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"Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

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"Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

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Old Feb 15th 2015 | 11:42 pm
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by ozzieeagle
I'm a sceptic re MMGW as well, but cant see the leftist plot side of things... Surely there is more money to be made from installing and constantly upgrading green energy world wide than purely maintaining and increasing current infrastructure ?


Plus Here comes Tesla...

This new Tesla battery will power your home, and maybe the electric grid too - The Washington Post

Thats just the beginning of the 2nd generation of home storage.... It's bound to improve at a quantam level like all electrical solutions.
All the current 'green' energy solutions are local and cannot provide for industrial level society base-load. For that you need nukes, coal, maybe gas, big hydro

Nearly all current renewable operations require heavy subsidisation from the taxpayer or consumer - Germany's pathetic energy policy for instance requires subsidies that are so onerous that their consumers pay more in subsidies for their electricity than American consumers pay in total - that's socialism

Anyone should be allowed to build any power system that they want - as long as they don't take one cent of taxpayers or consumers money. The exception to this is nuclear as this fantastic base-load sources requires massive cost and their are national security implications
 
Old Feb 16th 2015 | 11:39 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Just to point out that unsubsidised solar is now cost competitive with coal - and that coal & gas are subsidised to the tune of $4bn every year via spending and tax breaks.

Australian coal, oil and gas companies receive $4b in subsidies: report - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
 
Old Feb 17th 2015 | 9:35 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Mega $1 billion Darling Downs solar farm approved
 
Old Feb 17th 2015 | 9:54 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"


Ha! See post #5!

This is a great step though.


S
 
Old Feb 17th 2015 | 11:01 pm
  #35  
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

.

What I find really interesting is the psychology of the denial faction.

I can understand - obviously not agree with - the fossil fuel industries putting hundreds of millions into faux institutions that employ scientists to rubbish the work of the vast majority of *relevant* scientists, and to plant the seeds of doubt. (Read Oreske's book on how the tobacco industry realised it couldn't deny the evidence on smoking and diseases, so spent millions just planting doubt about science, same with acid rain, same with the ozone depletion and same with CO2. Several of the tame scientists were involved with all these doubt-placing campaigns.)

I can understand the average Joe being unable to follow the physics, maths, statistics, chemistry, etc etc - climatology is probably the most complex science of all - but what I cannot comprehend is the sheer vitriol and ad hominen attacks that come from such a large number of them, and the way they invariably change the subject whenever any of their propositions are shown to be false.

Booker is one of those that consistently picks up incorrect (to put it mildly) information from other non-scientists and promotes it to his coterie.

As for the "falsifying" of temperature measurements, a couple of minutes on google will show his lack of understanding.

Temperature measurements go back almost to the industrial revolution, and until recently were never intended to be used for anything but contemporary forecasting. Climatology requires extremely precise measurements over long periods, since trends are what is being investigated. Over decades instruments are changed, locations are moved, urban areas encroach, methods of measurement alter and even the time of day of readings are moved. Any science that ignored all this would be junk. So various methods are used to put all the decades of readings into the same framework. In the case of Patagonia (St Christopher's chosen "fraud" case) there were several abrupt changes in the averages - and these coincided, when researched, with changes in instrumentation and methodology of the Patagonian met office. All sorts of statistical methods, and comparisons with other local sites were used to bring the measurements into a common framework. In some cases the resulting trends were downwards (not mentioned by St Christopher) and in many cases upwards.

Over the years he has written large numbers of junk science articles: each and every one is shown to be fabrication or mistaken but no matter - the debunking is ignored and he just moves on to the next one.

He constantly bangs on about the "global conspiracy", but never comes up with even a single morsel of evidence, nor explains how thousands of scientists in every country working in literally dozens of specialisms, and every single scientific institution such as the RS, could organise - and keep secret - a fraudulent conspiracy through half a century.

Now THAT would be a scoop!
 
