Dropping exchange rate
#1
Thread Starter
Forum Regular




Joined: Jun 2003
Posts: 269
From: Bristol, UK and Morehead City, N Carolina











Thank you for your birthday greetings! The exchange rate greeted me this morning with the news that it is $1.383 to the pound. It was not long ago that I thought I was doing well because I was getting $2 to the pound. This is extremely relevant because my UK state pension and my Somerset County pension are paid in pounds to Lloyds TSB (now nationalised of course). How long will it be before the rate is 1:1 and I won't be able to pay the mortgage?

#2
Thank you for your birthday greetings! The exchange rate greeted me this morning with the news that it is $1.383 to the pound. It was not long ago that I thought I was doing well because I was getting $2 to the pound. This is extremely relevant because my UK state pension and my Somerset County pension are paid in pounds to Lloyds TSB (now nationalised of course). How long will it be before the rate is 1:1 and I won't be able to pay the mortgage?



#3
Thank you for your birthday greetings! The exchange rate greeted me this morning with the news that it is $1.383 to the pound. It was not long ago that I thought I was doing well because I was getting $2 to the pound. This is extremely relevant because my UK state pension and my Somerset County pension are paid in pounds to Lloyds TSB (now nationalised of course). How long will it be before the rate is 1:1 and I won't be able to pay the mortgage?



and happy birthday!
#4
Spot on Mallory. People quickly forget what is "normal". I've head the same comments from other people in the UK, bemoaning why the exchange rate is so bad and that their holidays cost so much more. While it's probably more noticeable right at the moment as the exchange rate swung right through normal the other way in a short period of time; but as you say, its really not that far off a parity figure.
#5
Spot on Mallory. People quickly forget what is "normal". I've head the same comments from other people in the UK, bemoaning why the exchange rate is so bad and that their holidays cost so much more. While it's probably more noticeable right at the moment as the exchange rate swung right through normal the other way in a short period of time; but as you say, its really not that far off a parity figure.
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/EXUSUK.txt
- note that these are monthly averages, so don't reflect the daily spikes that have occurred.
I have always thought of about $1.40-$1.60 as the "norm", but interestingly, until recently it hasn't been that low since 2003.
#6
Just as a reminder, here is the historical record of "normal":
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/EXUSUK.txt
- note that these are monthly averages, so don't reflect the daily spikes that have occurred.
I have always thought of about $1.40-$1.60 as the "norm", but interestingly, until recently it hasn't been that low since 2003.
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/EXUSUK.txt
- note that these are monthly averages, so don't reflect the daily spikes that have occurred.
I have always thought of about $1.40-$1.60 as the "norm", but interestingly, until recently it hasn't been that low since 2003.
#9
mixed feelings for me....we moved most of our cash over in 2007 and at a $1.94. At the time was actually annoyed we didn't get over $2 but still know we did very well.
On the downside we still have cash in the UK which is dwindling fast in $ terms and of course there's also pension pots over there which are getting double hit from the market & FX rates
On the downside we still have cash in the UK which is dwindling fast in $ terms and of course there's also pension pots over there which are getting double hit from the market & FX rates
#10
It's brilliant for me as I have a credit card to pay off over there from when I first emigrated
#13
I don't agree with people walking away from their debts either Cindy...but in this case SpoogleDrummer is paying his debt off...he's not running away from it.
#15
I don't understand "parity". On what is parity based? The exchange rate is usually driven by interest rates, people buy the currency, and drive up the price, when they want to invest in the county's bonds. That isn't working right now, since our interest rate is near zero.





