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President Prediction Time

President Prediction Time

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Old Nov 5th 2012, 2:44 pm
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Default President Prediction Time

I will start it off:

Obama 300 Electoral College

Draw for popular votes. Well within 1%. Romney might have the edge not that it matters.
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Old Nov 5th 2012, 3:07 pm
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

If all votes were cast tomorrow I'd say Romney. With all the early voting edge to Obama. It will be very hard for Obama to claim any type of "Mandate" if he loses the popular vote, even if he takes the Electoral College.
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Old Nov 5th 2012, 3:15 pm
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Obama around 303-05
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Old Nov 5th 2012, 3:51 pm
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Obama -> 307 electoral votes
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Old Nov 5th 2012, 8:03 pm
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Electoral College - Obama (277-332; Likely: 281, 290 or 303)

Popular vote - Obama (spread of 1-2%)

(I am less confident about the popular vote than the electoral vote; Romney winning the popular vote by a slight margin is not beyond the realm of possibility.)
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Old Nov 5th 2012, 9:35 pm
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

277+ for Obama. Try it here and see...

http://www.270towin.com/
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Old Nov 5th 2012, 11:55 pm
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Originally Posted by Beaverstate
If all votes were cast tomorrow I'd say Romney. With all the early voting edge to Obama. It will be very hard for Obama to claim any type of "Mandate" if he loses the popular vote, even if he takes the Electoral College.
I disagree. The president is the president, and the electoral college is the system we have.
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 12:02 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Obama by at least 290 EVs and probably at least 303. If he goes as low as 277 I'll be gobsmacked.
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 1:44 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Civic duty performed, and hoping I won't have to emigrate again.

I'm in Illinois though, so presumably not a hotly contested state for Obama.
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 1:59 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Hmm.. Dixville Notch voted five for Obama and five for Romney, maybe we'll have the Romney-Biden scenario..
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 2:01 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Originally Posted by Beaverstate
If all votes were cast tomorrow I'd say Romney. With all the early voting edge to Obama. It will be very hard for Obama to claim any type of "Mandate" if he loses the popular vote, even if he takes the Electoral College.
That makes no sense whatsoever.
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 2:01 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Having Obama win via electoral college votes and not by the popular vote would be a wonderful irony.
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 2:18 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Originally Posted by Lion in Winter
Having Obama win via electoral college votes and not by the popular vote would be a wonderful irony.
How sweet that little revenge would be!
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 2:24 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Originally Posted by Lion in Winter
Civic duty performed, and hoping I won't have to emigrate again.

I'm in Illinois though, so presumably not a hotly contested state for Obama.
That's a good start, but remember the old adage; vote early and often.
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Old Nov 6th 2012, 3:11 am
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Default Re: President Prediction Time

Jeesh, sorry if this makes me religionist but I wouldn't want a mormon president, gives me the creeps. Certainly not one with a 25 million dollar tax freeish income.
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