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-   -   Asylum Makes a Comeback (https://britishexpats.com/forum/australia-54/asylum-makes-comeback-249858/)

jayr Aug 19th 2004 2:32 pm

Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
Another thought provoking story, 61% of voters think some or all of the boat people should be allowed into Australia..

Asylum makes a comeback

Quinkana Aug 19th 2004 4:32 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by jayr
Another thought provoking story, 61% of voters think some or all of the boat people should be allowed into Australia..

Asylum makes a comeback

Those who come without proof - make 'em build their own gaols, water and food supplies and pay for proof or deportation with their labour or wages.

Those with proof - set them to work - like the WWII refos on the Snowy Mountain Scheme.

jayr Aug 19th 2004 4:46 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Quinkana
Those who come without proof - make 'em build their own gaols, water and food supplies and pay for proof or deportation with their labour or wages.

Those with proof - set them to work - like the WWII refos on the Snowy Mountain Scheme.


Well I'm glad that I've never been in a situation where I had to think "Oh, I must remember my passport before fleeing this country and risking my life to get safe harbour elsewhere"

Quinkana Aug 19th 2004 4:57 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by jayr
Well I'm glad that I've never been in a situation where I had to think "Oh, I must remember my passport before fleeing this country and risking my life to get safe harbour elsewhere"

.. after passing through or by several other neutral countries where the UNHCR is active and remembering to grab thousands of dinero to pay the snake heads.

renth Aug 19th 2004 4:57 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by jayr
Well I'm glad that I've never been in a situation where I had to think "Oh, I must remember my passport before fleeing this country and risking my life to get safe harbour elsewhere"

Hang on, you've not got it quite right, it's "Oh, I must remember my passport berore paying a people smuggler loads of money, probably borrowed from my family, to take me to the other side of the world, via plenty of other countries where I could have claimed assylum and would have been safe"

UN Refugee program, fine.
Paying people smugglers = economic migration, not fine.

bondipom Aug 19th 2004 5:38 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Quinkana
.. after passing through or by several other neutral countries where the UNHCR is active and remembering to grab thousands of dinero to pay the snake heads.

If you were a refo what would you do to maximise your hopes for your yourself and your family?
Paying for people smugglers does not = economic migration. Paying for people smugglers = desperation.

Quinkana Aug 19th 2004 5:48 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by bondipom
If you were a refo what would you do to maximise your hopes for your yourself and your family?
Paying for people smugglers does not = economic migration. Paying for people smugglers = desperation.

If I knew I had no legal claim, I'd weigh my chances and aim for the the choicest spot.

Boulder-dash. UNHCR in Indonesia.

To UNHCR - Afghan Refugees - Mataram Lombok Indonesia

Don Aug 19th 2004 5:54 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Quinkana
.. after passing through or by several other neutral countries

The rule on first neutral country is obviously wrong in ethics.

jayr Aug 19th 2004 5:57 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by The Don
The rule on first neutral country is obviously wrong in ethics.


Don, please expand

Don Aug 19th 2004 6:10 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by jayr
Don, please expand

OK I probably need to check the exact rule but it goes something along the lines that refugees should claim asylum at the first country they physically get to where they won't suffer persecution.

Ie if travelling overland from (say) Iraq, you have to cross a lot of countries before you get to UK - officially the UK could turn the refugees around (eg back to France) because the rule has not been observed. (The UK doesn't apply the letter of the law.)

Australia: it takes a lot of determination to get that far, but most claiming refugee status will not have (say) sailed without landfall between Afghanistan and Darwin, ie they should theoretically have claimed asylum elsewhere first when they crossed a neutral country.

In ethics I think this rule is plain wrong partly because most rich countries, being located where they are, could easily shirk their moral responsibility to accept refugees. The rule is interpreted on a political whim. It also leads to some countries being seen as a soft touch, therefore meaning they attract a disproportionate number of refugees compared to a 'hard' place like Australia.

MikeStanton Aug 19th 2004 7:00 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Quinkana
Those who come without proof - make 'em build their own gaols, water and food supplies and pay for proof or deportation with their labour or wages.

