Routine police traffic stop.
#17










Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 14,227











When you get back up off the floor from your chortling, you might like to consider the following three facts:
1. US national debt is $16,802,326,290, 501.20. Bigger than the US GDP of $14.9 trillion.
2. US annual deficit of $1.4 trillion, which is of course making the above disparity between income and expenditure grow, or the economy contract, whichever you prefer.
3. US share of world GDP is rapidly contracting. It has fallen 32% since 2001 alone. It was 31% in 2001, now it is 21%. In 1945 it was 50%. Note the way the figures decrease in size: 50%, 31%, 21%. Imagine what they will be in 2050.
None of these things bring me pleasure, but now you've stopped laughing and got up off the floor you can see that the situation is in negative trend and it's going to wipe the smiles off a lot more faces over the next 20 years as well.
1. US national debt is $16,802,326,290, 501.20. Bigger than the US GDP of $14.9 trillion.
2. US annual deficit of $1.4 trillion, which is of course making the above disparity between income and expenditure grow, or the economy contract, whichever you prefer.
3. US share of world GDP is rapidly contracting. It has fallen 32% since 2001 alone. It was 31% in 2001, now it is 21%. In 1945 it was 50%. Note the way the figures decrease in size: 50%, 31%, 21%. Imagine what they will be in 2050.
None of these things bring me pleasure, but now you've stopped laughing and got up off the floor you can see that the situation is in negative trend and it's going to wipe the smiles off a lot more faces over the next 20 years as well.
As for debt, the people that really need to worry about that are its creditors. They are the ones that will be ****ed if the US defaults or prints.
#20
Banned








Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 3,300











Other countries improving is not the same as the US worsening. There isn't some fixed amount of GDP to go around, so talking about percentages says nothing about standard of living in the US or anywhere else.
As for debt, the people that really need to worry about that are its creditors. They are the ones that will be ****ed if the US defaults or prints.
As for debt, the people that really need to worry about that are its creditors. They are the ones that will be ****ed if the US defaults or prints.
The US will not, ever, default, because all US debt is denominated in US dollars, which it can print whenever it likes. If it did default, its credit rating would go into the toilet and the global reserve currency would go from safe haven to massive risk overnight, and the entire global financial system would collapse.
#21
The US will not, ever, default, because all US debt is denominated in US dollars, which it can print whenever it likes. If it did default, its credit rating would go into the toilet and the global reserve currency would go from safe haven to massive risk overnight, and the entire global financial system would collapse.
#22










Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 14,227











I disagree. Share of global GDP, especially comparative to places like China, has economic and foreign policy implications. As for local economic figures, we have seen that the US debt is unrepayable, larger than its GDP, and getting worse every year. My view is that the US right now is roughly where Britain was in about 1950.
The US will not, ever, default, because all US debt is denominated in US dollars, which it can print whenever it likes. If it did default, its credit rating would go into the toilet and the global reserve currency would go from safe haven to massive risk overnight, and the entire global financial system would collapse.
The US will not, ever, default, because all US debt is denominated in US dollars, which it can print whenever it likes. If it did default, its credit rating would go into the toilet and the global reserve currency would go from safe haven to massive risk overnight, and the entire global financial system would collapse.
Its good that you understand that us debt is everyone's problem though. Especially and they've got the biggest military.
#23
Banned








Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 3,300











No, your initial claim was that the us and UK are in decline and you used the percentage share of global GDP to 'prove' this. This is just wrong. China becoming rich doesn't make the us poor and of course there are policy implications - but this doesn't make your original premise right.
Its good that you understand that us debt is everyone's problem though. Especially and they've got the biggest military.
Its good that you understand that us debt is everyone's problem though. Especially and they've got the biggest military.
Your argument, which in extremis is saying there is nothing wrong with the Chinese economy being 90% of global GDP and America being 10%, so long as America is rich, is wrong. The US's internal wealth is irrelevant if China is richer and more powerful, and of course economy is ultimately a zero sum game in a closed system with finite resources.
Finally, the US has the most powerful military at the moment, but it won't be able to keep this up for ever. Many projections show that the PLA will have superior forces within a generation or two, if current trends continue.
#24










Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 14,227











It's not a closed system anyway; we are orbiting a huge practically infinite energy supply for starters. And then there's all that stuff floating around in space, it's only a matter of technology advances to get at it. Have a bit of optimism man!
#26
Banned








Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 3,300











No, you said they are contracting economies. Which is false. You then gave the % share of GDP as proof. It's not. Don't extrapolate what I said beyond that - yes you are right that 90%/10% in chinas favour wouldn't be good for the US.
Are you a marxist because that's what he said.
It's not a closed system anyway; we are orbiting a huge practically infinite energy supply for starters. And then there's all that stuff floating around in space, it's only a matter of technology advances to get at it. Have a bit of optimism man!
Are you a marxist because that's what he said.
It's not a closed system anyway; we are orbiting a huge practically infinite energy supply for starters. And then there's all that stuff floating around in space, it's only a matter of technology advances to get at it. Have a bit of optimism man!

No, I am the opposite of a Marxist. I'm not going to relax on the subject of resources on the grounds we can mine Mars for them just yet, as no space mining has shown itself to be cost effective. For this reason, we are in a closed system with finite resources, and our economy is one that requires constant growth to stop itself imploding. All the states in the system will do whatever they have to do to secure resources for themselves. China's economy is growing, but in absolute and relative global terms, the US's is shrinking in terms of its size to China's. This will have an effect on military budgets and spheres of influence over the next 25 - 50 years, making this planet unrecognisable to what we see today.
#27
Yes, they are contracting economies, in terms of their share of global GDP, and this is what I was getting at, precisely. It is their relative weakness on the global stage that has changed the way the citizens perceive their own nations. I clearly referred to the US economy as having had its day, and this is patently the case in global terms. As for a comparative analysis with itself in absolute terms, it contracts and expands, like any other economy.
#28
Just Joined

Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 28











At least the police officers had the option of responding in kind. This wasn't an option for John Speed, Roger Brereton or Ian Broadhurst, all of whom were killed in a country where there is no constitutional right to bear arms.
#29
There have been more fatalities resulting from police chases than from policemen being shot.
#30
Just Joined

Joined: Aug 2012
Posts: 28











I'm sure that their families would be consoled by this.




Ha ha - yes, it's now $16,802,416,245,118.75, which means that in the 28 minutes since I posted that it has risen by $89,954,617.55.