View Poll Results: Is the NBN a good idea?
Yes, the faster the better
19
45.24%
No, don't need it
12
28.57%
Don't care, as long as I don't have to pay for it
11
26.19%
Voters: 42. You may not vote on this poll
Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
#16
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
Well, it depends. The market will serve everyone in the capital cities perfectly well whatever happens. But then otoh there are some things that the market won't do for private profit but may be desirable for other reasons. For example, if the idea is to decentralise Australia and take the pressure off urban growth in the capitals, then the government laying a fat pipe from the capital city to Roma or Normanton or Orange might make sense if it means e.g. businesses that depend on huge amounts of data flow can move their operations (call centres, whatever) there, which creates jobs, which encourages people to move there, which encourages businesses to move there...etc. The first business would never have been able to afford the $50m to build the connection but if the government did it, it could eventually make that back through increased income tax, stamp duty on land etc.
That's a hypothetical example of where the market wouldn't do something and where the government perhaps ought to. But you have to make a business case for it and not just say "Internetz is teh goodness, every1 gets megafast connections w00t!", which is what appears to have happened with NBN.
That's a hypothetical example of where the market wouldn't do something and where the government perhaps ought to. But you have to make a business case for it and not just say "Internetz is teh goodness, every1 gets megafast connections w00t!", which is what appears to have happened with NBN.
Mrs JTL
#17
In melbourne
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 263
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
Here are the technical reasons this will fail :
1) fibre optic cable has a maximum theoretical lifespan of 25 years when installed in conduit. Over time, the glass actually degrades (long story), and eventually it cant do it`s bouncing of light thing any more. But when you install fibre outside on overhead wiring (as will be done for much of Australia’s houses, except newer suburbs with underground wiring), then the fibre degrades much quicker due to wind, temperature variation and solar/cosmic radiation. The glass in this case will last no more than 15 years. So after 15 years, you will have to replace it. Whereas the copper network will last for many decades to come. Fibre is not the best technology for the last mile. That`s why no other country has done this.
1) fibre optic cable has a maximum theoretical lifespan of 25 years when installed in conduit. Over time, the glass actually degrades (long story), and eventually it cant do it`s bouncing of light thing any more. But when you install fibre outside on overhead wiring (as will be done for much of Australia’s houses, except newer suburbs with underground wiring), then the fibre degrades much quicker due to wind, temperature variation and solar/cosmic radiation. The glass in this case will last no more than 15 years. So after 15 years, you will have to replace it. Whereas the copper network will last for many decades to come. Fibre is not the best technology for the last mile. That`s why no other country has done this.
2) You can not give every house 100Mbps. If you give several million households 100Mbps bandwidth, then you have exceeded the entire bandwidth of the whole internet. In reality, there is a thing called contention. Today, every ADSL service with 20Mbps has a contention ratio of around 20:1 (or more for some carriers). That means, you share that 20Mbps with 20 other people. It`s a long story why, but there will NEVER be the case of people getting 100Mbps of actual bandwidth. Not for several decades at current carrier equipment rates of evolution. The “Core” can not and will not be able to handle that sort of bandwidth. The 100Mbps or 1Gbps is only the speed from your house to the exchange. From there to the Internet, you will get the same speeds you get now. The “Core” of Australia’s network is already fibre (many times over). And even so, we still have high contention ratios. Providing fibre to the home just means those contention ratios go up. You will not get better download speeds.
3) new DSL technologies will emerge. 15 years ago we had 56k dial-up. Then 12 years ago we got 256k ADSL, then 8 years ago 1.5Mbps ADSL2, then 5 years ago 20Mbps ADSL2+. There are already new DSL technologies being experimented on that will deliver over 50Mbps on the same copper we have now. $zero cost to the tax payer
If your really interested also google DOCSIS3.0 and look at the network architecture changes that this introduces to achieve high throughputs (reduction in coax sharing and increased penetration of fibre delivery).
4) 4G wireless is being standardised now. The current 3G wireless was developed for voice and not for data, and even so it can deliver up to 21Mbps in Australia. There are problems with it, but remember that it was developed for voice. The 4G standard is specifically being developed for data, and will deliver 100Mbps bandwidth with much higher reliability (yes, the same contention issues apply mentioned earlier). $zero cost to the tax payer
Different contention issues and somewhat worse for average throughput (shared spectrum), effected by Atmospheric issues and much higher contention issues (shared spectrum), unless you end up with a single transmitter for every user terminal. Then its really expensive and you'll end up with fibre to your home to deliver the connection to the 4G transmitter sitting in your living room.
Wireless is not better than wired, you trade off throughput and reliability for flexability. If the government could have done it with 4G do you think they wouldn't have.