Old Feb 18th 2015 | 9:08 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by Swerv-o
Ha! See post #5!

This is a great step though.


S
Indeed. Missed that one post.
 
Old Feb 18th 2015 | 11:24 am
  #37  
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by GarryP
Fatuous Prick

The 'is it/isn't it' questions were over at least two decades ago. Anyone still trying to debate them now is either a moron (eg politician), or a liar for money (eg politician).

Christopher Brooker has the smell of both.
Thanks for the Booker link: it sums the man (robot?) up perfectly!

I hadn't seen it - I don't read the grauniad - but the DT (which I do read online) is getting more and more like a poor copy of the News of the World/Sun by the day and St Christopher is like a Page Three to his accolytes.
 
Old Feb 18th 2015 | 11:30 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by Wol
Thanks for the Booker link: it sums the man (robot?) up perfectly!

I hadn't seen it - I don't read the grauniad - but the DT (which I do read online) is getting more and more like a poor copy of the News of the World/Sun by the day and St Christopher is like a Page Three to his accolytes.
Ever since the Barclay brothers bought it out The Daily Telegraph has been on a long decline from right-leaning quality broadsheet to The Daily Mail for people who send their children to a private school.
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 8:15 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by BritInParis
Ever since the Barclay brothers bought it out The Daily Telegraph has been on a long decline from right-leaning quality broadsheet to The Daily Mail for people who send their children to a private school.
From memory if the web editions are to base it on, all the broadsheet papers in the UK have gone slightly tabloid - it's all Top 10 reasons to go to Glynebourne, Where to get Strawberries at Wimbledon etc...it started about 10 years ago when the papers did actually go tabloid of course...in size.

The Daily Mail has gone from a very curious paper to Hello magazine (online anyhow).

Wol, when I was a child we got the Times - as in my parent's view, it had letters from people who they thought actually had some influence.
We did occasionally get the Telegraph, and actually, I didn't mind it. I read it online for years as it was free.

Last edited by BadgeIsBack; Feb 20th 2015 at 8:18 am.
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 8:20 am
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by GarryP
The point that gets me exercised is that there are far too many people spewing complete b*llsh*t on this - like the "there a lot of debate" canard above.

Nope, there's not any serious debate - as I say the "is it" question got nailed down decades ago. We know the Titanic is going down, the questioning now is is it 1.5 or 2.5 hours before it sinks, and what do you do then. Anyone still spewing the 'debate' view is either massively ill informed, or actively rejecting reality for delusion. If they really had 'new' science, well there's a nobel prize and a pair of kocks prepared to shower money on them - it NEVER happens. They just repeat bull that's been answered decades in the past.

If this were about "is Kim Kardashian a talentless whore, or a smart whore on the make" it wouldn't matter - it's ephemera. However, failure to take serious action on this means we go over the tipping point (somewhere between 1.5C and 2.5C) and so kicks off feedback effects that push natural processes to 'switch' the climate mode into a high CO2/greenhouse mode (prob 6C+). And that wouldn't switch back for centuries to millennia, no matter matter what. The end result of that is not the tens of millions of deaths we have already guaranteed by our failure to act before, but hundreds of millions to billions of deaths.

Climate deniers are literally part of the biggest potential genocide ever.

Given that, I don't give any quarter with such people. If it's ignorance they need to get educated, and if it's delusion, they to get locked out of the decision making process. Either way they should be viewed with scorn and contempt.

It's pretty clear being nicey nicey hasn't worked.
Calm down - there is debate about measurement of data right now at the BoM. Some people will tell you the methods they used are fine, others will disagree. If people start changing data it makes things interesting. I didn't say anyone was denying climate change.
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 9:14 am
  #41  
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by BadgeIsBack
Calm down - there is debate about measurement of data right now at the BoM. Some people will tell you the methods they used are fine, others will disagree. If people start changing data it makes things interesting. I didn't say anyone was denying climate change.
Got a citation for that 'debate about measurement of data' within Bom at this moment?
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 9:56 am
  #42  
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by BadgeIsBack
From memory if the web editions are to base it on, all the broadsheet papers in the UK have gone slightly tabloid - it's all Top 10 reasons to go to Glynebourne, Where to get Strawberries at Wimbledon etc...it started about 10 years ago when the papers did actually go tabloid of course...in size.

