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Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's DOH data cont.
Tests coming along lower at 43.8k. Regional data: 4A 933 NCR 689 W Visayas 638 Davao 575 C Luzon 557 C Visayas 407 Ilocos 342 4 regions in the 200s. 4A was top with over 250 more cases added over the day before. At 15.8% of the national total. NCR was up 37. Davao in 4th place added 30 more. C Luzon at 5th added 79 more. MIMAROPA with 167 cases added 26 more. Top 6: 64.3%, nearly 4% more. In the NCR there were no dramatic changes. Pasig added 27 more. QC 24, Manila 23 more. QC 162, Manila 110, Taguig 72, Pasig 44, Makati 44, Las Pinas 34 In the provinces around the NCR the most notable changes were Laguna adding 133 more and Cavite reporting over 100 more cases. Bataan 60, down 70 Batangas 126 Bulacan 97 Cavite 287 La Union 80, down 54 Laguna 341 Pampanga 75 Pangasinan 107 Quezon 65 Rizal 93 Selected Cities: Bacolod 30 Baguio 60 CDO 42 Cebu 58 Davao 309, down 1 Gen San 68 IloIlo 109, down 3 Tacloban 28 Zamboanga 20 Bohol 147, up 40 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday new cases increased by only 58 from a moderately high testing of 44k individuals. Just one lab late to submit. So 5,966 with 906 of them a backlog. Positivity up again at 11.5%.
Recoveries 7k. 130 recoveries were returned to Active. Deaths 86, 27 of them RDs. Active cases at 52,708. ABS-CBN have produced a useful chart: https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...bebaf10bbf.jpg Latest figures looking flat... In primary hospitals: Severe cases 1,107, up 34 and Critical 738, down 13 NCR ICU 46%, national 57% A 6% increase from the day before. Location data again late. Wil update later. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news..._picks&order=2 The OCTA group trying not to look too gloomy about the situation but with testing seemingly capped at around 50k they must know the DOH cannot find all the extra cases quickly enough that the positivity rates suggest are out there. They are also following the DOH in downplaying other areas of concern nearer to the old NCR epicentre and in N Luzon. Flat lining at a moderately high level has often been the base for another wave of infection in other countries. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Location data for July 4:
Tests coming along 44k again. Regional data: 4A 823 W Visayas 792 NCR 785 Davao 551 C Luzon 449 E Visayas 377 N Mindanao 308 3 regions in the 200s Even with 110 less cases 4A came top with 13.8% of all cases. W Visayas added 154 to gain second place. NCR added nearly 100 to come third. E Visayas gained 100 and N Mindanao 90 over the day before. Top 6 regions at 63.3%, down 1%. In the NCR 9 cities each added a moderate number of cases but Malabon added 38 more. QC 171, Manila 100, Makati 57, Taguig 57, Caloocan 55, Las Pinas 48, Malabon 48 In the provinces Bulacan added 61 more, Batangas 50 more, Pampanga 35 more. Bataan 34 Batangas 176 Bulacan 158 Cavite 210, 77 less La Union 85 Laguna 264, 77 less Pampanga 110 Pangasinan 100 Quezon 69 Rizal 81 Selected cities: Bacolod 173, up 143 Baguio 58 CDO 90, up 48 Cebu 87, up 29 Davao 222, down 87 GenSan 62 IloIlo 113, up 4 Tacloban 44, up 16 Zamboanga 28, up 8 Bohol 72, down 75 |
Re: NCR llockdown
Getting on for 600 less new cases yesterday at 5,392. Ten labs were late in submitting and the DOH estimate a likely extra 40 cases from them. A backlog of 586 results included. Positivity 11.3% out of 47.6k tests. Only 31.2k expected next due to the weekend effect.
