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-   -   2016 Election (https://britishexpats.com/forum/trailer-park-96/2016-election-855107/)

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 8th 2016 3:03 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Jerseygirl (Post 12099271)
Boiler...what happened? CNN have just announced Clinton has won Colorado.

You're fired.:lol:

I think you will find that a tiny area around Denver voted crooked. Colorado did not.

scrubbedexpat091 Nov 8th 2016 3:08 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
North Carolina to Trump.

Jerseygirl Nov 8th 2016 3:09 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
CNN has called NC for Trump.

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 8th 2016 3:09 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
Pulaski goes Trump

scrubbedexpat099 Nov 8th 2016 3:12 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
The big picture right now is simple and clear: Hillary Clinton is in trouble. The states to focus on are Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), Michigan (16) and Wisconsin (10). If Clinton loses either of the larger states, she’s finished. She has a path to an 269-269 electoral tie if she loses Wisconsin – but she would have to win New Hampshire, which hasn’t been called yet.

And an electoral tie, after passing through a thicket of constitutional logistics, likely represents a win for Trump, owing to a strong Republican majority in the House of Representatives and retained Republican control of the senate, which looks very likely.

The three key states at this point all have gone reliably Democratic in presidential elections going back six elections. There are 31 such states – and none of them has yet broken the pattern tonight. But those states may be friendlier to Trump owing to his strength with the white, working-class voters that proliferate in the upper Midwest.

In the last hour, both Florida and Ohio were called for Trump, huge wins for him, and North Carolina appears to be running his way.

It’s a very tight race.

Steerpike Nov 8th 2016 3:13 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
from 538 blog, a while ago:


Repeating myself a bit, but Clinton is still the favorite to win the popular vote, according to the Upshot’s model, despite now having become a fairly clear Electoral College underdog. Our pre-election forecast had shown about an 11 percent chance of such a split in Trump’s favor.
I'm following this rather than the Tee Vee ...
2016 Election Night: Live coverage and results | FiveThirtyEight

scrubbedexpat091 Nov 8th 2016 3:15 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
Looks like AZ has voted to increase min wage?

Voter turn out fairly high in my voting county, estimating 75% turn out.

scrubbedexpat091 Nov 8th 2016 3:17 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
Oregon to Clinton.

Nebraska to Trump.


Florida to Trump?

Steerpike Nov 8th 2016 3:20 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
I haven't smoked pot in 35 years, but if Trump wins, maybe this will be the silver lining ... I can just get stoned all the time! Here's hoping CA legalizes ...


When Florida voters legalized medical marijuana tonight, it became the 26th state (plus D.C.) to legalize or decriminalize the drug. That means over half of all states in the U.S. have made medical marijuana legal. Now activists are looking toward California, where polls have not yet closed, to sway societal attitudes. The state could be massively important for the movement to legalize marijuana. The population of California is larger than the combined population of all seven other states (Maine, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Arkansas, Arizona, Montana and Nevada) whose marijuana ballot measures have yet to be called.
ETA - sorry, that's from 538 live blog ...

kimilseung Nov 8th 2016 3:20 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Jsmth321 (Post 12099281)
can she keep it?

Probably not, looking at what is left.

Steerpike Nov 8th 2016 3:27 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
This just in on 538 - "North Carolina, which ABC News just called for Trump, is the first really big shoe to drop against Clinton, since it deprives her of her best backup plan if she loses a Midwestern or Rust Belt state. Now Clinton has to run the table in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. She could wind up losing several swing states by just 1 to 3 percentage points, losing just a little bit too much ground in the Midwest, and not making up quite enough in the Southeast."

scrubbedexpat091 Nov 8th 2016 3:32 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by Steerpike (Post 12099298)
I haven't smoked pot in 35 years, but if Trump wins, maybe this will be the silver lining ... I can just get stoned all the time! Here's hoping CA legalizes ...


ETA - sorry, that's from 538 live blog ...

Looks like marijuana will become legal in California.

Steerpike Nov 8th 2016 3:34 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
Ho Lee Crap - 538 now has Trump at 77% chance of winning.

magnumpi Nov 8th 2016 3:35 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 
CNN say Trump wins Florida, he is now 216 and Clinton 197

Jerseygirl Nov 8th 2016 3:36 pm

Re: 2016 Election
 

Originally Posted by magnumpi (Post 12099313)
CNN say Trump wins Florida, he is now 216 and Clinton 197

Whoa...:blink:


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