House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
#16
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Originally Posted by CadburysFingers
I seem to remember all the same stories floating about in England in 2001, we were buying a house at the time, and were a little unsure as to if we were doing the right thing, what with negative equity etc. When we sold it in 2004, it had gone up in value 235%. Moral of the story, dont believe everything you read.
#17
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
I worry about the next generation, even many of the 30 pluses I know are still not on the housing ladder and the only way will be inherting Mum & Dad's place.
M [/QUOTE]
Trouble is then you pay inheritance tax of 40% in taxes when they pop their cloggs, then if there is more than one child you have to divide it so sometimes it can help but may not still help them onto the housing ladder. I wonder if anyone has actually sat down and worked out how much they really pay for a house when you add up the interest over the years, sometimes you can pay 3 times what the house is worth by the time you have paid it off, so technically in some cases they haven't actually made any money on it.
M [/QUOTE]
Trouble is then you pay inheritance tax of 40% in taxes when they pop their cloggs, then if there is more than one child you have to divide it so sometimes it can help but may not still help them onto the housing ladder. I wonder if anyone has actually sat down and worked out how much they really pay for a house when you add up the interest over the years, sometimes you can pay 3 times what the house is worth by the time you have paid it off, so technically in some cases they haven't actually made any money on it.
Last edited by Mercedes; May 30th 2005 at 6:49 pm.
#18
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Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Trouble is then you pay inheritance tax of 40% in taxes when they pop their cloggs, then if there is more than one child you have to divide it so sometimes it can help but may not still help them onto the housing ladder.
M
#19
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Originally Posted by Merlot
This is the frightening thing.
M
M
#20
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Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Originally Posted by moneypen20
Life's a bitch, and then you die Sorry. On a downer tonight.
Hope you feel better soon.
M
#21
Lost in BE Cyberspace
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 10,375
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Originally Posted by Megalania
"HOME loan interest rates would rise to 9 per cent next year, causing house prices in Sydney and Melbourne to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008 after inflation, according to a new housing report from BIS Shrapnel."
What are interest rates in the rest of the world, 3.75% - 5.5%, lets imagine interest rates in australia go to 9%, the entire world and its cat would want to invest in aussie dollars and the aussie dollar would go sky high, nice impact on a country already crippled with drought.
Immigration, tourism, exports, farmers and housing would all be stuffed unemployment would soar.
Likely hood of 9%
#22
Forum Regular
Joined: Apr 2005
Posts: 236
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Originally Posted by Mercedes
Originally Posted by Merlot
I worry about the next generation, even many of the 30 pluses I know are still not on the housing ladder and the only way will be inherting Mum & Dad's place.
M
M
Canada also has no IHT, and the US is phasing it out the next few years; Swiss IHT rates are also very low. Pick where you pop your clogs!
#23
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Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 4,432
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
Originally Posted by jad n rich
Interest rates dont just affect housing, did they overlook that
What are interest rates in the rest of the world, 3.75% - 5.5%, lets imagine interest rates in australia go to 9%, the entire world and its cat would want to invest in aussie dollars and the aussie dollar would go sky high, nice impact on a country already crippled with drought.
Immigration, tourism, exports, farmers and housing would all be stuffed unemployment would soar.
Likely hood of 9%
What are interest rates in the rest of the world, 3.75% - 5.5%, lets imagine interest rates in australia go to 9%, the entire world and its cat would want to invest in aussie dollars and the aussie dollar would go sky high, nice impact on a country already crippled with drought.
Immigration, tourism, exports, farmers and housing would all be stuffed unemployment would soar.
Likely hood of 9%
Never know, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac might go tits up, the Japanese might start to find US paper debt more risky than thought and not want to buy at low yields.
#24
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Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 4,432
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
"Let's say you bought a house in 1964 for £25,000 ($50,000) and sold it in 2004 for $500,000. That's a pretty impressive gain of 900 per cent. But guess what? It just keeps up with the rate of inflation over the 40 years, which averaged 5.9 per cent a year. That is, the real growth is zero."
Rising value: Don't bet your house on it
Rising value: Don't bet your house on it
#25
Re: House prices to fall between 15-20 per cent by 2008
one thing that seems consistent is this forecast 9% interest rate... havent seen anyone contradicting that.
If you need a house to live in then buy one....
If you need a house to live in then buy one....