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Aussie house prices...a poll

View Poll Results: Aussie Property prices over the next 6-12 months ?
fall 20% +
68
22.01%
fall 10-20%
65
21.04%
fall 0-10%
72
23.30%
same the same
55
17.80%
rise 0-10%
36
11.65%
rise 10-20%
6
1.94%
rise 20% +
7
2.27%
Voters: 309. You may not vote on this poll

Aussie house prices...a poll

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Old Oct 26th 2008, 12:43 am
  #46  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by stuckinblighty
ummmmmmmmmmmm
x 2
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 12:49 am
  #47  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by DrWho
x 2
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 12:56 am
  #48  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by gappy
I just don't see how FHB get in on any large scale at todays prices.
There was a TV program yesterday, about how the recent changes will affect First Home Buyers, with the $21,000 grant, and the 'reduced interest rates'.

It showed some typical first home buyers looking around the house they were about to buy. 4 beds, 2 baths, all mod cons etc etc. $450,000+. The type of house I had gradually worked up to after quite a few years.

In my area the developers are rapidly building more and more houses to satisfy this first home buyer demand at about $500,000 !!

Yet there are other properties starting at about $310,000 in the area. But only 3 beds, 1 bathroom, single garage etc. Not really good enough for todays first home buyer !! And this is near enough a water front area.

Go inland to Ipswich, for example, and there are 990 properties under $300,000, 355 of these are under $250,000, with 93 under $200,000.

(Average FULL TIME wage in Feb 2008 was $61,022, = 990 properties in one area (Ipswich) at 5x salary or 355 at 4x salary)


But no, many FHB'rs are heading to water front properties at about $500,000 (or 8 x salary).
 
Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:07 am
  #49  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by Amazulu
Property should always be seen from a long term viewpoint.
Let me be more specific

My point is in regard people using "house purchase with a long term view", but in the buying process jumping for the first property they see. (Chasing short term satisfaction)

Instead of investing with sufficient research and judgement, they are governed by short term motivations ie living in own house versus rental, New build fresh paint versus location. Keeping up with the jones versus within their means. No thought about education or future employment opportunities.

Long term viewpoint to me is being used by the masses as a cop out to make them feel safe in their misguided purchases.

Over 20 years why buy a house that will only increase 3 times when you could buy one that increases 5 times. Oh because you buy a house as a home? So why are you all so interested in its current market value week by week?

Lastly if rent is dead money? - so what is interest?
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:08 am
  #50  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by ABCDiamond
There was a TV program yesterday, about how the recent changes will affect First Home Buyers, with the $21,000 grant, and the 'reduced interest rates'.

It showed some typical first home buyers looking around the house they were about to buy. 4 beds, 2 baths, all mod cons etc etc. $450,000+. The type of house I had gradually worked up to after quite a few years.

In my area the developers are rapidly building more and more houses to satisfy this first home buyer demand at about $500,000 !!

Yet there are other properties starting at about $310,000 in the area. But only 3 beds, 1 bathroom, single garage etc. Not really good enough for todays first home buyer !! And this is near enough a water front area.

Go inland to Ipswich, for example, and there are 990 properties under $300,000, 355 of these are under $250,000, with 93 under $200,000.

(Average FULL TIME wage in Feb 2008 was $61,022, = 990 properties in one area (Ipswich) at 5x salary or 355 at 4x salary)


But no, many FHB'rs are heading to water front properties at about $500,000 (or 8 x salary).
yes take your point. Look at more affordable options..............but 4 and 5 x salary is still a heavy burden in my opinion. It only sounds reasonable against lending practices of the last decade or so.

People need a margin of comfort - for when say, we are about to go in to a recession !!! It is not just outright unemployment that bites, it is reduced overtime, loss of shift allowances etc as demand diminishes.
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:16 am
  #51  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by stuckinblighty
ummmmmmmmmmmm
You started the thread and asked for opinions, or do you only want ones which fit in with yours
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:32 am
  #52  
 
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by ABCDiamond
There was a TV program yesterday, about how the recent changes will affect First Home Buyers, with the $21,000 grant, and the 'reduced interest rates'.

It showed some typical first home buyers looking around the house they were about to buy. 4 beds, 2 baths, all mod cons etc etc. $450,000+. The type of house I had gradually worked up to after quite a few years.

In my area the developers are rapidly building more and more houses to satisfy this first home buyer demand at about $500,000 !!

Yet there are other properties starting at about $310,000 in the area. But only 3 beds, 1 bathroom, single garage etc. Not really good enough for todays first home buyer !! And this is near enough a water front area.

Go inland to Ipswich, for example, and there are 990 properties under $300,000, 355 of these are under $250,000, with 93 under $200,000.

(Average FULL TIME wage in Feb 2008 was $61,022, = 990 properties in one area (Ipswich) at 5x salary or 355 at 4x salary)


But no, many FHB'rs are heading to water front properties at about $500,000 (or 8 x salary).
The 21,000 is for new properties. 14,000 for existing properties. Is an 8x loan still possible? 5 x are getting hard to get. Most calculators I look at indicate a 3 x loan.
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:39 am
  #53  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by Kalenge
You started the thread and asked for opinions, or do you only want ones which fit in with yours
easy tiger !

i like opinions whatever they are.Its just the opinions that differ from mine are plainly WRONG !!!!!



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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:41 am
  #54  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by IvanM
...5 x are getting hard to get. Most calculators I look at indicate a 3 x loan.
Exactly... and ultimately that is what will do for the bubble... something's only worth what you can get someone to pay for it, and there ain't many cash only buyers out there...
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:44 am
  #55  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by DrWho
Exactly... and ultimately that is what will do for the bubble... something's only worth what you can get someone to pay for it, and there ain't many cash only buyers out there...
But there are some and they would be very unlikely to buy in the present climate.

G
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 1:47 am
  #56  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

I dont mind renting at the mo ....saves me doing all the poxy DIY jobs around the house
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 2:07 am
  #57  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by Geelong Gent
So why are you all so interested in its current market value week by week?
Not all of us are. I bought a home - as long as I can keep up the mortgage repayments (which believe me, is not a given in this current climate) then I couldn't give a monkeys what it's worth.
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 2:11 am
  #58  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by Grayling
But there are some and they would be very unlikely to buy in the present climate.

G
Compounding the problem... (solution...?)
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 2:15 am
  #59  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by DrWho
Compounding the problem... (solution...?)
Solutions are only necessary if you see a problem.

I think a drastic fall in house prices is well overdue.

I have the money to buy another house but I have absolutely no intention of doing so unless prices fall a lot more.

This may compound some people's problems but that is really no concern of mine.

I bet I am not alone in thinking this way.

G
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Old Oct 26th 2008, 2:30 am
  #60  
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Default Re: Aussie house prices...a poll

Originally Posted by Grayling
Solutions are only necessary if you see a problem.

I think a drastic fall in house prices is well overdue.

I have the money to buy another house but I have absolutely no intention of doing so unless prices fall a lot more.

This may compound some people's problems but that is really no concern of mine.

I bet I am not alone in thinking this way.

G
And in many eyes the massive over valuation of houses is a problem... I have a number of youngsters (early 20's) that work for me here on the Northern Beaches where they've all grown up, been to school, etc. Whilst none at the moment have been contemplating a home purchase they are nevertheless aware that anything in this area is well out of their reach... even a 2 bed unit in Narrabeen is $500k...

I sold in the UK in early 2004 and rented for 2 years before moving over here because I couldn't believe that my house was worth well over double what I paid for it in late 1996. I'm quite sure that what we're seeing in the UK will be over here shortly...
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