Good to see the general approach hasn't evolved after 200 years :rolleyes:

MikeStanton Aug 19th 2004 7:28 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
On the refugee front, it's interesting to compare UK, Oz and Canada - for each refugee, how many non-refugees in each country:

UK ~1:330 (ie one refugee per 330 non-refugees in the UK pop'n) - and UK has one of the lowest intakes in Europe - contrary to what the Daily Mail claims

Canada ~1:400

and yes, you guessed it, in the land of the 'fair go' it's one of the lowest: 1:800* (*from Refugee Council of Oz)

And I thought that 'heaven' had its doors open to everyone...

Quinkana Aug 19th 2004 7:50 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by MikeStanton
Good to see the general approach hasn't evolved after 200 years :rolleyes:

Port Arthur needs restoration.

Quinkana Aug 19th 2004 7:58 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by MikeStanton
On the refugee front, it's interesting to compare UK, Oz and Canada - for each refugee, how many non-refugees in each country:

UK ~1:330 (ie one refugee per 330 non-refugees in the UK pop'n) - and UK has one of the lowest intakes in Europe - contrary to what the Daily Mail claims

Canada ~1:400

and yes, you guessed it, in the land of the 'fair go' it's one of the lowest: 1:800* (*from Refugee Council of Oz)

And I thought that 'heaven' had its doors open to everyone...

Let you out.

Peter Aug 19th 2004 8:07 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by MikeStanton
On the refugee front, it's interesting to compare UK, Oz and Canada - for each refugee, how many non-refugees in each country:

UK ~1:330 (ie one refugee per 330 non-refugees in the UK pop'n) - and UK has one of the lowest intakes in Europe - contrary to what the Daily Mail claims

Canada ~1:400

and yes, you guessed it, in the land of the 'fair go' it's one of the lowest: 1:800* (*from Refugee Council of Oz)

And I thought that 'heaven' had its doors open to everyone...

You thought wrong. Australia has never had its doors open to everyone.

Though, in saying so, you might want to view Australia's refugee intake in the 70's and the 80's. It was quite high.

damon Aug 19th 2004 8:29 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
Accepting more refugees into Australia should be a non-issue.For years we have been accepting over 110,000 immigrants(not counting refugees) per annum,purely for economic reasons and to the detriment of our fragile environment.Under the Howard government,immigration levels have risen alot compared to previous governments.He does this at the behest of big business,while at the same time staying in favour with the public by knocking back a handful of refugees.Howard is a master at sleight of hand.

Because most of OZ is uninhabitable,and our cities do not have enough water to go around(they predict sydney will be at 6 million within 10 years,totally insane),we will have to seriously look at cutting down immigration within the next couple of years.The falling birthrate could've been a blessing,and many independent scientists believed a population of 15 million was the maximum we could have without turning the corner into environmental mayhem(which is happening in Sydney and some rural areas).The business sponsored scientists envision 40 million,but that is TOTALLY unsustainable in a place like this.We have to accept that it is better to live in a good environment with average economic conditions rather than try and emulate the big(rich) nations through a bigger population.Those who suggest we go to 40 million,and say that we can do it if we change our lifestyle,do not realise that this is unenforcable,just like water restrictions in sydney are not truly enforcable(what is the dam at now,45%?).To cope with 40million our lifestyle change would be so great that it would possibly have the reverse effect,and have people leaving en masse for the USA,Europe or Asia.

We have to serious look at reducing immigration numbers within the next couple of years,perhaps to 10,000(non-refugee) and increase,YES increase the refugee intake to double what it is.......so as to just reach replacement rate.It is our humanitarian obligation to accept less economic refugees and more refugees who are in real hardship,just like it is our environmental obligation to the continent and indigenous people to make sure we dont TOTALLY strip the land for the sake of a slightly higher GDP.

I'd prefer to live in a nation of 20 million with an average GDP and quality of life(we're doing well on that compared to most as it is anyway according to the UN) rather than try and become too big for our boots and living in a super rich,yet environmentally doomed continent.Those who say we need 50 million to ward off Indonesian/Chinese armies wanting to take over one day need to remember this is the 21st century,and wars arent fought as much with standing armies.......we need to look towards the Israeli/high technology model(as we are doing).

It is likely,even if we restrict immigration within a few years,that we will reach 25 million anyway(especially considering the baby bonus).Once we stop mass immigration,NZ can take its turn at higher rates until it gets to 10 mill or whatever it needs to.Australasia with 35 million antipodeans will be a successful enough place,both militarily and financially.Auckland will one day join Sydney and Melbourne as being an 'international city',and these three big cities will be enough for our economic zone.

