Totally agree, if you do your homework it won't come as surprise..but most of the year round we all have fabby weather and get to see and do some amazing things.

Congrats

And after talking to the Bureau this morning I'd be watching that low and its development very very carefully........moderate chance of development over the next 24 hours, moving south but maybe moving in towards the coast......

Will it reach Brisbane? My water-tank is already full thank you...

not good for our us lot then in Townsville....will keep an eye open for it

Looks like the Bureau have downscaled a bit from the early morning briefing. Now saying they believe both systems will remain as a Low (one in the Gulf and one off the east coast). East coast one looks like swinging back towards the coast though, so that will bring heavy rain to the Townsville-Mackay strip again
Good news is we have SES in their droves lined up to be put into the Ingham area as soon as the clear-up can start

Doesn't look like this sytem will (phew) however the way the season is going I wouldn't take bets against another system developing and bringing some heavy stuff further south.....

Been a LONG time since we had a proper cyclone in Brisbane. We're long overdue thats for sure!

Conventional 'folk' wisdom (i.e. based on public perception on no science whatsoever) - suggests that although still possible, a major cyclone over Brisbane is less likely at the end of summer than the beginning...

Magic 8 ball says: "Not likely"

Definitely still possible, the Bureau haven't ruled out the chance of one this season at all......

If current conditions persist (wind shear prevails in the Coral Sea) not a chance. As soon as a low pressure axis starts to get structure they get blown apart. This has been happening for a few years. The further south you go the more likelyhood there is of this happening.

As for the current lows imbedded in the monsoon trough they are to close together and with counteract each others development. Rain but no disasters. Conditions currently are just not quite right,

My lawn as grown 6 inches this week. Can it get any worse

I just get the shivers after being the Duty Officer in Christmas 2007 when we were looking at the possibility of a Cat 3 on the Gold Coast Hearing the words SE Qld and cyclone in the same sentence now send me into the office at a run, and last night I was working with the same team member as when we got the call at Christmas - very surreal Groundhog Day-type experience as the Bureau were really in gloomy mode when I spoke to them.
Does look like staying as a rain event for now, which is not perfect news, but certainly better than it could have been.

Dengue fever is back in the news today - we are monitoring it anyway but it seemed to drop off the public radar a bit.
http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/s...7-3102,00.html
Meanwhile, dengue fever cases in north Queensland soared over 300 yesterday as warnings about the epidemic were posted on United Kingdom travel websites.
In Cairns, 266 cases of the mosquito-borne disease have been confirmed and another 47 people have been infected in Townsville with new cases emerging in each city daily.

And with shade of Tropical Cyclone Larry....... Banana retail prices are set to rise if the flooded Bruce Hwy near Ingham continues to prevent trucks from delivering supplies to markets.

Off to Ingham.....

Hope you packed your wellies and some disinfectant.
You're doing a valuable job, (I'm sure you know that anyway ) - hope you can bring some help to a few people.

Good on yer Rob, hope it goes well

Any idea what the weather will be like this coming Thursday in the Cairns region? I've looked around on the internet and the general guidance is that it'll be thunder storms for the next 10 days...

How is Cairns airport doing at the moment? Any signs of temp closure?

Thanks.

i'm doing a little 'im coming to Cairns' dance (the reverse of a rain dance!)