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-   -   Brexit outcome (https://britishexpats.com/forum/sand-pit-116/brexit-outcome-912550/)

Millhouse Jul 23rd 2018 2:46 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by littlejimmy (Post 12537287)
That is a very good point and is in line with other sensible arguments I've heard on the Leave side. Problem is, it is going to take a long time to change our economy back to a manufacturing based one. Maybe 50 years, as Mogg said over the weekend.

And who wants to work in a factory anyway?

If we are lucky we will have converted the economy to industrial and manufacturing just in time for mass automation of such jobs.

scrubbedexpat141 Jul 23rd 2018 3:43 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by Millhouse (Post 12537296)


And who wants to work in a factory anyway?

If we are lucky we will have converted the economy to industrial and manufacturing just in time for mass automation of such jobs.

I certainly don't. **** that, it's delusional to think we should - it's rose tinted spectacles and thinking of the previous century when 'Britain was Great' and all that guff.

China's got a machine that can build 700m of railway in a ****ing day and we want to go back to forging steel, fighting with unions and trying to compete with the Japanese in high quality vehicle production. Mental.

TheShed Jul 23rd 2018 4:41 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12537327)
I certainly don't. **** that, it's delusional to think we should - it's rose tinted spectacles and thinking of the previous century when 'Britain was Great' and all that guff.

China's got a machine that can build 700m of railway in a ****ing day and we want to go back to forging steel, fighting with unions and trying to compete with the Japanese in high quality vehicle production. Mental.

and is there anyone in UK prepared to work for less than Chinese factory wages? Let’s face it, with all of the compliance, HSE and regulations, UK factories would have to pay 50% below China just to be in the competitive ball park.

littlejimmy Jul 23rd 2018 4:57 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 
We're ****ed then...

007Steve Jul 23rd 2018 5:02 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 
However long it takes, a population educated beyond its current mental age of twelve is vital.

Millhouse Jul 23rd 2018 8:49 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by TheShed (Post 12537342)


and is there anyone in UK prepared to work for less than Chinese factory wages? Let’s face it, with all of the compliance, HSE and regulations, UK factories would have to pay 50% below China just to be in the competitive ball park.

you mean Ethiopian. China is too expensive these days for some industries.

DXBtoDOH Jul 24th 2018 6:17 am

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12537327)
I certainly don't. **** that, it's delusional to think we should - it's rose tinted spectacles and thinking of the previous century when 'Britain was Great' and all that guff.

China's got a machine that can build 700m of railway in a ****ing day and we want to go back to forging steel, fighting with unions and trying to compete with the Japanese in high quality vehicle production. Mental.

If the alternative is working behind the till at Greggs or the local petrol station, a factory job ain't so bad. You may sneer at it, most of us would find it dull and tedious, but for an whole generation there was not only the stability of a reasonably well paid position with benefits but even some satisfaction at being part of producing something.

I find it fascinating how some countries still maintain a sophisticated manufacturing and industrial base despite the cheap labour of China. Why is Japan able to have a high performing, high quality car manufacturing sector, while British Leyland went the way of the dodo bird? Japan is a high cost, expensive and developed country with plenty of regulations so it's not cost or regulations hurting them.

Germany also has a substantial industrial and manufacturing base and one that is quite high quality. The Swiss also have a very high tech manufacturing sector. Over the years I've met a number of men who worked at "factory" jobs in Germany and Switzerland but what they did was on a level of sophistication and technical knowledge that would surprise you. It ain't for dullards. I definitely couldn't do it.

While we can debate the merits of rebuilding British industry the biggest problem I've encountered is the tendency of people to not care/be indifferent/ don't want to change the status quo. They laugh at the idea of trying to compete with the German industrial might but at the same time they offer no solutions or proposals for alternatives. They're just content to go along with the status quo despite that doing so clearly isn't helping many people. Millhouse may be right about the future of automation but there's more to industry that automation. There's still plenty of specialist work that can only be done by the human hands, stuff that needs to be done on-site, installation, and there still isn't an automatic replacement for a plumber.

A key ingredient to future Britain will be education, natch. But our mistakes of the past generations was trying to instil a one size fits all education model on the populace and going to war over grammar or independent schools. Instead of turning education into politics, we should acknowledge that different kids need to study different things, most kids aren't academic and many would be better off going into serious apprenticeship and learning skilled trades. We need to stop agonising about grammars or selective schools and need to start opening and promoting skills-based schools. And people need to stop being snobby about education. That's what the Germans do and it's worked extremely well.

I do have hopes that Brexit will be a shock enough to force people to approach the future differently. It may not pay off. But the status quo also wasn't paying off for a substantial portion of the population either.