That being said,i wish all current day would-be immigrants the best in getting here,but i probably wont be saying the same thing to would-be immigrants 5 years from now:P.

What was this thread about again?Off on a tangent eh.

Peter Aug 19th 2004 8:45 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
Well said Damon. Too few people realise Australia's population is very much a slave to potable water supplies. Desalination is extremely expensive and I wouldn't willingly drink artesian bore water.

In saying so, reverse osmosis desalination can pump out water at something like $2.20 a megalitre which is cheaper than setting up an average sized dam (say, Warragamba or Tinaroo). I'v been lead to believe that initial costs for the desalination plant itself are high.

damon Aug 19th 2004 8:49 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by MikeStanton
On the refugee front, it's interesting to compare UK, Oz and Canada - for each refugee, how many non-refugees in each country:

UK ~1:330 (ie one refugee per 330 non-refugees in the UK pop'n) - and UK has one of the lowest intakes in Europe - contrary to what the Daily Mail claims

Canada ~1:400

and yes, you guessed it, in the land of the 'fair go' it's one of the lowest: 1:800* (*from Refugee Council of Oz)

And I thought that 'heaven' had its doors open to everyone...

At the same time,Australia has the highest number of foreign born citizens in the world,Canada is second.Again,we need to cut down on regular immigration big time,and then increase refugee intake....WAY too much of one,not enough of the other.After the embaressment of the last few years,it is a good sign that over 60% of Australians now want to accept more refugees,i'd like to see similar figures for other nations re:attitude to refugees.One less rabbit available to Howard to pull out of the hat around election time.

Why are you sarcastically calling it 'heaven'?Who in the world would think of Australia as heaven considering our reputation under Howard?Heaven for right-wingers?

damon Aug 19th 2004 8:54 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Ulujain
Well said Damon. Too few people realise Australia's population is very much a slave to potable water supplies. Desalination is extremely expensive and I wouldn't willingly drink artesian bore water.

In saying so, reverse osmosis desalination can pump out water at something like $2.20 a megalitre which is cheaper than setting up an average sized dam (say, Warragamba or Tinaroo). I'v been lead to believe that initial costs for the desalination plant itself are high.

Interesting stuff.I'd be happy if the issue was debated in the public domain in some way,most people would be like 'desali..wha?'It needs to be addressed,even more than Jana Pittman's knee. :p

bondipom Aug 19th 2004 9:51 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by damon
Accepting more refugees into Australia should be a non-issue.For years we have been accepting over 110,000 immigrants(not counting refugees) per annum,purely for economic reasons and to the detriment of our fragile environment.Under the Howard government,immigration levels have risen alot compared to previous governments.He does this at the behest of big business,while at the same time staying in favour with the public by knocking back a handful of refugees.Howard is a master at sleight of hand.

Because most of OZ is uninhabitable,and our cities do not have enough water to go around(they predict sydney will be at 6 million within 10 years,totally insane),we will have to seriously look at cutting down immigration within the next couple of years.The falling birthrate could've been a blessing,and many independent scientists believed a population of 15 million was the maximum we could have without turning the corner into environmental mayhem(which is happening in Sydney and some rural areas).The business sponsored scientists envision 40 million,but that is TOTALLY unsustainable in a place like this.We have to accept that it is better to live in a good environment with average economic conditions rather than try and emulate the big(rich) nations through a bigger population.Those who suggest we go to 40 million,and say that we can do it if we change our lifestyle,do not realise that this is unenforcable,just like water restrictions in sydney are not truly enforcable(what is the dam at now,45%?).To cope with 40million our lifestyle change would be so great that it would possibly have the reverse effect,and have people leaving en masse for the USA,Europe or Asia.

We have to serious look at reducing immigration numbers within the next couple of years,perhaps to 10,000(non-refugee) and increase,YES increase the refugee intake to double what it is.......so as to just reach replacement rate.It is our humanitarian obligation to accept less economic refugees and more refugees who are in real hardship,just like it is our environmental obligation to the continent and indigenous people to make sure we dont TOTALLY strip the land for the sake of a slightly higher GDP.

I'd prefer to live in a nation of 20 million with an average GDP and quality of life(we're doing well on that compared to most as it is anyway according to the UN) rather than try and become too big for our boots and living in a super rich,yet environmentally doomed continent.Those who say we need 50 million to ward off Indonesian/Chinese armies wanting to take over one day need to remember this is the 21st century,and wars arent fought as much with standing armies.......we need to look towards the Israeli/high technology model(as we are doing).