5) The “NBN” will be one of the largest single networks ever built on earth. There are only a few companies who could do it - Japan’s Nippon NTT, BT, AT&T;, Deutsche Telekom etc. Even Telstra would struggle to built something on this scale. Yet we are led to believe that the same people who cant build school halls or install insulation without being ripped off are going to to do it ???
Now the issue and economics of value for money and uses are a very different discussion and you'll see different projections on that.
The main arguments aren't about if fibre (it is globally recognized that it is) is better or not, its about economics, realized benefit and how and when we get there.
#18
And YOU'RE paying for it!
Joined: May 2007
Location: kipper tie?
Posts: 2,328
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
Yes, exactly. And saying that doesn't also mean that the Cth ought to build just as fast a connection to every town in the middle of nowhere.
#19
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
Do we need gigabyte download speeds?
I'm happy enough at the moment that I can download a 1 hour programme in 10 minutes. I can start watching it live in about 30 seconds as it downloads in the background.
Broadband is always going to improve anyway. Slowly, thats fine, what is it with the 'great leap forward' stuff? 5 years from now I'm sure, left to market forces, broadband will be 2 or 3 times faster than it is now.
Alot of the comments I've been reading about this NBN have been from typical farmers out in woop woop land complaining they need superfast broadband. But hang on, didn't they choose to live in the sticks, and now they wants us all to pay $15,000 so they can have as good broadband as city dwellers? Next they'll be wanting foxtel to lay 200Km of cable to their farm as well.
I'm all for good broadband and internet for everyone, but it has to be within reason. If they chose to live 200Km from civilization, they can't expect us all to pay $15,000 so he can watch movies on his laptop.
I'm all for good broadband and internet for everyone, but it has to be within reason. If they chose to live 200Km from civilization, they can't expect us all to pay $15,000 so he can watch movies on his laptop.
Did you make this much fuss when Telstra was rolling out ADSL2+? Did you ask why we couldn't all just stay on dialup?
What do you think of the NBN?
#20
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 4,555
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
To me this is needed. It comes down to value for money and private cannot finance this economically. The NBN will add to Australia's competitive advantage. The question is whether it will add to it as much as it costs the taxpayer. No one knows and no one knows the true cost of build.
This is not just about farmers is woop woop but about business and consumers in suburban cities whose only mistake was to move too far from a Telstra exchange. DSL takes copper to its limit. No one has come close to the limit of fibre.
Fibre also gives an amazing quality of comms that allows remote medical operations, real time trading and a myriad of other non consumer applications that DSL and wireless cannot deliver. I know from working over comms from areas like the Pilbarra, remote QLD and less harsh places such as Port Stephens and other tourist destinations. It maybe quaint for a foreign tourist to be charges $30 for an awful link but for local business it makes life difficult.
HD Porn instantly at home is just a bonus.
This is not just about farmers is woop woop but about business and consumers in suburban cities whose only mistake was to move too far from a Telstra exchange. DSL takes copper to its limit. No one has come close to the limit of fibre.
Fibre also gives an amazing quality of comms that allows remote medical operations, real time trading and a myriad of other non consumer applications that DSL and wireless cannot deliver. I know from working over comms from areas like the Pilbarra, remote QLD and less harsh places such as Port Stephens and other tourist destinations. It maybe quaint for a foreign tourist to be charges $30 for an awful link but for local business it makes life difficult.
HD Porn instantly at home is just a bonus.
#21
221b Baker Street
Joined: Jun 2010
Location: Miles from anywhere, Victoria, Australia.
Posts: 14,125
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
I'm fairly close to woop woop. I have ADSL+2 now. It works just fine. Others more remote around here can get satelite with govt rebates. Whilst it has taken a bit of a while to get here, it's here now. Not sure I need it to be any faster. And as PaulandNic point(s) out, there is the contention issue.
#22
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
If Telstra wanted to expand it's range for DSL it could do so easily with a simple repeater. Telstra know this but have no interest in installing this as they are able to sell a more expensive wireless rort or you go without. Because they make millions from an inferior wireless service they have no incentive to provide anything better at a lower cost. Fibre may be a nice idea but there are cheaper and quicker ways of getting broadband to the areas currently without. Good communications is a necessity and since Telstra are deliberatly making it difficult the government should take away their monopoly on copper. Don't ask me how.
#23
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
The Internet and its uses are still in it's infancy. There are applications coming that we wouldnt have imagined and when they do arrive will probably change our lives.
I would imagine that the first major change will be access to every overseas TV network, which is probably not the best use for this technology. Medicine could be a major benefit of this technology.... who knows top surgeons overseas could possibly use it to operate on people here via robotic devices etc.
15 years time, I belive people will see this rollout as very necessary. There is no way that copper will cope with the bandwidth demands that are coming.
