|
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Philosophical 11
(Post 13022336)
Thanks for your daily updates Raffin which are always interesting.... but depressing as far as the Philippines is concerned.
I have read that 50% do that want the vaccine and 50% have not returned for the second dose. I also read that Sino Vac has an efficacy of only 67% . If that Is true....then the outlook looks gloomy. And we have the spectre of the Delta variant knocking on the door. Regards |
Re: NCR llockdown
About 800 less national cases at 6,096 were announced yesterday with 3 labs late in submitting. Positivity a tad up at 12.0% from 47.9k tested individuals. A low backlog of 345 included.
Recoveries 6.9k Deaths 128 with 69 of them RDs. Active cases down about 900 to 52,570 Severe in hospital down 18 to 1,051, Critical up 41 to 736. NCR ICU up 1% to 45%, nationally down 1% to 57% Location data: Not available yet. Will update later. A look at the death figures after another high total was announced yesterday: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d11e12bdf7.jpg Nationally deaths falling...and quicker than in 2020. Which they should be as treatments have improved, https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...fd6629fb38.jpg Regionally the Western Visayas region with the worst outcome here. These charts are slower to update but more accurate. The DOH need to revise the regions to reflect recent changes in the geographical spread of the virus nationally. Davao has the best health care in Mindanao so we need to look at other regions there: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...a0b4c9b422.jpg CARAGA deaths increasing rapidly... https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...65564906f8.jpg N Mindanao's also.. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...78b397b6f1.jpg Zanboanga's too....but dropping lately https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0937980456.jpg SOCCSKSARGEN https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2fc13b2863.jpg BARMM's increased rapidly but lately doing better. E Visayas has also had a recent increase in cases: https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b48a2aec0a.jpg E Visayas deaths increased rapidly....maintaining a constant level recently https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5178f7aad0.jpg Deaths noticeably greater in middle aged and senior males than women. Latest vaccination progress: Philippines 2 doses 2.25M. 3.9% of target achieved in over 3.5 months. Total: 9.6M Indonesia 2 doses 13M. 4.8%.. Total 39M Malaysia 2doses. 2M 6.2%. Total 7M |
Re: NCR llockdown
Regional cases yesterday:
4A 886 NCR 770 W Visayas 623 Davao 551 C Luzon 551 E Visayas 405 C Visayas 349 Ilocos 341 Region 4A with 14.5% of all cases. The majority of regions with less cases except the CAR, which tripled cases to 96, CARAGA, Ilocos and 4A all added between 40 and 60 cases over the day before. Top 6: 60.5%, down 4% In the NCR 6 cities were up and 5 were down by moderate numbers. Top 6: QC 143, Makati 98, Manila 95, Caloocan 83, Paranaque 51 and Las Pinas 50 Reported cases from all NCR bubble provinces fell to give: Laguna 293, Cavite 158, Rizal 112 and Bulacan 106 The NCR bubble had 23.6% of all cases, down 1%. The Calabarzon question: no problem yesterday. The provinces plus Lucena City added up to the regional number! Also: Bataan 87, down . Batangas 159, up. Pampanga and Pangasinan were both up by a few cases. La Union 78 Quezon 117, up by nearly 100. Selected cities: Bacolod 43, down Baguio 53, up CDO 71, unchanged Cebu 56, down, but still higher than a few weeks ago Davao 301, down but only by 45 Gen San 26, down IloIlo 96, down by 14 Tacloban 45, down Zamboanga 45, up 16 |
Re: NCR llockdown
There were about 500 less cases reported yesterday. But 6 labs did not report. The DOH say that these labs have been reporting 2.5% of the cases recently. So on that basis there could have been about 100 more cases announced.. Reasonably up to date as the backlog included was 258. Positivity up slightly at 12.5% from 42.8k tests. A much lower 29.6k being prepared.