It is likely,even if we restrict immigration within a few years,that we will reach 25 million anyway(especially considering the baby bonus).Once we stop mass immigration,NZ can take its turn at higher rates until it gets to 10 mill or whatever it needs to.Australasia with 35 million antipodeans will be a successful enough place,both militarily and financially.Auckland will one day join Sydney and Melbourne as being an 'international city',and these three big cities will be enough for our economic zone.

That being said,i wish all current day would-be immigrants the best in getting here,but i probably wont be saying the same thing to would-be immigrants 5 years from now:P.

What was this thread about again?Off on a tangent eh.

Nowadays the EU is a single market of over 350million people. 35 million people in a trading block would be an impotent force. Will be interesting to see what the reopening of ASEAN to Australia will bring. 35 million antipodeans versus 250 million Indonesions would not be pretty in a military way.

The Israeli model is also heavily reliant on US venture funding. Britain and Australia are more culturally risk averse than the US so some changes would be needed in attitude to finance. Definately an area government should look at.

More migrants here will have an environmental impact but the current environmental state is also due to a myriad of other factors such as mining, forestry, farming etc. To think QLD wanted to tear down the Daintree is incredible. With a much cleverer more efficient use of resources there is plenty more room.

Tax breaks for environmentally destructive industries should be eliminated and research focus should be moved away from resources and towards "greener" living.

Anyway all waffle and opinion but my point is the house is not full and as a force Australia needs population and strong alliances.

damon Aug 19th 2004 10:35 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by bondipom
Nowadays the EU is a single market of over 350million people. 35 million people in a trading block would be an impotent force. Will be interesting to see what the reopening of ASEAN to Australia will bring. 35 million antipodeans versus 250 million Indonesions would not be pretty in a military way.

The Israeli model is also heavily reliant on US venture funding. Britain and Australia are more culturally risk averse than the US so some changes would be needed in attitude to finance. Definately an area government should look at.

More migrants here will have an environmental impact but the current environmental state is also due to a myriad of other factors such as mining, forestry, farming etc. To think QLD wanted to tear down the Daintree is incredible. With a much cleverer more efficient use of resources there is plenty more room.

Tax breaks for environmentally destructive industries should be eliminated and research focus should be moved away from resources and towards "greener" living.

Anyway all waffle and opinion but my point is the house is not full and as a force Australia needs population and strong alliances.

I wasnt suggesting that Australia and New Zealand become isolationist in regard to trade.We're doing 'ok' at the moment,impotent compared to Europe like we always will be,no matter what.As a nation of 50 million,it would be debatable whether that would make us more or less potent.There's a balance,and i believe we're getting close to 'as good as it gets' in regards to our economy.

Militarily,we spend more on defence than Indonesia,on top of funding part of their budget.Troop numbers mean little when you have no means of detaching them,and they'll mean even less 10 years from now.Our priorites are mostly a strong navy,which is more than adequate in regards to Indonesia.The question of nukes is a touchy one,but it is inevitable that we will pursue it more,unless the Americans do go ahead with a proper base here.The Israeli model is workable,and we dont need outside funding.What we couldnt handle is a threat from a cranky China,but at the same time we cant let them talk us out of remaining close to the US.We have to always be careful with China,the 70 billion dollar gas deal was a show of good faith on their part,and i highly doubt we will ever take the moral high ground with them on any issue,especially Taiwan.

On the environmental issue,there is no reason to believe we will go greener under labor or liberal,the corporations that drive the economy and run both parties arent going to get a conscience all of a sudden.They'd sooner see us turn into a bigger Nauru then run off with the cash.Alot of damage has already been done.Your ideas should've been of top importance 15 years ago,we are way further down the track than anyone likes to admit.There is a point where you go so far that it is irreversable and we may already be there.I'm not an expert but i think this needs to be addressed.....yesterday,most importantly to Sydney which was buckling at 3.5 million.The very fact that solutions like yours arent even on the radar of public thought is a worrying sign.We either get bigger and richer,for a short amount of time,or try and find that middle ground that is sustainability.I'm not a 'greenie' either. :p

bondipom Aug 19th 2004 10:54 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by damon
I wasnt suggesting that Australia and New Zealand become isolationist in regard to trade.We're doing 'ok' at the moment,impotent compared to Europe like we always will be,no matter what.As a nation of 50 million,it would be debatable whether that would make us more or less potent.There's a balance,and i believe we're getting close to 'as good as it gets' in regards to our economy.