Personally I'd rather see the money go towards a decent Eastern seaboard water grid, or even a nationwide train network.... however I suspect that 43 billion would only cover a very small percentage of both of those.
I've read some reports that copper degrades faster than optic fibre as well, so I'm wondering about the contradiction in these conduits.
I would imagine that the first major change will be access to every overseas TV network, which is probably not the best use for this technology. Medicine could be a major benefit of this technology.... who knows top surgeons overseas could possibly use it to operate on people here via robotic devices etc.
15 years time, I belive people will see this rollout as very necessary. There is no way that copper will cope with the bandwidth demands that are coming.
Personally I'd rather see the money go towards a decent Eastern seaboard water grid, or even a nationwide train network.... however I suspect that 43 billion would only cover a very small percentage of both of those.
I've read some reports that copper degrades faster than optic fibre as well, so I'm wondering about the contradiction in these conduits.
#24
And YOU'RE paying for it!
Joined: May 2007
Location: kipper tie?
Posts: 2,328
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
Unfortunately, IMO you fall into the Labor trap of reasoning: "there are good reasons why in some cases the Cth should subsidise/lead investment in improving net access to some areas to some degree" is true but it has been used as the justification for "world's fastest internet for everyone everywhere in the whole country, yay NBN!".
This is why satellite packages are filled with crap rolling news channels: there are no programmes, so there's no licensing problems, and the few advertisers that they do have are global brands that don't mind a regional audience.
#25
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 4,555
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
Unfortunately, IMO you fall into the Labor trap of reasoning: "there are good reasons why in some cases the Cth should subsidise/lead investment in improving net access to some areas to some degree" is true but it has been used as the justification for "world's fastest internet for everyone everywhere in the whole country, yay NBN!".
The technology is already in place for this - the problem is licensing and advertising. If ITV pays NBC for 30 Rock, it only gets the right to broadcast it in the UK, not in Australia, because that would eat into Channel 7's rights. And the Daily Mail and Hovis don't want to pay ITV for advertising spots that are going to be promoting their product to 250,000 viewers of whom only 200,000 are actually in the UK.
This is why satellite packages are filled with crap rolling news channels: there are no programmes, so there's no licensing problems, and the few advertisers that they do have are global brands that don't mind a regional audience.
I see the need for NBN. I want to see the economic modelling.
#26
Master of verbal pish©
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 22,198
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
if they removed the caps my broadband would be fine
#27
And YOU'RE paying for it!
Joined: May 2007
Location: kipper tie?
Posts: 2,328
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
2) I agree that there are times that the government should invest some of our money in some projects some of the time but I think that any project that says it's going to deliver the best possible result to everyone everywhere is by definition being too ambitious and is glossing over the underlying justification that ought to exist for each dollar of investment.
#28
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
NBN in theory is good - but , the devils in the detail......
Budget papers have it as an Investment (not a cost ) with a nominated
15% return on capital.
originally was meant to be paid from the issue of infrastructure bonds and a mix of private investment.( didn't happen GFC and all that )
now its fully funded by the Govt. and they are still showing it as having a return on capital. Not Possible
Tasmania only has a minimal sign up - too expensive , so a subsidy will be borne by the Tax payer .
Without a proper economic model the cost is totally unknown...........
Budget papers have it as an Investment (not a cost ) with a nominated
15% return on capital.
originally was meant to be paid from the issue of infrastructure bonds and a mix of private investment.( didn't happen GFC and all that )
now its fully funded by the Govt. and they are still showing it as having a return on capital. Not Possible
Tasmania only has a minimal sign up - too expensive , so a subsidy will be borne by the Tax payer .
Without a proper economic model the cost is totally unknown...........
#29
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 4,555
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
I want to see good numbers from an independant authoritative source. In Australia the metro masses subsidise the woop woops.
#30
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 4,555
Re: Is the NBN a good idea or mental?
The Three Amigos brought in by Howard played such an antaganistic game with both governments that something had to be done. The NBN is the gun to Telstras head that made them hand over access to backhaul at a reasonable price.
Telstra was flogged to maximise its sale price and not its return to Australia. Will NBN sold in the same manner by whomever is in power at the time.
Telstra was flogged to maximise its sale price and not its return to Australia. Will NBN sold in the same manner by whomever is in power at the time.
If Telstra wanted to expand it's range for DSL it could do so easily with a simple repeater. Telstra know this but have no interest in installing this as they are able to sell a more expensive wireless rort or you go without. Because they make millions from an inferior wireless service they have no incentive to provide anything better at a lower cost. Fibre may be a nice idea but there are cheaper and quicker ways of getting broadband to the areas currently without. Good communications is a necessity and since Telstra are deliberatly making it difficult the government should take away their monopoly on copper. Don't ask me how.