, and the government and BOE have made it clear they don't give a monky's about it's value...they've just taken 4.4 trillion of debt onto the books, nearly 4 times GDP. Traders are starting to talk of dollar parity. It is true that the £ is looking ovesold, but that is only going on past performance, the future of the UK is looking very bad indeed, and we have one of the most incompetent, wasteful and clueless governments in history, without any sign of strong intelligent opposition.
Changing dollars into £s would be very brave indeed. The Pound is in very big trouble, and the government and BOE have made it clear they don't give a monky's about it's value...they've just taken 4.4 trillion of debt onto the books, nearly 4 times GDP. Traders are starting to talk of dollar parity. It is true that the £ is looking ovesold, but that is only going on past performance, the future of the UK is looking very bad indeed, and we have one of the most incompetent, wasteful and clueless governments in history, without any sign of strong intelligent opposition.
If you are just looking to make profit and have plenty in reserve, then play the markets, but if you currently have a good amount in Canada, but risk jeopardising this by being greedy, then just leave it there and forget about it. There is a chance that the pound could collapse (it kind of already has, but I'm talking about total collapse). If that happeneed there are no limits as to how low it could go CAN $ parity anyone? Seriously, these are unique times, Canada is going to suffer like everyone else, but the UK is going to be worse, and the rest of the world has woken up to this.
I feel for people just about to emigrate - there is a triple whammy of
1 - UK housing is crashing hard
2 - If any equity is left, it buys 15% less CAD$ than 6 months ago and it may get worse
3 - Finding a job is tough (at least in Vancouver it is) as the Canadian economy also enters recession
On the plus side - house prices are crashing here in Canada (significantly here in Vancouver), so if it's house money you are transferring the depreciation is offset a little by that.
Last edited by Alan2005; Jan 23rd 2009 at 3:35 am. Reason: Dodgy Grammar
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#1909
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The Bank of Canada has also cut interest rates so hopeflly this will help a little.
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#1910
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ARGH!!! $1.6989
we have no home to sell, but have lived in poverty to save enough sterling to make a decent sized deposit on a Vancouver home.
each day though, this lump sum gets ever smaller..... along with our hopes of finding employment etc etc....
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#1912
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The Bank of Canada's latest report (yesterday, I believe) was forecasting the recession here being brutal, but relatively swift. It seems there is some optimism Canada, as one of the better placed in the G8, will be among the first to recover. Admittedly I don't know anyone in the Auto or forestry industries here, but elsewhere the general mood doesn't appear particularly gloomy, more a case of 'push on through' and out the other side in 2010.
This is in contrast to the news coming out of the UK, which appears to be much more downbeat in it's longer term forecasts. A post above mentions US$ parity, I've seen that mentioned in a few financial stories recently - not particularly rosy for GBP-CAD rates.
This is in contrast to the news coming out of the UK, which appears to be much more downbeat in it's longer term forecasts. A post above mentions US$ parity, I've seen that mentioned in a few financial stories recently - not particularly rosy for GBP-CAD rates.
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#1914
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Maybe, but so very of much of this is down to consumer confidence being in denial isn't necessarily a bad thing. Debt (personal, provincial, Governmental) is in a whole different ballpark across the pond.
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#1915
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So far, the job losses haven't yet materialized here - but they will do soon enough.
However, I do think Canada is a better long term bet - which is why I'm here.
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#1918
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The thing I cant get out my head regarding the Canadian and UK economies is that Canada is mineral rich, as the economy picks up, when ever that may be, at least CA can sell lots of oil/gas/lumber etc, what will the UK do ?
...we used to be a financial services hub, now that industry looks like it's going to be more strictly regulated around the globe where does that leave London & the city, and the UK economy - how will we make money ?
M.
...we used to be a financial services hub, now that industry looks like it's going to be more strictly regulated around the globe where does that leave London & the city, and the UK economy - how will we make money ?
M.
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#1919
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The thing I cant get out my head regarding the Canadian and UK economies is that Canada is mineral rich, as the economy picks up, when ever that may be, at least CA can sell lots of oil/gas/lumber etc, what will the UK do ?
...we used to be a financial services hub, now that industry looks like it's going to be more strictly regulated around the globe where does that leave London & the city, and the UK economy - how will we make money ?
M.
...we used to be a financial services hub, now that industry looks like it's going to be more strictly regulated around the globe where does that leave London & the city, and the UK economy - how will we make money ?
M.
Also, people talk about the service economy being bad. However a lot of things that manufacturers used to do in house (and so used to be called manufacturing) are now outsourced (e.g. marketing etc) and are called the service sector.
For a sustainable economy you need to be as diverse as possible - can't rely on mineral wealth or manufacturing alone. No point in making stuff (or digging stuff out of the ground) if no-one wants to buy it.
Saying this, the value of energy independence over the next 10/20 years is going to be huge - and Canada has this
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tis why the heathrow expansion is so vital. despite this being the age of greener transportation etc, there is still a greater initiative towards expanding air space than any other logistical route like railways and roads.
however, the french have been busy upgrading their rail network, and to expand it so that a high speed network can criss cross the whole of europe, running on lovely 'clean' electricty, instead of lorry diesel or aviation fuel.
i guess the UK will be like Ireland once was... an off shore clearing house for EU's imports and exports, whilst the french maintain the bottle neck at the channel tunnel and pay for the upgrade of the dismal UK rail network....
in addition to that, the UK can become a hot bed of litigants and lawyers, who will sue anyone in the world for anyone in the world. we are the global capital of 'legal tourism'!
meanwhile, canada can sell a bit of its oil sands derived fuel (to the detriment of its landscape due to open pits and the massive creation of black water lakes) but it can also look at exporting the ever more valuable resource of nuclear fuels which industrial giants like russia and china will need to sustain their march / return to super powerdom... and of course to the french to power europe's trains!
there's diamonds and gold up in them thar hills too eh?
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