The Daily Mail has gone from a very curious paper to Hello magazine (online anyhow).

Wol, when I was a child we got the Times - as in my parent's view, it had letters from people who they thought actually had some influence.
We did occasionally get the Telegraph, and actually, I didn't mind it. I read it online for years as it was free.
The Daily Telegraph starting to go really downhill when Bill Deedes died. I only read the The Independent or The Times these days if I can help it.
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 12:07 pm
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by GarryP
Got a citation for that 'debate about measurement of data' within Bom at this moment?
Garry, I'm a lazy poster so even if I had one, I'd let someone else post it.
It was reported last year in the press and there were some editorials in the national press. A mate of mine works there at the Bom - might ask him about it. He spends alot of his time stuffing around with data within their models.

As far as I am concerned, measurement is key. If we start changing past data then it muddies the empirical data and doesn't help the debate.
I am not a scientist Garry and happily defer to you on this one.

first one out of google

http://theconversation.com/no-the-bu...her-data-31009

http://joannenova.com.au/2014/08/hid...nd-to-warming/

Last edited by BadgeIsBack; Feb 20th 2015 at 12:11 pm.
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 12:40 pm
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by BritInParis
The Daily Telegraph starting to go really downhill when Bill Deedes died. I only read the The Independent or The Times these days if I can help it.
A very timely BBC article on the subject.

BBC News - Who are the Barclay brothers?

Longstanding Telegraph writer Bill Deedes, described the new regime as a "stinking mob" to friends. In a memo, passed to his biographer only to be published after his death, he wrote: "It struck me that what the Barclays saw in the Telegraph was an asset that in the right hands could be turned into a more profitable business... The intention to change the nature of the Telegraph into something more profitable had to be shielded from readers who loved it most for its unprofitable qualities which they saw as a stand against the vulgarity of the red tops."
Roy Greenslade, the Guardian's media blogger, puts many of the ways the Telegraph has changed down to the brothers. "It's less comprehensive in news coverage than it was. It's very very much more obviously a commercial operation. And less credible than it was."

"There was a recognisable Daily Telegraph approach to daily news coverage." It was thorough and comprehensive, Greenslade says. He believes the Telegraph came to resemble "a feeble approach to doing a broadsheet Daily Mail".
 
Old Feb 20th 2015 | 12:46 pm
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Default Re: "Fiddling temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever"

Originally Posted by BadgeIsBack
Garry, I'm a lazy poster so even if I had one, I'd let someone else post it.
It was reported last year in the press and there were some editorials in the national press. A mate of mine works there at the Bom - might ask him about it. He spends alot of his time stuffing around with data within their models.

As far as I am concerned, measurement is key. If we start changing past data then it muddies the empirical data and doesn't help the debate.
I am not a scientist Garry and happily defer to you on this one.

first one out of google

No, the Bureau of Meteorology is not fiddling its weather data

Hiding something? BOM throws out Bourke’s hot historic data, changes long cooling trend to warming « JoNova
Badge: Here's just one explanation of (a) why and (b) how temperatures are adjusted in the records:

Kevin Cowtan Debunks Christopher Booker's Temperature Conspiracy Theory

Basically, historical measurements were never intended to be used for other than daily records. And also the instruments, times od day, procedures, were sometimes changed over the decades. It would be junk science to use the unaltered figures as a TREND since calibration might not be done for example when the method was changed.

The video is explicit on how the alterations are made and as importantly, verified against surrounding stations. Also how a bit of detective work discovers the "blips" correspond to instrumentation/ procedural changes.
 


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