Militarily,we spend more on defence than Indonesia,on top of funding part of their budget.Troop numbers mean little when you have no means of detaching them,and they'll mean even less 10 years from now.Our priorites are mostly a strong navy,which is more than adequate in regards to Indonesia.The question of nukes is a touchy one,but it is inevitable that we will pursue it more,unless the Americans do go ahead with a proper base here.The Israeli model is workable,and we dont need outside funding.What we couldnt handle is a threat from a cranky China,but at the same time we cant let them talk us out of remaining close to the US.We have to always be careful with China,the 70 billion dollar gas deal was a show of good faith on their part,and i highly doubt we will ever take the moral high ground with them on any issue,especially Taiwan.

On the environmental issue,there is no reason to believe we will go greener under labor or liberal,the corporations that drive the economy and run both parties arent going to get a conscience all of a sudden.They'd sooner see us turn into a bigger Nauru then run off with the cash.Alot of damage has already been done.Your ideas should've been of top importance 15 years ago,we are way further down the track than anyone likes to admit.There is a point where you go so far that it is irreversable and we may already be there.I'm not an expert but i think this needs to be addressed.....yesterday,most importantly to Sydney which was buckling at 3.5 million.The very fact that solutions like yours arent even on the radar of public thought is a worrying sign.We either get bigger and richer,for a short amount of time,or try and find that middle ground that is sustainability.I'm not a 'greenie' either. :p

I would never underestimate the potential of Indonesia and as you say China is potentially a regional bombshell. I agree that neither labour or liberal would be greener despite the recent recruitment of the midnight oil lead singer.

My point about market size is that population growth alone is not the answer and a true single market with NZ is not enough.

The Israeli model alone is not enough and they are an economy dependant on migrants despite rising unemployment.

Sydney politicians have started to realise its silly suburban expansion without funded infrastructure is suicidal. As you say the residents seem willfully ignorant of the need for change and still want huge multi bedroom Mc Mansions in outer suburban estated with few facilities. Recent iniatives to charge 30000-50000 for land converted to residential use is a start as long as that money is used for infrastructure.

As you say too little too late.

3.5million is a small city compared to what is out there in the world. Good planning can see a few more million in Sydney but steady as she goes.

damon Aug 19th 2004 11:19 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
I remember back when Bankstown was as west as it got,and you could drive from the eastern suburbs to the furthest west and it would take you 30 minutes,without freeways.That was endearing,not because of the smaller population,but because it actually felt like a city.Now even thinking of the great suburban expanse gives me a headache.We're at 4.1 million now,if we're going to hit 6 or 7,and keep going west,when do they stop saying it's still part of Sydney?We're already the biggest,geographically speaking,city in the world.I think the Sydney line should be drawn at Leichhardt,anything west of that in no way resembles being part of a city.It should be called something else altogether.

Peter Aug 20th 2004 12:14 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
Indonesia has its own problems. Aceh, West Timor, Irian Jaya, Maluku, et al. I don't ever foresee Indonesia being a threat.

MikeStanton Aug 20th 2004 12:25 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by damon
Accepting more refugees into Australia should be a non-issue.For years we have been accepting over 110,000 immigrants(not counting refugees) per annum,purely for economic reasons and to the detriment of our fragile environment.Under the Howard government,immigration levels have risen alot compared to previous governments.He does this at the behest of big business,while at the same time staying in favour with the public by knocking back a handful of refugees.Howard is a master at sleight of hand...

These are very important issues. Some years back, while I was in Oz, there seemed to be little agreement as to the 'sustainable' level of population. Still, they varied between 20 million and 50 million - with environmentalists claiming 24 million was about the limit.

Environment aside, Oz has a couple of major medium/long term economic problems. Firstly, like most of the west, its population is ageing and living longer. Native-born Aussies do not meet the replacement levels i) to stop the population from declining and ii) to provide the tax base to support their aged parents - creating an increasing strain on those that are working.

Hence Oz needs immigrants. Whether these immigrants are via a standard visa route or as refugees depends mainly on politics.

