Dropping exchange rate
#16










Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 7,605

It's short for "Purchasing Power Parity" and can be based on whatever you want. Let's say potatoes. If the same bag of potatoes costs £1 in the UK and $1.60 in the USA, then PPP is 1.6. Or hookers. If a hooker costs £100 in the UK and $160 in the USA, then when the rate is at PPP, you'll pay the same for your jollies, regardless of which currency you use.
#17
I don't understand "parity". On what is parity based? The exchange rate is usually driven by interest rates, people buy the currency, and drive up the price, when they want to invest in the county's bonds. That isn't working right now, since our interest rate is near zero.
#18
I don't understand "parity". On what is parity based? The exchange rate is usually driven by interest rates, people buy the currency, and drive up the price, when they want to invest in the county's bonds. That isn't working right now, since our interest rate is near zero.
The results of this very unscientifc method is that I believe parity to be around 1.5-1.6.....which does actually seem to chime with most other peoples views.
#19
Banned






Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,333
From: the dry part of Washington State











Thank you for your birthday greetings! The exchange rate greeted me this morning with the news that it is $1.383 to the pound. It was not long ago that I thought I was doing well because I was getting $2 to the pound. This is extremely relevant because my UK state pension and my Somerset County pension are paid in pounds to Lloyds TSB (now nationalised of course). How long will it be before the rate is 1:1 and I won't be able to pay the mortgage?



and your tax more than that
as long as you leave your sterling in sterling, it will be 2.00 again in a couple of years and you will win both ways
I spend several hours per day managing my currency exposures. My US shares dropped $180k but they are worth more GBP than when I bought them.
When I go back to the elphant's graveyard to die, I will have made a bundle




