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-   -   Climate change and the Alberta Floods (https://britishexpats.com/forum/maple-leaf-98/climate-change-alberta-floods-801204/)

rwin Jul 15th 2013 6:20 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10801388)
Ask away. I'm quite good at answering those questions.

I'm not saying we aren't a factor in it. What I'm saying is we're not the only factor. Climate change was a reality long before humans came along. There may not be anything we can do to stop it.

Shard Jul 15th 2013 6:31 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by rwin (Post 10801468)
I'm not saying we aren't a factor in it. What I'm saying is we're not the only factor. Climate change was a reality long before humans came along. There may not be anything we can do to stop it.

Climactic extremes well beyond those that humans might influence were a reality, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't safeguard against climactic shifts in our own era. If we end up turning Europe and North America into deserts within a century or two, that would not be a desirable outcome. Obviously as humans, we may well be able to adapt (through migration or technology) nevertheless inducing detrimental climate change is not something we should be complacent about.

Novocastrian Jul 15th 2013 6:56 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 10801485)
Climactic extremes well beyond those that humans might influence were a reality, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't safeguard against climactic shifts in our own era. If we end up turning Europe and North America into deserts within a century or two, that would not be a desirable outcome. Obviously as humans, we may well be able to adapt (through migration or technology) nevertheless inducing detrimental climate change is not something we should be complacent about.

I rather like the idea of climactic extremes.

Greenhill Jul 15th 2013 6:57 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 
Just the "idea"?


Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10801512)
I rather like the idea of climactic extremes.


Novocastrian Jul 15th 2013 8:02 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by rwin (Post 10801468)
I'm not saying we aren't a factor in it. What I'm saying is we're not the only factor. Climate change was a reality long before humans came along. There may not be anything we can do to stop it.

To answer your last point first. Of course there is.

Climate change is certainly something the planet has experienced independently of human activity. Over millennia and epochs, not over decades.

The last time the planet went through a warming phase even vaguely similar to the current one was during the Younger Dryas period about 11,000 years ago.

The current one is due to human activity in exploiting fossil fuels and is caused by us increasing the CO2 levels in the atmosphere from about 260 ppm in 1800 to over 400 ppm today.

The Younger Dryas on the other hand was a by product of melting ice fields and glaciers at a time when the North American outflow from the melting ice cap stopped flowing south through what has become the Mississippi and suddenly was able (as the ice retreated) to flow to the North Atlantic along what is now known as the St. Lawrence.

The influx of fresh water to the NA, decreased the salinity of the NA ocean waters and disrupted the Gulf Stream and in general the thermohaline circulation.

Ironically enough, this phenomenon resulted in the end of the Dryas period and returned the NH to ice age conditions for further 1000 years.

To underline the significance of all this, it is only in the period since 1000 years after the end of the Dryas event that humanity developed agriculture, which lead eventually to the establishment of permanent settlements, societies and the end of hunter gatherer culture.


But of course the utterly pointless Alberta Oil Sands are an economic imperative.

ExKiwilass Jul 15th 2013 8:39 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10801603)
But of course the utterly pointless Alberta Oil Sands are an economic imperative.

+ 1. :thumbdown:

Shard Jul 15th 2013 11:22 pm

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 
This on the Beeb last night.

The connection wasn't entirely spelt out, but if oil is as abundant as is suggested, the economics of Alberta oil may well wane...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23280894

Not that it bodes well for alternative energy.

Novocastrian Jul 16th 2013 12:11 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 10802624)
This on the Beeb last night.

The connection wasn't entirely spelt out, but if oil is as abundant as is suggested, the economics of Alberta oil may well wane...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23280894

Not that it bodes well for alternative energy.

...as posted by jimf 2 pages ago.

Shard Jul 16th 2013 12:41 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10802703)
...as posted by jimf 2 pages ago.

Oops. It's all that sun, reducing my screen time.

Steve_ Jul 16th 2013 5:39 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Souvy (Post 10801291)
Absolute cobblers. It matters little how big a resource is.

Do you have any idea how much it costs to bring a resource of anything into production?

Of course it matters, the more of it there is there, the more specialized the extraction process can get to generate a higher rate of return, that's basic economics.

Novocastrian Jul 16th 2013 7:25 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Steve_ (Post 10803346)
Of course it matters, the more of it there is there, the more specialized the extraction process can get to generate a higher rate of return, that's basic economics.

How good are you at basic survival?

Shard Jul 16th 2013 8:00 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Novocastrian (Post 10803534)
How good are you at basic survival?

It must be evident that my ancestors were fantastic at it.

Novocastrian Jul 16th 2013 8:09 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 10803587)
It must be evident that my ancestors were fantastic at it.

I don't think I was talking to you.

jimf Jul 16th 2013 9:31 am

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by Shard (Post 10802624)
This on the Beeb last night.

The connection wasn't entirely spelt out, but if oil is as abundant as is suggested, the economics of Alberta oil may well wane...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23280894

Not that it bodes well for alternative energy.

Who knows........... Oil will be used as a significant supply of energy whatever the source.

The reality is if carbon emissions are to be restored to pre-industrial levels then so does the world population and lifestyle. The idea that wind turbines are the answer does seem somewhat delusional. Exporting carbon emissions from the west to the east seems rather pointless also.

Is it true that the planet average annual temperature hasn't risen since 1998?

Novocastrian Jul 16th 2013 10:46 pm

Re: Climate change and the Alberta Floods
 

Originally Posted by jimf (Post 10803708)
Who knows........... Oil will be used as a significant supply of energy whatever the source.

The reality is if carbon emissions are to be restored to pre-industrial levels then so does the world population and lifestyle. The idea that wind turbines are the answer does seem somewhat delusional. Exporting carbon emissions from the west to the east seems rather pointless also.

Is it true that the planet average annual temperature hasn't risen since 1998?

No. 2010 was warmer, not that comparing single years means anything at all. You have to look at 20-30 year trends.

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/documents/4...3-124ac76680c5


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