Secondly, economy-wise, Oz is still living in the 1950s. It needs to become much more focussed on producing higher value-added goods - not eternally ripping stuff out of the ground and flogging it. Part of the problem is wrapped-up in the anti-intellectualism that exists in Oz culture (ie 2 fingers up to R&D). Oz needs to change quickly, not just because of the environmental damage : also because without it, Oz's relative standard of living will continue to decline. ~1960, if I recall correctly, Oz had the highest standard of living in the world - now, it is at - what? - 10th? 12th?

Like many countries, Oz's standard of living may need to decline greatly, before the government gets it shi* together.

MikeStanton Aug 20th 2004 12:33 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Ulujain
Indonesia has its own problems. Aceh, West Timor, Irian Jaya, Maluku, et al. I don't ever foresee Indonesia being a threat.

You are kidding, aren't you? Based on what evidence? The Bali bombing - deliberately targetting Aussies - was a shot across the Australian government's bow. Oz has an uneasy relationship with Indonesia - and given there are 10 Indonesians for every Aussie, only the naive or hopelessly optimistic would never see them as a threat.

TOADFISH Aug 20th 2004 12:39 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by damon
Interesting stuff.I'd be happy if the issue was debated in the public domain in some way,most people would be like 'desali..wha?'It needs to be addressed,even more than Jana Pittman's knee. :p

Desalination as ULU said is very expensive and also to set up a plant from scratch takes an enourmous amount of time. I lived beside a Desal plant in Dubai for many years and the place was enourmous, 15-17,000 employees, and about 2-3 mile square in size.

Having said that with the majority of Australia's larger cities being coastal based i am surprised that this is something that has not been looked into.

Mind you the Ruler of Dubai is massively wealthy and with the Emirates about to run out of oil in 5-7 years they have had to boost the tourist industry, to do this they needed golf courses etc, golf courses need water so i suppose the Desal plant was a necessity rather than a luxury.

Still strange to think that living on the largest island in the world water supplys are an issue.

TOTAL SIDE ISSUE: Potable water is usually pumped through stainless steel pipe to make it fit for human consumption, with steel costs going through the roof this is maybe another reason whu desal plants are to expensive to consider?

hevs Aug 20th 2004 12:50 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by damon
,most people would be like 'desali..wha?'It needs to be addressed,even more than Jana Pittman's knee. :p

Now you're just rubbing salt into the wounds of us intellectually starved people. :p

Stuff the knee. Did you hear about THE FAMOUS HORSE who had an operation a couple of days ago, man........ :rolleyes:

Don Aug 20th 2004 7:20 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by damon
Accepting more refugees into Australia should be a non-issue.For years we have been accepting over 110,000 immigrants(not counting refugees) per annum,purely for economic reasons and to the detriment of our fragile environment.Under the Howard government,immigration levels have risen alot compared to previous governments.He does this at the behest of big business,while at the same time staying in favour with the public by knocking back a handful of refugees.Howard is a master at sleight of hand.

Because most of OZ is uninhabitable,and our cities do not have enough water to go around(they predict sydney will be at 6 million within 10 years,totally insane),we will have to seriously look at cutting down immigration within the next couple of years.The falling birthrate could've been a blessing,and many independent scientists believed a population of 15 million was the maximum we could have without turning the corner into environmental mayhem(which is happening in Sydney and some rural areas).The business sponsored scientists envision 40 million,but that is TOTALLY unsustainable in a place like this.We have to accept that it is better to live in a good environment with average economic conditions rather than try and emulate the big(rich) nations through a bigger population.Those who suggest we go to 40 million,and say that we can do it if we change our lifestyle,do not realise that this is unenforcable,just like water restrictions in sydney are not truly enforcable(what is the dam at now,45%?).To cope with 40million our lifestyle change would be so great that it would possibly have the reverse effect,and have people leaving en masse for the USA,Europe or Asia.

We have to serious look at reducing immigration numbers within the next couple of years,perhaps to 10,000(non-refugee) and increase,YES increase the refugee intake to double what it is.......so as to just reach replacement rate.It is our humanitarian obligation to accept less economic refugees and more refugees who are in real hardship,just like it is our environmental obligation to the continent and indigenous people to make sure we dont TOTALLY strip the land for the sake of a slightly higher GDP.

I'd prefer to live in a nation of 20 million with an average GDP and quality of life(we're doing well on that compared to most as it is anyway according to the UN) rather than try and become too big for our boots and living in a super rich,yet environmentally doomed continent.Those who say we need 50 million to ward off Indonesian/Chinese armies wanting to take over one day need to remember this is the 21st century,and wars arent fought as much with standing armies.......we need to look towards the Israeli/high technology model(as we are doing).

