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View Poll Results: Which statement do you agree with
Global warming is caused by humans
27
19.01%
Global warming is a natural process, contribution of human activity is substantial
44
30.99%
Global warming is a natural process, contribution of human activity is negligible
65
45.77%
Global warming seems unlikely
6
4.23%
Voters: 142. You may not vote on this poll

Global warming

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Old Feb 5th 2010 | 5:44 pm
  #721  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by Budawang
You don't have to look far for evidence of climate change. The climate here in Canberra and the rest of southern Australia has changed significantly since the 70s and 80s. Temperatures every summer in the last couple of years have been pushing new records and rainfall has been below average in almost every year out of the last ten.

The problem with a lot of recent immigrants is that they have nothing to compare today's climate with. I can tell you it has changed significantly.
Nobody is arguing that the world is gradually warming. We know for a fact through archeological data that the climate was much warmer in the AD 800-1100 period than it is today. Greenland didn't have glaciers, and the Vikings farmed wheat there. You cannot do that today. Then the weather cooled down and the world entered a period known as the Little Ice Age. The Thames froze regularly.

Currently the world is warming because it is still "recovering" from the Little Ice Age. We have not yet reached warmth of a thousand years ago. There is no reason to presume that we shouldn't. And it's all completely natural, something that the nature-skeptics at the IPCC don't seem to be able to get into their thick skulls.
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 5:47 pm
  #722  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by Burbage
And it's all completely natural, something that the nature-skeptics at the IPCC don't seem to be able to get into their thick skulls.
Monckton is that you?
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 6:29 pm
  #723  
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Default Re: Global warming

Another thing that is worth remembering:

If the IPCC is wrong then reducing CO2 will not reduce global temperatures.

If it is even possible to get all countries to act together before fossil fuels run out anyway.

If we actually achieve a reduction in carbon emissions.

Then we'll have a world that is still getting warmer, and we won't have spent a single dollar preparing for it.

We are wasting a considerable amount of time and effort in a futile attempt to stop global warming, when we should be spending that time and money preparing for it. This, to me, is the biggest danger of the IPCC scam.
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 6:56 pm
  #724  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by Lord_Farquar
Is there now an oscar catergory for actors that are condescending, patronising, arrogant and full of their own self importance?
Al Gore got one for exactly that.
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 7:30 pm
  #725  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by NedKelly
Al Gore got one for exactly that.
He missed out on one for inventing the internet......
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 7:43 pm
  #726  
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Default Re: Global warming

Some shocking figures from a BBC survey on global warming were given on SBS tonight.

The climategate, glaciergate and assorted scandals, plus a particularly cold winter have reduced AGW support by a substantial amount.

If i could make some predictions:

Governments will now distance themselves from the mess – no one wants an election promise related to something a minority support.

The IPCC will be quietly forgotten, or pushed aside.

Newer much reduced claims will emerge (global warming on a much slower scale)

Countries like China and India will announce that there is no conclusive evidence of AGW.

A sudden “new” threat will occur, that just happens to support the dreams social economists and anti industrialists.
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 8:32 pm
  #727  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by slapphead_otool

A sudden “new” threat will occur, that just happens to support the dreams social economists and anti industrialists.
And all the pinko's, greenies, lefties, Kruddites and Wongies will lap it up!
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 8:33 pm
  #728  
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Default Re: Global warming

Oh is Chris Monckton hiding on here? I have a stack of questions to ask him! I'll let him do it one at a time . . . here goes . . .

#1 - can you please explain why you are using the hemlock data for CO2 emissions instead of the Ice-core CO2 data?
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 9:08 pm
  #729  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by slapphead_otool
Some shocking figures from a BBC survey on global warming were given on SBS tonight.

The climategate, glaciergate and assorted scandals, plus a particularly cold winter have reduced AGW support by a substantial amount.

If i could make some predictions:

Governments will now distance themselves from the mess – no one wants an election promise related to something a minority support.

The IPCC will be quietly forgotten, or pushed aside.

Newer much reduced claims will emerge (global warming on a much slower scale)

Countries like China and India will announce that there is no conclusive evidence of AGW.

A sudden “new” threat will occur, that just happens to support the dreams social economists and anti industrialists.
I'd go so far as to say that most if not all of those will come to pass.

I think we should have a nice oil supply threat. It's much more manageable and means everyone can wag fingers specifically at other countries.
 