Recoveries 6.2k 43 deaths with 20 of them RDs. Severe 1,084, down 23 and Critical 774, up 36. NCR ICU 42%, up 4% nationally 56%, down 1% Regional data 4A 838 NCR 630 Davao 505 W Visayas 474 Ilocos 473 C Luzon 450 C Visayas 330 3 regions in the 200s 4A top again with 15.5% of all cases. Notable increases in Ilocos, up 194, the CAR up 110 to 195 and Cagayan, up 54 to 204. Nine regions were down. Top 6: 62.5%, down In the NCR 12 cities had less cases. Ten had between 20 and 40 cases. Valenzuala added 15, Navotas 13 and Muntinlupa 8. QC 123, Manila 86, Taguig 48, Muntinlupa 43 In the provinces Bataan added 82, La Union 62, Laguna 51, Pampanga 21 cases. Bataan 116 Batangas 151 Bulacan 87 Cavite 241 La Union 147 Laguna 315 Pampanga 73 Pangasinan 121 Quezon 33 Rizal 88 Selected cities: Bacolod 35, down Baguio 82, up 24 CDO 73, down Cebu 71, down Davao 287, up 65 GenSan 70, up IloIlo 96, down Tacloban 32, down Zamboanga 27 Bohol 31, down Latest news on variants here: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/05/...-variant-in-ph |
Re: NCR llockdown
The lowest total for 2 weeks yesterday, although it was from the weekend testing of 31.5k individuals. 4,114 positives with 9 labs not reporting. Backlog of 803 included. Positivity lower at 10.5%. Tests on the way at 31.9k.
Recoveries 6.1k Deaths 104 with 63 RDs. Active cases 49,613, down by nearly 2k Severe 1,092, up 8 and Critical 744, down 30 NCR ICU 44%, up 2% and nationally 57%, up 1% Regional data: 4A 582 W Visayas 510 NCR 417 Davao 410 C Luzon 378 C Visayas 317 3 regions in the 200s Top 6 regions: 63.5% of all cases, up 1%. All had lower totals except W Visayas, up 36, SOCCSKSARGEN, up 34 to 295 and N Mindanao, up 32 to 247. Region 4A again top and had 14.1% of all cases. In the NCR all cities except Caloocan and Makati had less cases. They only had 6 and 1 more respectively. QC 109, Manila 59, Makati 37, Caloocan 36 In the provinces around the NCR all except Pampanga, Rizal and Quezon had less cases. Bataan 27 Batangas 114 Bulacan 86 Cavite 157 La Union 65 Laguna 142 Pampanga 74, up 1 Pangasinan 72 Quezon 48, up 15 Rizal 104, up 16 Selected cities Bacolod 69, up 34 Baguio 84, up CDO 45, down Cebu 73, up Davao 143, down GenSan 103, up 33 IloIlo 43, down Bohol 111, up 80 A ticking off for the DOH from the WHO representative. The public can certainly get the wrong impression from the DOH "low risk" statement the more so since the DOH do not announce locational statistics on a daily basis and make it difficult to get them. https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/06/...k-for-covid-19 |
Re: NCR llockdown
When the Delta variant gets into the Philippines, and it will, there is going to be a tsunami of cases, the UK is predicting 100k+ case a day in the next couple of weeks mainly amongst the unvaccinated and that only at about 25% of the population. The mind boggles at what it could do with 85-90% unvaccinated.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 13026727)
When the Delta variant gets into the Philippines, and it will, there is going to be a tsunami of cases, the UK is predicting 100k+ case a day in the next couple of weeks mainly amongst the unvaccinated and that only at about 25% of the population. The mind boggles at what it could do with 85-90% unvaccinated.
https://www.philstar.com/nation/2021...ficient-supply So way short of protecting the NCR population from the fast spreading delta or other similar variants if they get a hold, especially in cities with a lower percentage vaccinated. Seniors have been prioritized and in the NCR that involves about 0.4M by now fully vaccinated, so the potential for spread is that much greater through the younger population. The rest of the country's regions are way behind the NCR, 4A and Central Luzon with vaccinations and will be more vulnerable. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's total 175 more than the day before at 4,284, four labs late to submit. Backlog of 282 included. Positivity back up at 11.3% from 35.5k tests. A higher 49.2K tests coming along.
