Re: 2020 Election
 

I was a little disappointed earlier today, Both candidates were campaigning just north of me today and I debated about attending. I fleetingly toyed with the idea of trying to get into a Trump rally before deciding that the combined derp of the orange turd and the crowd would be just too much for my tiny brain to handle.
A Biden drive-in rally though sounded right up my alley, but despite wall-to-wall coverage on local news stations could I find any details on the rally, could I f***. The best I could come up with this morning was 'details to be released' and a link promising further details on Biden's campaign site. Several minutes banging my head in frustration navigating Biden's site, I could find diddly squat.
As I was heading home this evening and mulling over trying again in the hour that I'd have to get ready to go up there, I heard on the radio that it was an invite only affair. Call me old fashioned but what is the point of coming to an area to hold a campaign event and then only inviting diehard party members? Talk about preaching to the converted. Heck, I've done my bit, checked his box both primary and for the general, donated the princely sum of 20 bucks to the cause, where's my bloody invite then? :confused:

Re: 2020 Election
 

Yeah I heard Trump was at RayJay to intimidate voters, but not heard where Biden appeared. Disappointing, Joe

Re: 2020 Election
 

Federal appeals court has ruled in regards to the ballot deadline in Minnesota. (as of last Friday 578,805 absentee ballots had not yet been received)

The ruling was down party lines.

Judge Bobby Shepherd, an appointee of President George W. Bush, and Judge L. Steven Grasz, appointed by President Donald Trump, formed the majority. Judge Jane Kelly, appointed by President Barack Obama, dissented.

"The 2-1 ruling -- a win for the Republican challengers to the state's plans -- cuts off a weeklong window after Election Day where state officials had planned to receive ballots that had lingered in the mail. The court found the Minnesota secretary of state's accommodation went against a state law that said ballots delivered by mail to elections officials after 8 p.m. on Election Day should be marked late."

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2020/...-election-day/

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/29/polit...ots/index.html


"We applaud the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals for upholding the integrity of the election and affirming Election Day as November 3rd," - Minnesota Republican Party Chairwoman Jennifer Carnahan

Re: 2020 Election
 

You didn't mention Ohio, which is 10 days AFTER election day; Nevada, which is 7 days later, and IA which is 6 days later. Ohio (along with GA and IA) are the three 'undecided' states according to the Economist map (neither lean Dem, nor lean Rep).

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...456fb2104f.png
https://projects.economist.com/us-20...cast/president

From a 'decision' perspective, it's good to see FL and AZ are 'no delay' states. PA at 3 days is not bad either. I'm all in favor of extending the deadlines due to the virus, but ... 17 days does seem a bit generous and potentially damaging to the process. 7 days seems somewhat reasonable.

Interesting - when I called AZ's info line, a guy told me they didn't start counting till election day even though they 'validated' the ballot (signature check, etc) on receipt. I notice the title of the column is 'processing' and not 'counting', but then the content of some of the columns does suggest actual counting. But I checked my ballot online the other day and it did say 'received and counted'.

This does seem rather silly, but I guess it will make Paulry's assertions that no one goes to Biden's rallies a bit more understandable :)

Re: 2020 Election
 

In normal years, California doesn't allow 17 days, appears normally its 3 days, but they seem to have made some changes for 2020.

This link lists the states based on permanent state laws, the link posted earlier is only for 2020.

https://www.ncsl.org/research/electi...e-ballots.aspx

Re: 2020 Election
 

The legal process to determine whether some of Trump's campaign contributions are legit or not continues. Giuliani's crew of Russian mobsters and Florida Men begins rolling through court, and although prosecutors say this one isn't a cooperation agreement, Rudy probably isn't too happy about it.
"The plea today makes the first conviction to arise from a 2019 indictment brought in the Southern District of New York over an alleged straw-donor scheme to funnel foreign money into U.S. elections through limited liability companies."
https://www.courthousenews.com/flori...-plead-guilty/

Re: 2020 Election
 

Washington State.

4,869,530 eligible voters in 2020 vs 4,270,270 in 2016

60.8% of ballots returned so far, at this point in 2016 36.8% had been returned.

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/res...tatistics.aspx

Re: 2020 Election
 

This rather chilling article suggests our polling is still not where it needs to be. Apparently an interview with the only people who got 2016 right (and who think Trump will win again).

https://www.politico.com/news/magazi...te-2016-433619

‘People Are Going To Be Shocked’: Return of the ‘Shy’ Trump Voter?

Re: 2020 Election
 

I also thought that ballot validation is all Florida did until election day. Pre-counting received ballots makes common sense but that isn't generally a factor included in political stuff.


54.97% of the county's registered electorate have turned out and if we assume that people have voted along party lines then the only thing stopping this county going for Trump is if a significant majority of 'other' voters vote blue.

And Walmart does something new...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/walmart...st-11604002136

Re: 2020 Election
 

I am prepared for my view of humanity to take a nose dive, next week.

Re: 2020 Election
 

Me too.

The electoral college could easily strike again.

Re: 2020 Election
 

I've been looking for media stories about fluffy kittens and cute puppies. The political stuff is making me nervous so I'm (sort of) avoiding it. Can't begin to imagine how much worse it is for those of you who live there.

Re: 2020 Election
 

The Trafalgar Group has made a lot of PR noise about their model, and they did indeed predict Trump last time out - but I think, from doing a little bit of reading, they slightly over egged the margin in some of the key States. So while there does seem to be a under counting of Trump support in places like Michigan and Florida, it's not by as much as this lot predict. On the flip side, the South West has the same issue but around the other way, where they miss people who are more likely to vote Democrat.

In both cases it seems to be by not much more than a couple of percentage points. This time around they have it much closer, or Trump just edging Biden in States like Michigan. If their margin of error stands from last time, that actually means Biden would win by 2% in Michigan (just as an example).

Re: 2020 Election
 

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...76f23462ec.jpg
Some of my latest babies. You're welcome.

Re: 2020 Election
 

:wub:

I could watch kittens play for hours :)