Recoveries 6.9k Deaths 84 with 38 RDs. 57 recoveries became active. Active cases at 52,209. Severe 1,096, up 45 and Critical 731, down 5 NCR ICU 43%, down 2% (nationally 56%, down 1%). Regional data: (300 and over) 4A 757 W Visayas 674 NCR 657 Davao 547 C Luzon 423 E Visayas 365 C Visayas 333 SOCCSK 333 4A top again with 13.5% of all cases. All but three regions had falls in reported cases. Though Davao fell by only 4 cases. The exceptions were MIMAROPA, up 91, SOCCSKSARGEN up 89 and W Visayas, up 51. The top 6 regions at 61% of all cases, up 0.5%. The same story in NCR cities with all but 3 either about the same or with less cases. The exceptions were Taguig, up 31, Muntinlupa, up 21 and Pasig, up 19. Top 6: QC 111, Manila 90, Pasig 67, Muntinlupa 57, Makati 54 and Taguig 53. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...da1ec63b08.jpg The Muntinlupa fall maybe reversing? Provinces: Cavite reported 51 more cases. All of the other 3 NCR bubble provinces had less cases. Laguna 307, Cavite 209, Rizal 119 and Bulacan 68 Elsewhere, provinces around the NCR all had less cases: Bataan 46 Pampanga 89 Pangasinan 15 La Union 65 Batangas 110 Quezon 9 only (testing here falls greatly at weekends). The statistical discrepancies with region 4A's numbers seem to have been simply a matter of error on at least two days as yesterday all the provinces plus Lucena City added up to the regional total. Selected cities: Bacolod 108, up 65 Baguio 33, down CDO 75, up Cebu 56, unchanged Davao 300, down only 1 GenSan 91, up 65 IloIlo 46, down 50 Tacloban 46, up Zamboanga 30, down Quarantine levels up to mid July: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/29/...-2021-mecq-gcq Getting more complicated. I would like to see a survey done on it but I think many people must now be confused about what they can and cannot do in their area. Especially as on top of these restrictions are those imposed by the local mayor. For example where we live alcohol sales are banned but a few kms down the road you can buy. The NCR bubble area has been divided up into GCQ with some and GCQ with "heightened" restrictions. Seems reasonable except for the fact that a few cities of the NCR are not sharing in the general fall in cases. OCTA estimate the R number for the NCR has increased slightly from 0.71 to 0.8. It also looks unfair to Cavite. Perhaps they did not want to separate out only Laguna for "heightened" restrictions? The latest DPH cases charts for the NCR bubble areas: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d12d57326d.jpg NCR https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b20448e0a2.jpg Bulacan https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b8c62a9f66.jpg Rizal https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...93d6f3522f.jpg Laguna https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f0f145453f.jpg Cavite |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 13023157)
There were about 500 less cases reported yesterday. But 6 labs did not report. The DOH say that these labs have been reporting 2.5% of the cases recently. So on that basis there could have been about 100 more cases announced.. Reasonably up to date as the backlog included was 258. Positivity up slightly at 12.5% from 42.8k tests. A much lower 29.6k being prepared.
Recoveries 6.9k Deaths 84 with 38 RDs. 57 recoveries became active. Active cases at 52,209. Severe 1,096, up 45 and Critical 731, down 5 NCR ICU 43%, down 2% (nationally 56%, down 1%). Regional data: (300 and over) 4A 757 W Visayas 674 NCR 657 Davao 547 C Luzon 423 E Visayas 365 C Visayas 333 SOCCSK 333 4A top again with 13.5% of all cases. All but three regions had falls in reported cases. Though Davao fell by only 4 cases. The exceptions were MIMAROPA, up 91, SOCCSKSARGEN up 89 and W Visayas, up 51. The top 6 regions at 61% of all cases, up 0.5%. The same story in NCR cities with all but 3 either about the same or with less cases. The exceptions were Taguig, up 31, Muntinlupa, up 21 and Pasig, up 19. Top 6: QC 111, Manila 90, Pasig 67, Muntinlupa 57, Makati 54 and Taguig 53. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...da1ec63b08.jpg The Muntinlupa fall maybe reversing? Provinces: Cavite reported 51 more cases. All of the other 3 NCR bubble provinces had less cases. Laguna 307, Cavite 209, Rizal 119 and Bulacan 68 Elsewhere, provinces around the NCR all had less cases: Bataan 46 Pampanga 89 Pangasinan 15 La Union 65 Batangas 110 Quezon 9 only (testing here falls greatly at weekends). The statistical discrepancies with region 4A's numbers seem to have been simply a matter of error on at least two days as yesterday all the provinces plus Lucena City added up to the regional total. Selected cities: Bacolod 108, up 65 Baguio 33, down CDO 75, up Cebu 56, unchanged Davao 300, down only 1 GenSan 91, up 65 IloIlo 46, down 50 Tacloban 46, up Zamboanga 30, down Quarantine levels up to mid July: https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/06/29/...-2021-mecq-gcq Getting more complicated. I would like to see a survey done on it but I think many people must now be confused about what they can and cannot do in their area. Especially as on top of these restrictions are those imposed by the local mayor. For example where we live alcohol sales are banned but a few kms down the road you can buy. The NCR bubble area has been divided up into GCQ with some and GCQ with "heightened" restrictions. Seems reasonable except for the fact that a few cities of the NCR are not sharing in the general fall in cases. OCTA estimate the R number for the NCR has increased slightly from 0.71 to 0.8. It also looks unfair to Cavite. Perhaps they did not want to separate out only Laguna for "heightened" restrictions? The latest DPH cases charts for the NCR bubble areas: https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...d12d57326d.jpg NCR https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b20448e0a2.jpg Bulacan https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b8c62a9f66.jpg Rizal https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...93d6f3522f.jpg Laguna https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...f0f145453f.jpg Cavite Agree with you Raffin about it getting more complicated. The Philippines is an archipelago with over 7000 Islands and so therefore a potential for each island to have their own protocol. Take Negros for example. That is split into Occidental and Oriental. Yet within those provinces different protocols apply depending on which city you wish to visit. This makes travel a nightmare with different protocols. And those protocols are constantly changing. Shambles. Regards |
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Philosophical 11
(Post 13023184)
Agree with you Raffin about it getting more complicated. The Philippines is an archipelago with over 7000 Islands and so therefore a potential for each island to have their own protocol. Take Negros for example. That is split into Occidental and Oriental. Yet within those provinces different protocols apply depending on which city you wish to visit. This makes travel a nightmare with different protocols. And those protocols are constantly changing. Shambles.