Recoveries 6.4k Deaths 164 with 123 RDs. Case fatality rate up to 1.76% Active cases 47,519 ,down over 2k Severe 1,093, up 1 and Critical 760, up 16 NCR ICU 45%, up 1%. Nationally 57%, unchanged Regional data: 4A 716 W Visayas 570 Davao 510 NCR 472 SOCCSK 322 C Luzon 284 Ilocos 245 C Visayas 209 Region 4A top with 134 more and at 16.7% of all cases. W Visayas 60 more. Davao had 100 more. Bicol added about 100 more at 154. Zamboanga Pen 82 to 145. Cagayan 79 to 136. Top 6: 67.0%, up 6.5% The NCR cities added 55 cases. Six cities went significantly up, 3 were down. Manila added 21 more , Paranaque 19 and Mandaluyong 18. QC 111, Manila 80, Paranaque 46, Las Pinas 30 In the provinces Cavite added 84 more, Laguna 57. Bataan 64 . Bataan 91, up Batangas 90, down Bulacan 62, up Cavite 241, up La Union 15, down Pampanga 47, down Pangasinan 62, down Quezon 61, up Rizal 90, down Selected cities: Bacolod 12, up 53 Baguio 5, down CDO 41 Cebu 41, down Davao 244, up 100 GenSan 61, down IloIlo 136, up 96 Bohol 62, down Variants: https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...story/?just_in Duque says variants "may explain" recent surges in Bohol and Negros Oriental. But we know the Philippines has very limited ability to genome test so these findings he presented to the President won't be giving the true picture. https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d0b4ec52e9.jpg Geometric case growth projected in the UK over the next few weeks.. Although not so relevant to the Philippines Dr John explaining (with some incredulity) a change in UK strategy in the face of the delta variant and the calculated risks (or gamble) it is taking. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The result of nearly 50k tests was about 1,200 more positive cases announced yesterday. Positivity sticking at 11.3%. Backlog of only 158 included. A small drop to 48.3k tests in preparation.
Recoveries 3.9k Deaths at 191 (the highest since June 11) with 152 of them the infamous (to a select few only!) RDs. Interesting to look at the latest DOH deaths chart and one from 10 days ago beneath it: https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e7c1ab6396.jpg https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b16ed5eed6.jpg In 10 days discernable increases shown by the bars over the last few weeks as these RDs are allocated to their date of occurrence. Although still a falling trend. Active cases up to 49k with Severe 1,079, down 14 and Critical 736, down 24. In major hospitals only. These numbers not affected much by the RDs, who are mostly not dying there. NCR ICU at 43%, down 2% (nationally 57%) Regional data: NCR 748 W Visayas 701 4A 646 C Luzon 481 C Visayas 352 Davao 334 Cagayan 331 N Mindanao 328 Ilocos 302 The NCR returning to first position with about 300 more cases after some time lower in the table. It had 14.2% of all cases.I wonder if staff in the NCR LGUs, released from vaccination duties due to the lack of supply, have been reallocated to testing? W Visayas was second with about 130 more. C Luzon had about 200 more cases. C Visayas and N Mindanao both had about 150 more cases. E Visayas had more than 100 more cases. The top 6 regions had 60% of cases, down 7% on the day before. In the NCR Las Pinas stood out heading QC's total with 80 more cases than the day before. Makati had 58 more, Pasig 55 more and Taguig 42 more cases. In all 6 cities reported significantly more cases. Las Pinas 110, QC 100, Manila 86, Makati 84, Taguig 62, Caloocan 50 Provincially around the NCR Batangas added 63 cases to the day before's total. The other provinces with moderate increases in cases were Bulacan, La Union, Laguna and Pampanga. Bataan 93 Batangas 153 Bulacan 156 Cavite 119 La Union 59 Laguna 260 Pampanga 105 Pangasinan 67 Quezon 19 Rizal 90 Selected cities: Bacolod 21, down Baguio 47, up CDO 104, up 63 Cebu 84, up Davao 185, down GenSan 68, up IloIlo 125, down Bohol 73, up Long covid: Not something they are worried about here much with all that's going on in their battle against covid, but maybe they should be given the third paragraph on this screenshot of a recent video from Dr John: https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...9f7788b0d0.jpg |
Re: NCR llockdown
As there's no social care to speak of here why would tbey worry about long covid, not their problem.