Old Feb 5th 2010 | 10:13 pm
  #730  
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Default Re: Global warming

slapphead: >>The climategate, glaciergate and assorted scandals, plus a particularly cold winter have reduced AGW support by a substantial amount.
<<

...and if next summer is warmer than average this will, of course, prove a *warming* climate <g>.
 
Old Feb 6th 2010 | 1:07 am
  #731  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by Wol
slapphead: >>The climategate, glaciergate and assorted scandals, plus a particularly cold winter have reduced AGW support by a substantial amount.
<<

...and if next summer is warmer than average this will, of course, prove a *warming* climate <g>.
Sadly, human nature says you are right.....


However, tonights news says "a blizzard battered the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States on Saturday, quickly dumping large amounts of snow that piled up on roadways and toppled trees onto apartment buildings and cars. Officials urged people to huddle at home for the weekend, out of the way of crews trying to keep up with a storm that forecasters said could be the biggest for Washington, DC, in modern history."

Last edited by slapphead_otool; Feb 6th 2010 at 1:31 am.
 
Old Feb 6th 2010 | 1:13 am
  #732  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by Centurion
I'd go so far as to say that most if not all of those will come to pass.

I think we should have a nice oil supply threat. It's much more manageable and means everyone can wag fingers specifically at other countries.
Yes, talk of peak oil was only 3 years ago.

I remember talking about it to guys in the oil business, and they couldn’t believe the bulldust that was being published – not just by the press, but by economists and research bodies.

I was told there are vast as yet untapped reserves . But if a fright over supply drives up the price the oil companies aren’t going to be the ones bursting any bubbles.

I remember my grandfather saying “I feel I have been lied to all of my life” (he was talking about big business and government – he fought in WW1, went through the depression etc).

I think I know what he meant. Only now it seems to be everyone telling porkies...



Edit – I remember standing in the Letrobe valley in 1985 and being told that the lignite in that single valley could supply the entire worlds energy requirements for 500 years. Now people starve because we plant biofuels instead of crops. And the lignite still sits in the valley.

Last edited by slapphead_otool; Feb 6th 2010 at 1:24 am. Reason: Added the bit about lignite.....
 
Old Feb 6th 2010 | 1:51 am
  #733  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by slapphead_otool
Lets not forget that Dr Rajendra K. Pachauri is actually a former railway mechanic with PhD in..........

ECONOMICS!!!

Yep, the head of the IPCC - the UN Climate Change body, is in fact an economist.

Not a climatologist.

He is as well qualified to speak on climate change as my hairdresser is to speak about brain surgery.
if this bloke's opinion is not to be trusted because he's not a career climatologist then why should we pay any attention to Lord Monckton, who has virtually no scientific training or qualifications at all?

Last edited by elfman; Feb 6th 2010 at 1:53 am.
 
Old Feb 6th 2010 | 2:16 am
  #734  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by slapphead_otool
I remember standing in the Letrobe valley in 1985 and being told that the lignite in that single valley could supply the entire worlds energy requirements for 500 years. Now people starve because we plant biofuels instead of crops. And the lignite still sits in the valley.
sounds like you fell for a bit of hype there - Latrobe valley resources could more likely meet local power station needs for 500 years, not the entire world.

and yes I suppose you could say that some lignite is just sitting there - but overall the brown coal in the valley is still being mined at a rate of more than 60 million tonnes per year.

http://www.australianminesatlas.gov....wn_coal_09.jsp
 
Old Feb 6th 2010 | 7:25 am
  #735  
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Default Re: Global warming

Originally Posted by slapphead_otool
Lets not forget that Dr Rajendra K. Pachauri is actually a former railway mechanic with PhD in..........

ECONOMICS!!!

Yep, the head of the IPCC - the UN Climate Change body, is in fact an economist.

Not a climatologist.

He is as well qualified to speak on climate change as my hairdresser is to speak about brain surgery.
That would make sense. An economist working with climate scientists about the best way to use resources in order to ensure that the economy doesn't fail. No wonder the IPCC has such a reputation of being very conservative. If they removed the money men then they would probably make us cut carbon by the up to 90% some alarmists demand should have been done by last year.

Funny, one of my economics lecturers at uni specialised in fish and the worked with scientists on the best way of conserving the very depleted fish stocks we have in the world so that industry would survive and the people who relied on fish as their protein source could still be fed.

An economist. Who would have thought it!!!

Last edited by iolande; Feb 6th 2010 at 7:27 am.
 


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