Regards I see a distinct lack of nationalism here and it is reflected in a desire for more local autonomy. The President is or perhaps until recently was a major proponent of federalism. But I think the pandemic has knocked that on the head. It wasn't too popular anyway but they were hoping to force it through. Palawan recently voted 58 to 42% against splitting the island into 3 parts. Dividing up the smaller islands does not seem at all sensible But there's more examples in the Visayas and Mindoro. |
Re: NCR llockdown
New cases yesterday down by over 1k. Fourteen labs did not submit on time but reduced testing at the weekend the main cause. A dip in positivity to 10.7% from 32k tests. More at 34k on the way.
Recoveries 6.5k 28 recoveries went to Active. Deaths 101 with 75 RDs. Active cases 50,037 Severe 1,051, down 45 and Critical 751, up 20 NCR ICU at 43%, unchanged. Nationally 55%, down 1%. Regional data: (300 and over) Davao 723 4A 640 W Visayas 536 NCR 474 C Luzon 318 C Visayas 315 E Visayas 305 All except 3 regions reporting mostly many less cases. The main exception being Davao, which obviously went on a testing blitz...176 more than the day before to take first place with 16.1% of national cases. The CAR had 68 more. NCR down in 4th place. Top 6 regions at 67.1% of all cases, up 6%. https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...6d3f2af166.jpg Davao region In the NCR all except 3 regions were down substantially and the exceptions went up by only a few cases. Three reported single digits. Top 6: QC 113, Manila 65, Taguig 51, Las Pinas 38, Makati 36 , Paranaque and Pasig both 30 Since the decision to apply different restrictions in areas of the NCR bubble I won't continue calculating the bubble's national share. The focus around the NCR is now mainly on Cavite and Laguna and also on some other provinces to the north and south of the NCR. Cavite, 238, up, Laguna 107, down 200 Elsewhere: Bataan 38, down Bulacan 83, up La Union 78, up Pampanga 63, down Pangasinan 96, up 81 Rizal 101, down Batangas 92, down Quezon 73, up 64 Selected Cities: Bacolod 134, up 26 Baguio 45, up 12 CDO 46, down Cebu 58 Davao 377, up 77 GSan 72, down IloIlo 86, up 40 Tacloban 29, down Zamboanga 27, down Economic news: Philippine GDP Q1 down 4.2% (an improvement as Q4 2020 when it was down 8.3% !). Coupled with that inflation Q1 at 4.5%. Many people without work or with less work, facing higher prices and families only receiving small amounts of ayuda. Stop press: CNN reports the US CDC saying delta variant now 1 in 4 cases nationwide. |
Re: NCR llockdown
The delta variant has been the dominant variant in the UK now for a few weeks and is heading that way in Europe, give it a couple more weeks and it will be dominant in the USA. Keeping it out of the Philippines is just wishful thinking especially as it is becoming widespread in the region. I believe the spike in Indonesia is due to the delta variant so it will only be a matter of time before it arrives on a ferry or fishing boat, although I'm sure it will be blamed on foreigners bringing it in and not on a citizen bunking off from their quarantine. |
Re: NCR llockdown
...or movements of the Abu Sayaf etc....agree.Gazza...and it may already be spreading in Mindanao. You can't rely on the very limited genome testing to check that but it may be like what happened in Pasay a few months ago where rapid case growth was most likely caused by the UK variant but the authorities never confirmed it.