It is likely,even if we restrict immigration within a few years,that we will reach 25 million anyway(especially considering the baby bonus).Once we stop mass immigration,NZ can take its turn at higher rates until it gets to 10 mill or whatever it needs to.Australasia with 35 million antipodeans will be a successful enough place,both militarily and financially.Auckland will one day join Sydney and Melbourne as being an 'international city',and these three big cities will be enough for our economic zone.

That being said,i wish all current day would-be immigrants the best in getting here,but i probably wont be saying the same thing to would-be immigrants 5 years from now:P.

What was this thread about again?Off on a tangent eh.

I like what you say about doubling the number of asylum seekers allowed to stay in Aus (which would bring Aus up to international standards) but I don't agree with much else you opine. Too conservative/ nimbyist/ non-creative in thinking.

I'm a closet economist/ free-thinker/ liberal.

Aus can support a much larger population - the only significant problem is water. So put the population where the water is. Or desalinate more cheaply. Both are real possibilities.

Eg a 10 million population city in the Cairns-Townsville area is perfectly possible and water isn't a problem. Plenty of other countries have 'artificially' relocated an important city to the sticks, (say) Madrid, Brasilia, the new S Korean capital. Living conditions in Cairns-Townsville area are rather good.- better than Singapore IMHO and just a tad worse than Brisbane which (if I were living in Aus) would be my city of choice.

There's another 2000-4000 kms of coastline/ rainfall where another 25 million people would fit in nicely.

Peter Aug 20th 2004 8:50 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by MikeStanton
You are kidding, aren't you? Based on what evidence? The Bali bombing - deliberately targetting Aussies - was a shot across the Australian government's bow. Oz has an uneasy relationship with Indonesia - and given there are 10 Indonesians for every Aussie, only the naive or hopelessly optimistic would never see them as a threat.

Or someone who knows a thing or two about military readinesses, alliances, etc.

Simply having a population superiority does not equate to a military one.

The Bali bombing was performed by terrorists, not agencies of the Indonesian Govt.

Indonesia has an uneasy relationship, as you put it, with many of its neighbours. It disputes territory with Malaysia, for starters.

Indonesia is also beset by internal strife with breakaway movements in a number of places.

So, Indonesia has more to be worried about than some rivalry with Australia.

Quinkana Aug 20th 2004 12:58 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Ulujain
Well said Damon. Too few people realise Australia's population is very much a slave to potable water supplies. Desalination is extremely expensive and I wouldn't willingly drink artesian bore water.

In saying so, reverse osmosis desalination can pump out water at something like $2.20 a megalitre which is cheaper than setting up an average sized dam (say, Warragamba or Tinaroo). I'v been lead to believe that initial costs for the desalination plant itself are high.

"The cost of the water produced will be almost twice as much as for current supplies, at $1.11 per kilolitre." (kl = m^3)

A desalination plant for Perth

My understanding is that desal now can provide water at the about the same cost as a new dam, factoring in capital costs.

Dubai uses combined distillation from electric power plant waste heat and reverse osmosis. Distillation is too expensive to compete in Aus.

bondipom Aug 20th 2004 1:02 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Ulujain
Or someone who knows a thing or two about military readinesses, alliances, etc.

Simply having a population superiority does not equate to a military one.

The Bali bombing was performed by terrorists, not agencies of the Indonesian Govt.

Indonesia has an uneasy relationship, as you put it, with many of its neighbours. It disputes territory with Malaysia, for starters.

Indonesia is also beset by internal strife with breakaway movements in a number of places.

So, Indonesia has more to be worried about than some rivalry with Australia.

Never forget that economic strife in Germany caused the nation to accept Hitler the consequences of which we all know about. Indonesia''s economic problems could well produce a similiar situation. I am not saying it will but it is a possibility.

You correct that a superior population does not make a militarily superior nation but a change to a military regime on a war footing could change that.

The target of the Bali bombings was westerners in general not Australians but the war on Iraq has put Britons and Australian in the cross hairs.