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Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Gazza-d
(Post 13027463)
As there's no social care to speak of here why would tbey worry about long covid, not their problem.
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Re: NCR llockdown
New cases for July 9 were up 400 or so, 5 labs late to submit. Small backlog included of 381. Positivity still high at 11.0%
Recoveries down at 3.0k. Tests coming along slightly down on yesterday's 50.6k at 49.7k. Deaths lower at 70, 34 RDs. Severe patients 1,142, up 63 and Critical 779, up 42 NCR ICU 41%, down 2% (nationally 57% unchanged) 28 recoveries became active. Active cases up to 51,902 Regional data: NCR 776 4A 704 W Visayas 696 C Luzon 588 Davao 572 Ilocos 479 C Visayas 419 NCR was again top with 13.2% of all cases. 4A added 58 to come second. C Luzon added about 100 to come fourth. Davao with more than 200 more to come fifth. Ilocos had nearly 200 more to make sixth place. No region in the 300s. 3 in the 200s. Top 6: 64.9% of all cases, up 5% In the NCR 7 cities were up and 5 down. Small changes generally, though QC added 81. But the numbers do not indicate the virus is under control there. QC 181, Pasig 75, Manila 70, Taguig 66, Makati 61, Muntinlupa 48 For the provinces Cavite added 70 more. La Union about 100. Bataan 64 Batangas 68 Bulacan 100 Cavite 189 La Union 163 Laguna 269 Pampanga 141 Pangasinan 90 Quezon 41 Rizal 94 Selected cities: Bacolod 101, up 80 Baguio 66, up CDO 99 Cebu 74 Davao 261, up 76 GenSan 65 IloIlo 130 Bohol 138, up 65 Quarantine news: Kids out in Manila Kids 5 and over allowed out (except in Malls) in all GCQ and MGCQ areas, except in Cavite and Laguna, which are subject to heightened restrictions. And maybe elsewhere depending on the Mayor. Those of you who regularly look at Dr John's videos will know he would be appalled at the effect this restriction has had on their vitamin D levels. Population statistics: The PSA is asking us to believe these Census numbers, collected last year though the pandemic, 2015 Census in brackets. The QC result is particularly unbelievable as it is home to many unregistered people, who were most affected by the pandemic. People left the NCR in droves for the provinces. Were they even counted there? QC 2.96M (2.94M) City of Manila 1.85M (1.78M) Caloocan 1.7M (1.58M) |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday's total was about 200 less, 3 labs late to submit. Backlog only 98. Again 11% were positive out of 50.7k individuals, a number of tests nearly equal to the day before's.. On the way 45.2k tests.
