It's US Presidential Election Day.......
#17
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
Obama will not go down in the annals of history as being a great President, more like an invisible man, but thats better than being infamous.
Romney strikes me as being a nutter and is likely to cause more problems than he solves.
Personally I would rather have four more years of mediocrity than four years of religious fanatiscism. There are already enough leaders in the world suffering from this.
PS. Michelle is also better looking than Ann, but thats a tough call as neither are GILFs.
Romney strikes me as being a nutter and is likely to cause more problems than he solves.
Personally I would rather have four more years of mediocrity than four years of religious fanatiscism. There are already enough leaders in the world suffering from this.
PS. Michelle is also better looking than Ann, but thats a tough call as neither are GILFs.
#18
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
It's probably not as close as the mainstream media would have us think. They obviously want to keep interest going. This guy (Nate Silver) has got a good record for prediction, and he thinks Obama is going to win quite comfortably.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Also, the bookies are all favouring the incumbent by quite a way. Paddy Power are already paying out on Obama winning.
The only way I can see anything different is if there are some shenanigans with vote stealing/suppression and so on, which GOP are not averse to, apparently. It's quite incredible that they have a state-by-state arrangement for voting rather than a national one and vested interests can get involved. One of Romney's sons supplied voting machines to Ohio, I think I read somewhere.
Anyway, fingers crossed that whichever way it goes, the ridiculous and poisonous patisanship can be brought to and end.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Also, the bookies are all favouring the incumbent by quite a way. Paddy Power are already paying out on Obama winning.
The only way I can see anything different is if there are some shenanigans with vote stealing/suppression and so on, which GOP are not averse to, apparently. It's quite incredible that they have a state-by-state arrangement for voting rather than a national one and vested interests can get involved. One of Romney's sons supplied voting machines to Ohio, I think I read somewhere.
Anyway, fingers crossed that whichever way it goes, the ridiculous and poisonous patisanship can be brought to and end.
#21
You read these things?
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,261
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
Obama who is a very good president
I keep hearing this, but always with the 'caveat' that the House won't let him do anything....... there has to be more to it than that, surely?
The key to most elections in most countries where they have them is to ascertain how many people who voted for A last time will be voting for B this time (this applies even within the college vote system they have there). Look at the number of long-standing Labour voters who turned to Thatcher in 79 (and Tebbit kept warning her not to piss them off afterwards).
So - who voted for Obama in 08 that will be voting for Romney today? Hello?? Anyone?? Hello???
I keep hearing this, but always with the 'caveat' that the House won't let him do anything....... there has to be more to it than that, surely?
The key to most elections in most countries where they have them is to ascertain how many people who voted for A last time will be voting for B this time (this applies even within the college vote system they have there). Look at the number of long-standing Labour voters who turned to Thatcher in 79 (and Tebbit kept warning her not to piss them off afterwards).
So - who voted for Obama in 08 that will be voting for Romney today? Hello?? Anyone?? Hello???
#22
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Joined: Sep 2009
Location: Abu Dhabi
Posts: 1,805
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
#24
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,107
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
OK, balls on the table:
Obama 303-235 Rmoney - in the electoral college
Popular vote margin 3.5-4.0%
(Nate Silver has it 2.7% with 92% chance of O victory - his model is more conservative than the other statistics guys at PEC and Votamatic as he has to account for the dodgy pollsters like Rasmussen and Gallup with their ludicrous likely voter screen).
That means all the swing states to O except NC and FL.
Rmoney will squeak Florida entirely because of Rethug governor and state legislature voter suppression (Google Florida early voting).
Dems will comfortably hold the Senate in part because of ridiculous Tea Party candidates in states Repugs should have won (Indiana and Missouri) making unbelievably ignorant remarks about rape. The last of the great old school Republican senators, Dick Lugar of Indiana was unseated in the GOP primary and the right wing nut job they replaced him with is going to lose a safe seat. Hopefully the wonderful Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin will become the first openly gay senator (best is she's from Lyin' Ryan's home state).
Alas Repugs will hold the house with a small net loss in seats though that should include a few of the worst tea party head cases (including hopefully Allen West and maybe even Michele Bachman). This is likely even though the Dems will probably have a significantly higher share of the national vote for the house seats.
Gay marriage is on the ballot in a few states. Should pass in Washington and Minnesota, hopefully so in Maine and Maryland. While polls generally show majority support for this, it has yet to pass by referendum anywhere when actually put to the vote as the wing-nuts can generally mobilise their base out to vote it down (has been passed by state legislatures in a few states).
Obama 303-235 Rmoney - in the electoral college
Popular vote margin 3.5-4.0%
(Nate Silver has it 2.7% with 92% chance of O victory - his model is more conservative than the other statistics guys at PEC and Votamatic as he has to account for the dodgy pollsters like Rasmussen and Gallup with their ludicrous likely voter screen).
That means all the swing states to O except NC and FL.
Rmoney will squeak Florida entirely because of Rethug governor and state legislature voter suppression (Google Florida early voting).
Dems will comfortably hold the Senate in part because of ridiculous Tea Party candidates in states Repugs should have won (Indiana and Missouri) making unbelievably ignorant remarks about rape. The last of the great old school Republican senators, Dick Lugar of Indiana was unseated in the GOP primary and the right wing nut job they replaced him with is going to lose a safe seat. Hopefully the wonderful Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin will become the first openly gay senator (best is she's from Lyin' Ryan's home state).
Alas Repugs will hold the house with a small net loss in seats though that should include a few of the worst tea party head cases (including hopefully Allen West and maybe even Michele Bachman). This is likely even though the Dems will probably have a significantly higher share of the national vote for the house seats.
Gay marriage is on the ballot in a few states. Should pass in Washington and Minnesota, hopefully so in Maine and Maryland. While polls generally show majority support for this, it has yet to pass by referendum anywhere when actually put to the vote as the wing-nuts can generally mobilise their base out to vote it down (has been passed by state legislatures in a few states).
Last edited by Miss Anne Thrope; Nov 6th 2012 at 7:35 am.
#25
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,107
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
On the question of Obama's stature I think this piece is worthy of your consideration:
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/10...yes-great.html
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/10...yes-great.html
#27
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,107
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
Ohio and the presidency just called for Obama. Looks like Florida will go to O so final score now looks like 332-206 but will be quite a while before the close states are called, though it doesn't matter for the overall result...
#28
Account Closed
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 0
Re: It's US Presidential Election Day.......
Anyone think all the hype about how close it would/could be was just a waste of everybody in the worlds time?