|
Re: NCR llockdown
Originally Posted by Raffin
(Post 13023615)
...or movements of the Abu Sayaf etc....agree.Gazza...and it may already be spreading in Mindanao. You can't rely on the very limited genome testing to check that but it may be like what happened in Pasay a few months ago where rapid case growth was most likely caused by the UK variant but the authorities never confirmed it.
|
Re: NCR llockdown
Yes, testing effort inadequate here in many areas given the positivity. The DOH not talking about regional positivity, but it must be high. Will look at some individual lab's positivity next. You can see it also in the large day to day variability. One day hundreds of positive cases for an area and the next day only two digits.
|
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday a few more cases with 4,509 new cases, 6 labs late to submit. Backlog low at 450. Positivity back up a little to 11.3% from 35.9k cases. Ten thousand more in preparation.
Recoveries 5.8k Deaths 105 with 49 RDs. Philippines 1.75% case fatality. Active cases 48,649 Severe 1,070, up 29 and Critical 730, down 21 Regional data 4A 616 NCR 578 C Visayas 526 W Visayas 486 Davao 461 C Luzon 267 4A's total fell by 24 but it still led with 13.7% of all cases. The NCR came second with about 100 more. Central Visayas put on over 200 more cases than the day before to come third. The Cagayan, Bicol and Zamboanga regions all added over 100 each. Top 6: 65.1% of all cases, down 2% Small changes up and down for the NCR cities with the exception of Makati, which reported 81 more than the day before: Top 6: QC 118, Makati 117, Manila 55, Las Pinas 35, Pasig 33 , Muntinlupa and Paranaque both 31 For the provinces around Manila Laguna added more than 100 and Cavite had more than 100 less than the day before Batangas added 33 more. Bataan 44 Bulacan 85 La Union 51 Pampanga 61 Pangasinan 38 Rizal 87 Cavite 122 Laguna 238 Batangas 125 Quezon 25 Selected cities: Bacolod 27, down 107 Baguio 83, up 38 CDO 43 Cebu 44, down Davao 309, down 68 GenSan 79, up IloIlo 145, up 59 Tacloban 21, down Zamboanga 28, down Bohol 95, down 32 Regional positivity: High levels with some trending upwards, others constant. One lab picked from each location. https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2edf7bc1ae.jpg Bacolod City https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b5d94af2a0.jpg CARAGA https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...807576743e.jpg Davao https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...2348fc4f24.jpg E Visayas https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5f2073ef6c.jpg Ilocos https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...248af89530.jpg Negros Oriental N Mindanao https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5ad25560c5.jpg Negros Occidental https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...0616442a94.jpg W Visayas https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...b89218be7a.jpg Zamboanga City https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...5f218cabff.jpg Zamboaga del Sur Bayanihan 2 funds: A lot of unspent money was quickly disbursed as the deadline neared, but not clear to where. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news...failure/story/ Indonesia: Definitely with the worst covid situation in SE Asia. Worse with vaccines, but better with testing the Philippines crucially also seems to have been better at managing population movement. Helpful to the government here for defending their poor record. https://news.abs-cbn.com/overseas/mu...e-in-indonesia |
Re: NCR llockdown
Yesterday more than 1,500 cases added over the day before, 5,795 with 5 labs late. Small backlog of 85 included. Positivity 11.9% from 48k tests. Coming along a higher 51.2k tests.