Recoveries 7.6k Deaths 96, 42 RDs. Active cases were down nearly 2k to 49,968 Severe 1,199, up 57 and Critical 750, down 29. NCR ICU 40%, down 1% Nationally 55%, down 2%. Regional data: W Visayas 951 NCR 724 4A 698 Davao 576 C Visayas 511 Ilocos 426 C Luzon 401 No 300s 2 200s A different looking table yesterday. W Visayas was top with over 250 more cases and 16.8% of the national total. Not many other major changes upwards except for SOCCSKSARGEN adding 123 more and C Visayas 92 more. Major downward changes; C Luzon fell by 187, N Mindanao by 160 and Bicol by 119. Top 6 regions: 68.5% of all cases, up 3,6% Few significant upward changes in the provincial numbers. Except that Pangasinan added 47 more. Pampanga fell by 47 and Cavite by 37. Bataan 68 Batangas 100 Bulacan 95 Cavite 142 La Union 114 Laguna 259 Pampanga 94 Pangasinan 137 Quezon 68 Rizal 117 Selected cities: Bacolod 162, up 61 Baguio 44, down 22 CDO 55, down 44 Cebu 92, up 18 Davao 306, up 45 GenSan 42, down 23 IloIlo 136 Bohol 161, up 23 Pushback from the OCTA group against the DOH's "low risk" statement: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/23/...s-enforced-doh Their assessment: Low to Moderate risk with some high risk areas. Correction: the national positivity rate is not below 5%. It is above 10%. Latest OCTA look at high risk cities. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ad56fe4fcb.jpg Calamba is in Laguna, on the SLEX. Butuan is in the Caraga Region. Tagum City is in Davao del Norte province. https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b6709180d4.jpg Tagum City not available separately. This is for Davao del Norte province. Latest Philippines international standing: (total cases new cases, then total deaths) https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ddd21c031b.jpg Ordered by new cases giving a higher position. https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...23d69f98ff.jpg Note: Myanmar figure likely much higher. |
Re: NCR llockdown
About 250 more cases yesterday from about 3.7k less tests. So positivity up a little to 11.4%. Again 3 labs late in submitting. A 550 backlog of results was included. Tests in preparation down a little at 45.2k.
Recoveries 6.1k. Deaths105 and 53 of them RDs. A small drop in Active Cases to 49,701. Severe 1,193, down 4 and Critical 746, down 4 NCR ICU 40%, unchanged. Nationally 56%, up 1%. Location data not yet put up. Will update later. Central Visayas: Some details from the local DOH on the rise in infections there. https://www.rappler.com/nation/centr...third-wave-doh https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...ca14580231.jpg Central Visayas UK lifting of restrictions: Although it is plain the UK government is going ahead with a general lifting of restrictions in a week's time a large number of scientists and health specialists are vey unhappy at the de facto herd immunity policy implied. a policy change at the same time as the Indian variant is behind a rapid increase in cases. An interesting conference was held by them (You tube link below). The Philippines is aiming for a weak herd immunity in one area of the country by November by vaccination but that is slow and uncertain. So with a steady official daily tally of cases in the region of 4 -5,000, testing too low to find the many more in parts of the country with positivity over 20%, this country is also effectively going towards a weak herd immunity another way by not being able to vaccinate quickly enough. In the UK one of the main objections to the change in policy is the strain on the NHS from a soon expected 100,000 new infections a day, here there are much lower numbers and much less health service to strain. But allowing the virus to spread here will cause more problems for what there is and for the affected people, especially in poorer areas. Not a disaster unless the Indian variant or similar takes hold over the next 6 months, but it means a likely continuation of the currently poor situation well into next year. |
Re: NCR llockdown
Regional data yesterday (300 and over):
4A 777 W Visayas 707 NCR 623 C Luzon 615 C Visayas 603 Davao 510 Ilocos 350 No 400s, 4 200s 4A top with 13.1% of all cases. C Luzon up 214 C Visayas up 92, Davao 66 Cagayan and Bicol both up 134 Top 6: 64.8%, down 3.7% For NCR cities: No big changes. QC 112, Manila 74, Pasig 71, Makati 73, Taguig 51, Las Pinas 46 Provincially: Bataan up 216 Cavite up 133 Bataan 284 Batangas 120 Bulacan 83 Cavite 275 La Union 110 Laguna 219 Pampanga 106 Pangasinan 102 Quezon 37 Rizal 107 Selected cities: Bacolod 79, down Baguio 79, up CDO 62, up Cebu 114, up 22 Davao 216, down GenSan 60, up IloIlo 98, down Bohol 190, up 29 |
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