Miss Ann Thrope Jul 24th 2018 11:55 am

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by DXBtoDOH (Post 12537602)
If the alternative is working behind the till at Greggs or the local petrol station, a factory job ain't so bad. You may sneer at it, most of us would find it dull and tedious, but for an whole generation there was not only the stability of a reasonably well paid position with benefits but even some satisfaction at being part of producing something.

I find it fascinating how some countries still maintain a sophisticated manufacturing and industrial base despite the cheap labour of China. Why is Japan able to have a high performing, high quality car manufacturing sector, while British Leyland went the way of the dodo bird? Japan is a high cost, expensive and developed country with plenty of regulations so it's not cost or regulations hurting them.

Germany also has a substantial industrial and manufacturing base and one that is quite high quality. The Swiss also have a very high tech manufacturing sector. Over the years I've met a number of men who worked at "factory" jobs in Germany and Switzerland but what they did was on a level of sophistication and technical knowledge that would surprise you. It ain't for dullards. I definitely couldn't do it.

While we can debate the merits of rebuilding British industry the biggest problem I've encountered is the tendency of people to not care/be indifferent/ don't want to change the status quo. They laugh at the idea of trying to compete with the German industrial might but at the same time they offer no solutions or proposals for alternatives. They're just content to go along with the status quo despite that doing so clearly isn't helping many people. Millhouse may be right about the future of automation but there's more to industry that automation. There's still plenty of specialist work that can only be done by the human hands, stuff that needs to be done on-site, installation, and there still isn't an automatic replacement for a plumber.

A key ingredient to future Britain will be education, natch. But our mistakes of the past generations was trying to instil a one size fits all education model on the populace and going to war over grammar or independent schools. Instead of turning education into politics, we should acknowledge that different kids need to study different things, most kids aren't academic and many would be better off going into serious apprenticeship and learning skilled trades. We need to stop agonising about grammars or selective schools and need to start opening and promoting skills-based schools. And people need to stop being snobby about education. That's what the Germans do and it's worked extremely well.

I do have hopes that Brexit will be a shock enough to force people to approach the future differently. It may not pay off. But the status quo also wasn't paying off for a substantial portion of the population either.

The fundamental disregard for engineering in post war Britain is the root of the decline of British manufacturing - which used to be world-beating. In a little more than a century the UK turned the unmatched heritage of the Stephensons and the Brunels into the notion that an engineer was somebody who repaired your video player. Bazalgette's grandson gave us...Big Brother!

Interestingly (to me anyway), as a graduate in the 1980s, engineering was the only sector where starting salaries were significantly higher in Ireland than in Britain, mainly due to the fact that the employers were mostly multinationals recently invested in Ireland (which had little indigenous manufacturing industry thanks to policies under British rule which had been entirely focused on benefiting the rentier landlords). These companies placed much greater value on their engineering resources. Similarly, in Ireland as in much of continental Europe and North America, entry requirements for university engineering courses are much higher than for science or other other technical degree fields, exactly the reverse of what was the case in the UK. I recall one sneering comment from a former (British) manager of mine early in my career that the decline of British industry was largely due to the ineptitude of factories run by Cambridge history graduates. I blame CP Snow and that whole snobby two cultures thing in the '50s.

Ironically, the UK had a real opportunity to build on the much-improved industrial base that has been re-established over the past 30 years, mainly from inward multinational investment particularly in aerospace and automotive, as part of the enormous extended European supply chains. That's looking a much shakier prospect now. But, as Boris says, f**k business. I'm sure the UK can make up for that European business by selling lots of dodgy car parts and aircraft components to, um, ...Vanuatu, Honduras?

scrubbedexpat141 Jul 24th 2018 12:27 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 
I think the Germans and Japanese are culturally different to us and capable of delivering manufacturing services properly.

We're far too lazy, half arsed and 'that'll do' to actually deliver quality.

Spain would be a great manufacturing nation if they weren't Spanish.

TheShed Jul 24th 2018 9:51 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 
For once in my life, I agree with the three previous posts in some form (although I’m sat in a bar in Bahrain worse for a massive steak beer and wine!)

anyways, I think peronslaly that we (media, government, parents etc) have spent far too much time, money and effort telling the next generations that they have to have a degree and be a “professional” to succeed. As you all know I am a total capitalist but I do know that a society needs tiers of skills, education, and other stuff.

Where I think we’ve gone wrong as a country is that we’ve tried to be the GCC. Everyone has the right to be CEO and we’ll bring in labori to clean up our crap. That works if you’re filthy rich and you can pay your people whether they work or not but it comes undone if markets move against you ( see my post on UAE).