https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...527fe52f7e.jpg When national positivity was last just over 10% in 2020 testing was around 220k people a week. Now a little over 300k. So netter but now many LGUs are dealing with larger and more remote areas than the NCR and Cebu so they need to do more testing to find those places where infections are increasing. Recoveries 2.9k the lowest since June 4 27 recoveries went to Active Cases. Deaths 135 with 93 RDs. As said before lit looks likely these RDS are mostly delayed reporting from the more remote provinces away from Central Luzon. Severe 1,083, up 13 and Critical 774, up 44. NCR ICU 44%, up 2% (nationally 56%, up 1%) Regional data: W Visayas 865 NCR 662 Davao 634 4A 605 C Luzon 541 Ilocos 470 Then 6 regions in the 200s. W Visayas with nearly 400 more and 15% of all cases. Davao in third palace added over 170 more. Ilocos in 6th place had 331 more over the day before. E Visayas added 89 to 252. Bicol added 76 to have 239. Top 6 regions 65.2%, unchanged. In the NCR 5 cities had substantially more cases than the day before. QC added 39 more, Paranaque 36. QC 157, Makati 70, Paranaque 67, Manila 61, Caloocan 61, Taguig 45 In provinces around the NCR Laguna added 125 more over the day before. Cavite and Bulacan also added more. Bataan added 80 more. La Union 80 more. Bataan 131 Bulacan 123 La Union 132 Ilocos Sur 162 Pampanga 94 Pangasinan 71 Cavite 163 Laguna 363 Rizal 78 Batangas 89 Quezon 9 Selected cities: Bacolod 134, up 107 Baguio 48, up CDO 71, up 28 Cebu 69, up 25 Davao 313, up IloIlo 125, down Tacloban 21 Zamboanga 25 Bohol 22, down 73 https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/07/01/...vid19-doh-says Always a rosy scenario from this DOH doctor. Seems to be focusing on recent improvements in the NCR, contributor of most of the country's GDP, but less worried about the large populations elsewhere. And what does she mean "low risk from covid' ? Low risk of becoming like India? Yes, the infection is mainly concentrated in the Visayas and MIndanao regions, but others are not mentioned. Which from current DOH data are far from "low risk": Central Visayas Bicol CARAGA MIMAROPA Ilocos Testing should be higher as positivity figures show eg for the major testing lab in CARAGA: https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c048b8c717.jpg CDO Covid situation improving in most parts of the Philippines? |
Re: NCR llockdown
About 400 more cases yesterday, four labs not reporting in time. Backlog included 317 cases. Positivity down a little at 11.4% on 51.5k cases. In preparation 50.7k results.
Recoveries again low at 2.2k The lowest since April 17. Deaths 177 with 103 RDs. Active cases 55,482 Severe 1,110, up 27 and Critical 777, up 3 Note: Severe numbers up 4 days in a row. NCR ICU 40%, down 4% and nationally 55%, down 1% Regional data: W Visayas 841 4A 681 NCR 652 C Visayas 554 Davao 545 C Luzon 478 Ilocos 386 6 regions in the 200s W Visayas at 13.6% of national cases. C Visayas added 300 to the previous day's total. Zamboanga added over 100 more. Top 6 regions at 60.6%, down nearly 5%. In the NCR small changes only. Top 6: QC 138, Manila 87, Pasig 71, Taguig 61, Makati 52 and Paranaque 39 In the provinces around the NCR Pangasinan added 65 on the day before. Quezon 46. Batangas 27 more. Laguna reported over 150 less. Bataan 130 Batangas 116 Bulacan 117 Cavite 181 La Union 134 Laguna 208 Pampanga 78 Pangasinan 136 Quezon 55 Rizal 103 Selected cities Bacolod 248, up 114 Baguio 104, up 56 CDO 66 Cebu 83 Davao 310 IloIlo 112 Tacloban 49, up 28 Zamboanga 24 Bohol 107, up 115 https://www.rappler.com/nation/octa-...es-july-2-2021 OCTA group focusing on rises in provincial cities. Three of them here. City of San Fernando not listed by DOH so La Union province chart shown here. https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...e0f8eeba53.jpg Baguio City https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...3373f38b0e.jpg Cebu City https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...c02ce480de.jpg Davao City https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/british...8fe799ec5f.jpg La Union province https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/natio...lic/ar-AALGAnT Most people won't do that. Better to ask vaccinators to show syringe. But adding to their burden. Especially asking to take a picture. Again, trying for 100% here. Scamming must be a very small number of cases. Human error might be a few more. Working hours should be better monitored. Additionally, especially for those of you watching Dr John Campbell's videos, there is a risk of injecting in a blood vessel with the possibility of increased clotting. |
Re: NCR llockdown
About 300 new cases more than the day before for July 3. with 5 labs late to report. Out of the 5,908 cases 528 were backlog. Positivity lower at 10.6% from 50.8k tests.
Recoveries 7.7k Deaths 90, 46 of them were RDs. Official death tally is now in excess of 25,000. Case fatality rate 1.75% 19 recoveries became Active cases. Active cases 53,665, down. Severe 1.073, down 37 and Critical 751, down 26 ICU for NCR 40%, nationally 55%. Both unchanged. Location data not currently available. Will update later. Vaccination update John Hopkins). Philippines: 2.7M fully (2.5% of pop; 4.7% of target pop). 11.0 M total Indonesia 13.8M fully (5.1% of pop) 44.7M total Malaysia 2,5M fully (7.7% of pop) 8.6M total Thailand 2.9M fully (4.1% of pop) 10.2M total The Philippines continues to lag neighbours with significant covid infection. |
| All times are GMT -12. The time now is 1:20 am. |
Powered by vBulletin: ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.