Quinkana Aug 20th 2004 1:24 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by MikeStanton
Secondly, economy-wise, Oz is still living in the 1950s. It needs to become much more focussed on producing higher value-added goods - not eternally ripping stuff out of the ground and flogging it. Part of the problem is wrapped-up in the anti-intellectualism that exists in Oz culture (ie 2 fingers up to R&D). Oz needs to change quickly, not just because of the environmental damage : also because without it, Oz's relative standard of living will continue to decline. ~1960, if I recall correctly, Oz had the highest standard of living in the world - now, it is at - what? - 10th? 12th?

R&D consumes capital, profitable application of technology produces capital. Almost all technology developed in Aus will have it's most profitable application outside Aus. More often Aus is best served by selecting the most profitable proven technologies - not neccessarily the latest - and applying them.

I'm sure there are many businesses in Aus only too interested to know which higher value-added goods they could produce more profitably in Aus than elsewhere. Suggestions?

jessybrissy Aug 20th 2004 2:13 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
Then do go to Indonesia. I can't see given what Indonesia is capable of, how it can be offensive towards Ozzies if you don't visit the country at all.

Indonesia doesn't have nuclear weapons, it doesn't have any WMD. It has no economic clout, nor military power, so what is there to fear? Don't forget there are other Asian countries that have both.


Originally Posted by MikeStanton
You are kidding, aren't you? Based on what evidence? The Bali bombing - deliberately targetting Aussies - was a shot across the Australian government's bow. Oz has an uneasy relationship with Indonesia - and given there are 10 Indonesians for every Aussie, only the naive or hopelessly optimistic would never see them as a threat.


bondipom Aug 20th 2004 5:07 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by jessybrissy
Then do go to Indonesia. I can't see given what Indonesia is capable of, how it can be offensive towards Ozzies if you don't visit the country at all.

Indonesia doesn't have nuclear weapons, it doesn't have any WMD. It has no economic clout, nor military power, so what is there to fear? Don't forget there are other Asian countries that have both.

It is the proximity of Indonesia. Indonesia also has huge potential for Australia because of the proximity and potential market. Better to engage and trade than fear but never underestimate the potential of the nation.

Peter Aug 20th 2004 8:40 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by bondipom
It is the proximity of Indonesia. Indonesia also has huge potential for Australia because of the proximity and potential market. Better to engage and trade than fear but never underestimate the potential of the nation.

Which is exactly what Australia does. Keeping in mind Australia's conciliatory (and recreant) attitude towards Indonesia with the East Timor incident in the 70's. Australia isn't going to provoke Indonesia too much in the near future. Not if common sense prevails.

Your earlier comparisons with Weimar-era Germany are a little off. Indonesia isn't under the yoke of any treaty limiting its military. Nor is it blaming sections of its population for any perceived economic weaknesses. As far as I know, the Weimar Republic didn't have six or so secessionist disputes to deal with.

Indonesia has already had a couple of dictators.

Badge Aug 20th 2004 9:03 pm

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
some good arguments here.

Migrants are always useful. According to a UK politician friend of mine, they often are willing to take the much needed, low paid jobs that appear to be below the whims of locals (I am not being dismissive or negative here) so they are a boon when everyone is hell bent on being a management consultant or lifestyle tertiary sector employee. He is trying to get some families in to local London boroughs without success.

Numbers are not necessarily a factor in warfare. Numbers will prevail in certain situations, but force multipliers and specialist equipment is as important.

BM

Gareth W Aug 21st 2004 12:22 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 
I remember when I was a kid the local corner shops used to be run by white brits and they used to keep ridiculously short hours and several seemed to run the shop to suit themselves. When I lived in Wakefield the Indian couple who ran our local shop opened from 6am - 10 pm and DOUBLED the size of the shop. That's convenience for you.

So is being able to get a taxi anytime and access to decent curries. :)

Bordy Aug 21st 2004 12:30 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Gareth W
I remember when I was a kid the local corner shops used to be run by white brits and they used to keep ridiculously short hours and several seemed to run the shop to suit themselves. When I lived in Wakefield the Indian couple who ran our local shop opened from 6am - 10 pm and DOUBLED the size of the shop. That's convenience for you.

So is being able to get a taxi anytime and access to decent curries. :)


I remember on Xmas Mornings the only shop open selling Batteries was the local Paki's shop. Now thats convenience. :)

Gareth W Aug 21st 2004 12:32 am

Re: Asylum Makes a Comeback
 

Originally Posted by Bordy
I remember on Xmas Mornings the only shop open selling Batteries was the local Paki's shop. Now thats convenience. :)


You see ? IMMIGRATION WORKS !


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