Yes, I’m still a brexiteer mainly because of this and I’m starting to think that a brutal Brexit may actually help UK. Make the gov reign in support for the “I don’t want to work” and get the kids real again. Yes, I know our kids are trying and I have 30% of my nieces and nephews working their nuts off and sometimes doing really good. I have helped one of my nephews to build a property portfolio in excess of gbp5m and he and I work very hard indeed to ensure it continues to succeed. He, me and our team know that only hard work keeps us making money and employing people. Our staff share profits and are generally committed to the business. However, many of my UK contacts sincerely believe that it’s a choice to work or not. I can continue to lend them money and invest in their hairbrained schemes that rely on UK being “brill” but the more I learn about fatass UK, the less I’m going to “invest”.

Started to ramble there, but the upshot is we (UK) need to culturally change back to who we are. Some people are CEOs and other are service personnel and paid fairly because the market values them that way.

Manufacturing? Forget it on a grand scale as the fashion, reality and political industries which many brits are adidicted to suck too much money out of our economy to support a sensible economic powerhouse that we used to be, based on engineering skills, innovation and a will to win.

Its a generalisation and i apologisr forthwith to the hard workers and entrepreneurs but reality is a large proportion of our nation just don’t give a s41t as long as the central government gives them food and shelter for doing nothing.

IKnowNothing Jul 25th 2018 5:46 am

Re: Brexit outcome
 
Miss Ann, your hatred of the English permeates into every single post, I'm sure if a poster was hugely anti-gay and pushed their agenda in each and every post you'd be the first to jump on it.

Run your life with less hatred, you'll be happier.

Millhouse Jul 25th 2018 6:22 am

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by Scamp (Post 12537722)
I think the Germans and Japanese are culturally different to us and capable of delivering manufacturing services properly.

We're far too lazy, half arsed and 'that'll do' to actually deliver quality.

Spain would be a great manufacturing nation if they weren't Spanish.

Spot on. In high end manufacturing (which is where we would need to position ourselves due to price pressures) - "good enough", is never good enough.

I read engineering and out of my cohort, I would guess only around 5% of the people when on to do some form of engineering. The rest went into high end software development, consulting, sales and investment banking. I know of only one who ended up in operations decent manufacturer. The good ones also left the UK. I just can't see UK graduates being able to compete in the engineering/manufacturing sector on a mass scale - what we do its fantastic, but it's niche and not well paid.

Miss Ann Thrope Jul 25th 2018 1:06 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by IKnowNothing (Post 12538124)
Miss Ann, your hatred of the English permeates into every single post, I'm sure if a poster was hugely anti-gay and pushed their agenda in each and every post you'd be the first to jump on it.

Run your life with less hatred, you'll be happier.

I do not hate the English though perhaps you, in your Trumpian Brexit bubble, are given to perceive anything less than fawning adulation as hatred. My post started with recognition of the the former glories of British (mostly English) engineering which was unsurpassed for about 150 years up until the early 20th century and (I thought an obvious) sense of regret that Britain allowed this strength to dwindle away. Most of the rest was simple facts and some opinion. My opinion about why this happened may be contended for sure - and it is a bit one-dimensional and simplistic - but the fact that it did happen is clear.

captainflack Aug 6th 2018 3:01 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 
The brexit negotiations seem to be arriving at where I suspected they would. It's a game of chicken, a motorbike verses an articulated truck. The only way the motorbike can win is to either (a) convince the juggernaut driver that he's mad or stupid enough not to recognize he'll be obliterated and might only take a headlight with him or (b) to convince the juggernaut driver he's angry enough not to care, and would happily commit suicide just to do some superficial damage to the nasty European bogeyman's truck.

It's very hard to appear this stupid, insane or angry, but I have to hand it to Mogg, Davis, Fox and co. They're giving it a really good stab. I am impressed.

007Steve Aug 6th 2018 3:28 pm

Re: Brexit outcome
 

Originally Posted by captainflack (Post 12543930)
The brexit negotiations seem to be arriving at where I suspected they would. It's a game of chicken, a motorbike verses an articulated truck. The only way the motorbike can win is to either (a) convince the juggernaut driver that he's mad or stupid enough not to recognize he'll be obliterated and might only take a headlight with him or (b) to convince the juggernaut driver he's angry enough not to care, and would happily commit suicide just to do some superficial damage to the nasty European bogeyman's truck.
It's very hard to appear this stupid, insane or angry, but I have to hand it to Mogg, Davis, Fox and co. They're giving it a really good stab. I am impressed.

:sarcasm:...tisk-tisk captainflack - you're not Criticising your Betters are you? These gentlemen have been brought up by Nanny, then School-House & finally at Uni to inherit their natural born-Entitlement to run the UK. Let there be no questioning of their Rights....;)


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